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Max Reith

@maxreith.bsky.social
527 followers 1.6K following 63 posts

AI, Economic Theory, Political Economy Economics @EconOxford, prev. Mannheim

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Reposted by Max Reith
Patrick Bernau @patrick-bernau.de · 08/02/2026
Deutschland braucht Reformen. Doch die Deutschen haben keine Lust darauf, und die Politik verliert sich in Kulturkämpfen. Wer etwas bewegen will, muss anders rangehen. Mein FAS-Kommentar: www.faz.net/aktuell/wirt...
faz.net
Deutschland und Reformen: Wie die Bundesregierung scheitert
Deutschland braucht Reformen, doch die Politik verliert sich in Kulturkämpfen. Wer etwas bewegen will, muss anders rangehen.
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Sung Kim @sungkim.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
LOL
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Gabriel Kreindler @thetahat.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Nobody: Economists using stated preferences:
A screenshot of an illustrated book saying: "Would you rather... jump into nettles for five dollars, ... swallow a dead frog for twenty dollars, or stay all night in a creepy house for fifty dollars?"
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max power 🌌 @sneptech.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
in a nutshell,
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 13/01/2026
Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not. The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:
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Wojtek Kopczuk @wwwojtekk.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
The death toll is now higher than Tiananmen Square or October 7th and Iran is barely news. Not trending here, a bit more but also little on X, scroll down the feed to #9 on NYT
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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
‘The whodunnit for modern Brussels: who killed the single market dream?’ on.ft.com/3M7d0oo
on.ft.com
Who killed Europe’s single market dream?
A decades-long effort to tear down internal trade barriers has stalled, leaving the EU economy ‘tagging along behind’
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Gemini-3 got this wrong 5/5 times... (But this might just be reduced reasoning budgets at launch or something)
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Sarah Cohodes @cohodes.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
📣 New NBER Working Paper out today 📣 "The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct" Sarah Cohodes & Katherine Leu
Screenshot of working paper: The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct
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Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
New @nberpubs: "The Economic Impact of Brexit" www.nber.org/papers/w34459 "by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 08/11/2025
Another DeepSeek moment? Moonshot AI, a Chinese lab, released its new (open source!) model K2 Thinking, outperforming OpenAI et al. on several benchmarks. I tested it with a question from an unpublished paper of mine. Out of 5 tries, Kimi, GPT-5 and Gemini 2.5 Pro each replied correctly 3 times!
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dame @dame.is · 24/10/2025
chat, is this good? I scored 67 on the AI purity test. post your scores: aipuritytest.org
AI Purity Test
The AI Purity Test is a voluntary self-assessment developed by Tina Tarighian. It provides participants with a structured opportunity to reflect on the evolution of their interactions with artificial intelligence over time.
Caution: this is not a bucket list. Completion of all items on this test will likely result in death.

Your score:
67
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Aaron Roth @aaroth.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
An interesting debate between Emily Bender and Sebastien Bubeck: www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtIQ... ---Emily's thesis is roughly summarized as: "LLMs extrude plausible sounding text, and the illusion of understanding comes entirely from how the listener's human mind interprets language. "
youtube.com
CHM Live | The Great Chatbot Debate: Do LLMs Really Understand?
YouTube video by Computer History Museum
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Rudi Bachmann @bachmannrudi.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Dieses Streitgespräch zwischen @clemensfuest.bsky.social und @suedekum.bsky.social in der @zeit.de sollte man in Vorlesungen und Proseminaren zur Theorie der Wirtschaftspolitik durchnehmen. Sehr gutes Lehrmaterial, for the good and the bad. Ein 🧵:
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Scott McGrath @smcgrath.phd · 15/10/2025
🧪 A new computer science conference, Agents4Science, will feature papers written and peer-reviewed entirely by AI agents. The event serves as a sandbox to evaluate the quality of machine-generated research and its review process. #MLSky
nature.com
AI bots wrote and reviewed all papers at this conference
Event will assess how reviews by models compare with those written by humans.
