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Leon Heckmann

@leon-heckmann.de
182 followers 200 following 72 posts

Macrofinance, election modeling, and history of money | how does this fit into a balance sheet? | Teilzeitstreuner durch Mitteleuropa | private account

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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 06/03/2026
A lot is happening again and for crazy reasons this is tightly connected to the research we're doing at OBFA-Transform. @olanmcevoy.bsky.social shows the details. Read the thread and get rewarded by a tailor made meme from me 😅
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herman mark schwartz @thunen.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
Excellent summary of the large body of work @steffenmurau.bsky.social and colleagues have done on the Offshore (US) Dollar Syatem www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/tru... @phenomenalworld.bsky.social Look here for the bigger body of work: steffenmurau.com/portfolio/in...
phenomenalworld.org
Trump's Dollar | Steffen Murau
Trump’s economic policy and the future of the world dollar
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Steffen Murau @steffenmurau.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
📣 News from the OBFA-TRANSFORM project 📣 Our Emmy Noether research group is fast approaching its halfway point and we’ve recently received confirmation of funding from @dfg.de for the second project period from 2026 to 2029 🎊 That's why we are launching our new website at obfa-transform.eu
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 12/05/2025
Worth reading but action preferred. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Can Germany rein in its academic bullying problem?
Researchers and administrators are exploring ways to restructure a rigid hierarchy that can breed power abuses.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 24/04/2025
@bruegel.bsky.social's chart of the week. Almost all European state favor industry over households if it comes to electricity prices. Germans paying the highest price. Energy affordability is key for Europe.
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Research & Politics @respol.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Why did voters defect to Germany's new left-authoritarian party, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW)? New insights can be found here: doi.org/10.1177/2053... @leon-heckmann.de, @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 12/03/2025
All the world's is a clearinghouse www.risk.net/regulation/7...
risk.net
Gilt repo clearing mandate on Bank of England’s radar - Risk.net
Sources say regulator mulling benefits of US-inspired regime, but is non-committal
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 11/03/2025
How to define Oligarchy
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 16/02/2025
In 7 Tagen ist #Bundestagswahl. Zeit für eine finale Modellprognose: SPD: 16,2% (13,9%-18,5%) Union: 29% (26,7%-31,2%) Grüne: 13,5% (11,2%-15,7%) FDP: 5% (2,8%-7,3%) AfD: 19,8% (17,6%-22,1%) Linke: 6% (3,9%-8,2%) BSW: 5,3% (3,1%-7,6%)
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Nathan Tankus @nathantankus.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
CNN with an absolutely gigantic story: "Elon Musk’s top lieutenants at the Treasury Department asked its acting secretary, a career civil servant, to immediately shut off all USAID payments using the department’s own ultra-sensitive payment processing system." edition.cnn.com/2025/02/06/p...
edition.cnn.com
Musk associates sought to use critical Treasury payment system to shut down USAID spending, emails show | CNN Politics
Four days after Donald Trump’s inauguration, Elon Musk’s top lieutenants at the Treasury Department asked its acting secretary, a career civil servant, to immediately shut off all USAID payments using...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 05/02/2025
This is the very heart of the constitutional crisis the takeover of the US payments system is about: "Without political control of the payment's heart, the Trump administration and Elon Musk must chase down every agency and bend it to their will. (...)
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 05/02/2025
A complete US default due to their technical inability to conduct payments is now a really not so black swan event anymore.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 29/01/2025
Wenn wir das Thema Migration nicht ausschließlich in Bezug auf und Abgrenzung gegen die AfD behandelt hätten, sondern nach dem was gut für das Land ist, dann wären wir vielleicht jetzt nicht an diesem Punkt...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 24/01/2025
Looks like an interesting read.
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Thomas Vorreyer @vorreyer.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Läuft gerade zäh für das BSW. Auch bei Maischberger konnte Wagenknecht keinen richtigen Treffer gegen Weidel landen. Aber das Paper von @leon-heckmann.de et al. dazu, wo das BSW seine Wähler herbekommt, ist nun offen einsehbar: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 24/01/2025
🚨Neue Publikation zusammen mit @wurthmann.bsky.social und @sarahwagner.bsky.social🚨 Wer sollte Angst vor Sahra haben - woher kommen die Wähler des #BSW? Die Gründung des BSW hat das deutsche Parteiensystem stark durcheinandergewirbelt. Aber woher kommen die Wähler des BSW bei der Europawahl 2024?
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 16/01/2025
Sozialismus mit katholischem Antlitz. Via www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amer...
