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matthewlambert.bsky.social

@matthewlambert.bsky.social
200 followers 209 following 390 posts

Waxing poetic while eating my curds and whey.

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Barchart @barchart.com · 56m
JP Morgan's Trading Desk has turned bullish on stocks 🤑 🥳
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 6h
30yr yield back to about flat. > 5.66%
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 7h
GOLDMAN: “.. S&P excluding AI stocks has fallen roughly 7% from its late-August peak, giving back its entire summer rally." @yahoofinance.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 7h
Gloomy tape this am, despite the futures action: @wsj.com @bloomberg.com www.wsj.com/real-estate/...
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Sean Brodrick @seanbrodrick.bsky.social · 6h
The media pushing polls showing that US boomers overwhelmingly support higher taxes on younger workers to maintain current Social Security benefits is just to distract from the fact that raising the salary cap on Social Security contributions would fix it for 100 years. #TaxTheRich
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 8h
Michael Burry says stock market is in “denial” like 2000, 2008 Bag Holder @SeekingAlpha
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Radio Free America @radiofreeameri.ca · 8h
AI Versus Everything Else.
paulkrugman.substack.com
AI Versus Everything Else
The hyperscaler boom is crowding out other investment
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matthewlambert.bsky.social @matthewlambert.bsky.social · 8h
Watch this space for what happens next in the economy.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 8h
(FT) - A sharp sell-off in US government bonds is starting to reverberate across corporate America, forcing companies to overhaul their borrowing plans and even raising the spectre of defaults among the most lowly rated businesses. @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/7c7c...
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 8h
BMO CUTS MORGAN STANLEY TARGET PRICE TO $215 FROM $250
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10h
Page One in Philly:
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 19h
BOND YIELDS REMAINED A MAJOR CONCERN, WITH U.S. 10-YEAR AND 30-YEAR YIELDS REACHING 5.34% AND 5.70%, THEIR HIGHEST SINCE 2002, AS INVESTORS STAYED FOCUSED ON STRONG EARNINGS, RESILIENT CONSUMER SPENDING AND BOOMING AI INVESTMENT DESPITE HIGHER RATES, ENERGY COSTS AND INFLATION RISKS.
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Sean Brodrick @seanbrodrick.bsky.social · 23h
Who Profits as U.S. Job Growth Slows? weissratings.com/en/weiss-rat... #EconSky
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Barchart @barchart.com · 05/10/2026
JUST IN 🚨: Nvidia $NVDA jumps to all-time high and is now closing in on becoming the world's first $6 Trillion company 📈 🤑 🥳
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Jesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 05/10/2026
“The problem for the Fed is that… if a large part of the economy is just less rate sensitive and that is what is pushing the economy to grow faster, then the Fed, unfortunately, has to hurt the part of the economy that is more rate sensitive.” www.nytimes.com/2026/10/05/b...
nytimes.com
High Interest Rates Aren’t Slowing the A.I. Boom. That’s a Problem for the Fed.
Rising borrowing costs are taking a toll on households and businesses. But they are doing little to dampen enthusiasm for investments in A.I. infrastructure, which are contributing to inflation.
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Bill McBride @calculatedrisk.bsky.social · 23h
7.61% 30-year fixed mortgage www.mortgagenewsdaily.com.
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Barchart @barchart.com · 23h
JUST IN 🚨: 30-Year Mortgage Rate jumps to 7.61%, the highest level since November 2023 📈 🏡
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Sometimes Washington is debating one economy while Americans are living in another.⁣ ⁣ We keep hearing about manufacturing and AI, but almost all recent job growth has been in healthcare youtu.be/XttGlE71UJs
youtu.be
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matthewlambert.bsky.social @matthewlambert.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The permabulls. Every stat for them (positive or negative) is a indication the market will rise.
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David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
IMF: Multinational corporations' reported profits have become less sensitive to differences in tax rates, while real investment has become more sensitive. This is consistent with a closer alignment of reported profits and the locations where real investment takes place. www.imf.org/en/blogs/art...
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JoJoFromJerz @jojofromjerz.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I know other survivors are watching their carefully stitched-together lives begin to come apart, too, because in so many ways, we are all Jane Doe. jojofromjerz.substack.com/p/i-was-drun...
jojofromjerz.substack.com
I Was Drunk. I Was Raped.
Both Things Can Be True At The Same Time.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
* US SECRETARY OF STATE RUBIO ON DEATH OF PLAGUE INSTITUTE WORKER IN RUSSIA: KEEPING AN EYE ON IT * US SECRETARY OF STATE RUBIO ON DEATH OF PLAGUE INSTITUTE WORKER IN RUSSIA: DON'T THINK IT'S CAUSE FOR ALARM @reuters.com
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
YIELD ON 30-YEAR U.S. TREASURY BONDS UP 2.64 BASIS POINTS AT 5.656% U.S. TREASURY YIELDS RISE; YIELD ON 10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE LAST UP 2.34 BASIS POINTS AT 5.3%
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
“.. 2,000 trucks x $20,000 in fuel savings per year x 20 years. That works out to $800 million in total savings, for a whopping ~166% ROI.” @electrek.com electrek.co/2026/10/03/f...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
