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Matti Vihola

@mattivihola.bsky.social
475 followers 231 following 22 posts

Professor of Statistics, University of Jyväskylä. Computational statistics, applied probability, Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian inference. iki.fi/mvihola

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Reposted by Matti Vihola
Pierre Alquier @pierrealquier.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
We are hiring at ESSEC @essecbs.bsky.social (Cergy campus, near Paris). Assistant professor -- econometrics and/or statistics, data analytics. Do not hesitate to contact me or the other members of the group if you have questions. assets.ctfassets.net/vmb6iqn8sgcm...
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Terence Tao @teorth.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
A group of 25 Fields Medalists, including myself, have made a joint declaration on Math and AI: mathandai.org . We welcome additional signatories. See also this article in the Economist announcing the declaration: www.economist.com/science-and-...
mathandai.org
Declaration — Math and AI
Read the declaration and add your name.
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Jouni Helske @jounihelske.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Interested in hidden Markov models, #Bayesian methods, e.g., with @mc-stan.org , #rstats R package development, and #causalinference? Come to work with me @utu.fi: ats.talentadore.com/apply/erikoi...
ats.talentadore.com
Senior Researcher
The Faculty of social sciences, INVEST Flagship and research centre at the University of Turku invites applications for contract-based, fixed term position of senior researcher from 1.10.2026 to 31.8....
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Registration is now open for this workshop! website: sites.google.com/view/newcast... registration: webstore.ncl.ac.uk/conferences-...
webstore.ncl.ac.uk
Non-Equilibrium Sampling: DiffusionsFlowsParticles | Newcastle University WebStore
The Second Sampling Workshop at Newcastle!This three-day workshop will bring together researchers at the forefront of modern sampling techniques and relate
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
A related recent pre-print by Samuel and co-authors has theoretical backing for the empirical observation that BPS can be superior to multinomial selection rule: arxiv.org/abs/2603.18640.
arxiv.org
A Theoretical Comparison of No-U-Turn Sampler Variants: Necessary and Sufficient Convergence Conditions and Mixing Time Analysis under Gaussian Targets
The No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is the computational workhorse of modern Bayesian software libraries, yet its qualitative and quantitative convergence guarantees were established only recently. A signifi...
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Our paper (with Alain Durmus, Samuel Gruffaz, Miika Kailas and Eero Saksman) on the ergodicity of dynamic path length HMC algorithms appeared in the AAP: doi.org/10.1214/25-A.... The results accommodate the 'biased progressive sampling' path selection used in @mc-stan.org.
doi.org
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Jarno Vanhatalo @jarnovanhatalo.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
We are looking for Ecological Statistician to work on long-term biodiversity and ecosystem functioning data jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
jobs.helsinki.fi
Ecological Statistician
Ecological Statistician
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Some new work on (dynamic path length) Riemannian manifold HMC. RMHMC with a block-diagonal mass matrix admits an explicit (symmetric & reversible) integrator. We find the parameters of the sampler, including the hierarchical mass matrix using on-line adaptation.
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arXiv stat.CO Computation @statco-bot.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Yvann Le Fay, Nicolas Chopin, Matti Vihola: On the complexity of standard and waste-free SMC samplers arxiv.org/abs/2604.03352 arxiv.org/pdf/2604.03352 arxiv.org/html/2604.03352
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Nice! So you can add a martingale difference (with nice properies) to a sub-Gaussian rv and get a Gaussian.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Nordstat will be in Helsinki June 1-4: www.helsinki.fi/en/conferenc.... Abstract submission DL is in one week (March 30).
helsinki.fi
30th Nordic Conference in Mathematical Statistics | University of Helsinki
1-4 June 2026, University of Helsinki, Finland
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Dr. Michael Salter-Townshend 📊🖥️🧬 @mststats.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
We're #hiring! We have three new Assistant Professor positions in Statistics @ucddublin.bsky.social See www.ucd.ie/workatucd/jo... and search for job references: - Permanent (ref. 019430). - Temporary 5-year (ref. 019431). - Temporary 5-year in the area of Machine Learning (ref. 019429).
