iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 20/10/2026

Zeit dass sie den Klassiker wieder auspacken

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 16/10/2026

Serious question: Are there high-level managing tasks that can be replaced with GenAI? For example, our institute has defined five core tasks. I'm no expert but I have a feeling that GenAI might be able to create such an abstract list of goals. What do i not understand here?

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 13/10/2026

Beschäftigungswachstum in den Jobs mit KI-Einsatz, aber nur für 30 und aufwärts. Und insgesamt über 1% Rückgang

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 11/10/2026

With all this talk about noise maybe it's worth pointing out this newish paper about different sources of total survey error. It's measurement error, not non-response error docs.iza.org/dp18918.pdf

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 07/10/2026

Sorry that i have to bring this up www.reddit.com/r/de/comment...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 05/10/2026

Interesting paper, that exploits Danish refugee dispersal policy, to estimate effect of neighborhood quality on long-run outcomes for refugee children. "Moving from a low- to a high-opportunity area [...] raises adult income rank by 3 %p and employment by 4 %p." www.nber.org/papers/w35853

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 05/10/2026

Interesting paper shows high and increasing institutional concentration in Economics, in comparison to *all* other fields www.nber.org/papers/w35875

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 05/10/2026

interesting working paper on effect of wealth taxation, in Norway 2021-2025. There is outmigration going on at the very top, but not much reduction in tax revenue. Also, no effect of startups and economic activity. www.nber.org/papers/w35854

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 02/10/2026

This working paper looks at the effect of success beliefs among rural Gambians about successfully reaching Europe if they tried to. People *overestimate* the probability of dying en route with 50% instead of the estimated 20%. www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 01/10/2026

Beware, the rock star mythos is lie!

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 30/09/2026

Neues Tatort-Team in München?

Bild von Markus Söder und Dominik Krause aus der Spiegel-Bromance-Story in die ARD-Tatort-Mediathek-Seite reingeclippt. Folge Ausgezutzelt

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 29/09/2026

Me giving "advice" to the new doctoral students

Maximilian Schell in the 1979 Disney movie The Black Hole

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 24/09/2026

Not an expert, Mannheim is still making a big deal out of it. de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mannhei...

List of inventions originating in Mannheim, listed on the German wiki page. Spaghetti Eis listed last on place 9!

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 24/09/2026

interesting paper on intragenerational wealth mobility in DE, NO, and UK. Rank correlations between .4 and .8, higher in NO than in DE and UK. Age patterns indicate inheritances, strong differences by gender and education. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Intragenerational Mobility in Wealth in Germany, Norway, and Britain: Descriptive Evidence
We study intragenerational wealth rank mobility, investigating three dimensions: (i) wealth mobility over the life cycle, (ii) heterogeneity in mobility among subgroups and wealth components, and (iii) commonalities and differences across divergent country contexts. We use data from Germany (SOEP, N= 12,380 individuals), Norway (administrative register data, N=3,460,602), and Britain (BHPS, N=7,910; UKHLS, N=18,428), examining intraindividual rank-rank correlations, the distribution of rank changes, and rank mobility curves. We find substantial wealth mobility, which is often short-range. Mobility increases with the observation window (5, 10, 15 years). Wealth mobility is highest in Norway, followed by similar mobility in Britain and Germany. Furthermore, early life cycle stages and parental tertiary education are associated with greater mobility, whereas gender differences are small. Mobility is higher in financial than in housing wealth, but remains substantial in the latter. Our findings reveal substantial but predominantly short-range wealth mobility, indicating that individual wealth positions are less static than cross-sectional distributions suggest, even as the overall structure of inequality persists.

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 24/09/2026

Interesting paper on which political areas see cost-cutting in times of austerity, using data from German Bundesländer. Left gov's in comparison to "bourgeois" gov's (👨‍🍳💋) cut on roads and bridges to keep money for families and children. Who would've thunk? link.springer.com/article/10.1...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 22/09/2026

Interesting paper on increase in LLM assisted paper writing in psychology. They check for a explicite list of fingerprint words. Most hits in MDPI, Frontiers, and Elsevier outlets. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 15/09/2026

huge if true www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 14/09/2026

here the central plot, for the hasty reader

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 14/09/2026

Interesting paper on relationship between immigration and crime victimization of natives in Germany after 2015. Besides the relevance for the public debate of migrants as a security problem, this paper is interesting in how it uses administrative data link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Table 4 Refugee immigration
and changes in the rate of
victimization of Germans in
crimes with refugee suspects at
county level between 2014 and
2015 (OLS regression results)

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 03/09/2026

die Soziologie ist ja ohnehin schon gespalten, aber an der RPTU ist die lage ja geradezu schizoid. Leute, ernsthaft?

