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Joakim Kreutz

@joakimkreutz.bsky.social
618 followers 711 following 238 posts

Associate professor at Department of Government, Uppsala University. Scholarly interests include armed conflict onset, dynamics, and termination; repression and peacemaking, sanctions and trust. Other interests include football, food, travel, and more.

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Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
Nicholas Slayton @nslayton.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
What. What?! WHAT?!?! futurism.com/artificial-i...
futurism.com
Trump Was Reportedly Pushed Into Invading Venezuela by Conversation With Grok
Trump reportedly consulted with Grok for hours on his next course of action in Venezuela before launching a military invasion.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Best in show? Well, Uppsala is ranked as the best political science department in Sweden (37th in the world) and the best department at Uppsala University. www.uu.se/en/news/2026...
uu.se
Uppsala University ranked in 37 subjects in global ranking of academic subjects – Uppsala University
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Thomas Zimmer @thomaszimmer.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
I wrote this before the AfD’s victory. It is even more relevant now – especially since early reactions indicate that Germany’s democratic politicians are hellbent on doubling down on these mistakes. Warnings from the Struggle Against Trumpism. Some thoughts from the piece, on the day after: 🧵
steady.page
Warnings and Lessons from the Struggle Against Trumpism
Germany is facing the prospect of rightwing extremism in power. Time to push back hard against the narratives that have undermined the democratic response in the U.S.
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Sara Mitchell @sbmitche.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Hegemonic suicide www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...
aljazeera.com
US diplomats walk out as France addresses UN Security Council
US diplomats walk out of UN meeting during France's speech amid tensions over human rights chief's reappointment.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Looking forward to tournaments when the crowd are there for the football - not the event
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
The Odessey is an amazing movie!
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Interesting to see that at the US 250th birthday is completely ignored by the rest of the world. So many bridges burned.
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Abbey @abbeyarletto.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
When reality surpasses fiction! Top: fictional forecast for August 2050, broadcast by French TV in 2014 to warn about the consequences of global warming. Bottom: Real French forecast for yesterday, June 22, 2026.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I loved that the Swedish-Tunisian-Mexican crowd loudly jeered the onset of the "hydration"/commercial breaks. More of this, please.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
En GOD morgon!
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Jon @jonw67.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
The England team have apparently had their training kit stolen en route to their base for their first match. We really shouldn't hold the World Cup in third-world countries like the USA.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
The World Cup in Mexico is ON! Wish I was there.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
New article out (and I really like the title): "Parents of the Revolution" It's open access and here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Parents of the revolution rebel leaders’ intergenerational social capital and insurgency cohesion
Elite-level social capital facilitates both the mobilization and retention of participants in social movements and insurgencies. Well-connected rebel leaders perceived as credible have advantages i...
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
¡Vamos Depor!
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
I dont have a horse in this race, but I still feel so bad for Hearts today. Heart-break, indeed, and so boring with the continued 2-club dominance...
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
New article out: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Armed group proliferation and conflict dynamics - Miguel García-Sánchez, Joakim Kreutz, 2026
How are conflict dynamics affected by contexts with many different actors compared with those dominated by a few? At the aggregate level, civil conflicts with m...
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
1/ As Victory Day approaches in Russia, warbloggers are increasingly despondent and predict the fall of the regime in the face of drone attacks and social and economic problems. They perceive a rapid worsening of the situation and a sense that 'things can't go on like this.' ⬇️
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
The U.S. has spent billions to lose a war that enriches its oligarchs, impoverishes the citizenry, sabotages its alliances, and strengthens its enemies. Empires have risen and failed before, but to my knowledge no state has ever chosen to kill its own power. snyder.substack.com/p/on-superpo...
snyder.substack.com
On Superpower Suicide
And the recovery of justice
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Why EU>US again (what, no ballroom)
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Heather Cox Richardson (TDPR) @hcrichardson.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
April 29, 2026
heathercoxrichardson.substack.com
April 29, 2026
I will have plenty to say about the Supreme Court’s decision today in Callais v.
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Charles Parker @charlesparker.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
I’ll be giving a research seminar at KTH in Stockholm on Monday, April 27, on our work analyzing three decades of UN climate through COP High Level Segment country statements. The seminar is open to the public, and anyone interested is warmly welcome. Details here: www.kth.se/climateactio...
kth.se
Research Seminar: Building a Corpus of UNFCCC COP High Level Segment Statements | KTH
Join us for this seminar with Professor Charles Parker of Uppsala University, which will consider how changes in language patterns over the past three decades reflect the evolving politics of the UNFC...
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Targeted sanctions, coming at last.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/apr/16/norways-state-telecoms-firm-accused-of-helping-myanmar-regime-seize-activists
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
www.unwomen.org/en/digital-l...
unwomen.org
Gender alert: Three years of war: Sudanese women on the frontlines of humanitarian and local peacebuilding efforts
This gender alert analyses the disproportionate impact of the war on Sudanese women and girls and highlights the critical leadership role of Sudanese women in delivering humanitarian assistance and ad...