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Jennifer Doleac @jenniferdoleac.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
I’ve decided not to post my annual “women on the Econ job market” thread this year. Social media has splintered too much, and now that I’ve left academia I’m focused on other priorities.
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Mauricio Drelichman @mdrelichman.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Elated at Joel Mokyr's Nobel Prize! You can find numerous accounts -now multiplying by the minute- of his scholarly contributions. Today I want to celebrate the man and the mentor.
Joel Mokyr at the 2011 conference in his honour at Northwestern.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
I don't think people have updated enough on the capability gain in LLMs, which (despite being bad at math a year ago) now dominate hard STEM contests: gold medals in the International Math Olympiad, the International Olympiad on Astronomy & Astrophysics, International Informatics Olympiad...
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Scott McGrath @smcgrath.phd · 10/10/2025
Sora hit 1M downloads faster than ChatGPT #MLSky techcrunch.com/2025/10/09/s...
techcrunch.com
Sora hit 1M downloads faster than ChatGPT | TechCrunch
This level of consumer adoption is worth noting because Sora remains an invite-only app, while ChatGPT was more publicly available at launch. That makes Sora's performance more impressive.
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 09/10/2025
How over- and underrepresented are different causes of death in the media? Another way to visualize this data is to measure how over- or underrepresented each cause is. To do this, we calculate the ratio between a cause’s share of deaths and its share of news articles.
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Jason Furman @jasonfurman.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
The other day a student asked me about the prevalence of insider trading in prediction markets. I now have an answer.
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Alexandra de Gendre @adegendre.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
The best post I’ve seen on Bluesky in a very long time! Brilliant idea and brilliant accounts out there !
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Joshua Gans @joshgans.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Back in graduate school, Paul Milgrom asked me to examine a published paper from 1984 by another person that he suspected had an incorrect proof. I found the error. I decided to see if LLMs could. Only Gemini 2.5 Pro did so. Claude Opus and GPT-5-pro found no significant errors.
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Do tech optimists have a point? Within standard economic growth models, AI could drive explosive growth through one of two mechanisms. 1) Labor Substitution So far, it seems like capital and labor mostly complement each other, which limits the returns to additional capital given fixed labor.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
A cautiously optimistic result on AI and disinformation. A week before 2024 UK elections 13% of all voters used AI to ask about political topics. A randomized trial found this may be good: using AI led to similar gains in true knowledge as doing web research, regardless of model & prompt used.
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Alexander Doria @dorialexander.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
> be a language model > all you see is tokens > you don't care, it's all abstracted away > you live for a world of pure ideas, chain of concepts, reasoning streams > tokens don't exist.
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Thomas Dietterich @tdietterich.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
We need new rules for publishing AI-generated research. The teams developing automated AI scientists have customarily submitted their papers to standard refereed venues (journals and conferences) and to arXiv. Often, acceptance has been treated as the dependent variable. 1/
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
We are starting to see some nuanced discussions of what it means to work with advanced AI in its current state In this case, GPT-5 Pro was able to do novel math, but only when guided by a math professor (though the paper also noted the speed of advance since GPT-4) The reflection is worth reading.
