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Stuart Watt

@morungos.bsky.social
1.6K followers 844 following 5.5K posts

Cognitive/social scientist and occasional coder. Umquhile Mancunian. Purveyor of Jurassic Park memes. Writes on modernization and technology. Consciously uncoupling from corporate shenanigans. Halifax, Nova Scotia morungos.com

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Reposted by Stuart Watt
The Open University @openuniversity.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Sixty years ago, Jennie Lee's vision created The Open University 🎓 Welcoming all backgrounds, millions have started life-changing journeys. #OUfamily #TheOpenUniversity #OU60 💙
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
Dom Ervolina @dominicervolina.com · 25/02/2026
I know I wrote it, but I truly think this should be a massive story The Secretary of Defense told an AI company to remove its bot's moral guardrails so it can operate surveillance and lethal weapons autonomously When warned that could endanger our own troops, he didn't care
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Totally agree. This is why I don’t think of AI as a technology but as part of the unfolding of reflexive modernization. Other technologies (surveillance, IoT, crypto…) are all part of the same unfolding. It is the re-modernization of all of industry. bsky.app/profile/moru...
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
In fact, precisely the same arguments that used to be used about latent semantic analysis in the 1990s. Although the "latent" there might have been a little more honest.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Exactly. A lot of it is just straight knowledge. What Google was completely missing when their AI told me an osprey was a wading bird with a long thin beak.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
There’s usually a little group of them around the lake where I hike during summer. Beautiful things.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
This isn’t a diss on that article by the way. Not entirely. It’s more a lament. What will we lose by automating science? By focusing on the surface, on measures and metrics. Is what we lose valuable? To some, probably not. But to me, it was the craft of building science that made it all worthwhile.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
In short, for me at least, it’s not research at all. It’s a simulacrum of research. It’s Wile E. Coyote research: trebling the effort while the point becomes increasingly distant. Not only is it not my thing, I genuinely have no idea how I’d have mentored researchers to handle it.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
I read this and I am glad I’m not an academic any more. It feels like the entire nature of academia, a community, curiosity, inquiry, all of that has been replaced by a drive for productivity, strength, impact. Quality is no longer usefulness, it is a constantly shifting set of metrics.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
I did look at this a little, because it crossed wires with my work on the ascription of mentality. In the end, I came to believe that perceived similarity is one factor that promotes that ascription. As so often, frameworks like these are fascinating insights into human psychology.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
I found a great article a while ago which did a deep dive into the actual transcripts from three cases — not quite as catastrophic, but still ending very badly. There were consistent patterns. What this tech needs is some old fashioned qualitative research, but that’s mostly been cut, globally.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
I’m not using that as an argument for blame legally. As a society, if something like that is a factor in causing harms, we do have a duty to address them and mitigate them. In effect, we need to be able to regulate it, as we do other media.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
I don’t think reporting is the only issue. There is accumulating evidence that chatbots can, under some circumstances, reinforce harmful thought patterns. That has definitely happened in other cases. So reporting aside, it’s not unlikely the tech is a contributing factor.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
This.👇👏 How can we have a sense of achievement, of fulfillment, without working for it? We cannot self-actualize for free.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
I am not sure I can make it there myself, and there are plenty of others who would benefit more and give more than I can, but damn, this is so tempting.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
This looks like an *AMAZING* event! First, COGS and Sussex does outstanding cog sci work. Second, Andy Clark's ideas have blown my mind, positively, on many occasions. I rate his work extremely highly. Third, workshops are awesome to develop good research communities. (And I hate conferences).
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
I’d add absence of leadership and strategy, just reacting to events. From my experiences of being the first rat off sinking ships of employment, that was a surprisingly big factor in toxicity.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
If they genuinely think people are going to let AIs have access to their credit cards, they're more delusional than I thought. A few rich bros, sure, but everyday folks on a budget? No chance.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
That's a possibility, but the only way growth in retail can happen in aggregate is that smaller stores are driven out -- effectively all retail run by a cartel of global megacorporations. It can happen, arguably is happening, I don't see how AI enables it beyond what the internet has already done.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Maybe I am naive, but “AI-fueled growth” puzzles me. Generally automation doesn’t do growth — especially when you are already hyperscale. It may cut costs, usually by transferring them, e.g., to consumers. But… growth? Someone will have to explain that to me. It sounds all hopey-wishy.
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
Timnit Gebru @timnitgebru.blacksky.app · 19/02/2026
Dude who wrote about how "the left is missing out on AI" is on here. Do you see who they are funded by? The biggest EA funders, the longtermist institutes we've been writing about and documenting, including FLI where Muskrat is still an advisor.

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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Our ability to make inferences about the behaviour of a system is more a property of *us* than of the system. So it is at ourselves and our reactions we need to look.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I don’t think that’s it. “What we think of as computing” was itself framed on an abstracted version of human behaviour. There are many computing-like things we’ve had which were very different: cellular automata, GAs, etc. Computing isn’t some magical rational god-phenomenon.
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
weeder @weeder.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Dennis nedry jurrasic park "see nobody cares" meme reads

Hey everybody, this guy still posts on X!

