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Ted Knutson

@mixedknuts.bsky.social
7.4K followers 229 following 2.2K posts

Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated. @thetransferflow Daily Rumours newsletter www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB

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Reposted by Ted Knutson
The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
We're up +17 since 9th September. +9 of that has come from MLS alone. MLS keeps going while Europe pauses for international break. Today's Variance Betting edition is entirely focused on it. Join here: www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
thetransferflow.com
Upgrade | The Transfer Flow
FREE transfer newsletter with rumours + smart analysis from industry insiders.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
It's been a good trip so far.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Shared an elevator with Michelle Monaghan today, a spectacular celebrity crush since Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang. If you need me, I'll be floating up here on cloud 9.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
6-0 to start the Variance Betting weekend in England after a +6 last week as well. Absolute flames coming from the analysis column. We might still have it*. * we do not believe in jinxes. (Most days.)
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Man United had a man advantage for 70 minutes vs City and created nothing. Full episode covers: • Why United can't break teams down • Spurs still haven't scored • Arsenal survive Sunderland thanks to Raya's insane save • Should Liverpool sell Wirtz? Plus: Hull's shockingly good start to the season
youtube.com
Man United Are Exactly What We Thought They Were
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
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dub @movingthrough.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
'Welcome to Chelsea, the delightfully weird player trading hedge fund that masquerades as a football team on weekends.' He's not wrong tbf lol
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
I would like to thank Raul Jimenez for his service in producing a lovely little opening weekend of Variance Betting - Championship action. Otherwise that Blades v Wolves match was pretty dreadful.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
MLS on Variance Betting went 4 for 4 midweek, which felt nice after getting beat up on small bets for the early Premier League schedule. Eng Champ comes online for us today too, which means the newsletter is now BUSY. Fun fact: Newcastle are currently averaging 20 shots conceded per match.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Truly a wild batch of transfer grades today: • City nearly spend £500m • Liverpool break the British record again • Hull sign 18 players • Ipswich take crazy risks And also: • Leeds were just sensible and normal www.thetransferflow.com/p/transfer-g...
thetransferflow.com
£466m later, did Manchester City get worse?
Plus transfer grades for Liverpool, Hull, Ipswich and Leeds
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
We liked Chelsea's business, but today's transfer grades feature some of our more negative evaluations for: • Crystal Palace • Coventry • Everton • Fulham www.thetransferflow.com/p/chelsea-we...
thetransferflow.com
Chelsea went on a player trading frenzy
Plus transfer grades for Coventry, Palace, Everton and Fulham
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The next installment of our Transfer Grades is about to drop. Every year Fulham fans seem to get grumpy with me because I don't like their window. But I did like ONE deal this summer. (Even if I mostly hated their window again. You'll have to read them to find out why.)
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Arsenal probably won't get this level of production out of Tzolis in the Premier League, but the early signs are very promising.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Okay Luka Vuskovic, I am totally paying attention now.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
It's transfer grades season! All coming out this week for the Premier League, starting with: • Arsenal • Aston Villa • Bournemouth • Brentford • Brighton www.thetransferflow.com/p/transfer-g...
thetransferflow.com
Transfer grades: Arsenal bolster title favorite squad
Plus Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brentford, and Brighton
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
It's been a while...
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
These early season results are a good reminder why I try to never be degenerate in the Variance Betting column. Same lessons, decade after decade.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Chelsea spent over €400m and turned a profit. Spurs spent a fortune and can't win a game. Patrick and Ted break down the winners and losers of the summer transfer window: · Man City's big midfield spend · Liverpool's missed targets and the Gakpo saga · The worst windows in the league
youtube.com
Winners And Losers Of The Summer Transfer Window
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
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Aurora @vegapunk-aurora.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
*Mr Beast voice* I HELPED THIS WOMAN TURN A ROOM FULL OF STRAW INTO GOLD USING ONLY A SPINNING WHEEL! IF SHE CAN'T GUESS MY NAME IN THREE DAYS, I'M TAKING HER BABY!
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
That was one of the weirdest, most fascinating transfer windows I can remember. Huge money spent everywhere. Some teams filled holes, others accidentally created them. Incredible theatre. 10 out of 10.
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Jessica Smetana @jessicasmetana.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Just want to linger on this for one more second
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Perfect. No notes.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
We have so many receipts where this is not the case! Same for Kim on Reijnders. Ya'll don't live in these taek mean streets.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Who has been saying for two full seasons now that Sanchez is not the answer in Chelsea goal? 🤔 @thetransferflow.bsky.social
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City Tactics @city-tactics.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
