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Jacob

@jcb.bsky.social
213 followers 537 following 124 posts

number crunching formerly msc @ lse stats, surveys @ us census

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
But that doesn’t justify using unweighted responses! These are the unweighted proportions for years to graduation from the FIRE dataset: would Kaufmann infer that the true proportion of college students who are about to graduate surged by 74% and then collapsed by 30% since 2020?
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
The jump in the weighted proportion between 2023 and 2024 could very easily be downstream of a change in the weighting protocol. I don’t know the details here but I do know that since 2020 a number of surveys moved from 2 to 3 potential responses for gender ID
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
In response to this follow up from Kaufmann, I updated my post today to clarify that I don’t think the weighted or unweighted estimates are a good answer to this question
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
hey thanks (1) for saying so, I appreciate it (2) in a roundabout way, for your help--I haven't used my personal site for much but I remember referencing at least one post of yours when I first put it up
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tom westland @tomwestland.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
16 million views and a bunch of media write-ups for a claim that falls apart if you actually use the survey weights like you are taught to do in undergrad. I would say the University of Buckingham is not sending their best but realistically they probably are
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Short write-up here: jacobeliason.com/posts/2025-1...
jacobeliason.com
Jacob Eliason - Methodological issues in Kaufmann’s analysis of FIRE gender identity data
Ignore survey weights at your peril
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
There are a number of issues with this analysis but I found one that I haven't seen anyone else mention: Kaufmann estimates gender ID from the FIRE data without using the survey weights When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
One on hand I agree with this and on the other I’ve been conditioned to feel like these accounts are an important part of the short form text post platform ecosystem
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
There are tons of these. Letterboxd, Craigslist, Goodreads
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Policy Sketchbook @policysketch.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
The world is much more complex than we can individually comprehend. If systems don't have ways of simplifying that ("attenuating variety" per Stafford Beer) then the variety will still be attenuated, just in a completely arbitrary way that leads to us prioritising completely the wrong information.
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Matt @tiredgenerally.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
developing a sort of descriptive thesis that there is a growing anti-civilization movement coalescing around destroying the pillars of modernity: pharmaceuticals, efficient agriculture, and education and their assumptions are widely culturally accepted
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
In a scenario where FDIC-backed assets are compromised I’m not sure how useful your cash is going to be
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
apps.apple.com/us/app/5-cal...
apps.apple.com
‎5 Calls: Contact Your Congress
‎**As seen on MSNBC...**
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
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Theo Sanderson @theo.io · 30/11/2024
Pentametron was one of the great web art projects, retweeting couplets of accidentally iambic tweets. Thanks to Bluesky's open feed, I have resurrected the concept.. Behold @iambic.bot!
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Any way we could get the same range on the choropleth shades as the other one?
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Also, this is just a weak form of the general observation that a billion is a surprisingly big number. You lose a lot of the unintuitiveness when you start counting at 200m. Two hundred million is a big number too!
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
I get irrationally annoyed by posts that begin like the quoted one. Don’t tell me what I can’t fathom, I’m good at fathoming
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
You can’t fathom the difference between 0.002 and 1. This chart is to scale.
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
👁️
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Manifesting works
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
tsdf?
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 08/11/2023
a guy like that doesn’t worship god, he worships power
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Great Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 26/10/2023
The current water level is 4189.5 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️ 2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️ as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 20/10/2023
Do you do your own scans? For large format that actually doesn’t sound bad
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 12/10/2023
It’s so dark to see people grind all of this into content of the same flavor as everything else. “Laughing til my head comes off, who’s in a bunker,” etc
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Great Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 10/10/2023
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️ 2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️ as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 08/10/2023
tired of seeing videos of people dying on twitter, dragging my feet back over here
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 14/08/2023
instead of a "severe thunderstorm warning," why not try a "gentle thunderstorm reminder"
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‏ deepfates @deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com · 02/07/2023
To everybody who just joined bluesky, please remember some of the culture here is different. For instance, I'm the most blocked person. Don't try to get more blocks than I have, That's appropriation
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 11/07/2023
rt
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Great Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 11/07/2023
The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️ 2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️ as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 29/05/2023
If the pastoral fantasies account was on here I would tag them
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 29/05/2023
Touching grass
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 26/05/2023
!!
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 20/05/2023
😮‍💨 #Tradle #440 X/6 🟨⬜⬜⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 oec.world/en/tradle
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 19/05/2023
#Tradle #439 6/6 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 oec.world/en/tradle
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 18/05/2023
on a roll #Tradle #438 1/6 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 oec.world/en/tradle
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 17/05/2023
i love him
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 17/05/2023
😤 #Tradle #437 1/6 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 oec.world/en/tradle
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
@paxon.bsky.social would recommend
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
oh oops yeah i said it backwards lol
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
via @depthsofwikipedia.bsky.social
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
Introspection hall of fame
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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
I Love Trains and Listening to Music
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