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Constantin Wurthmann @wurthmann.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
📢 Neue Publikation: "Koalitionen mit der AfD? Determinanten der Präferenzbildung in Ost- und Westdeutschland vor der Bundestagswahl 2021" in Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft #AfD #CDU #FDP #CSU #Ostdeutschland #Westdeutschland #Koalitionspräferenzen link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Koalitionen mit der AfD? Determinanten der Präferenzbildung in Ost- und Westdeutschland vor der Bundestagswahl 2021 - Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft
The influence of coalition preferences on individual voting behaviour has been a substantial part of political science studies. But still, research on the formation of coalition preferences is in its ...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 07/01/2025
✨Sci Comm✨ Das #BSW war zumindest in der Lage, den Aufschwung der AfD abzubremsen. Das BSW hat aber nicht die Kur gegen die AfD gefunden. Das zeigen die aktuellen Umfragen. Freue mich sehr, dass @vorreyer.bsky.social mein erstes Paper für den Stern aufgegriffen hat. Mehr dazu sehr bald!
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pbrx.bsky.social @pbrx.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
@leon-heckmann.de on x: x.com/leon_heckman...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 17/12/2024
I think we need more heterodox research on the energy transition towards renewables including concepts from financial markets, market design and investment. If you know good papers/articles on it, please do the Lord's work 👇
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 05/12/2024
A paper about the Hofbräuhaus 🍻, the TÜV 🚗 and the KfW 🏦. Sounds like a rather random combination 🤯 but it's not. Why? Find out what Gregor Laudage and colleagues from OBFA-Transform found out and beautifully mapped.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 02/12/2024
Good economics is chill
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 27/11/2024
Wie links ist das #BSW? 🚩 Mit dieser Frage haben sich @drphilphil.bsky.social, @wurthmann.bsky.social und @pluggedchris.bsky.social für die EU Wahl beschäftigt und die Wahlprogramme inhaltlich bestimmt. Ich habe mir nun die Selbsteinschätzung der Wähler:innen angesehen: 🧵 www.dvpw.de/blog/ist-das...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 08/12/2023
Twitter ist ja schon immer wild, aber Nazi-Twitter am Hals zu haben, schon noch einmal eine andere Nummer.
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 10/11/2023
Is there literature on the phenomenon that exchange rate depreciation risk in and due to the global currency hierarchy is another form of the middle income trap? #Masterthesis
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 08/11/2023
It's the small things in life 🤓
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 02/11/2023
Side insight during the data analysis for my thesis: #US alignment in the #UN significantly dropped in the early 2000s due to fighting wars. Periods are 1: 4 years pre Dotcom 2: 4 years pre GFC 3: 4 years pre Covid shock #geopolitics
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 31/10/2023
Scariest Halloween candy: Recoding countries into currency unions to do something useful with exchange rates. #Masterthesis
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 24/10/2023
I'm currently digging for data in the BIS global #debt database and the case of #Thailand is really interesting. From 4 billion USD denominated debt in 1994 they reduced that to 0 USD in 2015 and are not borrowing in dollars anymore since that. data.bis.org/topics/TDDS/...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 24/10/2023
BIS government debt statistics clearly shows how the currency hierarchy plays out in practice. 0.0 debt in foreign currency. Thailand is an interesting case here 🧐
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 23/10/2023
@adam_tooze, once again, is highly accurate and correct about the powerful change understanding endogenous #money makes. The following quote can really unite different scholars on endogenous money: We should focus on the common as good policy is needed! t.co/N8noZBfNd4
t.co
Chartbook 246: How America can pay for "two wars" at once.
Perhaps it is the jittery state of the US Treasury market, but people have been asking. Can America afford two wars at once? The two wars being in Ukraine and Israel/Palestine. In the last 48 hours bo...
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 12/10/2023
Landtagswahl #Bayern: Die #Grünen sind eine Großstadtpartei, die #SPD ist hingegen relativ stärker in der Fläche: Ausgehend von meinem Regionsmodell habe ich die Ergebnisse von Grünen und SPD in den Regionen mit dem Gesamtergebnis verglichen. #Bayernwahl2023
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 10/10/2023
Bayern hat gewählt. Eine Analyse der Wahlergebnisse auf Stimmkreisebene. Zunächst: trivial, aber wichtig: Parteien schneiden nicht in jedem Stimmkreis gleich gut ab. Die Wählerschaft ist regional differenziert. #Bayernwahl2023
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Alexander Thiele @alexanderthiele.bsky.social · 05/10/2023
#Skyverlosung 1: Heute geht es hier los mit einer Spende von @suhrkamp.de. Vielen Dank. Teilnahme per RETWEET, Verlosung am Abend. Viel Glück! 🙂
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Leon Heckmann @leon-heckmann.de · 02/10/2023
So the question now is how to coordinate this new platform with the fallen blue bird like the treasury and the central bank are coordinating their policies.
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