Reposted by Robert IngersolLeRaffl @leraffl.bsky.social · 09/09/2026China is setting most of the global car demand. And that demand is more and more become BEV demand. PHEV will only be a thing for a bit longer, maybe 2-3 years and we'll have seen peak demand for them. 1176
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 12/06/2026Our 2026 Indicators of Global Climate Change paper is out! We find that the human-induced warming was 1.37C in 2025, and the current rate of warming is 0.27C per year, on track to firmly pass 1.5C in about four years: essd.copernicus.org/... 78929
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 08/09/2026Follow along in real-time over at the Climate Dashboard:dashboard.theclimatebrink.comClimate DashboardDaily-updated global temperature tracker: ERA5 daily data, multi-model ENSO forecasts, annual projections, and climate models vs. observations. 13110
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 22/08/2026Germany's solar skyrocketed 44% in July 2026 (14.7 TWh) from July 2025 (10.2 TWh)! Germany's July Solar Share: 2026: 35.2% 2025: 27.5% 2023: 23.6% 2016: 11.4% Coal fell to a record low July share of 15.9% from 20.5% in July 2025! Gas fell to 10.1% in July 2026 from 12.9% in 7/2025. #energysky 25816
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Good morning with good news: India contracts 1 GW of firm and dispatchable renewable energy (FDRE) on a round-the-clock basis for 5.5 cents/kWh! RE projects match the operational profile of thermal power plants by delivering firm power for 5.5 cents! www.pv-magazine.com/2026/08/10/s... #energyskypv-magazine.comIndia's round-the-clock renewables tender attracts lowest bid of $0.055/kWh - pv magazine GlobalThe Solar Energy Corp. of India (SECI) has discovered a lowest tariff of INR 5.25/kWh in its tender to procure 1 GW of firm and dispatchable renewable energy (FDRE) on a round-the-clock (RTC) basis fr... 2274
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Batteries Start New Era of Anytime Solar! 74% of surging global battery fleet's primary application is shifting power to new hours. Batteries & solar meet over 24% of Bulgaria's demand from 7pm-9pm and 10% of Chile’s. Solar After Dark is here! ember-energy.org/app/uploads/... #energysky 04012
Reposted by Robert IngersolPhilipp Markolin @philippmarkolin.eurosky.social · 18/08/2026In 2026, there is no longer any lab leak hypothesis you can state consistently with the available evidence. Despite this, it has been the dominant media narrative for six years. Read my new data-driven investigation: www.protagonist-science.com/p/biased-med...protagonist-science.comBiased media coverage and the lab leak theoryGain-of-function fearmongering and blame gets the glitzy NYT visual treatment as Republicans weaponize the lab leak theory again in attacks on Dr. Anthony Fauci 12343143
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 02/08/2026I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850. 9035111732
Reposted by Robert IngersolGavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 03/08/2026About time! www.theclimatebrink.com/p/fixing-one...theclimatebrink.comFixing one of climate’s worst plotsthe 1930s were hot over the U.S. Midwest, but not that hot 48324
Reposted by Robert IngersolDave Osmond @davidosmond.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand) Results: Last week: 98.0% RE Last 257 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5) 2155
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Historic Milestone: 51% Solar was 51% of California's generation in May 2026. That's up from 45.2% in May 2025. Credit @nicolasfulghum.bsky.social 36018
Reposted by Robert IngersolDave Osmond @davidosmond.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand) Results: Last week: 92.3% RE Last 255 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5) 2184
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 13/07/2026One important caveat: the models have never been verified in this territory. They have real, demonstrated skill at this lead time for ordinary events, but no ensemble has ever forecast a 3.5C El Niño because one has never happened. We are both figuratively and literally in uncharted waters. 114421
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 13/07/2026With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the largest El Niño event since records began in the late 1800s – and potentially by a truly mind-blowing margin. The median estimate is now 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record (2.75C). www.theclimatebrink.... 16514344