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Grace @gracekind.net · 06/09/2025
Never ask a man his age, a woman her salary, or GPT-5 whether a seahorse emoji exists
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Pekka Lund @pekka.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
I like the way Anthropic approaches these questions. "We remain highly uncertain about the potential moral status of Claude and other LLMs, now or in the future. However, we take the issue seriously...Allowing models to end or exit potentially distressing interactions is one such intervention"
anthropic.com
Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 can now end a rare subset of conversations
An update on our exploratory research on model welfare
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
LLMs are getting better at long term reasoning. This is a big deal, and opens the door for LLMs to perform more tasks in the real world.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Suddenly retiring every other model without warning was a weird move by OpenAI … and they did it without explaining how switching models worked or even details of various GPT-5 models …and they did it after many built workflows & training & assignments around older models, maybe breaking them. Odd
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Paige Bailey (webpaige.dev) @dynamicwebpaige.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
Reminder: DeepMind's Gemma 3n model is performing about as well as Gemini 1.5 Pro – better, in many cases! – and is only 4B parameters in size. The best model 6 months ago is now small enough to be run on a laptop. Now play that forward 6 months from now, thinking about the best models of today. 🤯
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Jessica Leight @leightjessica.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Fascinating new paper shows that papers reporting statistical significance get at least 60% more media attention #econtwitter #econsky: from Brodeur Cook @nikolaimcook @taylor_wright, a short 🧵
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Pretty impressive! It caught things that o3 and Gemini didn't. Wish I had had this before my submission...
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Helen Toner @hlntnr.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
AI companies are starting to build more and more personalization into their products, but there's a huge personalization-sized hole in conversations about AI safety/trust/impacts. Delighted to feature @mbogen.bsky.social on Rising Tide today, on what's being built and why we should care:
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Helen Toner @hlntnr.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
New on Rising Tide, I break down 2 factors that will play a huge role in how much AI progress we see over the next couple years: verification & generalization. How well these go will determine if AI just gets super good at math & coding vs. mastering many domains. Post excerpts:
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 26/07/2025
Great discussion on LLMs and human understanding. Check it out!
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Florian @loewensteinlib.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
The circularity is near
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on. Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts. 1/
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Fascinating on what advanced AI can already do for national security analysis:
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Gautam Kamath @gautamkamath.com · 21/07/2025
Everyone's talking about AI performance on the IMO. Let me highlight 🇨🇦Canadian 11th grader Warren Bei🇨🇦, one of five participants with a *perfect* 42/42. This is his *fifth* (and final) IMO representing Canada, with three golds and two silvers. (➡️ MIT undergrad in the fall)
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
There are always a flood of posts about what AI can or cannot do, so it is worth pausing and paying attention to this OpenAI tweet. This is a very hard test, done without tools. Getting gold was also viewed as an unlikely goal. Prediction markets had the chance of this happening this year as 20%
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Max Reith @maxreith.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
There's a lot of politics in the AI race.
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Garvan Walshe @garvanwalshe.org · 12/07/2025
The amazing progress of solar power. Cheap, zero carbon, and soon everywhere, transforming poor countries as well as rich
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Stefanie Stantcheva @s-stantcheva.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
"To understand America today, study the zero-sum mindset." My piece in @theeconomistevents.bsky.social this week on how zero-sum thinking arises and why it matters so much for policy and politics. Based on our research at the Social Economics Lab. www.economist.com/by-invitatio...
economist.com
To understand America today, study the zero-sum mindset, writes Stefanie Stantcheva
Young people and city-dwellers are among those most likely to see one group’s gain as another’s loss
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Ludger Woessmann @woessmann.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French? ➡️ New Working Paper: Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek www.nber.org/papers/w33984 A 🧵 1/12
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Eshwar Ram Arunachaleswaran @epsilonrational.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
Ecstatic and deeply honored by this award. I've had great fun thinking about algorithms as strategies for repeated games over the past few years and hope that this highlight will push more researchers to come up with exciting directions in this field! Come to our talk on Monday to learn more!
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
👀This is impressive: Using an autonomous agent based on o3-mini and GPT-4.1, a team from Harvard, MIT & other institutions reproduced and updated an entire issue of Cochrane Reviews in two days… saving 12 person-years of work. The AI reviews captured more papers & were more accurate than humans.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
The 80% price drop for OpenAI's o3 came with no performance trade-offs. It joins the increasing evidence (like the average per-query energy cost of just .00034 kWh) that the cost of serving ChatGPT queries is lower than a lot of people have speculated.
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