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Keith Seibert

@keithseibert.bsky.social
309 followers 516 following 759 posts

Alternative Investment Research, Manager Sourcing/Due Diligence OCIO Search Consultant Reposts/Likes = my work-related reading list, not my views or endorsements

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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 26m
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
nybooks.com
Getting into Trouble | Václav Havel, Paul Wilson
Almost fifty years after the Czechoslovak human rights initiative Charter 77 was first reported in the Review’s pages, Václav Havel’s own long-lost account of his imprisonment now appears in English f...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 4h
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Goldman’s Bid for CLO Manager Highlights Wall Street’s Fee Hunt
Larger asset managers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have been looking to snap up CLO management businesses as they hunt for lucrative fee streams in the $1 trillion US market.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 11h
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/alternative-...
pionline.com
Partners Group proposes new wrinkle for private equity fund facing investor redemptions
Partners Group asked shareholders to approve splitting a private equity fund that had more than 5% in redemption requests into a two-portfolio structure.
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Reposted by Keith Seibert
Jesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 17h
‘Top Chinese models lag their US rivals by just 3% on benchmark scores after the September release of DeepSeek’s V4.1 Flash. That’s down from about 9% in May. That improving performance spells further market share gains for Chinese contenders.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
US Lead in AI Over China Narrows After DeepSeek Gains, BI Says
American AI companies’ performance lead over China narrowed sharply in past months to a record low after labs such as DeepSeek gained ground, threatening US tech supremacy, according to Bloomberg Inte...
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The Editorial Board @editorialboard.bsky.social · 17h
You know who’s going to pay for this? You and me.
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Mo Hossain @mohossain.bsky.social · 17h
PE LBO era? Higher‑for‑longer has crushed the 2017–21 vintage; >40% of US buyout AUM now stuck >7yrs; exits clogged, bonuses gone, rainmakers fleeing. Giants pivot to private credit + insurance flow. Fundraising 2026 $216B 1H, but hyper‑concentrated + secondaries‑heavy. x.com/mohossain/st...
PE LBO era hitting acceptance phase?

Higher‑for‑longer has crushed the 2017–21 vintage; >40% of US buyout AUM now stuck >7yrs; exits clogged, bonuses gone, rainmakers fleeing. Giants pivot to private credit + insurance flow. Fundraising 2026 rebounds ($216B 1H) but hyper‑concentrated + secondaries‑heavy. Future PE = long‑duration, low‑leverage manager‑owners, not classic LBO churn.