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Our invitation to adaptive MCMC theory appeared in the EJP: doi.org/10.1214/26-E.... The 'waning adaptation' condition accommodates both stochastic gradient style continuous adaptation and schemes which update parameters increasingly rarely.
doi.org
An invitation to adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo convergence theory
Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them ‘non-Markovian’, which means that their validity cannot be ensured by standard Markov chains theory. Several different techniques have been suggested to analyse their theoretical properties, many of which are technically involved. The technical nature of the theory may make the methods unnecessarily unappealing. We discuss one technique—based on a martingale decomposition—with uniformly ergodic Markov transitions. We provide an accessible and self-contained treatment in this setting, and give detailed proofs of the results discussed in the paper, which only require basic understanding of martingale theory and general state space Markov chain concepts. We illustrate how our conditions can accommodate different types of adaptation schemes, and can give useful insight to the requirements which ensure their validity.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
We are looking for an Assistant or Associate Professor to join the Department of Mathematics and Statistics @uniofjyvaskyla.bsky.social: ats.talentadore.com/apply/assist....
ats.talentadore.com
Assistant/Associate Professor, Tenure Track, in Mathematics
The Department of Mathematics and Statistics is seeking to recruit an Assistant/Associate Professor (Tenure Track) in Mathematics starting on August 1, 2026, or as soon as possible after that. Accordi...
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Samuel Kaski @samikaski.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
Thinking of the next big move at the turn of the year? Here are some in Machine Learning and AI research, for PIs and postdocs: @ellisinstitute.fi is looking for: - PIs who will also get a tenure track professorship: DL Jan 12 www.ellisinstitute.fi/PI-recruit-2...
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
In addition to the adaptive algorithm (and proof of its validity), Pietari investigated a number of other properties of the i-SIR. For instance, it turns out that the asymptotic variances of the i-SIR are convex with respect to the number of proposals.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
We developed a method for finding an appropriate number of proposals automatically in the i-SIR algorithm (a multi-proposal MCMC).
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Happy to announce that this got accepted to the JRSS B. The advance article is available online: doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
doi.org
Mixing time of the conditional backward sampling particle filter
Abstract. The conditional backward sampling particle filter (CBPF) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for general state space hidden Markov mod
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
We @uniofjyvaskyla.bsky.social are looking for an Assistant/Associate Professor (tenure track) in Mathematics (Probability/Mathematical Foundations of Data Science): www.ellisinstitute.fi/pi-positions.... Application instructions & form: www.ellisinstitute.fi/PI-recruit-2..., DL Jan 12!
ellisinstitute.fi
PI positions | ELLIS Institute Finland
ELLIS Institute Finland PI positions (second call, winter 2025–26)
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Adam Johansen @adamjohansen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Two assistant prof. vacancies at Warwick Statistics: warwick-careers.tal.net/vx/appcentre... (deadline 25 January 2025 at 11:55pm). CSML applications very welcome!
warwick-careers.tal.net
Assistant Professor x2 (104176-1125) - University of Warwick
Title: Assistant Professor x2 (104176-1125). Application Deadline: . Position Type: Permanent
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Now I'm also looking for a research software engineer to implement a pile of research results to R packages loo, posterior, bayesplot, projpred, priorsense, brms or/and Python packages ArviZ, Bambi and Kulprit. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact info at users.aalto.fi/~ave/)
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Our department is looking for a University Teacher in Mathematics (5 years fixed-term position): ats.talentadore.com/apply/univer.... #mathematics @uniofjyvaskyla.bsky.social
ats.talentadore.com
University Teacher in Mathematics
[Department of Mathematics and Statistics](https://www.jyu.fi/fi/science/maths) is seeking to recruit a University Teacher in Mathematics starting January 2nd 2026, or as soon as possible after that f...
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Some fun news: We're hiring! Lectureship (analogous to Assistant Prof.) in Statistical Science and AI, in the School of Mathematics, University of Bristol. Closing date 13 October 2025; link below! www.bristol.ac.uk/jobs/find/de...
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Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Join us online for a discussion on “Statistical exploration of the Manifold Hypothesis” and an opportunity to explore the intersection of geometry, statistics and machine learning. 📅 Wed 08 Oct | 🕓 4–6pm UK 🔗 Register + download the paper: rss.org.uk/training-eve...
