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Ted Knutson

@mixedknuts.bsky.social
7.5K followers 229 following 2.2K posts

Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated. @thetransferflow Daily Rumours newsletter www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB

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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
Real Madrid's attack through the first 8 matches. We rarely see a full attacking umbrella of stats sustained in a top league. Box office.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
I enjoy how WhoScored has a Liverpool midfielder listed as "Allister." Like, "No no, the Mac is silent like the W in Nor_w_ich"
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
It's been a good trip so far.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The next installment of our Transfer Grades is about to drop. Every year Fulham fans seem to get grumpy with me because I don't like their window. But I did like ONE deal this summer. (Even if I mostly hated their window again. You'll have to read them to find out why.)
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Arsenal probably won't get this level of production out of Tzolis in the Premier League, but the early signs are very promising.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Okay Luka Vuskovic, I am totally paying attention now.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Took my youngest for the first time. Emirates atmosphere was GREAT today.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
It's been a while...
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Dear Lord, what a monstering in West London from the Bees. Di Zerbi has so much work to do just to make Spurs competent again.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Reloaded and it switched my template back. This is the more advanced stats version.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The Savinho price is inflated because of the Marmoush balancing, but uh... at this point I don't know what to think. I'm not sure anyone except Spurs do, and after 2 meh PL seasons, they are definitely rolling some dice on this one.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
This is probably a huge mistake, but it wouldn't be the first time... Props/slops to all those who recommended POE2 when I asked for game recs
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
I mean...
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Hybrid CBs are a different thing to attacking fullbacks, even when they are sometimes asked to do similar jobs. Calafiori isn't the same as Dani Alves or Marcelo, even when the coach decides to occasionally give him a free role.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Eclipse time lapse
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
So this is kinda cool... Preseason against The Champions.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
It's hot, ya'll.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Juve also look like they have locked up a deal for Randal Kolo Muani (again). At the rumoured €45M obligation to buy, this might be the dumbest deal they have done in a while. (And there are plenty of dumb Juve deals to choose from!)
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Kerim Alajbegovic moves from Leverkusen to Juventus (33-40m). Very promising wide left forward. On the one hand, he clearly needs to be taught about finding better shooting locations. On the other hand, there's decent sample to say he's probably a good finisher from range.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Variance Betting on MLS was back this weekend. Yeehaw.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
It's panzanella season 🤤
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Had an amazing meal at Farmer's Apprentice in Vancouver. Flavours were fresh and bright, with a ton of adventure. Atmosphere was relaxed, which was welcome, even if it might hurt their star rating. #teddining
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Amazing family holiday to Tofino. It's the edge of the world and all Canada, but accents from everywhere. Food surprisingly good way out here, and obviously the scenery is second to none.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Had to limit replies on the other site, but if you send me angry replies here, I'll just nuke you. Thought Cox was right in that Tuchel got ALL the media blame, but the players were spinning before the subs. And England were fucking knackered.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Antonio Silva was my favourite young CB from two summers ago. Bournemouth are apparently my spiritual recruitment club now.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Believable.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Here are the shot maps and xG for Haaland over the last four seasons in the Premier League. He's still awesome and a good finisher - just not breaking the models in half. Better GK and better defenders made life considerably harder for the viking.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
So Nate Silver said, "I don't really think an xG model is going to be suitable for handling Haaland" on the other site and I realised I hadn't looked at Haaland's finishing in ages. When he was a kid, he was OFF THE CHARTS in xG overperformance. But what about the Premier League? (1/x)
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
When it comes to progressing through World Cup knockouts, I highly recommend not missing your penalties.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
The children named him Bailey. I call him FUEGO!!!
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Go hang out with your friends.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Snuck an early reservation at Claud last night. It was excellent. The only thing I was NOT excited about was the tuna, but everything else was outstanding.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
On the other hand, Portugal REALLY struggled against DR Congo. They need to find some tactical adjustments or they'll bow out early. You cannot try to appease Homelando forever and get away with it.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
It's one match, but that was the most competent and relentless I can remember England being at a major tournament against a decent opponent. I thought they were fairly valued before, but definitely upgraded them on outrights after this.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Bucket list dinner tonight.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
We're going to find out if the world can bully one of the current best strikers into working harder off the ball. (Because EEVERYONE works harder than Kylian Mbappe.) At this point I am dubious, but it is a VERY fun social football experiment.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Ederson, Atalanta. 2025-26 and 24-25. Two very different head coaches and different roles. A good addition to the Manchester United midfield?
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
This is what we at @thetransferflow.bsky.social said about Arsenal's transfer business in the summer. Looks like Win Now Mode helped them... win now!
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Arsenal fans only want one thing and it is disgusting.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Trendlines are a useful way to interrogate season-long performance. They mostly enable us to ask questions. What questions would you ask about Liverpool and Arne Slot right now? [Doing Variance Betting analysis, per usual.]
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
On the Hull xG discourse, this is the Championship Expected Goals difference from StatsBomb. Oxford were RELEGATED on a better inclusive xG. [See also: why was your Championship betting so painful this season, unlike most years?]
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Every other place I have lived, May is the best month. Then you get England...
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Speaking of pristine shot maps (and perhaps most importantly for tonight... Viktor Gyokeres is 3rd in Statsbomb xG after this weekend. He's around what was projected preseason per 90 - it's just all the other CFs are DOWN.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Someone guessed it, so now I can reveal... Second place is BETO from Everton. [At least through this weekend.] Just LOOK at that shot map! Thierno Barry is tied for 5th too.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Erling Haaland is obviously number one in expected goals per 90 in the Premier League, but as of right now... Which player is number 2?
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Ferran Torres was a staple of the transfer rumour mill for years, almost completely as a wide forward. I don't think ANYONE expected him to lead* La Liga in xG as a striker at age 26. *I Goodman'd the first posting of this.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Related: Things like this are triggering me for a variety of reasons.
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Me, to club leadership: Did I die and no one told me?
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Ted Knutson @mixedknuts.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
This is about the NHL, but it reminds me of a notable Director of Football in Spain who somehow was lauded as a data savant by the media but did not know how to sort a spreadsheet.
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