Reposted by Robert IngersolJan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 22/06/2026NEW RECORD: 692 GW of renewables were added globally in 2025, more than ever before. Asia built 74% of 2025's new capacity. But look at the growth rates: - Middle East +28.9% - Africa +15.9% (fastest year ever) More in next Substack, sign up here: janrosenow.substack.com 1118369
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026Good morning with good news: India's wind & solar jumps to 18.6% of its power in April 2026 from 11.9% in 4/2024. Renewables were 25.9% in 4/2026, up from 18.3% in 4/2024, gaining 3.8 points/yr! India's non-fossil fuel capacity will pass 300 GW in September. 500 GW by 2030 is the goal. #energysky 1192
Reposted by Robert IngersolDave Osmond @davidosmond.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand) Results: Last week: 96.9% RE Last 251 weeks: 98.6% RE (1/5) 23611
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 12/06/2026The world has warmed by around 1.4C since 1850. It took 148 years for the first half of that warming to occur, and just 27 years for the second half! 6380208
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Renewables were 32.2% of US electricity in May 2026. Nuclear was 17.9% in May 2026. Wind & solar were 24.3%. Solar was 12.8%. March 2026 was the monthly record high share, so far, at 51.4% for renewables and nuclear. Fossil fuels continue to lose share in US, despite Trump. #energysky 0121
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Good morning with good news: March, April & May 2026 is the first time that renewables & nuclear generated for 3 consecutive months more than 50% of US electricity! May 2026 was the first May to exceed 50% zero-CO2. electricity. May 2026 was 50.1% RE & nuclear, up from 38.6% in 5/2016 #energysky 2318
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 18/06/2026Good morning with good news: California's fossil generated electricity plunges 49% from 7137 GWh in March 2023 to 3666 GWh in March 2026. How? Solar jumped 67% from 4922 GWh in 3/2023 to 8220 GWh in 3/2026 FFs generated just 19.8% of CA's power in March 2026! RE & nuclear were 80.2%! #energysky 2257
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 18/06/2026World's Fourth Largest Economy Was 80.2% Clean Electricity in March 2026! California March Clean Electricity Share 3/2026: 80.2% 3/2025: 77.6% 3/2024: 73.5% 3/2021: 57.7% Solar rose from 28.6% in March 2021 to 44.4% in March 2026! Solar and wind were 53.2% in March 2026! #energysky 1379
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 22/06/2026Hilarious piece! Hilarious piece about a new MIT study of health and environmental impact of EVs versus internal combustion engine autos. The mockery of those spreading misinformation or lies about EVs is well deserved. www.jalopnik.com/2195847/mit-... #energyskyjalopnik.comMIT Study Finds Gas Cars Aren't Secretly Better For The Planet Than EVs, Despite What Everyone On Facebook Says - JalopnikMIT's researches found that EVs save 40%–60% of emissions compared to gas cars, with that going up to 90% in urban driving. 67122
Reposted by Robert IngersolEmily Grubert @gruberte.bsky.social · 20/06/2026This isn’t actually funny but I keep cackling to myself when people say we should pursue AI because it will tell us how to solve climate change. Like, we *know* how, we’re just not. ::burns so much fossil fuel to ask:: hey AI, what do? AI: “stop burning fossil fuel” 24818205
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 16/06/2026Good morning with good news: Global energy storage additions will jump 41% to 158 GW/459 GWh in 2026! Annual additions double 2026 level by 2032 & exceed 1000 GWh by 2033. Global solar capacity rises to ~6.5 TW in 2030 from 2.9 TW in 2025. www.pv-magazine-australia.com/2026/06/15/g... #energysky 1297
Reposted by Robert IngersolKetan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 10/06/2026Two things are going to happen in Australia's main grid in the next few years - Renewables are going to overtake coal - Battery discharge is going to overtake gas 🥰 720870
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 09/06/2026Global CO2 emissions have plateaued since 2013, leading to a slower growth in atmospheric CO2 than would have otherwise been the case. In a new analysis at The Climate Brink, I've taken look at what would have happened if emissions had continued to grow: www.theclimatebrink.... 1114959
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 09/06/2026Good morning with good news: Gas' global market share peaked in 2020 at 23.89%, fell to 21.75% in 2025, and declined for 5 straight years. Coal peaked in 2007 at 40.84%, falling to 33% in 2025. What rose? RE rose from 18% in 2007 to 33.76% in 2025. ember-energy.org/latest-insig... #energysky 45015
