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Karen Kwok

@karenkkwok.bsky.social
771 followers 77 following 17 posts

Columnist, Reuters Breakingviews. Geek out over numbers, tech, business and finance. (Oh and whiskey and travels!) www.breakingviews.com

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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Talking Biz News @talkingbiznews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
@karenkkwok.bsky.social is now writing about US tech for Reuters Breakingviews: talkingbiznews.com/media-news/r...
talkingbiznews.com
Reuters Breakingviews columnist Kwok moves to US to write about tech - Talking Biz News
Reuters Breakingviews columnist Karen Kwok is now a columnist based in New York focusing on global technology and venture capital sectors, writing stories about artificial intelligence, fintech, and s...
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Before you compare Anthropic and OpenAI revenue, check the context. Some reports compare the two rivals side by side, but the headline numbers include or exclude cloud partner revenue share in very different ways. I explain here via @breakingviews.reuters.com: www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
breakingviews.com
Anthropic’s turbo-growth is only half the AI story
The Claude developer expects to post its first operating profit ​and double quarterly sales ​to $11 bln. That doesn’t account for ⁠cuts taken by partners ​like Google, while costs are soaring. ​Most c...
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Trying to figure out whether SpaceX is worth $1.75 trillion? Check out my team @robcyran.bsky.social @breakingviews.reuters.com calculator for Elon Musk’s wildest venture yet, as he looks to raise $75 billion for his AI-rocket-satellite-data-center firm via the public market. reut.rs/4wJd6VZ
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Rob Cyran @robcyran.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
I had a ton of fun making this calculator on the value of Musk's imagination in SpaceX's IPO and hope you do too!
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 11/03/2026
What happens if OpenAI or Anthropic fail? www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
What happens if OpenAI or Anthropic fail?
The money-burning ​developers of ChatGPT and ⁠Claude sparked an ​investment mania, with ​Big Tech set to spend $650 bln this year ​on the ​AI race as lenders pile ‌in. ⁠For now, this vast well of capi...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Peter Thal Larsen @petertl.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
How do startups like Anthropic calculate their often-quoted "run-rate revenue" figures? The answer, via @karenkkwok.bsky.social, is even more convoluted than I expected. www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
The $5 billion figure refers to GAAP revenue generated ​from 2023 through to December 2025, a person familiar with the matter told Breakingviews; the $19 billion ⁠is an extrapolation. Anthropic defines “run-rate revenue” in two parts. Use the last 28 days of sales from customers charged on a ​consumption basis and multiply it by 13. Then, multiply the monthly subscription take by 12, and add the two together.
These snapshots are ​inexact, capturing or missing sudden consumption spikes or dips. It helps explain how $14 billion can become $19 billion within weeks.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 20/02/2026
OpenAI $100 bln mega-raise may be a mere pit stop www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
OpenAI $100 bln mega-raise may be a mere pit stop
Amazon, SoftBank and Nvidia could lead what would be the largest private round ever. Yet with $280 bln of possible cash burn by 2030, using HSBC forecasts, the ChatGPT maker will need more before long...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 25/02/2026
Software rout exacerbates buyout exit crunch www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Software rout exacerbates buyout exit crunch
Hg-backed Visma is delaying its IPO until at least 2027, as the AI-driven selloff depresses tech valuations. It follows similar moves by Blackstone. Private equity groups that spent over $220 bln on a...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 28/01/2026
ASML monopoly merits a bigger share-price premium - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
ASML monopoly merits a bigger share-price premium
The $590 bln Dutch firm reported blowout orders. Investors have been fretting about geopolitics, specifically whether China can mimic its circuit-printing techniques, leading to a loss of the company'...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 29/01/2026
Masa Son’s OpenAI bet is conspicuously underhedged www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Masa Son’s OpenAI bet is conspicuously underhedged
The SoftBank CEO may put $30 bln into the AI lab, having already done so last year. Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon and Sequoia are backing many horses including Anthropic, but Son is concentrating on Sam A...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 14/01/2026
Rio Tinto and Glencore can meet each other halfway - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Rio Tinto and Glencore can meet each other halfway
The $140 bln Aussie miner will want a nil-premium merger; its Swiss peer a normal 30% takeover premium. But 15% should be enough for both sets of shareholders to live with. Especially when the deal ma...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 16/01/2026
Copper's surge offers false hope for miners - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Copper's surge offers false hope for miners
The red metal has topped a record $13,000 per metric ton, driven by US tariff fears. Yet short-term price spikes can’t justify the cost, time and political risks of building new mines. Without lasting...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 20/01/2026
This year’s IPO hopefuls are running out of time - www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
This year’s IPO hopefuls are running out of time
Listing conditions were perfect before Greenland. Valuations and volatility indicators still suggest companies should be gearing up to float. The rest of 2026 may be harder, with US midterms ushering ...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 08/10/2025
How Europe can play to its strengths with AI - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 08/10/2025
SoftBank robot gamble is pricey bet on Arm sequel - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 21/10/2025
Victoria Beckham’s glow-up could fetch $700 mln - www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 31/10/2025
Smelly tuna debut undercuts London IPO hype - www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 27/06/2025
Dubai has unclear buffer against new property pain - www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Dubai has unclear buffer against new property pain
The emirate’s past housing busts saw prices fall up to 60%. A five-year boom and glut of new properties mean another correction is due. What happens next hinges on whether the wealthy foreigners drivi...