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Jarno Vanhatalo @jarnovanhatalo.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
We are seeking a postdoctoral researcher in statistics to develop methods for analyzing large scale biodiversity and ecosystem function data at the University of Helsinki. This is a great opportunity for someone who wants to do advanced Bayesian modeling with direct link to real world applications.
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Reposted by Matti Vihola
Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
An announcement, which might be of some interest: In the period 2022-2024, myself and a number of other postdocs on the "CoSInES" and "Bayes4Health" EPSRC grants were involved in organising a number of internal tutorial workshops, on topics relevant to researchers in computational statistics.
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Henri Pesonen @hpesonen.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
I'm looking for a Doctoral Researcher (PhD student) to work with me on simulation-based inference at Data Science Research Centre, Tampere University Check the link for details and send an application before October 10th. tuni.rekrytointi.com/paikat/?o=A_...
tuni.rekrytointi.com
Doctoral Researcher (simulation-based inference) / Väitöskirjatutkija (simulaatio-pohjainen päättely)
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Department of Statistics @oxfordstatistics.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
We are recruiting for two leading Professorship opportunities in association with St Anne's College and Jesus College. Join one of the country's leading centres of statistical research. Applications to both roles are welcomed. Details: www.stats.ox.ac.uk/jobs Closing: 15 September
The Department of Statistics reception. Credit: John Cairns
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Reposted by Matti Vihola
Arno Solin @arnosolin.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
📣 Please share: We invite submissions to the 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (#AISTATS 2026) and welcome paper submissions at the intersection of AI, machine learning, statistics, and related areas. [1/3]
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
New material on the O(T log T) coupling algorithms: • Example where we use unbiased gradients for maximum likelihood estimation • Generalised coupling algorithm which can handle potentials/weights that depend on current and previous state (coupling of conditional marginal particle filters)
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
We revised our paper on conditional backward sampling particle filter mixing times arxiv.org/abs/2312.17572. We prove (under strong mixing) that their mixing time is O(log T), where T is time horizon, with fixed number of particles. The proof is based on implementable couplings.
arxiv.org
Mixing time of the conditional backward sampling particle filter
The conditional backward sampling particle filter (CBPF) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for general state space hidden Markov model (HMM) smoothing. It was proposed as an improvement o...
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Reposted by Matti Vihola
Marit B. Veierød @maritbveierod.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Join us in beautiful Oslo! Associate Professor @ocbe.bsky.social @uio.no Deadline May 18th www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
jobbnorge.no
Associate Professor at the Oslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology (276924) | University of Oslo
Job title: Associate Professor at the Oslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology (276924), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Sunday, May 18, 2025
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Mattias Villani @matvil.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Data Science/ML/Stats academics: We are hiring a senior lecturer to contribute to research and the new (hugely popular) master's in Data Science, Statistics and Decision Analysis: bit.ly/3GZj0N9 Excellent job security, health care, pensions and all that. Reposts appreciated! bit.ly/435VTYW
bit.ly
Senior Lecturer in Statistics, specialized in Data Science
For more information about us, please visit: Department of Statistics Subject/subject description Data science is a multidisciplinary academic field that uses scientific methods, algorithms and system
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Vera Mikkilä @veramikkila.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Are you a professor or assistant professor level researcher in the US or elsewhere outside of Finland? Looking for new opportunities in an inspiring and well-connected research environment? Finland might be just the place for you. Reach out to Finnish universities to explore what’s possible.
aka.fi
Finland invests in research excellence – new funding call by Research Council of Finland to support recruitment of international talents
The Research Council of Finland (RCF) has launched a funding call to improve universities’ ability to recruit international experts to Finland. In line with the RCF’s strategy, the call wi...
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Adam Johansen @adamjohansen.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
3 year PDRA position as part of the OCEAN project (www.oceanerc.com) to work with Gareth Roberts, myself and other OCEAN Researchers on a range of topics around scalable distributed computation. Details at warwick-careers.tal.net/vx/appcentre...; please share with anyone who might be interested.
oceanerc.com
OCEAN
OCEAN is an ERC Synergy grant gathering researchers to lay the fundations of the next-generation machine learning algorithms, involving decentralized inference and predictive tasks in the presence …
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Lassi Roininen @lassiroininen.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
We are recruiting! lut.rekrytointi.com/paikat/index...
lut.rekrytointi.com
Associate professor (non-tenure track) in computational science and artificial intelligence degree programmes
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
JOB OPENING at University of Bristol: -- Lecturer in Statistics or Machine Learning -- (x 2 positions available) -- application deadline: 31 March, 2025 Details at www.bristol.ac.uk/jobs/find/de... Come join us!