If your winger presses their centre back, the gap between your full back and their full back will, more often than not, be too big to make up.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
If you missed them last week, TTF has their season previews available and the reviews from fans are excellent. I also wanted to add enormous props to @kimischilling.bsky.social for all the hard work to make these happen. If you love the newsletter, please lend us your support.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Speaking of downgrades from the preseason predictions - life comes at you quickly.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Dear Lord, what a monstering in West London from the Bees. Di Zerbi has so much work to do just to make Spurs competent again.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Ipswich-Sunderland might be the most consequential opening week game in the Premier League. Plus: • Why we think Cole Palmer is underrated in FPL • Games we're watching • Stuff we're reading www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-premie...
thetransferflow.com
The Premier League has a relegation 6-pointer in Week 1
Plus FPL tips, games we're watching and stuff we're reading.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Normally I would have produced EPL Futures for Variance Betting this week. HOWEVER, I feel like there is SO MUCH CHANGE in the league (and still some to come before the deadline), futures betting there is nearly impossible. It's the first time I have felt that in ages.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The Premier League kicks off today! Wouldn't it be cool if someone wrote detailed analysis with stats and graphics covering what you can expect from every single team? www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-transf...
thetransferflow.com
The Transfer Flow's 2026-27 Premier League season preview
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Reloaded and it switched my template back. This is the more advanced stats version.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The Savinho price is inflated because of the Marmoush balancing, but uh... at this point I don't know what to think. I'm not sure anyone except Spurs do, and after 2 meh PL seasons, they are definitely rolling some dice on this one.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
This is probably a huge mistake, but it wouldn't be the first time... Props/slops to all those who recommended POE2 when I asked for game recs
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Charles Boehm ⚽️ @cboehm.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Absolute SCENES in Chester tonight as the Sullivan brothers activated Philly Mode on Inter Miami
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Jake Armstrong @jakearmstrong.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Not sure how I’ve never came across this before or whether this is the first year but I just bought this and it’s wicked. For a 21 year old with a TikTok attention span, I’ve been reading this for an hour and half straight. That says a lot about how good it is.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
They likely bought him pre-broke and approved the medical 😭
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Mikel Arteta does not think attacking fullbacks are a useful thing. OR he simply knows that if he has them, he will break them and they won't be useful anyway.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Probably, yes. Normally for Variance Betting I produce my preseason bets for finishes and those typically do really well. THIS SEASON I chose not to because too many things are still in motion. Rodri, Nico Jackson, Watkins - all of these matter for projections!
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
We did our @thetransferflow.bsky.social preview podcast talking about how important Watkins was to our Villa ranking... And literally 24 hours later they sold him. As we noted in the pod, this window is active LATE, and our rankings could change a lot between now and the start of Sept.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
As I explained on the podcast itself, we at TTF hate all teams equally.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
People used to love the StatsBomb previews in the same way they love @thetransferflow.bsky.social newsletter. So for the last two years we have done TTF EPL Previews. The daily newsletter itself is free, so buying this is one of the primary ways we give to support our writers. Thanks!
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
If you want over 40,000 words of detailed analysis on every single club with stats you won't find anywhere else, you can purchase the previews here: www.thetransferflow.com/season-previ...
thetransferflow.com
Season Previews | The Transfer Flow
FREE transfer newsletter with rumours + smart analysis from industry insiders.
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Our writers are high on Chelsea, skeptical of Manchester United, and all over the place on Tottenham. We introduce the previews with all of our predictions for this season: www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-transf...
thetransferflow.com
The Transfer Flow's 2026-27 Premier League season preview
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The Premier League is back! This is EVERYTHING you need to know. Our 2026-27 Premier League previews are LIVE! Tactical analysis, squad breakdowns, transfer assessments, breakout players, and predictions for every club. 👇
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The Transfer Flow @thetransferflow.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
We predicted where every Premier League club is going to finish this season. Relegation fight, a muddled mid-table, and a real split at the top. Full episode here: youtu.be/iWQY5IiVGt4
youtu.be
Predicting Every Team's Finish in the 2026/27 Premier League
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
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Yash @odriozolite.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
WAFCON is truly wild cause we have a final between the lowest ranked team at the tournament and a team that didn't even qualify for the tournament.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
We lost 3-1. But considering Lyon lost 4-0 in the CL Final and our team last season was getting relegated from Lyon's league until the 94th minute on the final day... that's a great result.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Eclipse time lapse
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