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 04/06/2026Price of NEW solar plus storage is below marginal gas costs in Europe, China, India and Asia! Gas industry bet LNG was an indispensable commodity. Even before the war in Iran blew up that argument, falling costs of RE made it obsolete. Chart below is... www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti... #energysky 23815
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 05/06/2026Wonderful! It also debunks the anti-rooftop solar gang. Small solar matters...a lot! #energysky 3234
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 07/06/2026Solar generated 14% of cold Maine's electricity in February 2026! 12.1% of Texas's power in February; 37% of CA power in 2/2026; And 7.95% of US electricity in 2/2026. Secretary Wright is wrong again. Electricity prices would go even higher without solar! Solar is vital for USA. #energysky 25014
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 08/06/2026Good morning with good news: EVs were 63% of China's auto sales in May, a new record high market share! China may have a 70% EV market share month in 2026! China produced 1.36 million EVs, including exports, in May, up 12% compared to May 2025. cleantechnica.com/2026/06/04/c... #energyskycleantechnica.comChinese NEV Share Hits 63%. What’s Next? - CleanTechnicaEVs are reaching new levels of market penetration in China. Retail NEV market share was 63% for May. China could be at a tipping point where the technology takes over. There are signs that this will j... 24613
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 08/06/2026China is quickly killing the internal combustion auto, bus and truck to slash its oil dependence which threatens economic and national security. It deploys ~128,000 EV charging facilities PER WEEK! It will have 28 million EV charging facilities by 2027! www.scmp.com/economy/chin... #energyskyscmp.comPowering the future: how China plans to supercharge its EV revolutionThe top economic planner says the goal will also support Beijing’s plan to stimulate domestic consumption. 0249
Reposted by Robert IngersolJustin Gerdes @justingerdes.bsky.social · 19/05/2026"Australia has surpassed 400,000 home battery storage installations under the federal government’s Cheaper Home Batteries Program, reaching 11.2GWh of cumulative storage capacity in less than a year since the scheme launched." www.energy-storage.news/australia-hi... via George Heynes 🔌💡energy-storage.newsAustralia hits 400,000 home battery installations with 11.2GWh capacity in under a yearAustralia has surpassed 400,000 home battery storage installations under the federal government's Cheaper Home Batteries Program. 26905252
Reposted by Robert IngersolSean Casten @seancasten.bsky.social · 04/06/2026What else has the demand today that it last had in 1974? 1193
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 30/05/2026House Republicans pass Farm Bill that sabotages solar on farms! Gas drilling, data centers, suburban sprawl are all fine on farms but not solar. Farmers use solar for revenue to keep farms operating. This anti-solar Farm Bill is in the Senate. www.theguardian.com/environment/... #energyskytheguardian.comSolar energy helps US farms stay afloat – but Republicans’ bill could change thatInstalling solar panels to offset electricity costs helps farms during financial strain. But the House version of the farm bill would limit their use 04323
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 31/05/2026Batteries beat gas in South Australia's "Firming Tender" that was open to gas and 8-hour batteries! Tender was to ensure supply was available at times of system stress. South Australia's goal is 100% net renewables by 2027! Next are tender's winners: reneweconomy.com.au/big-batterie... #energyskyreneweconomy.com.auBig batteries scoop the pool in grid firming tender that was also open to gas generatorsBig batteries scoop the pool and sideline gas in "firming tender" designed to secure supply at times of system stress as state moves to 100 per cent net renewables. 14011
Reposted by Robert IngersolDave Osmond @davidosmond.bsky.social · 27/05/2026Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand) Results: Last week: 93.1% RE Last 248 weeks: 98.7% RE (1/6) 1115
Reposted by Robert IngersolOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 21/05/2026Global sales of combustion engine cars peaked in 2017— To decarbonize road transport, the world must move away from petrol and diesel cars towards electric vehicles and other forms of low-carbon transport. 414551