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 01/09/2026

when descriptive titles go beyond readability and reach the playfulness of medieval texts www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 31/08/2026

language precision is like shower water temperature in old buildings

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 28/08/2026

LISER just sent the most recent batch of IZA discussion papers. Do I understand these two wrong, or doesnt one of them promise what the other one decidely rules out?

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 27/08/2026

mensch jetzt, hört doch mal auf

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 24/08/2026

Die Handwerker Partei Deutschland ist echt der Taxi-Teller im politischen Angebot

Text
Unsere Ziele

Wir setzen uns für die Stärkung der Wirtschaftsmacht des Handwerks ein. Wir sind davon überzeugt, dass eine starke handwerkliche Basis die Grundlage für Wohlstand und Frieden in Deutschland bildet. Wir fordern eine Politik, die die Bedürfnisse des Handwerks in den Mittelpunkt stellt.
Bild: zwei Männer vor einem Transporter
Quelle
https://www.handwerkerparteideutschland.com/unsere-landesverbaende/thueringen

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 19/08/2026

Aus der Studie "Die politische Stimmung in Bayern (Frühjahr 1970)" ZA0791

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 17/08/2026

There is a related paper by @pengzell.bsky.social and @martinhallsten.bsky.social discussing the problems of family fixed effects with sibling comparison studies academic.oup.com/esr/article/...

Figure 1 Two types of family fixed-effects models, E1,E2: exposure, Y1,Y2: outcome. Note: Examples of the typical sibling comparison design (left) include effects of schooling on earnings, childbearing on earnings, or schooling on health and mortality. Examples of DFD (right) include the effects of parenting activities, parental income, or neighbourhood deprivation on early skill accumulation or later life outcomes

Figure 5 DFD with individual confounding (Eij ← Uij → Yij), reverse causality (Yij → Eij), and selection into identification (Eij → Dj ← Yij)

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 16/08/2026

Zur Erinnerung, Ulrike Malmendier ist wissenschaftliche x-mal anerkannter als Grimm, aber passte halt weniger zu den Lobby-Interessen. Wieder mal freiwillige intellektuelle Verzwergung

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 14/08/2026

nature.altmetric.com/details/2023...

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 14/08/2026

Enourmous work! i hope these lines will look differently soon nature.altmetric.com/details/1408...

Alt-metric stats across time of original paper

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 14/08/2026

Really great paper by @carlobarone.bsky.social following up to the position statement by @aksoyundan.bsky.social, Manzo, Birkelund, and Raub on the occasion of the 25th EAS anniversary journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Turning the tide, or treading water? On the politics of sociological standards
Abstract
This commentary questions why progress toward more rigorous standards has been so slow 25 years after the creation of the EAS. It argues the problem is structural rather than cognitive: critical and expressive sociology dominate hiring, publishing, and editorial gatekeeping, and their success criteria are largely orthogonal to methodological rigor. It contends that more rapid progress will require not just moral suasion but a more aggressive capture of evaluation infrastructure — journals, funding panels, and editorial boards — alongside greater public visibility for cognitive sociology, since legitimacy in public debate is itself a resource in the competition for academic power.

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 12/08/2026

Interesting paper by Konc, @jansteckel.bsky.social, @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social, @jensewald.bsky.social, and Sterner on the effect of energy price shocks on party support. Price increases lead to increase in AfD support papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 11/08/2026

Korrigiere, @zweitstimme.bsky.social hat schon was gemacht zu diesen Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeiten, mehr Details hier zweitstimme.org

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeiten verschiedener Szenarien der Landtagswahl in Sachsen-Anhalt 2026

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeiten verschiedener Szenarien der Landtagswahl in Berlin 2026

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeiten verschiedener Szenarien der Landtagswahl in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2026

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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 11/08/2026

Interesting paper by @matstud.bsky.social, Sadeghi, and Tochon on how to conduct sequence analysis with large datasets bristoluniversitypressdigital.com/view/journal...

This article develops and reviews methods for the creation of sequence analysis typologies
in large databases. The standard way to create such a typology relies on the computation of
distances between all observations, which quickly becomes intractable with large databases,
even with modern computers. We start by discussing the CLARA algorithm before extending
it with methods recently proposed for sequence analysis, including fuzzy and representativeness
clustering. The strengths of the approaches are assessed using simulations, which further
allows drawing some practical guidelines. Next, we discuss three approaches to measure the
quality of the clustering without computing all distances. The first is based on bootstrapping,
while the second is based on representative sequences (that is, medoids). We then introduce
a third innovative approach based on clustering stability, which further allows assessing the
convergence of the clustering algorithm. The methods are illustrated through a study of family
trajectories in India with more than 180,000 cases. All the methods are made available in the
WeightedCluster R package.

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