Sign in

Jordan Howard

@jordanahoward.bsky.social
666 followers 734 following 2.7K posts

Politics, planning, & transportation. Dem campaign finance in another life. Long suffering Mets and Jets fan. New York Knicks - 2025-2026 NBA Champions. Expect typos. Views are my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 6h
We're at a point that within the month this estimate could move to between 4 and 8 seats. That's very bullish, but it's where the environment is at the moment.
020
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 11h
Alito is getting literally everything he has ever wanted and every SCOTUS justice (yes, even the D ones) have a God Complex. Alito views himself as the best choice and isn't going to just give that up. It's an extremely cushy gig which is why people can do it into their 90s.
061
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 12h
I just don't buy Marist's claim that they're a special little place immune to the larger national environment, particularly due to their economic relationship with Canada.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
My own 30 day out vibe check
1212
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
This is word salad.
000
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I have been seeing a lot of people not trusting the polls in the Midwest, which is totally fair given recent history. But if all you knew were Trump's national net approval, there would be absolutely nothing weird about any of the polling in any race right now. wertwhile.substack.com/p/on-polling...
wertwhile.substack.com
On Polling Error: Zoom Out
Donald Trump is in his second term overseeing high gas prices and well above target inflation, a foreign war nobody likes, and was elected despite his deep unpopularity to begin with.
59021
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In January, demand number 1 of Ds is to get rid of this guy. There will be no budget negotiations until he is fired and eventually criminal chargers for outright defiance of the US Constitution.
010
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Matthew Gertz @mattgertz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
They're holding up a major escalation in Iran and a crackdown on abortion until after the midterms to limit political damage. To the extent that the last two years have been a right-wing smash-and-grab operation, the next two will be worse.
20362772892
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Laser focused on the issues Americans care most about.
000
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Katie Phang @katiephang.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
As we talk about what happened at Cornell, please take a moment to learn about how a young LSU student is fighting for help against that school’s storied football program
9333611460
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
One of Congress's key jobs is to regulate interstate commerce. If Scott doesn't think Congress can do it, then there should be no Congressional leadership that does.
000
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
There is criminal exposure everywhere you look in this administration, from the obvious of ICE murdering civilians in the streets, to more discrete stuff like insider trading or agencies funneling tax money into pro-Trump ads. This is what wanton corruption looks like, and the hammer must fall.
417969
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
There is absolutely no mention on Fox News of Eric Schmitt's complete fail today. It is the political news of the day and Fox is completely silent on it.
001
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
He is a Roy Moore level candidate. Insane TX Rs dumped Cornyn for this guy.
030
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Can't imagine why this guy is losing.
020
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Rule 1 of campaign ads is to not promote your opponents ads. If you're answering, you're losing.
020
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Similar to Lawler, this is a guy who knows he's going to lose, trying to stay in the good graces of Trump and is hoping for an Admin job come January.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A test of Trump's juice with Rs if they start calling it "super intelligence" en masse. If they don't, it's a sign he's done.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Be still my heart.
021
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
*Americans hate getting entangled in foreign conflicts* Donald Trump: Hold my Diet Coke
000
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Latest from Texas, from Texas Public Opinion Research: Talarico 49%, Paxton 44% Abbott 50%, Hinojosa 46% Bo French 45%, Jon Rosenthal 44% (Undecideds down from 7% to 3% in the Senate race. Libertarian Ted Brown is at 3%.) texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com/p/new-poll-i...
1315138
Reposted by Jordan Howard
teamhamiltonhq.bsky.social @teamhamiltonhq.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Meischa was Roger Marshall's patient. This is her story.
422023745
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
We can't all be CEOs and have literally everything done for us. Some of us need to know our zip codes. This isn't an argument for AI. Huang is making an argument against it.
020
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Not usually a fan of these NYT pieces but holy shit is this bad for Paxton. The best he got here was a "controversial" by a young "independent" who hates "both sides"
110
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
On the outside adviser urging Trump to declare martial losses in the face of losses on November 3. "“Believe me, our armed forces are a lot bigger than they are,” he said." www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
theatlantic.com
The Supporters Urging Trump to Declare Martial Law for the Midterms
Trump’s advisers have been working for months to move his focus away from baseless theories of election fraud. A group of outsiders is making that difficult.
1411240
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Jonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 23/09/2026
I always get a lot of grief online when I write that the solution to America's problems cannot be "Democrats win every election forever." That's not democracy. The solution is having at least two parties where the major center-right and center-left parties accept liberal democracy.
1614720
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