Reposted by Robert IngersolZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 18/05/2026Two things can be true: • RCP8.5 was never a realistic "business as usual" scenario • The world has made real progress bending the emissions curve down Glen Peters, Piers Forster, and I explain in a new article: www.theclimatebrink.... 1/11theclimatebrink.comOn the death of RCP8.5We should celebrate progress, but not overstate it 814552
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 13/05/2026Good morning with good news: China's sales of oil-burning cars crashed 37% in April 2026, compared to April 2025! They fell 33%, compared to March 2026. China's top 10 selling models were 8 full-electric, 1 PHEV & 1 ICE! ICE share was 38.6%! ICE collapse! electrek.co/2026/05/12/t... #energysky 23814
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 15/05/2026"Eye-opening" That's how one Canadian dealer described arrival of Chinese EV Trump called it "a disaster." A Canadian consumer said the EVs "will destroy the market in a good way." Limit initially is 49,000 (3.5% to 5% of market) at 6.1% tariff. www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/c... #energyskycnbc.comChinese EVs are coming to Canada, and some dealers can't wait to sell themCanada is allowing 49,000 Chinese-made electric vehicles to be imported for retail sales annually at a tariff rate of 6.1%. 2237
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 18/05/2026Good morning with good news: Australia's main grid may reach its goal of 82% renewable electricity by 2030, as a result of a big boom in rooftop solar and home batteries. 11.2 GWh of home battery storage has been installed in 10 months thru April! reneweconomy.com.au/blows-your-m... #energyskyreneweconomy.com.au"Blows your mind:" Regulator says boom in home batteries and PV puts 82 pct renewables within reachRegulator says surge in home battery and rooftop PV installations puts the 82 pct renewables target back in reach because it reduces the burden on large scale projects. 28228
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 19/05/2026Good morning with good news: It took 40 years for the first TW of solar to be installed globally, but less than 3 years to triple global installation to ~3 TW by end of 2025! China installed 415 GW; EU 69 GW; India 56 GW in 2025 39 countries built 1 GW plus. iea-pvps.org/wp-content/u... #energysky 1156
Reposted by Robert IngersolJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 19/05/2026Solar (20.6%), wind (16.7%), hydro (14.1%) & nuclear (9.3%) generate 60.7% of global power in 2032! Solar is largest source of electricity in 2032. Wind is 2nd largest source in 2034! Energy storage rises from 220 GWs to 2,000 GWs from 2025-2035. BNEF! www.bloomberg.com/news/article... #energysky 3146
Reposted by Robert IngersolMichael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 17/05/2026Sorry #DenierBots, the original #HockeyStick was readily reproduced with publicly available data & methods description by other researchers: link.springer.com/article/10.1... 17712
Reposted by Robert IngersolMichael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 19/05/2026“From hockey sticks to EV fires: The circular economy of climate disinformation” by Michael Barnard for @reneweconomy.com.au: reneweconomy.com.au/from-hockey-...reneweconomy.com.auFrom hockey sticks to EV fires: The circular economy of climate disinformationThe only circular economy many opponents of climate action seem to have mastered is that of bad arguments. That doesn't mean the rest of us have to be surprised each time. 45116
Reposted by Robert IngersolMichael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 11/05/2026"2024 global temperature record is consistent with model-predicted warming" | Our new article in @pnas.org (open access): www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...pnas.org2024 global temperature record is consistent with model-predicted warming | PNASWe employ a semiempirical approach combining climate model simulations and observational temperatures to assess the likelihood of recent global tem... 6290122
Reposted by Robert IngersolSean Casten @seancasten.bsky.social · 13/05/2026@jaredhuffman.bsky.social is great as always, and Burgum is just spewing words. But it's worth noting that you can't run a coal plant reliably without energy storage. AKA, a 3 - 5 day coal pile. Gas and oil plants also have on-site energy storage. 411497262
Reposted by Robert IngersolDave Osmond @davidosmond.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Within a few years, the NEM will have 45GW/200GWh of storage, excluding anything from Snowy2.0. My weekly simultion assumes much less than this - 24GW/120GWh & reaches 98% renewable. By FY2040 the 2026 Draft ISP assumes 44GW/202GWh of storage excluding Snowy2.0 & is 96% renewable. /1 2176