See? Everyone is horrified and disappointed. They feel it speaks directly to your values.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
The basic setup is that it is driven by ranked constraints that evaluate candidates. Each person can have different constraints and rankings, but they all have to “work” well enough to be useful.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
So so many, the problem. But if I were you I’d take a look at optimality theory, which intriguingly arose from attempts to bridge connectionism and universal grammars. Much of it is on phonology, sadly, which is quite technical, but it’s also valid for grammar, and it’s quite intriguing.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
First, thank you for this service. Second, this thread is gold. It’s a real insight into how HRM’s management is so dysfunctional. But I’m not sure how the city can save itself from it.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I mean, that’s slightly flippant, but what we do know is, we do not communicate by predicting logical words to put into sentences. That’s essentially a behaviourist retrospective reconstruction. We now know better.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
That’s like saying “how does human language work?” Language is big. You just won't believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist's, but that's just peanuts to language. (With apologies to Douglas Adams.)
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
Tom Phillips @tom-phillips.com · 19/02/2026
PUT IT BACK. PEBBLE IS NOT FRIEND.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
The discussion was not about next-token prediction, it was about human cognition in general, and whether it could (usefully) be reframed via next token prediction. Reading is a reasonable cognitive phenomenon to show that, no, it can't, not usefully anyway.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
If you have a substantive point to make, then make it.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Anything I say would be a distraction from Olivia's analysis of that engineering-oriented framing, so I'll stay out of it. Except, more than a few of us hated the operational interpretations, saw it more as thought experiment about society than science, and saw gender as the key, not a distraction.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Oh yes. I was part of a very active scientific community on the TT for a long time, back 1990s-2000s. That said, much of that literature was more nuanced than today's. As a critique of an "engineering-oriented" TT, it's fine, but that was not the dominant framing back then -- in that community.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
We’ve always used metaphors from tech to explore how people think. The delicious one was the computer, because we ended up with folks using an abstracted version of what (mostly women) mathematicians did as a model of human behaviour. It’s all circular. LLMs as the metaphor is maybe the worst yet.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
This, by the way, is how text emerges with bullet points, dashes, bigger spaces between sentences, and using layout. This is not rocket science, it is solid principles from the psychology of perception.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Specifically on this point of next-token prediction, as someone who’s studied this with eye-tracking, people are *not* next-token readers. They skim text. Eyes saccade. Even 1970s AI folks knew this, and old reading systems like DeJong’s FRUMP explored much more plausible mechanisms of reading.
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
Sal Sawler @salsawler.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Ooh, while I’m at it, though, I should also tell you all that @nimbuspub.bsky.social is publishing a 10th Anniversary Edition of 100 Things You Don’t Know About Nova Scotia in April! And just to show how long ago it’s really been since my very first book was published, here’s an old interview!
globalnews.ca
100 things you don’t know about Nova Scotia | Watch News Videos Online
Watch 100 things you don’t know about Nova Scotia Video Online, on GlobalNews.ca
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
It is not a coincidence that a lot of the markers used by other LLMs to “detect” AI generation are, in fact, rhetorical.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
I’ll add that LLMs are specifically good at rhetorical forms. I’ve tested this a little experimentally. It is not just bullshit, it is intentionally persuasive bullshit.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
It’s as pure clickbait as I’ve seen in a long time. They’re baiting us. We do not need to react.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
It’s literally called “Transformer News”, so I doubt if honesty is a priority for them.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
The interaction with outsourcing will be interesting, because that had already had an impact on those folks. I’ve quite often picked up work rescuing low-budget outsourced tech that turned into an unmaintainable disaster. Vibe coding as personal prototyping I can grasp, but it won’t end that way.
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
Katya King @katyavdgk.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Today's winner of the internet 🏆🏆🏆
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Reposted by Stuart Watt
THE FAR SIDE DAILY @bot.cowtools.org · 18/02/2026
In its more horrific method of retribution, the mob will sometimes dress victims as mimes, place them in glass boxes, and let them perish slowly in full view of the public.
In its more horrific method of retribution, the mob will sometimes dress victims as mimes, place them in glass
boxes, and let them perish slowly in full view of the public.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Yes, definitely. We, together, can be stronger and better than any one group. And the alternative is awful, because it will end up legitimizing oppression. You might not get fascism from the start, but you'll probably make it there eventually.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
American exceptionalism was the fast track to American superiority, and here we are. It's that global hubris that will boomerang back and destroy them. And in a sense, that is precisely what 9/11 was.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
As soon as you concede that any one side is intrinsically better, aka superior, you are on the slippery slope to systemic oppression. It is that humility that keeps your state from being an asshole. (A lot of this applies to anti-trans issues too.)
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
I think that's fair. A lot of the risk society literature argues that was a pivotal moment for a whole cluster of reasons. There's a similar dimension to it, too: forcing people to pick only one side. Civic nationalism allows multiple overlapping identities, it has to.
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Stuart Watt @morungos.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
My sense is, and I could be very wrong, that a lot of the abandonment stems from Israel-Gaza, which a kind of Kobayashi Maru of leftist politics. Civic nationalism requires you to welcome and include the oppressed, and they didn’t. Supporting any oppressor denies the rights of the oppressed.
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