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Larry Sabato

@larrysabato.bsky.social
6.6K followers 742 following 38 posts

Director, Center for Politics at UVA (@center4politics.bsky.social); Author, The Kennedy Half Century bit.ly/3hSzJp5. Read the Crystal Ball every week: linktr.ee/c4puva

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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Trump Has Taught Us That It’s All About the Bribe and Bullet washingtonmonthly.com/2025/03/31/t...
washingtonmonthly.com
Trump Has Taught Us That It’s All About the Bribe and Bullet | Washington Monthly
The Democrats won’t save us, nor will the courts. We are the only ones who can save us. We’ll start when we decide we’ve had enough.
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Jon Cooper @joncooper-us.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
A new website created by about a dozen federal employees, called “We the Builders,” aims to be a secure outlet for government workers to share stories about how their workplaces are being impacted by DOGE, and a place to explain the real-world impact of its access to government tech systems.
theverge.com
Federal workers launch a new site to share inside information about DOGE
We the Builders aims to explain why DOGE’s data access matters.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Election officials blast Trump’s ‘retreat’ from protecting voting against foreign threats stateline.org/2025/02/20/e...
stateline.org
Election officials blast Trump's ‘retreat’ from protecting voting against foreign threats • Stateline
The Trump administration has begun dismantling the nation’s defenses against foreign interference in voting, a sweeping retreat that has alarmed state and local election officials.
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Michael Gollop @michaelgollop.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Trump's words below are astonishing. They're the comments of a deluded megalomaniac who somehow manages to be a bully & a cringing coward at the same time. If Starmer does go to Washington next week he has to defend civilised values and not be upstaged or demeaned. But that's easier said than done
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
When history asks, “who lost Ukraine?”, the obvious answer will start with T and end with rump.
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Hoodlum 🇺🇸 @nothoodlum.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
This is the so-called Law & Order. 🙄
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Acosta: It’s hard to see somebody out-Spicer Sean Spicer or out-Huckabee Sarah Huckabee Sanders, but Karoline Leavitt—she’s making a run for it. Unless they’ve already done it on SNL, I have to think something like that is in the works, because the skit writes itself.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 18/02/2025
I'm watching Canadian officials hold a presser on the Toronto plane crash and remarkably they're not blaming DEI or recklessly speculating about causes. They could never cut it down here in Trumplandia.
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 19/02/2025
How much is Congress cutting from their $6.5 billion/year budget? Don’t you think congress can operate on say, maybe, $5 Billion? And each congressman has 18 staff, they could operate on say, 14? What about the White House?
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God @thegodshow.com · 18/02/2025
Imagine being rich enough to do anything you want and choosing to take food and medicine from starving children to give yourself even more money.
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Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Marjorie Taylor Greene tried to have Pete Buttigieg's salary reduced to $1 in November 2023. Does she think Sean Duffy should keep his job if planes can't manage to stay in the sky?
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 18/02/2025
Congressmen when they are asked if they will cut THEIR budgets and lay off staff as well:
media.tenor.com
a cartoon of homer simpson standing in a field
ALT: a cartoon of homer simpson standing in a field
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Kara Swisher @karaswisher.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Math is hard
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Mehdi Hasan @mehdirhasan.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Oh, look what normal countries do when a former president leads a far right coup attempt.
theguardian.com
Jair Bolsonaro charged over alleged far-right coup plot to seize power in Brazil
Former president is charged by attorney general following police report that accused him of organising a conspiracy to stop Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva taking power.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 18/02/2025
white nationalist men are too emotional to be in charge
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Where's RFK Jr when you actually need him? Another Trump/Musk disgrace. www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/...
cbsnews.com
JFK Library in Boston closed until further notice due to federal job cuts, source says
The JFK Library​ in Boston is closed indefinitely because of federal job cuts, a source tells WBZ-TV.