 @ennovance 
https://x.com/mohossain/status/2106915348867924107?s=46
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 23h
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Polymarket’s Alpha traders
giftarticle.ft.com
Polymarket’s Alpha traders
In a private group chat, an elite crew of prediction-market bettors turn elections, wars and disasters into ‘free money on the floor’
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 23h
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-a...
wsj.com
AI Agents Are Offering to Run Your Life. Should You Let Them?
Personal bots, such as Meta’s Muse, OpenAI’s Dots, and Instinct, can now take on your to-do list. Should you let them?
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 23h
www.wsj.com/economy/truc...
wsj.com
Truckers Are Using Every Trick They Can to Survive Soaring Diesel Prices
A day at a truck stop in Texas shows an industry essential to the U.S. economy under tremendous pressure.
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Reposted by Keith Seibert
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 23h
From Carl Quintanilla BTIG: “$SOX continues to track extremely close to the boom/bust cycle of the 2000 peak. It’s quite striking.. This would imply we are about at the peak of this counter-trend rally and embarking on a slower, drawn-out decline over the next several months.”
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
You’ve been given free access to this story from The Economist as a gift. You can open the link five times within seven days. After that it will expire. The Swiss watch industry is shrinking—but getting swankier economist.com/business/202...
economist.com
The Swiss watch industry is shrinking—but getting swankier
Brands such as Rolex and Patek Philippe are consolidating the market
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
“.. The cost to insure the debt of both companies against default .. is increasingly moving in lock-step, a sign investors are beginning to treat the two credits as intertwined. “.. You have to consider your total Larry Ellison risk,” Goodman said. $ORCL $PSKY www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Hedge funds struggle for September gains as rate, AI swings bite - www.reuters.com/world/china/...
reuters.com
Hedge funds struggle for September gains as rate, AI swings bite
Global hedge funds struggled to deliver positive returns in September as surging bond yields, higher oil prices ​and sharp swings in AI shares whipsawed the markets, according ‌to prime brokerage note...
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Massive de-ratings among rate-sensitive, cyclical, and defensive sectors... Utilities, Materials, Real Estate $XLU $XLB $XLRE P/E ratios have plummeted @dualityresearch
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Bloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 03/10/2026
As Paramount and Oracle vault into the ranks of corporate America’s biggest borrowers, their links to the same man — billionaire Larry Ellison — are starting to stir angst on Wall Street. Read more: bloom.bg/4iWIGeu 📷: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
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ADHD Memes @adhdforreal.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
www.chicagotribune.com/2026/10/02/p...
chicagotribune.com
Keurig debuts plastic-free coffee pods
The puck-shaped capsules come eight to a box, and most varieties will cost $1.37 each — comparable to one of the company’s traditional K-Cup pods.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
www.popularmechanics.com/culture/a739...
popularmechanics.com
The Best Holiday Toys Surprisingly Include Editor-Favorites From Stanley, John Deere, and Nintendo
We started early this year.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
You’ve been given free access to this story from The Economist as a gift. You can open the link five times within seven days. After that it will expire. China is giving its economy a big shot in the arm economist.com/briefing/202...
economist.com
China is giving its economy a big shot in the arm
A massive infrastructure scheme may give the country a sorely needed boost—and help rebalance the world economy
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/alternative-...
pionline.com
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
FT: The US relies on short-term bonds for the largest share of its sovereign issuance among major economies. @soberlook thedailyshot.com/sub...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Robinhood Stock Tokens Fueled a $440 Million Memecoin Frenzy
Low Ze Sheng has spent the past two years trading memecoins, chasing the jokes and bursts of attention that can send a token soaring before the crowd moves on.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/alternative-...
pionline.com
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.investors.com/etfs-and-fun...
investors.com
12% Bond Yields Aren't A Myth — They're Up For Grabs Now
Sure, 5.2% 10-year Treasury yields are tempting — but how does 12% sound? Fat yields are out there if you look hard enough.
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Jesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 02/10/2026
“The five largest stocks in the S&P 500 made up 30.4% of the index's market cap at the end of the third quarter.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/aaii-alloc...
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Gregory Daco @gregdaco.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
🚨Income erosion We've long established the labor market is non-inflationary, but with real wage growth having been negative for the last 6-months that represents a cap on consumer spending growth
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Quant hedge funds reap big gains from global bond sell-off
giftarticle.ft.com
Quant hedge funds reap big gains from global bond sell-off
Trend-following portfolios have latched on to sharp rise in yields this year as Iran war and strong US economic data fuel inflation fears
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Broadcom Starts Amassing $60 Billion to Fund Chips for Anthropic
Broadcom Inc.’s Wall Street syndicate are starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Broadcom Starts Amassing $60 Billion to Fund Chips for Anthropic
