Reposted by MJ YangKristina McElheran @kmcelheran.bsky.social · 05/02/2026Great coverage of our paper J-curve paper on AI’s productivity impacts by @willagreer.bsky.social in @npr.org’s Planet Money newsletter! www.npr.org/sections/pla...npr.org5 papers from the Super Bowl of EconomicsPlanet Money went to the annual meeting of the American Economics Association, and we saw some fascinating papers presented there. 132
Reposted by MJ YangDaniela Scur @danielascur.bsky.social · 29/12/2025Thoughts of love (and maybe some whisky) to all toddler parents with no daycare this week 071
Reposted by MJ YangAdam Grant @adamgrant.bsky.social · 20/11/2025It's time to remove laptops from classrooms. 24 experiments: Students learn more and get better grades after taking notes by hand than typing. It's not just because they're less distracted—writing enables deeper processing and more images. The pen is mightier than the keyboard. 20383121
Reposted by MJ YangKevin A. Bryan @afinetheorem.bsky.social · 24/11/2025Hiring this year in economics or management? I try to read every JMP on innovation, entrepreneurship, or econ of AI; why not make the list public? Here's 54 candidates on the market this year (link below). Many great papers + NBER Innovation PhD boot camp grads! kevinbryanecon.com/2025innovati...kevinbryanecon.comInnovation, Entrepreneurship, AI Job Candidates 2025 1103
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 07/11/2025In case you missed it: OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar insinuating OpenAI would be "open" to a bailout by the Federal Government for its 1.5 trillion chip purchase contracts... www.wsj.com/video/openai...wsj.comOpenAI CFO Would Support Federal Backstop for Chip InvestmentsSarah Friar, OpenAI’s finance chief, says the company would support federal measures to make it easier to finance sizable investments in AI chips. She spoke at WSJ’s Tech Live event in California. 010
Reposted by MJ YangColleen Cunningham @colleencunningham.bsky.social · 16/10/2025New WP (by me and others) on how disclosure mandates: (1) increase disclosure (primarily of negative outcomes), and (2) how expectations of increased disclosure by others slows down innovation. Link and more details in @florianederer.bsky.social's thread... 0124
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 13/10/2025PSA on United Airlines: If you miss your initial flight from a roundtrip they cancel all subsequent flights and keep your money. And airline is unwilling to rebook even though they have available seats. Just rebooked with Delta Air Lines, to leave SFO.. 100
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/09/2025Gemini 2.5 Pro is very solid all around. Claude is better at coding. Last place, for most tasks: ChatGPT-5. However, I have actually been quite impressed with Chinese Open weight models such as Qwen3.. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/09/2025I have been incredibly fortunate to learn both from my amazing coauthors and a fantastic set of HBS alumni. And this work will be foundational for more forthcoming research (by others and myself) on how AI will impact the process of making business strategy going forward. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/09/2025What is more, we establish causal evidence that business education has a persistent impact on CEO's strategy process -- even decades later. (So yes, business education does actually matter..) 100
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/09/2025Our basic result is that strategic decision-making styles vary widely across CEOs and that CEOs with more structured practices (proactive, consistent and hypothesis-driven), tend to outperform their (less-structured) peers especially in industries with high degrees of strategic complexity. 110
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/09/2025Very happy to see this paper in (online) print. Together with Michael Christensen, @raffasadun.bsky.social , @nickbloom.bsky.social and Jan Rivkin, we interviewed hundreds of CEOs to measure how they make business strategy. pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/...pubsonline.informs.orgHow Do Chief Executive Officers Make Strategy? | Management Science 141
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 21/09/2025Yes, the idea that LLMs pay uniform attention to everything in a paper (or are "better at paying attention that humans") is a widely believed myth. 020
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 21/09/2025Financial crisis? "According to Moody’s, structured finance has become a popular way to pay for new data center projects, with more than $9 billion of issuance in the commercial mortgage-backed security and asset-backed security markets during the first four months of 2025." (Ian Frisch, NYTimes) 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 15/09/2025"Accenture, (...), in its most recent quarter reported a $100 million increase in new generative AI bookings quarter over quarter. That is down from a $200 million quarter-over-quarter increase the previous two periods." www.wsj.com/articles/how...wsj.comHow the AI Boom Is Leaving Consultants BehindConsultants have a lot to gain helping companies deploy the most transformative technology in decades. Some clients say so far they have overpromised and underdelivered. 010