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Interesting - we had a similar problem in the diffuse initialisation paper doi.org/10.1007/s112... but you have probably something else in mind.
doi.org
Conditional particle filters with diffuse initial distributions - Statistics and Computing
Conditional particle filters (CPFs) are powerful smoothing algorithms for general nonlinear/non-Gaussian hidden Markov models. However, CPFs can be inefficient or difficult to apply with diffuse initi...
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Nice example of a Metropolis algorithm, like the pCN.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
We revised our paper about particle filter forgetting: arxiv.org/abs/2309.08517. Substantial new content: • Propagation-of-chaos bounds (TV distance between law of q particles out of N and i.i.d. draw from the ideal filter) which vanish if q = o(N) • Method for handling out-of-sequence measurements
Scatter plot showing total variation distances in an example, with respect to subset size q and number of particle N, and lines which indicate different asymptotics.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Choosing (X_n,Y_n) such that n^α (Xₙ−x) = Z = n^β (Yₙ−y) for all n suggests that there is little you can get from this assumption?
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
You can even adapt the update rates: doi.org/10.1214/11-A...
doi.org
Adaptive Gibbs samplers and related MCMC methods
We consider various versions of adaptive Gibbs and Metropolis-within-Gibbs samplers, which update their selection probabilities (and perhaps also their proposal distributions) on the fly during a run ...
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ELLIS Institute Finland @ellisinstitute.fi · 04/02/2025
ELLIS Institute Finland is hiring Principal Investigators in AI + machine learning. World-class resources for research incl. LUMI supercomputer, generous starting package & professorship affiliation with a university in the world’s happiest country! Apply by March 9: ellisinstitute.fi/PI-recruit
Logo of ELLIS Institute Finland (line drawn map of Europe)
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Rui-Yang Zhang @ryzhang.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Really enjoyed this talk by @mattivihola.bsky.social on some theories behind adaptive MCMC - his presentation is really accessible. The recording can be found at youtu.be/FRoia-lszVM?.... Highly recommend if you care about MCMC!!
youtu.be
Monte Carlo Seminar| Matti Vihola| An invitation to adaptive MCMC convergence theory| Jan. 28, 25
YouTube video by Monte Carlo Seminar
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Bayes Comp 2025 will take place at the National University of Singapore June 16-20, 2025. Registration is now open, and you are invited to submit abstracts for posters and contributed talks (dl Feb. 17). Register by March 15 for early bird rates. More details here: #Bayesian #ISBA bayescomp2025.sg
bayescomp2025.sg
Bayes Comp 2025
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
Really looking forward to Matti's presentation at the International Seminar on Monte Carlo Methods this coming Tuesday (28 January); please do join us!
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Reminder about these positions - DL tomorrow (8 Jan).
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Very nice! I cover similar things in my time series course, but I use the KFAS package (by @jounihelske.bsky.social). I like dlm too, but I find it easier to do (structural SSM) modelling with KFAS.
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UCL Department of Statistical Science @statisticsucl.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
5 EPSRC PhD projects available at UCL Statistical Science. More information: ucl-epsrc-dtp.github.io/2025-26-proj... www.ucl.ac.uk/epsrc-doctor... The deadline for applications is: 13:00 UK time on 28 Jan 2025.
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Matti Vihola @mattivihola.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
We have two open Statistics positions at our department: Assistant/Associate Professor (tenure track): ats.talentadore.com/apply/assist... and Lecturer (open ended): ats.talentadore.com/apply/senior... #statistics #stats
ats.talentadore.com
Assistant or Associate Professor in Statistics
The department of [Mathematics and Statistics](https://www.jyu.fi/en/science/maths) is seeking to recruit an Assistant or Associate Professor (Tenure Track) in Statistics starting 1st August 2025, or ...
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