So turns out we need a strict law that says: "No living President will have their name affixed to any Federal Government owned building."
051
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
IIRC, almost the moment 2014 happened, Obama's approval started rising as the economy finally started to grow out of its Recession era sluggishness and it happened like 3-6 months too late to save Ds.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Republicans should be thanking their lucky stars this man was born in Uganda, otherwise he'd be elected President in 2028. As it is, he will make an awesome Senator one day.
011
Reposted by Jordan Howard
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 22/09/2026
News Analysis: Since the killing of Charlie Kirk, the Trump administration has labeled critics terrorists, attributed violence to a left-wing conspiracy and investigated unions, nonprofits and other groups in a battle over free speech. nyti.ms/3TerTsX
156226
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Jessica Valenti @jessicavalenti.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I don’t even know what to say anymore jessica.substack.com/p/her-baby-h...
40952323
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Dubya said the same thing in '16 and he was right. George W. Bush was the last Republican President.
000
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
NEW: @apnews.com confirms that ICE has begun electronically "disappearing" people in the agency's custody who have final orders of removal. As of last week, anyone jailed by ICE with a final order of removal will NOT appear in the ICE Online Detainee Locator System, making them effectively vanish.
apnews.com
AP Exclusive: ICE hides locations of thousands of detainees with final removal orders
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has stopped publicly revealing where it is holding most detainees who are subject to final deportation orders, in a move that has made it harder for lawyers an...
18845992954
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
One thing for ARG to have Trump down, Ipsos is a better pollster and you have around 2/3 of the country who are done with Trump.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
All Trump had to do was what his advisers made him do in his first term -- nothing. A standard R tax cut and some targeted tariffs. Instead, Trump threw kerosene on everything and gave people who didn't like him personally but liked the first term econ an excuse to despise him.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I always think about where this country could be on wind and solar energy if we had just committed to it 25 years ago.
020
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Lol. Lawler is going to lose and it won't be particularly close. Don't need Josh Gottheimer calling him, "unbeatable" because he likes his friend. Lawler has run into R cycles. He's done for.
021
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
With the exception of KS, these are way too bullish for Ds. I'll call KS Lean R for the moment. NH OTOH is Safe D. There's zero chance Pappas loses in a R midterm year in this environment. I've seen an incumbent Sunnunu go down in a D wave before. He's not taking an open seat.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
This explains a disconcerting amount of modern conservative political positions.
011
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Ridding themselves of their Trump only to sign up for Trump, Jr. seems less than ideal. Learn from your northern neighbors - don't.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The irony of RBG is her arrogance led to the dismantling of everything she held dear.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
If you turned out the lights in Congress and the outrage machine wasn't rewarded, people would be shocked at how much more productive they'd be.
000
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
If you want to sum up Trump's world view, such as it might exist, it's that everything is zero sum. There is a finite amount in the world and you either have it or you don't. Trade, comparative advantage, market advantage, supply/demand, anything more is beyond his intellectual capacity.
010
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Huge drop off from seat 52 to seat 53. Need to pump up those numbers. In a real wave environment though, I would bet on at least one of IA, KS, FL, or NE falling. We flip SC, it means it's like a D+15 year.
010
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Thor Benson @thorbenson.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Democratic strategists: Ahhh! What's the right message!!?? Where do we moderate!?!? Jon Ossoff: This administration is horrible. I hate these people. We should put them in jail. I'm pissed Voters: This guy is cool Strategists: I can't figure it out!!!!!
354169613027
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Wow....
000
Jordan Howard @jordanahoward.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Say what you want about Shapiro, but he's a political creature and he's clearly calibrating in real time. He sees where things are going.
110
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Adam Klasfeld @klasfeldreports.com · 17/09/2026
Just In — Rep. Beatty's legal team just alerted Judge Cooper about the existence of this photo "that appears to read 'Kennedy Center DEMOLISHED.'" Doc buff.ly/aOLFtoG
641724575
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Jacob Rubashkin @rubashkin.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
New Siena College/ReconMR TEXAS poll is absolutely brutal for Republicans—could be a generational wipeout if it comes to pass: SEN Talarico 49 Paxton 43 GOV Hinojosa (D) 49 Abbott (R) 45 Generic ballot R47 D46 9/8-11, 614 LV, live caller/text-to-web, MoE 4.3% reconmr.com/wp-content/u...
62725171
Reposted by Jordan Howard
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
This is APPALLING. The Trump administration is detaining multiple random Somali immigrants with no criminal record at Guantanamo Bay, seemingly because the White House ordered ICE specifically to detain Somalis at Gitmo as part of its effort to punish an ethnic group Trump has attacked.
According to Mohamed, guards at Guantanamo have said they are being held there because that's what officials in Washington, DC, want. "There's no other nation, only Somali people in Guantanamo Bay, in the prison," he told me. "And when we ask them why we are here, they tell us... Washington...ordered to keep Somali people in the Guantanamo Bay."
6330151672