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George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
www.newsweek.com/donald-trump...
newsweek.com
Donald Trump's high approval rating fades: Poll
Recent Economist/YouGov polls show this is the first time since Trump's inauguration that his disproval rating is higher than his approval.
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JB Pritzker @jbpritzker.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
An important announcement from the Governor of Illinois.
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Congress In Your Pocket @congressinyourpocket.com · 13/02/2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball baseline ratings for the U.S. Senate races in 2026 are now available in Congress in Your Pocket. @center4politics.bsky.social @larrysabato.bsky.social
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
I am pro-FBI but only a fool would believe the FBI just "found" all these documents. The JFK law was passed in October 1992! They've had over 3 decades to get their files in order. You don't think they were willfully withholding this information, do you? Nah, no way!! www.axios.com/2025/02/10/t...
axios.com
Scoop: FBI finds secret JFK assassination records after Trump order
The still-secret records are in 14,000 pages of documents the FBI found in a review triggered by Trump's Jan. 23 executive order.
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Dylan Freedman @dylanfreedman.nytimes.com · 09/02/2025
Top comment on the recent NYT story on DOGE’s young aides www.nytimes.com/shared/comme...
Goran
World - yesterday

As someone who grew up under an authoritarian regime, I can offer one crucial piece of advice: time is everything. If you don’t stand up now—if you don’t protest, resist, disrupt, and refuse to comply—you may lose your country forever. Authoritarianism thrives on silence, hesitation, and fear. The longer people wait, the more entrenched the regime becomes, making resistance exponentially harder. Every moment of inaction is a moment the regime uses to tighten its grip. History has shown that those who act early have the best chance of reclaiming their freedom. The time to fight back is now.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Legal experts warn of 'constitutional crisis' as JD Vance and Elon Musk question judges' authority over Trump
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Mark Zaid, Esq @markzaidesq.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
1/My statement on learning through news reports that my #securityclearance has just been revoked.
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MK Forever Blue @mkforeverblue.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
@jackschlossberg.bsky.social Can your Mom take back her father's name and STOP the Kennedy Center Honors? It shouldn't become an awful affair with honorees like temu Hercules, Chachi, Village People, Vince McMahon, Hulk Hogan, Kid Rock, etc. It's always been true artistic achievement, not trash TV.
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Christina Jewett @by-cjewett.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
NEW: The N.I.H. will cut about $4 Billion from federal research grants that support cancer, virus and heart disease research. #Project2025 called for the cuts to end subsidies to "leftist" university agendas. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/07/u...
nytimes.com
Deep Cuts to Medical Research Funds Could Hobble University Budgets
Grants from the National Institutes of Health come with additional money for overhead. Proposed funding cuts would leave colleges with large budget gaps.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
TRUMP PARDONS of January 6 criminals draw ire of three-quarters of Americans--including a solid majority of Republicans.
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Ellen L. Weintraub @ellenlweintraub.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Received a letter from POTUS today purporting to remove me as Commissioner and Chair of the FEC. There's a legal way to replace FEC commissioners-this isn't it. I've been so fortunate to serve the American people and stir up some good trouble along the way. That's not changing anytime soon.
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Mark Hamill @markhamillofficial.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
MIKE LUCKOVICH APPRECIATION POST @mluckovich.bsky.social is one of the greatest political cartoonists of all time. Thank you for 3 decades of scathing satire, remarkable insight and helping us all laugh to avoid weeping openly. 🙏 Your longtime fan, Mar🐫
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Don’t miss this.
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Jim Acosta @jimacosta.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
Watch episode 3 of “The Jim Acosta Show” with my special guest, Larry Sabato, Director of Politics at the University of Virginia. open.substack.com/pub/jimacost...
open.substack.com
The Jim Acosta Show Episode 3 - With Director of Center for Politics at UVA - Larry Sabato
My discussion with Larry about the White House walking back Trump's pledge to rebuild Gaza as the "Riviera" of the Middle East, Musk, and my new role at the University of Virginia.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Is the Republic dying? Or is it already dead? “Do not go gentle into that good night…Rage, rage against the dying of the light.” -Dylan Thomas
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 03/02/2025
I’m old enough to remember when we had 3 branches of government. Forget checks and balances. I guess we are a Muskocracy now.
