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Jurphenstein's Monster

@jurph.bsky.social
627 followers 789 following 4.3K posts

Veteran of dial up BBS, mIRC, AOL federated messaging, and Google Reader. When all this is gone I will remain. The most important thing is helping people.

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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 4h
Yeah, if you can't sketch a map of your local network, understand what the various machines' IP addresses tell you about their locations on the network, and know where your current DHCP and DNS come from, you'll have a learning curve.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 4h
This is exactly what a pi-hole is for. "No, you don't need to look up accounts.customer-service.nespresso.com in DNS. You don't know her."
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Jason Sclar @jasonsclar.bsky.social · 6h
I was always partial to this paper for his first affiliation
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 5h
Sometimes when you're feeling hopeless and think "something must be done" it's tempting to do ANYTHING, but Postcards to Swing States is data-driven and measurably boosts turnout in the districts that matter most. It helps you fight the hopelessness AND it moves the needle in a real way!
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 5h
Well, I'm excited I found your feed. This is really interesting and it's always great to see folks who have passion & attention to detail sharing it. Thanks for humoring me!
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 5h
Hm. I see where you're at there, but you are probably in the 99.9th percentile of high-information voters. I think if the GOP is going to lie about what the polls said, they'll Just Lie, and trust FOX to repeat it. No Democratic action in October or November will make them any more or less credible.
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Stephen Judkins @stephenjudkins.bsky.social · 7h
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 6h
You're clearly a polls wonk - you're familiar with the 2018 Siena/NYT piece that showed that close polls juice a campaign's donation numbers? I don't think that's the main effect here, I like your hypothesis that people are sandbagging because the data-driven truth seems outlandish.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 7h
For legal purposes I need to clarify that I *believe* the crime would be simple to do in a way that looks clean, not that I have ever personally done it and found it to be a 3-on-a-10-scale or anything.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 7h
They can't even be bothered to say "look, you can't overtly pay me for this, I can't be party to it, let's talk sometime face to face about how to get what you want". I'm as mad about their brazenness and shitty opsec as I am at the crime. It's a pretty easy crime to do in a way that looks clean!!
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 8h
Just to be clear, you're saying essentially "every external signal we'd use for prediction is showing BLUE"? And so as a corollary, you're suggesting that folks predicting anything in the lavender/lilac/pink zone have a high burden of proof because there's no pink or red signal in what you see?
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Goodfellas (1990) @goodfellas1990.bsky.social · 10h
There it is. You see that helicopter right there? Right up there! I think it has been following me all morning.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 12h
Literally Desmond Tutu's birthday today. "If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor."
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Dave Dustin @dustin.nz · 07/10/2026
"YOU’RE LISTENING TO SISYPHUS FM, THE HOME OF NON-STOP ROCK"
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James O'Malley @jamesomalley.co.uk · 20h
Holy shit. Someone has decompiled the Adobe suite, rebuilt it in Rust and released it as open source. Either all software is dead or the US copyright laws are about to receive an update. getartcraft.com/apps
getartcraft.com
Crafting Apps: open-source creative tools
Image editing, vector illustration, video, photography, PDFs, motion graphics and page layout: seven native, open-source apps from the ArtCraft team, built in Rust and free to use.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Thank you!
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I saw some demographic splits that showed Latinos at 4.5x their 2022 numbers, but I can't find a primary source. I'd expect secretaries of state (i.e. true primary sources) to be on it, but no joy. What's the best way to get real numbers?
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I remain convinced that the gateway to getting a book of children's bedtime poems published has to do with bribes or nepotism, because, having read dozens of rhymes-for-kids type books to kids for years of bedtimes, I can tell you for certain that it ain't merit
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Dan Cox won't commit to fully funding ballistic missile interceptor sites, if US Space Force wants to base them in Maryland Dan Cox won't commit to buttering my muffin in the mornings Dan Cox won't commit to protecting Marylanders' basic equal protections under the law Things of that nature
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
BRASS RASCAL WHISPER GRITS WALRUS BUTTER NERF CACTUS CEDAR QUARREL REPTILE FEATHER
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
What do you need 295 gold bars for anyway? I already told the judge we recovered all 285 of them. And now you're asking me to send in two more guys to do an inventory, and make sure all 275 are still in the trailer? That's insane. What does it really matter whether there are 260 or 250, in the gran
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Been listening to the audiobook of Neal Stephenson's Cryptonomicon again and it is wild how it is simultaneously a puzzlebox plot that requires all the pieces to fit just right, a textbook on information theory, and a kind of breathless normie airport-bookstore adventure yarn.
The cover of Neal Stephenson's "Cryptonomicon"
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Can't believe you'd subject yourself to a known supply chain risk like that bro Do you even lethality anymore?
