Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025But that doesn’t justify using unweighted responses! These are the unweighted proportions for years to graduation from the FIRE dataset: would Kaufmann infer that the true proportion of college students who are about to graduate surged by 74% and then collapsed by 30% since 2020? 130
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025The jump in the weighted proportion between 2023 and 2024 could very easily be downstream of a change in the weighting protocol. I don’t know the details here but I do know that since 2020 a number of surveys moved from 2 to 3 potential responses for gender ID 120
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025In response to this follow up from Kaufmann, I updated my post today to clarify that I don’t think the weighted or unweighted estimates are a good answer to this question 110
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025hey thanks (1) for saying so, I appreciate it (2) in a roundabout way, for your help--I haven't used my personal site for much but I remember referencing at least one post of yours when I first put it up 010
Reposted by Jacobtom westland @tomwestland.bsky.social · 15/10/202516 million views and a bunch of media write-ups for a claim that falls apart if you actually use the survey weights like you are taught to do in undergrad. I would say the University of Buckingham is not sending their best but realistically they probably are 051
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 15/10/2025Short write-up here: jacobeliason.com/posts/2025-1...jacobeliason.comJacob Eliason - Methodological issues in Kaufmann’s analysis of FIRE gender identity dataIgnore survey weights at your peril 130
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 15/10/2025There are a number of issues with this analysis but I found one that I haven't seen anyone else mention: Kaufmann estimates gender ID from the FIRE data without using the survey weights When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears 1236
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/02/2025One on hand I agree with this and on the other I’ve been conditioned to feel like these accounts are an important part of the short form text post platform ecosystem 120
Reposted by JacobPolicy Sketchbook @policysketch.bsky.social · 25/02/2025The world is much more complex than we can individually comprehend. If systems don't have ways of simplifying that ("attenuating variety" per Stafford Beer) then the variety will still be attenuated, just in a completely arbitrary way that leads to us prioritising completely the wrong information. 0102
Reposted by JacobMatt @tiredgenerally.bsky.social · 17/02/2025developing a sort of descriptive thesis that there is a growing anti-civilization movement coalescing around destroying the pillars of modernity: pharmaceuticals, efficient agriculture, and education and their assumptions are widely culturally accepted 401047171
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/02/2025In a scenario where FDIC-backed assets are compromised I’m not sure how useful your cash is going to be 030
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 05/02/2025apps.apple.com/us/app/5-cal...apps.apple.com5 Calls: Contact Your Congress**As seen on MSNBC...** 000
Reposted by JacobTheo Sanderson @theo.io · 30/11/2024Pentametron was one of the great web art projects, retweeting couplets of accidentally iambic tweets. Thanks to Bluesky's open feed, I have resurrected the concept.. Behold @iambic.bot! 361350419
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 29/11/2024Any way we could get the same range on the choropleth shades as the other one? 010
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024Also, this is just a weak form of the general observation that a billion is a surprisingly big number. You lose a lot of the unintuitiveness when you start counting at 200m. Two hundred million is a big number too! 000
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024I get irrationally annoyed by posts that begin like the quoted one. Don’t tell me what I can’t fathom, I’m good at fathoming 100
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024You can’t fathom the difference between 0.002 and 1. This chart is to scale. 130
Reposted by Jacobjamelle @jamellebouie.net · 08/11/2023a guy like that doesn’t worship god, he worships power 143335
Reposted by JacobGreat Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 26/10/2023The current water level is 4189.5 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.91 ft higher ⬆️ 2 years ago today is 0.38 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 4.51 ft lower ⬇️ as of Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT 011
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 20/10/2023Do you do your own scans? For large format that actually doesn’t sound bad 100
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 12/10/2023It’s so dark to see people grind all of this into content of the same flavor as everything else. “Laughing til my head comes off, who’s in a bunker,” etc 000
Reposted by JacobGreat Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 10/10/2023The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.31 ft higher ⬆️ 2 years ago today is 1.03 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 5.02 ft lower ⬇️ as of Monday, October 09, 2023 at 06:15:00 PM MT 011
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 08/10/2023tired of seeing videos of people dying on twitter, dragging my feet back over here 000
Reposted by JacobAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 14/08/2023instead of a "severe thunderstorm warning," why not try a "gentle thunderstorm reminder" 0154
Reposted by Jacob deepfates @deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com · 02/07/2023To everybody who just joined bluesky, please remember some of the culture here is different. For instance, I'm the most blocked person. Don't try to get more blocks than I have, That's appropriation 111298
Reposted by JacobGreat Salt Lake Info Bot 🤖 @handle.invalid · 11/07/2023The current water level is 4189.1 ft above mean sea level which compared with 1 year ago today is 0.69 ft lower ⬇️ 2 years ago today is 2.07 ft lower ⬇️ 10 years ago today is 6.31 ft lower ⬇️ as of Monday, July 10, 2023 at 07:15:00 PM MT 011
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 29/05/2023If the pastoral fantasies account was on here I would tag them 040
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 20/05/2023😮💨 #Tradle #440 X/6 🟨⬜⬜⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 oec.world/en/tradle 010
Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 19/05/2023#Tradle #439 6/6 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 oec.world/en/tradle 110