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Keith Seibert

@keithseibert.bsky.social
311 followers 516 following 779 posts

Alternative Investment Research, Manager Sourcing/Due Diligence OCIO Search Consultant Reposts/Likes = my work-related reading list, not my views or endorsements

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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 1h
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...
theatlantic.com
‘Nothing About This Was Inevitable’
The leaders of AI’s biggest companies refuse to admit they’re in control.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 6h
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
SpaceX to Acquire Low-Band Spectrum for Mobile Phone Service
Elon Musk’s SpaceX said it acquired low-band spectrum that will enable it to use its Starlink satellites to become a “major mobile carrier” in the US, sending shares in incumbent cell providers fallin...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 8h
The equity risk premium is not negative. Many people struggle with this.
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Archie Hall @archiehall.bsky.social · 11h
“Do not ‘let it rip’” I walk through why the no-rules approach to AI has now run its course in a new leader for @economist.com. Whatever its merits several years ago, ‘let it rip’ is now a dead end—politically infeasible and intellectually unserious. www.economist.com/leaders/2026...
economist.com
A no-rules approach to AI is mad politics and worse policy
Do not let it rip
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 22h
Japan’s small-cap cull is an opportunity for AI funds ft.trib.al/IWDLF33 | opinion
ft.trib.al
Japan’s small-cap cull is an opportunity for AI funds
Finding needles amid haystacks is a task for AI
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Butlerian Jihadist of House Dornick @shimminykricket.blacksky.app · 08/10/2026
Harvard just dropped a study AI productivity in software engineering and it found the average increase in productivity from using Claude code is.....zero and for exactly the reasons you'd think fion.ac/jellyfish.pdf
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... S&P 500 hits record high as AI stocks shrug off bond market slump
giftarticle.ft.com
S&P 500 hits record high as AI stocks shrug off bond market slump
Wall Street’s benchmark index closes at fresh peak but rally is increasingly reliant on handful of tech stocks
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Ellisons Invest an Estimated $17 Billion in Warner Bros. Buyout
David Ellison and his family invested approximately $17 billion to complete Paramount Skydance Corp.’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., according to public filings.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Hedge Fund Rokos Returned 4.2% in Turbulent Month for Trading
Chris Rokos’s macro hedge fund made 4.2% last month when many others eked out meager returns amid challenging trading conditions caused by global bond market volatility.
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
From Duncan Lamont EM diversification.. an illusion? Cap-weighted MSCI EM is up 24%.. driven by AI giants like TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix.. while equal-weighted EM is up just 6%. $EEM $IEMG
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TechCrunch @techcrunch.com · 07/10/2026
Ring’s first smart lock can be hand-cranked when its battery dies
techcrunch.com
Ring’s first smart lock can be hand-cranked when its battery dies
Amazon-owned Ring is entering the smart lock market with a device designed to tackle a common concern: getting locked out when the battery dies
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Kalshi Files Proposal for Never-Expiring Oil Contract With CFTC
Kalshi Inc. has filed a proposal for an oil-linked futures contract that never expires with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, according to the company.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
When 20% of Profits Won’t Do, Fund Managers Seek ‘Super Carry’
When Parthenon Capital Partners set out to extend its control of Kroll Bond Rating Agency, the private equity firm also sought a higher share of profits — known as “super carry” — to manage a new fund...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
A 30% Options Pop in Mere Minutes Shows Power of ‘Finfluencers’
Shortly after the US stock market opened on May 7, 2025, a message landed in a Discord trading chat: “BTO $EBAY 72c 05/09 @0.30.”
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 07/10/2026
Investors are witnessing ‘the best earnings and margin growth in our lifetime’ spurred by lavish spending on the AI build-out, with S&P 500 profits forecast to have risen 27% from a year earlier, according to Goldman Sachs. ft.trib.al/hZYrase
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San Francisco Chronicle @sfchronicle.com · 06/10/2026
The best wineries to visit in Napa, Sonoma and the rest of the Bay Area, 2026
bit.ly
Best wineries to visit in Napa and the greater Bay Area 2026
The best wineries to visit in Napa, Sonoma and the rest of the Bay Area, 2026
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
bloomberg.com
High Earners Stop Maxing Out 401(k)s, Betting They Can Outsmart Retirement Savings
Armed with a flood of online investing advice, savvy savers are on the hunt for better ways to grow their money.
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Let's see how bad breadth gets by the close... -Almost an even split between advancers and decliners -Way more new lows than new highs -69% of stocks < 50dma -29% < 200dma @finviz_com
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Yahoo Finance @yahoofinance.com · 06/10/2026
US trade deficit jumped above $100 billion in August
yhoo.it
US trade deficit jumped above $100 billion in August
The trade deficit in August was $105.6 billion, a 13.8% increase from July's revised $92.8 billion deficit.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
KOBEISSI: “.. If this pace continues, credit spreads for the lowest-rated US corporate bonds will exceed the 2022 peak of 12.9% as soon as this month. .. To put this into perspective, the 2020 pandemic high was 19.6%.”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
(Of course, consensus has been habitually too conservative.) 😎
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
You are here. ⬇️ (via GS)
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
“.. Kevin Warsh wants investors to watch the economy, not the Fed. But two of his deputies stepped in last week and the probability of an October rate hike fell to around 25% from 70% .. .. Why weaning the markets off Fed signals is harder than it sounds.” @nicktimiraos.bsky.social