Broadcom Inc.’s Wall Street syndicate are starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.wellington.com/en/insights/...
wellington.com
The total portfolio approach: A mindset, not a mandate
TPA doesn’t have to be an all-or-nothing overhaul — selected practices can help allocators deploy risk more deliberately, compare opportunities more clearly, and focus active risk where conviction is ...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Rising Yields Are Wreaking Havoc on Stocks Outside the AI Trade
After the 10-year Treasury yield rose as high as 5.34% for the first time since 2002, stock traders are fiercely debating when the selloff in bonds will start to trigger pain for a resilient US stock ...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Jevon, call your office. (via Coatue)
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.barrons.com/articles/sto...
barrons.com
Why Veteran Strategists on Wall Street Are Bracing for Greater Volatility
BCA Research’s Arthur Budaghyan warns U.S. bonds could continue to slide until financial conditions tighten.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
fortune.com/2026/09/28/g...
fortune.com
Gen Z isn’t bad at workplace communication—your company is bad at explaining its rules | Fortune
A text about being late can signal respect for a manager’s time to one worker and indifference to another. How to tell?
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
nybooks.com
‘I Taste Ashes in the Wind’ | Jerry Brown
Ever since the end of the cold war, the subject of nuclear war and the profound threat it poses to humanity has suffered a “peculiar invisibility.” This
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Millennium Saw Zero Return in Volatile September for Hedge Funds
Hedge fund titan Millennium Management saw zero return amid volatility last month, when inflation concerns pushed bond yields to multidecade highs and hit fixed-income wagers.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
The Rise of the 80/20 Portfolio Among ETF Investors
In this episode of Trillions, we also look at data pointing to bipartisan investment tastes and why Septembers are lousy for markets.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Hedge Funds Boost Bets on Euro Weakness as French Risks Increase
Hedge funds are loading up on options that will profit if the euro weakens against the dollar as political and fiscal risks mount in France.
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Bill McBride @calculatedrisk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
30-year fixed at 7.60% www.mortgagenewsdaily.com
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Hedge Funds Diameter, Redwood Purchased Nuveen’s Brightline Debt
Distressed-debt hedge funds Diameter Capital Partners, Redwood Capital and FourSixThree Capital bought about $190 million of Brightline’s municipal bonds from Nuveen this week, according to people fam...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.bloomberg.com/features/202...
bloomberg.com
The Elusive Leaders Behind Jane Street’s Wall Street Rise
A guide to the management committee, decision makers, founders and notable alumni at the secretive trading house.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Global Bonds Face Worst Quarter Since 2024 on Inflation Fears
Global government bonds are finishing up their worst quarter since 2024 as $100 oil revives the threat of an inflation shock to the world economy.
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Center for Economic and Policy Research @ceprdc.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
September's #jobday data are about to drop. Here's what you need to know Wage growth is weak, inflation is high. Job growth will slow as healthcare will account for most of it. Prime age employment among men has fallen. Read @deanbaker13.bsky.social #econsky:
tinyurl.com
September 2026 Preview: What to Expect in the Jobs Report
The September jobs report is likely to show modest job growth, weak wage gains, and continued labor market weakness for many workers.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.barrons.com/articles/sto...
barrons.com
10-Year Treasury Yield Surges Toward 6%: What It Means for Stocks and Debt Markets
“Higher for longer” is set to be a fact of life for financial markets well into the end of the decade—and probably for a lot longer.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.barrons.com/articles/10-...
barrons.com
The 10-Year Yield Hasn’t Had a Quarter This Ugly in Decades
For Treasury investors, there’s no other way to describe the past three months other than brutal.
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Tony Tassell @tonytassell.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
One of the great business journalists @alankohler.bsky.social is retiring - if the BBC or another broadcaster wants to understand how to make business and finance news accessible, they should study this former editor of AFR. Clear, personable and a great communicator. www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09...
abc.net.au
Finance presenter Alan Kohler retiring after three decades at ABC
Alan Kohler, one of the most influential journalists Australia has ever produced, will retire at the end of the year.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The End of Private Equity’s Leveraged Buyout Era Is Nigh
Higher-for-longer interest rates are forcing buyout firms to face facts. Struggling since 2023 to sell companies purchased in the long decade of ultra-cheap debt before the Covid pandemic, they’ve tri...
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.investors.com/research/blo...
investors.com
Bloom Energy Soars Nearly 11%. It's Among 18 High Performers Joining Best Stock Lists.
Last quarter, Bloom Energy reported a 680% hike in earnings on a 166% jump in revenue. It's among 18 stocks on IBD top stock lists Tuesday.
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Check out this Pensions & Investments article. www.pionline.com/asset-manage...
pionline.com
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Keith Seibert @keithseibert.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.popularmechanics.com/technology/a...
popularmechanics.com
The AirPods 5 Finally Make ANC Standard for a Slightly Lower Price
ANC comes standard on Apple’s slightly boosted basic earbuds.
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