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Microsoft-OpenAI deadlock could calm capital mania www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
breakingviews.com
Microsoft-OpenAI deadlock could calm capital mania
The software giant’s partnership with the $300 bln ChatGPT maker is fraying over access to tech and exclusive cloud computing rights. In need of consent to change its structure, OpenAI may have to mak...
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
China’s Hello Kitty gifts investors a mystery box www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
breakingviews.com
China’s Hello Kitty gifts investors a mystery box
Labubu, the toothy-grinned plush doll, has powered a 500% rally at Hong Kong-listed Pop Mart, now worth $41 bln. Investors may be betting on the firm's push into theme parks and more. But as the iconi...
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Wondering what's going on with all the China tech restrictions and trade talks related to semiconductors? Read my latest Big View @breakingviews.reuters.com. When it comes to stimulating a key industry, the U.S. strategy is falling short. www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
breakingviews.com
Donald Trump’s US chip revival is half-assembled
The president hopes to secure semiconductor dominance over China by reshoring production and courting allies. His predecessor Joe Biden’s $53 bln subsidies are a start, but success will take years and...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 06/06/2025
Desert mega-deals test Washington’s AI sovereignty - www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 02/06/2025
Monzo’s glossy growth is backed by old bank tricks - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Monzo’s glossy growth is backed by old bank tricks
The $6 bln neobank turned a profit for the second year in a row, thanks to rising deposits and still-high UK rates. More lending, hedging and bond-buying should help the group prepare for falling yiel...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 22/05/2025
Rio CEO exit hands successor strategic quandaries - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Rio CEO exit hands successor strategic quandaries
Jakob Stausholm will retire from the $107 bln miner after just over four years. He delivered respectable returns, but led an expensive charge into lithium and leaves Rio Tinto’s unwieldy dual listing ...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Techmeme @techmeme.com · 23/05/2025
PitchBook: emerging managers in VC, defined as those with three or fewer funds, raised $17B in the US in 2024, down from $64B in 2021, and $4.7B so far in 2025 (Bloomberg) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 13/05/2025
SoftBank’s rising leverage ups stakes for AI bet - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
SoftBank’s rising leverage ups stakes for AI bet
The Japanese group’s loan-to-value ratio has more than doubled since last March to 20%. It’s hard to see how it can fund commitments to OpenAI and $500 bln Stargate without selling assets. Higher debt...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 15/05/2025
Gulf’s delicate US-China balance can easily flip - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Gulf’s delicate US-China balance can easily flip
Saudi and the UAE’s reliance on Silicon Valley’s talents and tech makes it easier to adhere to Washington's new Huawei chip curbs. But Beijing remains a big trading customer and is making headway in A...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 08/05/2025
Trump mineral plan will create bigger problems - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Trump mineral plan will create bigger problems
The US wants to produce more minerals like rare earths and apply tariffs on Chinese imports. Hiking production in the $325 bln market makes sense but opening new mines will take decades. In the meanti...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 17/04/2025