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.investors.com/news/google-...
investors.com
Google Nuke Deal Jolts Constellation Energy To Top Of S&P 500
A Google nuclear deal vaulted Constellation Energy stock to the top of the S&P 500 early Tuesday. The deal will boost capacity of existing plants.
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Ian Smith @iankmsmith.ft.com · 06/10/2026
Why has the global bond market sold off in the Iran war? Why is France getting it worst among big bond markets? Where does the rubber hit the road for gilts/the UK? Put your questions to @robinwigglesworth.ft.com + me here and we'll (do our best to) answer them on Thu www.ft.com/content/d51a...
ft.com
Submit a question: What is driving the global bond sell-off?
Alphaville editor Robin Wigglesworth and senior markets correspondent Ian Smith will answer reader questions in a live Q&A on Thursday October 8, at 1pm
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The bond market sell-off is helping the dollar economist.com/finance-and-... from The Economist
economist.com
The bond market sell-off is helping the dollar
But the strength of the greenback is not as reliable as in the past
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Nvidia’s Valuations Show AI Rally Isn’t a Bubble, DBS Says
Nvidia Corp.’s price-to-earnings multiple and projected 70% earnings growth for next year demonstrate that artificial intelligence-driven technology stocks remain far from bubble territory, DBS Group ...
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Ian Smith @iankmsmith.ft.com · 06/10/2026
"France is probably too big to fail, but it is not too big for the markets to punish" Our Big Read today on France, caught between the street and the bond market. Investors fear the country could be tipped into a debt crisis that would shake the Eurozone as.ft.com/r/4827a084-b...
as.ft.com
France: between the bond market and the barricades
The country is being hit by a pre-election debt sell-off. Many fear it could shake the Eurozone
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.morningstar.com/funds/this-o...
morningstar.com
This Overlooked Asset Class Is Getting an AI Boost
Recent gains have sparked renewed interest in convertibles. Here’s what to know about their unique risk/reward profile before investing.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Bond markets whack France for fiscal irresponsibility economist.com/europe/2026/... from The Economist
economist.com
Bond markets whack France for fiscal irresponsibility
Political risk brings economic pain
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... France: between the bond market and the barricades
giftarticle.ft.com
France: between the bond market and the barricades
The country is being hit by a pre-election debt sell-off. Many fear it could shake the Eurozone
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.popularmechanics.com/technology/g...
popularmechanics.com
The Best Amazon Prime Big Deal Days Tech Sales in 2026
Early deals are already live on TVs, headphones, battery packs, and more.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
hbr.org/2026/09/ai-i...
hbr.org
AI Is Revolutionizing Strategic Decision-Making
For decades, the limits of time and brain capacity meant that teams could consider only so many strategic options before making decisions. Strategy tools—SWOT analyses, portfolio matrices—were simple ...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Amazon Nuke Deal to Help Expand Constellation Maryland Site
Amazon.com Inc. has agreed to purchase 690 megawatts of power from Constellation Energy Corp. in a deal that will help the biggest US nuclear operator boost capacity at the only reactors in Maryland.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Google, Constellation Near Billion-Dollar Deal for Nuclear Power
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is close to an agreement to buy nuclear energy from Constellation Energy Corp., as technology companies race to line up power for the data-center boom.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/asset-manage...
pionline.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
GOLDMAN: High rates “have revived fiscal sustainability concerns. The large primary deficit remains the main driver of the debt-to-GDP ratio, but persistently higher rates would boost interest expenses and push the ratio up faster—raising the odds that deficit reduction becomes necessary sooner ..”
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
nybooks.com
Getting into Trouble | Václav Havel, Paul Wilson
Almost fifty years after the Czechoslovak human rights initiative Charter 77 was first reported in the Review’s pages, Václav Havel’s own long-lost account of his imprisonment now appears in English f...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Goldman’s Bid for CLO Manager Highlights Wall Street’s Fee Hunt
Larger asset managers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have been looking to snap up CLO management businesses as they hunt for lucrative fee streams in the $1 trillion US market.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/alternative-...
pionline.com
Partners Group proposes new wrinkle for private equity fund facing investor redemptions
Partners Group asked shareholders to approve splitting a private equity fund that had more than 5% in redemption requests into a two-portfolio structure.
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Jesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 05/10/2026
‘Top Chinese models lag their US rivals by just 3% on benchmark scores after the September release of DeepSeek’s V4.1 Flash. That’s down from about 9% in May. That improving performance spells further market share gains for Chinese contenders.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
US Lead in AI Over China Narrows After DeepSeek Gains, BI Says
American AI companies’ performance lead over China narrowed sharply in past months to a record low after labs such as DeepSeek gained ground, threatening US tech supremacy, according to Bloomberg Inte...
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The Editorial Board @editorialboard.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
You know who’s going to pay for this? You and me.
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Mo Hossain @mohossain.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
PE LBO era? Higher‑for‑longer has crushed the 2017–21 vintage; >40% of US buyout AUM now stuck >7yrs; exits clogged, bonuses gone, rainmakers fleeing. Giants pivot to private credit + insurance flow. Fundraising 2026 $216B 1H, but hyper‑concentrated + secondaries‑heavy. x.com/mohossain/st...
PE LBO era hitting acceptance phase?

