iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025

But that doesn’t justify using unweighted responses! These are the unweighted proportions for years to graduation from the FIRE dataset: would Kaufmann infer that the true proportion of college students who are about to graduate surged by 74% and then collapsed by 30% since 2020?

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025

In response to this follow up from Kaufmann, I updated my post today to clarify that I don’t think the weighted or unweighted estimates are a good answer to this question

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 16/10/2025

hey thanks (1) for saying so, I appreciate it (2) in a roundabout way, for your help--I haven't used my personal site for much but I remember referencing at least one post of yours when I first put it up

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

There are a number of issues with this analysis but I found one that I haven't seen anyone else mention: Kaufmann estimates gender ID from the FIRE data without using the survey weights When the weights are used as designed, the evidence for his core claim disappears

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

You can’t fathom the difference between 0.002 and 1. This chart is to scale.

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 12/10/2023

It’s so dark to see people grind all of this into content of the same flavor as everything else. “Laughing til my head comes off, who’s in a bunker,” etc

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023

Introspection hall of fame

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 09/05/2023

I Love Trains and Listening to Music

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

the five minutes I spent muting the most annoying power users on here continue to pay dividends

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

allegedly had his wife and son treated by mkultra doctors to debilitating effect. honestly too depressing to keep reading so this will be the last one haha. what an evil man!

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

tons of less impactful but equally bleak anecdotes like this. he apparently tried to have charles de gaulle assassinated. and on and on

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

played central role in coups in iran and guatemala, bay of pigs, and mkultra!

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

insane diss track here elaborating on that last point

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

one of the strongest claims for individual contributions to the start of the cold war

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

the “not quite as bad” quote could be the canonical example for playing devil’s advocate

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

this has been a live bleating of the wikipedia page for the V-2 rocket. god bless wikipedia

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

as with p much all technology i’m so interested in what it would have been like to perceive this for the first time

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

wild how much middle school-grade trickery was still useful at that point

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 07/05/2023

i’m lol at “flying gas mains.” on the first ballistic missile attacks in london during wwii

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 02/05/2023

was feeling a little tulip mania myself on friday

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 02/05/2023

I want to give you the benefit of the doubt but this honestly reads like a conspiracy theory to me. The YouTube video you sent me didn’t help

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Jacob @jcb.bsky.social · 02/05/2023

But then claiming that it “is currently a top leading cause” seems like a stretch Like saying terrorism *is a leading cause of death after it *was a leading cause of death in 2001