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 15/09/2025PSA if you travel to SMS-SF: I used the SMS-provided promo code on United and compared it with exactly the same flight without the promo code. The code made my airfare $40 MORE expensive. Nice anecdote for price discrimination or business ethics? www.colorado.edu/today/2025/0...colorado.eduYour next airline ticket could be priced by AIDelta is testing an AI-powered pricing system that could charge two travelers different fares even if they are purchasing at the same moment. Pricing strategy 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 12/09/2025On the Charlie Kirk assassination: "Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent." (Isaac Asimov, Foundation) www.cnn.com/2025/09/12/u...cnn.comFull press conference: Governor names Charlie Kirk shooting suspect | CNNUtah’s governor Spencer Cox says they have a suspect in the Charlie Kirk shooting in custody. Cox identified the suspect as Tyler Robinson and presented the evidence investigators have uncovered at a ... 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 10/09/2025The LLM turning point is coming ( = we may be close to the "peak of inflated expectations" in the Hype Cycle). www.economist.com/business/202...economist.comFaith in God-like large language models is waningThat may be good news for AI laggards like Apple 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 06/09/2025Have we learned nothing from conflicts of interest during the subprime housing crisis? "Both authors have a financial interest in www.expectedparrot.com. Horton is an economic advisor to Anthropic." 011
Reposted by MJ YangKristina McElheran @kmcelheran.bsky.social · 27/08/2025Excited to have my research (co-authored with the dream team of @mjyang.bsky.social, Zachary Kroff, and @erikbryn.bsky.social) featured in the New Yorker! 093
Reposted by MJ YangKevin A. Bryan @afinetheorem.bsky.social · 25/08/2025Incredibly excited for my brand new class at Rotman this fall: Progress! Econ history + theory + history of thought + philosophy on why rare orgs at rare times in rare places accomplish new things. Trying to put rigor onto an idea that is very much in the air. kevinbryanecon.com/Bryan-Progre... 1/3 1164
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 20/08/2025Seems Sam Altman thinks "Yes", AI is in a bubble? Yet, he wants to let OpenAI employees convert stock to cash with an implied valuation of $500 Billion? (with a B!). What happend to getting "PhD level" ChatGPT-5 expertise, .. (checks notes) .. two weeks ago?!? www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...theverge.comSam Altman says ‘yes,’ AI is in a bubbleIs the bubble about to burst? 000
Reposted by MJ YangBen Spigel @benspigel.bsky.social · 19/08/2025There is an.....interesting op-ed in today's WSJ from a 22 year old entrepreneur telling everyone that work life balance will "keep you mediocre" It is completly wrong. Let me tell you why with citations. [gift link to the very wrong op-ed] 1/n www.wsj.com/opinion/work... 261
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 09/08/2025Odd, or signal that ChatGPT-5 is lower quality, but cheaper to run, because it decides when a high-token test-time compute run is triggered.. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 08/08/2025This also raises huge issues for replicability of research based on older ChatGPT models.. 030
Reposted by MJ YangJoshua Gans @joshgans.bsky.social · 03/08/2025You should read @noahpinion.blogsky.venki.dev on the data centre investments and whether they will lead to a financial crisis. I think he downplays the risk. It is potentially very high. www.noahpinion.blog/p/will-data-...noahpinion.blogWill data centers crash the economy?This time let's think about a financial crisis before it happens. 195
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 27/07/2025Disruption of the traditional MBA is here, whether we want it or not.. 010
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 26/07/2025Consider: Google has a 90% market share in web and mobile searches. And has Gemini LLM results on top by default on any search. Are 1 trillion processed tokens really a sign of usefulness? (Same question about MSFT forcing LLMs on their developers..) We see "revealed preference", just not for LLMs. 110
Reposted by MJ YangKristina McElheran @kmcelheran.bsky.social · 23/07/2025I have been thinking about this a lot, lately, after finding the troubling productivity impacts of AI on older firms ( conference.nber.org/conf_papers/... ), combined with prior work showing the impacts of digitization on older workers (www.nber.org/papers/w28094). #EconSkyconference.nber.org 021