Higher‑for‑longer has crushed the 2017–21 vintage; >40% of US buyout AUM now stuck >7yrs; exits clogged, bonuses gone, rainmakers fleeing. Giants pivot to private credit + insurance flow. Fundraising 2026 rebounds ($216B 1H) but hyper‑concentrated + secondaries‑heavy. Future PE = long‑duration, low‑leverage manager‑owners, not classic LBO churn.

 @ennovance 
https://x.com/mohossain/status/2106915348867924107?s=46
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Polymarket’s Alpha traders
giftarticle.ft.com
Polymarket’s Alpha traders
In a private group chat, an elite crew of prediction-market bettors turn elections, wars and disasters into ‘free money on the floor’
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-a...
wsj.com
AI Agents Are Offering to Run Your Life. Should You Let Them?
Personal bots, such as Meta’s Muse, OpenAI’s Dots, and Instinct, can now take on your to-do list. Should you let them?
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
www.wsj.com/economy/truc...
wsj.com
Truckers Are Using Every Trick They Can to Survive Soaring Diesel Prices
A day at a truck stop in Texas shows an industry essential to the U.S. economy under tremendous pressure.
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
From Carl Quintanilla BTIG: “$SOX continues to track extremely close to the boom/bust cycle of the 2000 peak. It’s quite striking.. This would imply we are about at the peak of this counter-trend rally and embarking on a slower, drawn-out decline over the next several months.”
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
You’ve been given free access to this story from The Economist as a gift. You can open the link five times within seven days. After that it will expire. The Swiss watch industry is shrinking—but getting swankier economist.com/business/202...
economist.com
The Swiss watch industry is shrinking—but getting swankier
Brands such as Rolex and Patek Philippe are consolidating the market
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
“.. The cost to insure the debt of both companies against default .. is increasingly moving in lock-step, a sign investors are beginning to treat the two credits as intertwined. “.. You have to consider your total Larry Ellison risk,” Goodman said. $ORCL $PSKY www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Hedge funds struggle for September gains as rate, AI swings bite - www.reuters.com/world/china/...
reuters.com
Hedge funds struggle for September gains as rate, AI swings bite
Global hedge funds struggled to deliver positive returns in September as surging bond yields, higher oil prices ​and sharp swings in AI shares whipsawed the markets, according ‌to prime brokerage note...
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