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 14/04/2026
can’t say what i want to happen to these people for legal reasons
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Daniel Drezner @dandrezner.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Way ahead of you. open.substack.com/pub/danieldr...
open.substack.com
The Beclowning of the Madman Theory
The tentative cease fire negotiated earlier this week is not --repeat, not -- an example of the Madman Theory at work.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 08/04/2026
Once again: this is exactly what LLMs and chatbots are designed for. This is them doing their designed function. Mass production of meaningless text so someone who wants to do harm has cheap access to the aesthetics of justification www.theguardian.com/environment/...
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Given Trump’s Easter threats to carry out new war crimes in Iran, we should think one or two steps ahead about a coup attempt connected to the war. And then deter it. (1/17)
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Is Trump dead and his "truths" now AI-generated? Praising Allah on Easter Sunday seems far-fetched even for him...
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Eric Foltz @ericfoltz.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
If we bought a few less bombs, we could probably afford nice things. One thing I'd like to see from the next presidency would be to appoint a special commission to prepare a report on the actual cost to defend the United States from attack. Not foreign wars. Just the cost to defend this country.
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Kristaps Andrejsons @theeasternborder.lv · 03/04/2026
In their frantic, paranoid attempt to block Telegram and VPNs, the Russian state censors today have achieved what Western sanctions could only dream of: they have accidentally nuked their own internal banking infrastructure.
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Brant Reeves @bireeves95.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Many More Should Have Also Been Prosecuted….
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Steve Lovell @steviesingsabit.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Italy's commitment to boycotting World Cup's hosted by ethically immoral countries is quite impressive.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 01/04/2026
It is really, really wild how persistent and prominent this remains in common LLMs. There seems to be an air of "well they fixed that" and it is 100% not true: most of the energy just seems to be going towards 'being plausible enough to be accepted', ie style and not accuracy or truth
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Deborah Weeks/A Woman for An Eternity @deborah-10.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
"Armed conflict causes long-lasting environmental harms" is now in press. And open access, of course. journals.sagepub.com/toc/easa/4/1
journals.sagepub.com
Environment and Security - Volume 4, Number 1
Table of contents for Environment and Security, 4, 1
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
This is very interesting
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
oilprice.com/Geopolitics/...
oilprice.com
U.S. Security Guarantees Under Scrutiny in Gulf States | OilPrice.com
Gulf states may renegotiate U.S. defense arrangements, pursue strategic autonomy with diverse military suppliers and domestic defense industries, and strengthen regional institutions like the GCC.
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Ida B Wells' Winchester Rifle @dytsras.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
You could say that Rock n Roll was born 111 years ago today in Arkansas, but probably not where you'd think. Before there was a Chuck Berry or Little Richard, there was those who wanted to be like her. Rosetta Nubin better known as Sister Rosetta Tharpe, the godmother of Rock was born on this day
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
People who thought credibility and individual leaders didn’t matter much in international relations were taking years of cultivated and maintained credibility for granted, and didn’t sufficiently consider that a major power would voluntarily throw so much of it away by empowering a leader with none.
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Jill Sargent Russell, PhD @jsargentr.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Roomnesia.
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MeidasTouch @meidastouch.com · 14/03/2026
Why does Trump need allies to help him in a war he’s already won?
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Steve Saidemonster 🧌🧛🦇⚰️👻👹 @smsaideman.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
That they are moving now tells us everything you need to know about the "extensive" preparation for this war. All of these failures rest entirely in the lap of Pete Hegseth. Unlike other democracies where defense agencies are, um, laid back, OSD has much authority/practice shaping mil ops 1/2
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
BREAKING: World interconnected. Economies interdependent. People besides you get a say. Cultivating relationships has long-term value. Picking unnecessary fights with everyone at once: bad idea. Really sucks to have national leaders shocked by that, and who will quickly forget that they learned it.
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Department of Government, Uppsala University @uu-polisci.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
New article by Dept. of Govt. associate prof. Anthoula Malkopoulou identifying structural similarities between "dirty hands" and democratic self-defence and analyzing how normative theorizing about the former can guide approaches to the latter. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Democratic self-defence as a dirty hands problem
“Dirty hands” is a problem in political ethics that emerges when political actors, faced with urgent circumstances, engage in moral wrongdoing to better serve the public interest. Does containing a...
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Remember that the Russian economy is bust.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m... Just a friendly reminder - Russia is still invading Ukraine.
theguardian.com
‘Putin smiled’: Ukraine hurries to adapt as US focus moves to Iran
Ukrainian ex-defence minister says conflict provides simultaneous ‘risks and opportunities’
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
For those who have forgotten the past 40 years: Tax cuts for the rich ...don’t trickle down Boosting military spending ...doesn’t bring peace Slashing regulations ...doesn’t create jobs Folks, we’ve seen this all before.
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Joakim Kreutz @joakimkreutz.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Higher oil prices, eh. That will be good for Russia and whoever (Trump) just sit on a bunch of oil it wants to cash in on (from Venezuela) and put in private bank accounts (in Qatar). The corruption is staggering.
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