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Importantly, the negative productivity effects are concentrated at old manufacturing establishments and firms. We can narrow down the mechanism as well, by showing that roughly half of the productivity loss is driven by removal of (human-supporting) structured management practices. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 17/07/2025We use 2 separate datasets from the US Census Bureau and 3 separate identification strategies (matching, first-difference, IV) to establish credible causal effects. We find as of 2021 strongly negative productivity effects in the short-run and some evidence for potentially positive long-run effects. 100
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Naked self-promotion: My fantastic co-author @kmcelheran.bsky.social will present our empirical paper on "Industrial AI" (self-driving forklifts, self-optimizing production lines, autonomous quality control) and its effect on productivity in US manufacturing. www.nber.org/conferences/...nber.orgSI 2025 Digital Economics and Artificial Intelligence 131
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 14/07/2025Its not me, its the LLMs: in domains including coding, math, mapping, logic and now simple physics, they overfit and are unable to generalize. Still waiting for ChatGPT-5 btw.. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 30/06/2025I agree that teachers (=experts) using LLMs has clear benefits. I think the evidence of benefits of LLMs for students is less consistent and more context dependent. LLMs are not a hoax, but also clearly over-hyped. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 29/06/2025Part of the avalanche of recent papers showing incoherence of LLMs: @sendhil.bsky.social and coauthors show that LLM answers contradict their reasoning in the majority of cases, among 7 current LLM/LRM models. Another datapoint on "LLM reasoning is just pretense". arxiv.org/abs/2506.21521arxiv.orgPotemkin Understanding in Large Language ModelsLarge language models (LLMs) are regularly evaluated using benchmark datasets. But what justifies making inferences about an LLM's capabilities based on its answers to a curated set of questions? This... 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 28/06/2025Finished "Empire of AI" by @karenhao.bsky.social: important & compelling read for anybody worried about the broader social consequences of LLMs, even if we never reach AGI. I was initially skeptical about the "empire/colonialism" framing but now appreciate it. www.amazon.com/s?k=empire+o...amazon.comAmazon.com : empire of ai 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 28/06/2025More evidence on the educational costs of LLMs: users underperform peers using traditional web-search. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comExperimental Evidence of the Effects of Large Language Models versus Web Search on Depth of LearningThe effects of using large language models (LLMs) versus traditional web search on depth of learning are explored. Results from four online and laboratory exper 010
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 25/06/2025Yup, that OpEd reminds me of the recent MIT-brain study on LLM use.. 010
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 25/06/2025I guess it depends on how long "short term" is? Even if data center investments have broken even, the opportunity cost really should be measured by a long-run average of alternative investments at their social benefits.. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 19/06/2025Very impressive study showing that LLM-use reduces brain activity for an essay writing task, over a 4-month time horizon. Letting college students use LLMs can significantly reduce educational benefits, not increase them. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 19/06/2025More and more, I'm thinking the answer is "no". However, that doesn't prevent employers to think that it can and for example not sure junior software developers anymore. More importantly, AI is sometimes cheaper than hiring entry-level skilled employees.. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 19/06/2025At the same time, he says "AI is NOT a fad" and emphasizes that this (LLM-supported code generation) will "never go away". I agree, more generally for higher-ed than just software engineering. 000
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 19/06/2025I like this guy's idea of "AI Hype Derangement Syndrome", and might refer to it. Ask yourself: If MSFT, META etc really could create 30% of their code through LLMs, why isn't there more high-quality LLM-created code in open source software? Or why is "AI-code" banned on many open-source platforms? 100
MJ Yang @mjyang.bsky.social · 19/06/2025LLM-generated code is highly likely to generate cybersecurity risks. Yet, a majority of IT professionals say they believe that LLM-generated code is more secure than human code. Maybe because MSFT and others claim "up to 30%" of their code is LLM-based? Wait a sec.. youtu.be/NxOehfOfB6c?...youtu.beGenerative AI and Code Security — recent developments as of June 2025YouTube video by Spec Again: Reinventing Modern Software Careers 100