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WHAT A FUCKING RECORD @whatafuckingrecord.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
SNEAKER PIMPS 6 UNDERGROUND
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WHAT A FUCKING RECORD @whatafuckingrecord.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
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SNEAKER PIMPS 6 UNDERGROUND
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
(Also I root for the Jags over every other AFC South team.)
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
I think reasonable people can choose to occasionally disagree on minor points like that. The important thing is, each of our favorite teams beat the other's division rival for them this week.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Because I like the Ravens and want them to win 🙃
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
If you're cold, they're cold! Take them outside (in a non-extradition tropical country)
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Man, they have to go look at the jinx, you can't do that stuff. Especially if you're a kicker!!
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
This is really interesting, thank you! Would you mind linking to a primary source (or including the URL in your alt-text) when you share numbers like this?
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sweetie π @sixfeetofcandy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
the president: let’s murder all citizens in blue cities the media: he speaks in riddles it’s unclear what he really means
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
I don’t think I played more than 10 hours of the main game but monkey target was my favorite. Hitting that little yellow buoy with the glue powerup was great
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c0nc0rdance @c0nc0rdance.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Deepak Karra (deepak_karra on IG) captured this shot of a pink robin, native to the forests of South Australia & Tasmania. In technical terms, this is a bird shaped like an orb, or 'BORB'. 🐦🟣 Reminder that this little guy is a direct descendant of theropod dinosaurs like T. rex. (📷: Deepak Karra)
A poof of bright pink belly feathers that looks like one of those fuzzy pencil-toppers is surmounted by a dark grey head in which is a wary dark eye.  It's gripping a pink flowering branch that changes from nearly vertical to actually vertical, requiring a sort of death grip by the legs.
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Fun @funkelly.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Screen shot from a YouTube video by someone named MEpearl, an older woman with short hair wearing a red long sleeve shirt and a dark floral scarf. She sits before a wall of books, though it may be a photograph of a wall of books, but the important detail is that in her lap is a beautiful possum, and that possum is eating from a plate of fruit on the table before them. The title of this video is “is your possum a narcissist.” It has 31k views and was posted 5 days ago.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I worked propulsion reliability for a few years. Was at a party, politely corrected someone incorrectly holding forth on a technical/policy point, and he says "what are you some kinda rocket scientist?!"... record-scratch silence as all my friends shut up to hear the answer they know I have to give.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The article kind of glosses over how a Haitian suicide might be required to kick off each individual “first time Trump voter’s” Scrooge-like redemption arc. So we probably need something that scales better.
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The Slides @theslides.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
"SOVIET MILITARY CAPABILITIES S-100-18-85 BOX 1 OF 2," slide 17 of 40 [gallery]
[no alt text added yet! reply with yours!] id:299 db:ec67f
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Since the Soviet Union broke up, Putin has gnashed and seethed at Russia being characterized as "Upper Volta with missiles". How much worse, then, to no longer have one's deterrent taken seriously and be "Upper Volta with missiles, but without the missiles"?
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I haven’t observed any e-bike panic but clearly recall 3-wheelers being banned and helmets required for ATVs.
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Razzball @razzball.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Damn, hit ‘em with the lookback
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
"Thanks for your interest. The weather is good today so I have placed it at [LAT/LONG]. Enjoy your new item, assuming you're the first to take it off my property."
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
When dealing with possibly large outliers, I always feel more confident using median rather than average. But I could understand using an average that's weighted by the survey's N... I feel like a few bonkers polls could make "average" dangerously unstable. You're the data whiz, though: disagree?
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Shouldn’t Mahomes take the sack there, and eat clock?
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Mahomes is supposed to just take the sack on that play… but damn that punt was something
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Yeah his foot isn’t supposed to do that
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Would love your enchiladas recipe
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the babahuck @tylerhuckabee.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Today, Oct 4, is the feast of St. Francis of Assisi: the day when you can bring your pets to church for a blessing.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The FOX broadcast crew always chooses fantastic bumper music and they hide some good stuff in there. They'll play a snippet of Rush after a rushing TD, hit you with a Minnesota grunge-era band instead of Prince for Vikes at home. No idea why they pulled "Jeremy" this week though.
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Jurphenstein's Monster @jurph.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Your "Don't Ask If The Rochester Girl..." etc. etc. T-shirt is actually answering a lot of questions I had not previously thought to ask
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