Banks can dodge a 2022-style hung debt disaster - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Banks can dodge a 2022-style hung debt disaster
High-yield borrowing costs have spiked, raising memories of the $80 bln of loans and bonds that got stuck with lenders three years ago. Yet the leveraged buyout backlog is smaller now, and the credit ...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 17/04/2025
Swiss spinoff proves that not all robots are equal - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Swiss spinoff proves that not all robots are equal
Conglomerate ABB will hand its industrial arm-making unit to investors. It makes sense given fierce competition and scant overlap with the rest of the $95 bln group. With Nvidia and Tesla’s CEO hyping...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 28/04/2025
DoorDash’s Deliveroo swoop is pricey but timely - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
DoorDash’s Deliveroo swoop is pricey but timely
The $79 bln US food delivery giant has bid $3 bln for its UK peer. Even with a relatively modest premium, DoorDash needs growth and savings for its deal to stack up. Still, with rival bidders either d...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 16/04/2025
US-Dutch purchase flags new art of the chip deal - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
US-Dutch purchase flags new art of the chip deal
Applied Materials bought 9% of $8 bln Netherlands-based BESI. In a less geopolitically tense world, it might be a cross-border takeover instead. Grabbing a stake at least gets the Californian buyer a ...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 16/04/2025
ASML holds up lens to chip sector’s known unknowns - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
ASML holds up lens to chip sector’s known unknowns
The $260 bln maker of semiconductor machines says US tariffs will push up the cost of microprocessors and may hit smartphone and data centre demand. New curbs on Nvidia’s Chinese exports add further c...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 17/03/2025
Klarna’s wisest IPO aim is a modest valuation hike - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Klarna’s wisest IPO aim is a modest valuation hike
The buy now, pay later firm made a net profit in 2024 as it eyes a US listing. Klarna was once worth $46 bln, but the last funding round only fetched $7 bln. While a new Walmart deal helps, rocky mark...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 20/02/2025
Anglo’s self-help plan is working deceptively well - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Anglo’s self-help plan is working deceptively well
The $41 bln miner’s shares are well below the value of a rejected share-based offer from BHP last year, and CEO Duncan Wanblad is mired in writedowns. But diamond woes are old. And Anglo American’s va...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 20/02/2025
AI agents have clear mission, hazy business model - @karenkkwok.bsky.social - reut.rs/419Z00M
reut.rs
Breakingviews - AI agents have clear mission, hazy business model
In late 1999 the online fashion startup Boo.com launched its website, which featured a virtual shopping assistant. The avatar, known as Miss Boo, was supposed to offer styling tips to customers and allow them to view jeans and shirts on three-dimensional models before buying. The concept may sound familiar to anyone who has recently listened to technology companies extoll the potential of agents using artificial intelligence. Boo.com collapsed a few months after it launched, in part because the website proved slow and unreliable. The technology industry’s hopes are riding on a bet that AI-powered agents will be more successful this time.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 19/02/2025
Glencore says it is considering ditching its primary listing in the UK in favour of another venue. As @karenkkwok.bsky.social wrote last August after a dropped proposal for a coal spinoff, re-listing the whole business in the US could make sense. Re-read the view: www.reuters.com/breakingview...
