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John T Ormerod

@johntormerod.bsky.social
2.8K followers 1.3K following 261 posts

Statistician at Sydney University.

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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Lol. I wonder how forced the palindrome was.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Amazing pic. Happy new year.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
I like likelihoods.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
It is a model all the way down.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
Jocelyn Leitzinger @jocelynl.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
ChatGPT gave a significant portion of my students the wrong answer to an easy quiz question that everyone used to always get right I had two groups of students turn in annotated bibliographies that were ChatGPT generated - not a single citation actually existed
This is fine dog meme

Am orangish brown dog sits on a red chair wearing a hat that matches his fur color. A circular table in front of him has a coffee cup on it. Around him, flames roar and smoke covers the ceiling. His speech bubble says "this is fine"
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
I taught this for the first time in my course this year. We ended up doing a couple of weeks. It isn't much, but at least they got a taste of it.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
Nick Tierney @njtierney.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
Make errors more accessible and better with #rstats package {more} by @milesmcbain.bsky.social - inspired by rustc's detailed error explanations! This idea feels so good. github.com/milesmcbain/...
github.com
GitHub - MilesMcBain/more: Serve up more when things go bad
Serve up more when things go bad. Contribute to MilesMcBain/more development by creating an account on GitHub.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
What an interesting sounding course!
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
As my mum would say: :Butter wouldn't melt in its mouth".
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
I make the sun rise by waking up.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
TSGTA =Three statisticians gave ten answers.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
Solomon Kurz @solomonkurz.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
New #rstats blog up! solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07... This is the second post in the series where we use {brms} to learn {Stan} code. This time we review matrix notation, model matrices, and a new class of distribution functions in Stan.
solomonkurz.netlify.app
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Oorah. The other day I felt real feelings.
media.tenor.com
two men are standing next to each other in a room .
ALT: two men are standing next to each other in a room .
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Owf. Damage done.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
I miss random too, but am all for an adopted kitten, yay.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
Fiducial inference
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
The new normal.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
So senseless. What a waste of life.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
God loved everyone whoever they are, man, woman or any other child of god.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
And what is your evidence against it?
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
To double down as a statistician, what is your null hypothesis?
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Not all fields are at the same levels of maturity. Physics is at a different level of maturity as the social sciences, for example. Do you have an expectant difference in replicability for *any* field for the replicability given that all fields are exploring the forefront of their research areas?
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Joe Bak-Coleman @jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
As the prior probability of any arbitrary molecule curing a cancer is extremely low than by Bayes rule alone even an extremely efficient science would produce many false positives.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Frequentist super-raft vs Bayesian superyachts, I know what I am choosing.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Then why use the word crisis? If science isn't stagnating, is there really a crisis?
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
People might see it as a consequence of a replication crisis.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Bayesian Superyachts are all the craze these days Steph. I put in a grant for one just the other day.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
I find all of this really odd. I don't know about other fields, but there has been dramatic advances in cardiovascular and cancer research in recent history, i.e., where a whole heap of money has gone into. Advances in science haven't been uniform, but they are certainly there.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Happy birthday Cameron. Had my fair share. They aren't that fun.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Hope it passes soon, whatever it is.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
With the aim of winning multiple lotteries? Sign me up!
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Seems to be the most rational position these days.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
Jon Cryer @mrjoncryer.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Come on over to BlueSky, Simone!
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Use it most days of the week.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
A sad day in our family. It is the day my grandfather died.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
Thomas Lumley @tslumley.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Another short regression rant notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/06/19/i... #statsky
notstatschat.rbind.io
Included-variable bias - Biased and Inefficient
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Wait until you see a hoop snake.
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Reposted by John T Ormerod
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 18/06/2025
Business groups often say that cutting the company tax rate will lead to more business investment and higher productivity. But Australia Institute research shows that cutting the company tax rate does NOTHING to boost business investment @grogsgamut.bsky.social #auspol
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
"If" is doing some heavy weight lifting in that sentence.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
media.tenor.com
two minions wearing goggles are standing next to each other with the words lol written on the bottom
ALT: two minions wearing goggles are standing next to each other with the words lol written on the bottom
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
No problems Andy. Hopefully next time. Hope your conference goes well.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Lol. Coldest day this year, if I am keeping track. Also, are you in Sydney? Wanna meet?
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Waiting for my MCMC to finish.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
"losing the illusion of control and embracing the flow is the secret" so hear you there.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
I should be around then.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
Hey Sam, I'd be keen to meet you too.
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Reminds me of this: www.youtube.com/shorts/c0KMT...
youtube.com
John Pinette - No Buffets in Italy (2004) #shorts #standupcomedy #comedyshorts #comedy
YouTube video by Classic Comedy
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John T Ormerod @johntormerod.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
Hope things improve.
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