a look at the dramatic contraction in information jobs since the release of ChatGPT @soberlook Tech employment down, edu & health up... female job gains over male in recent years thedailyshot.com/sub...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The stock-market boom is widening the wealth gap among the rich. The top 0.1% now holds ~$28T (15% of national wealth)... more than double their net worth since late 2019. @wsj @soberlook thedailyshot.com/sub...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
From Carl Quintanilla BTIG: “$SOX continues to track extremely close to the boom/bust cycle of the 2000 peak. It’s quite striking.. This would imply we are about at the peak of this counter-trend rally and embarking on a slower, drawn-out decline over the next several months.”
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John Sipher @johnsipher.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The Four TV Shows That Heralded America’s Fall (gift article) www.nytimes.com/2026/09/26/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | The Four TV Shows That Heralded America’s Fall (Gift Article)
Four TV shows, now acknowledged as the medium’s high point, each cannily predicted the ways in which America would start to crack apart.
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
This K is alive and well! Labor compensation vs. corporate profits JPMAM
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
GS: SPX earnings distortion from private investment gains to fade in Q3: • Mega-cap tech got a Q2 $150B profit boost due to Other Income • Little to no distortion expected this Q3 due to slower equity appreciation • Underlying operational results will take center stage. 📊📉
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Barchart @barchart.com · 03/10/2026
U.S. Debt now exceeds 100% of GDP for the first time since World War 2 🤯👀
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
“I am the house.” - Sept 8 “I can’t control the bond market.” - Oct 3 @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Sean Brodrick @seanbrodrick.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
The takeaway from this article: TIPS have become so cheap this year that you can now lock in returns guaranteed to beat inflation by 2.5 percentage points a year even on the shorter, less risky and less volatile bonds. #EconSky www.marketwatch.com/story/fallin...
marketwatch.com
Falling wages, soaring energy prices and inflation: It’s beginning to look a lot like the 1970s
Is it time to dust off the financial playbook from that dismal decade?
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Away from mega-cap tech, S&P 500 single-stock drawdowns are spooky as we progress through October @finviz_com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Toto releases “Hold the Line” 48 years ago tonight. “.. When I was in high school, all of a sudden the phone started ringing off the hook,” said David Paich. “I had 3 girls all call at the same time, all the lights were flashing. I was kind of juggling girlfriends, and that's how that came about."
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
“.. Tech payrolls have fallen to the lowest level since December 2020.” - Schwab
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Barchart @barchart.com · 02/10/2026
Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls to lowest level since 1982 🚨
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The biggest 10 US stocks account for a near-record 41% of the S&P 500. JPMAM More concentrated than EM, the Eurozone, and Japan
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Mortgage really flew this week.. ending at 7.57%
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Fed's Goolsbee: Low progress on services inflation could be a sign of spread
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matthewlambert.bsky.social @matthewlambert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
No bueno! www.theguardian.com/business/202...
theguardian.com
US added just 29,000 jobs in September in sharp drop from last month’s gains
Final jobs report before the midterm elections also shows the US unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2%
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In econ terms: nominal wages are up. Real wages are down.⁣ ⁣ In normal terms: congrats on the raise, sorry about the pay cut. www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0f8dsDt0o4
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Not great: The cumulative A-D line is near the March low @soberlook thedailyshot.com/sub...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The share of developed-world equity markets trading above their 50- and 200-day moving averages has collapsed.... very Octobery @soberlook
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Hartnett BofA: It's risk-off until the USD peaks. The dollar is spiking on credit/deleveraging risk across bonds and tech CDS. Downside is limited only by the threat of policy panic unless small/mid-caps follow banks lower. 📉💵
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Barchart @barchart.com · 01/10/2026
BREAKING 🚨: Japan Japan's 10-Year Yield jumps to highest level in more than 30 years 🤯 👀
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Treasurys only +0.23% today.. $GOVT... but a nice bullish engulfing/outside day working into the close
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
SPX within 2% of its record high... just 23% of stocks > 50dma
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Barchart @barchart.com · 01/10/2026
Legendary Investment Firm Kohlberg Kravis & Roberts, involved in one of the most infamous hostile takeovers in history (RJR Nabisco in 1989), is now warning of growing credit market risks due to the AI borrowing frenzy 🚨 🚨
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
“.. My take .. is not that we are on the eve of disaster but that important countries are losing room for manoeuvre .. As the late economist Herbert Stein famously said, ‘If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.’” @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/a120...
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