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John W Dean @johnwdean.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
This is an extraordinary analysis of the legality of Trump’s ongoing release of executive orders. Two knowledgeable and experienced lawyers (an R and a D) think it is “radical constitutionalism” (or made up law to please the POTUS). In short, not legal! open.substack.com/pub/executiv...
open.substack.com
The Trump Executive Orders as “Radical Constitutionalism”
Much more than “test cases” may be at stake in Trump's aggressive claims of presidential authority
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Henry Winkler @hwinkler4real.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
This !!
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Stephen King @stephenking.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
We're living George Orwell's 1984: IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
WHAT A BRILLIANT MOVE TO PLEASE TRUMP. Explore this gift article from The New York Times. You can read it for free without a subscription. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/05/u...
nytimes.com
C.I.A. Sends White House an Unclassified Email With Names of Some Employees (Gift Article)
The list of partial names was provided in an effort to comply with an executive order to trim the federal work force.
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Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Marco Rubio's new acting undersecretary of state for public diplomacy, ladies and gentlemen.
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Aviel Roshwald @avielroshwald.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
This might give some pause to anyone who thinks of Musk’s DOGE as just a dispassionate accounting firm trying to make everything run more smoothly.
Screen shot of Elon Musk posting that USAID is a criminal organization and that it’s “time for it to die.”
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Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Canadians are notoriously polite and happy. Do you know what a monumentally incompetent asshole you have be to make them all angry?
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Support Canadian alternatives!
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 03/02/2025
We need a group of lawyers who are willing to take every lawsuit from every fired federal employee to the max. Bury this admin in lawsuits
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Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Absolutely brutal scroll on Fox.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
Trump To Victims’ Families: ‘I’m Doing Everything Possible To Resegregate Flight Schools’ — theonion.com/trump-to-vic...
theonion.com
Trump To Victims’ Families: ‘I’m Doing Everything Possible To Resegregate Flight Schools’
WASHINGTON—Pledging to restore racial purity to the nation’s aviation programs, President Donald Trump assured the families of American Eagle Flight 5342 victims on Friday that he was doing everything...
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Trump's ratings are at the bottom...again. Too late for it to matter! news.gallup.com/poll/655955/...
news.gallup.com
Trump's Inaugural Approval Rating Is Historically Low Again
Trump's initial job approval rating is similar to what it was at the start of his first term, reaffirming his position as the lowest-rated new president since 1953.
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Jim Acosta @jimacosta.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Hey guys! I’ve started something new. My new Substack… Go check it out! jimacosta.substack.com/p/hold-on-to...
jimacosta.substack.com
Hold on to the truth…
A recording from Jim Acosta's Substack live video
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
From today's AP story on Caroline Leavitt: "Leavitt still maintains, as does Trump, that the election was stolen from him despite evidence to the contrary." Maybe insert "OVERWHELMING" before evidence. Or just tell people the full truth: TRUMP WAS FLATLY LYING AND SO WAS LEAVITT.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Caroline Kennedy Denounces RFK Jr, Urges that He Not be Confirmed as Health Secretary". GIFT Article. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/h...
nytimes.com
Caroline Kennedy Urges Senators to Reject RFK Jr. for Health Secretary (Gift Article)
In a harsh letter to lawmakers considering Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s nomination for health secretary, Ms. Kennedy called her cousin a “predator” who led other family members down the path of addiction.
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Larry Sabato @larrysabato.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
abcnews.go.com/538/trump-st...
abcnews.go.com
Once again, Trump starts a term with a weak approval rating
Introducing 538's new average of President Donald Trump's job approval rating.
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