reuters.com
Breakingviews - Glencore may be the next UK listing to head west
Gary Nagle is flipping the script. The boss of $61 billion Swiss miner Glencore on Wednesday said he would drop a proposal to spin off his coal business via a New York initial public offering. Even so, he may yet opt to re-list the whole business there instead.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 11/02/2025
Paris summits go from green accord to AI discord - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Paris summits go from green accord to AI discord
A decade ago, France’s capital saw the world unite to fight climate change. In 2025, the US has refused to sign even a vague pledge for ‘inclusive and sustainable AI’ at President Macron’s conflab. Wa...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 30/01/2025
Masayoshi Son picks odd time to bet big on OpenAI - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Masayoshi Son picks odd time to bet big on OpenAI
The Japanese investor may sink $25 bln into the ChatGPT firm. DeepSeek has cast the OpenAI strategy of spending huge volumes of capital on smarter AI models in a new light. SoftBank investors will fre...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 27/01/2025
China advance creates more AI winners than losers - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
China advance creates more AI winners than losers
The DeepSeek model’s quality and low cost has spurred a selloff in chips and energy stocks. Chinese competition may indeed hit ‘picks and shovels’ players like $3.5 trln Nvidia. But it’s not yet certa...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Clay Ranck @clayranck.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
A dementia-addled Trump claims that Spain is a “BRICS nation.” (He may be thinking of South Africa, the “S” in BRICS) (video from @acyn.bsky.social)
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 14/01/2025
Spotify’s share surge arrives at AI crossroads - www.breakingviews.com/considered-v... - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
Spotify’s share surge arrives at AI crossroads
The $92 bln streamer more than doubled its market value last year. A change of pricing structure for artists and subscribers, plus artificial intelligence boosts, suggests CEO Daniel Ek can keep raisi...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 08/01/2025
Meta’s Brussels bark may be worse than its bite - www.reuters.com/breakingview... - @georgehay.bsky.social - @karenkkwok.bsky.social
reuters.com
Breakingviews - Meta’s Brussels bark may be worse than its bite
Mark Zuckerberg is, among other things, resetting his relations with Europe. Towards the end of Tuesday’s five-minute video relaxing content moderation rules, the Meta Platforms chief executive criticised European technology regulations and pledged to work with President-elect Donald Trump to “push back on governments going after American companies and pushing to censor more”. That sounds bad for the EU’s agenda to moderate content on social media – but Meta doesn’t hold all the cards.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Craig Silverman @craigsilverman.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Massive change at Meta, as Zuckerberg announces they’re ditching fact checkers in the US and replacing them with community notes. Meta is probably the single largest funder of fact checking in the world right now. But that appears to be coming to an end. www.facebook.com/share/v/18Rc...?
facebook.com
Redirecting...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Peter Thal Larsen @petertl.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Here is 11 hours of almost unbroken tweeting by Elon Musk, starting at midnight GMT/7pm EST on Monday. How is he getting anything else done?
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Why an OpenAI IPO could create the next hot meme stock? My take for the Predictions 2025 👇 It could be a stupid thought, so read and let me know ;)
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Karen Kwok @karenkkwok.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
It's the time of the year to check out 2025 Predictions from Reuters Breakingviews! Read for free - and it's everything from AI to geopolitical risks. All you need to read.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
George Hay @georgehay.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
"Masayoshi Son’s new $100 billion investment target for the United States sums up the Japanese tycoon: it’s attention-grabbing, probably exaggerated, and almost certainly a poor use of his shareholders’ money" @karenkkwok.bsky.social
breakingviews.com
SoftBank’s $100 bln US pledge is doubly fanciful
In 2016 Masayoshi Son offered to invest $50 bln stateside. Now the Japanese group’s founder has promised Donald Trump twice that sum, despite having barely a quarter of it at his disposal. It will be ...
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 17/12/2024
In 2025, BHP CEO Mike Henry could take another crack at buying Anglo American – this time with a partner. Read the prediction from @karenkkwok.bsky.social: www.reuters.com/breakingview...
reuters.com
Breakingviews - BREAKINGVIEWS-BHP will try a club deal for Anglo American
Mike Henry will take another crack at buying Anglo American – with a partner. The BHP boss’s previous attempt to buy his smaller rival to become the world’s top copper miner failed in May due in part to his proposal’s complex structure and in part to his unwillingness to pay a big premium. The six-month cooling-off period imposed by UK takeover rules expired at the end of November. But recent developments make another solo attempt even harder to pull off, increasing the appeal of shouldering the burden with rivals.
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Reposted by Karen Kwok
Reuters Breakingviews @breakingviews.reuters.com · 16/12/2024
Predictions 2025: OpenAI IPO would create the next hot meme stock www.reuters.com/breakingview... @karenkkwok.bsky.social
reuters.com
Breakingviews - OpenAI IPO would create the next hot meme stock
Artificial intelligence models require vast amounts of data. The companies that run them, like ChatGPT creator OpenAI, require vast amounts of cash. There’s a logical solution to the $157 billion group’s perpetual fundraising quest: the mother of all meme-stock initial public offerings in 2025.
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