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James Harris

@james-harris.bsky.social
262 followers 41 following 965 posts

National security consultant; economist by trade; former chief of the China Division and the Strategic Assessments Group at CIA; later, VP at CENTRA Technology.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by James Harris
Gregory Daco @gregdaco.bsky.social · 12h
🚨Income erosion We've long established the labor market is non-inflationary, but with real wage growth having been negative for the last 6-months that represents a cap on consumer spending growth
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 01/10/2026
Trump: "If I ran today, I'd win by 25 percent"
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Eric Alterman @ericalterman.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
www.cnn.com/2026/09/27/p...
cnn.com
I started fact-checking Trump 10 years ago. Here are 15 things I’ve learned | CNN Politics
Ten years ago this month, in my old job as Washington correspondent for the Toronto Star, I started what I believed would be a quick little side project: fact-checking underdog presidential candidate ...
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Gregory Daco @gregdaco.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The losses in the US Treasuries market intensified on Wednesday as robust US manufacturing and services activity, higher oil prices and a weak 5-year Treasury auction drove yields across most maturities to the highest levels in almost two decades. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Awful: Trump's Office of "Remigration" has just been exposed making sordid payments to authoritarian governments to take third-country deportees, leading to serious abuses. Dems tell me they will try to defund the agency if they win power. They should. 1/ New piece: newrepublic.com/article/2157...
newrepublic.com
Stephen Miller’s MAGA Terror Campaign Exposed by Damning New Leaks
Sordid revelations about the white-nationalist-themed Office of Remigration should galvanize Democrats: If they win power, they must try to shut it down.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
As things stand, he is scheduled to be in office another two years, plus. It is hard to envision what that two years may hold, but obviously it won't hold a normal presidency.
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Gary Legum @glegum.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
The bit where he brags about how Trump allows the press in to watch him sign bills as if that hasn't been done by every president for decades is also good.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Axios piece on AI. Forget about threats to humanity, this is bad enough. Link below.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
What could go wrong? "A new nuclear policy is taking shape in secret, crafted by a small group of Pentagon officials, that will give President Donald Trump more ways to start a nuclear war." thebulletin.org/2026/09/pent...
thebulletin.org
Pentagon's secret plan: Reviving Cold War doctrines to lower the threshold for nuclear war
Drafted behind closed doors by a small group of defense officials, a new Pentagon strategy aims to expand battlefield nuclear options and blur the line between conventional and nuclear warfare—bypassi...
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Comments in this thread aimed at the media, and they have a point.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Chief Scientist at OpenAI this morning:
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Disturbing. Dwarkesh Patel on the Hugging Face incident: "I don't think this is the final warning shot we'll get. But it's probably the last one that I'll personally be able to understand." www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-hug...
dwarkesh.com
The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
The whole OpenAI/Hugging Face story in plain English
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
NYT today.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Who is he threatening here? Kevin Warsh and the Fed? Boggles the mind. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/b...
nytimes.com
Trump Threatens to Halt Some Trade Unless the Fed Cuts Rates
The president said he could halt trade between the United States and countries with which it has a trade deficit if the central bank doesn’t do his bidding.
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
August added 162,000 jobs, way above forecasts of 50-60,000.⁣ ⁣ But the composition tells a different story than the headline. New jobs are mostly all in healthcare or social assistance. Other sectors suffered.⁣ ⁣ newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/…
newsletter.platypuseconomics.com
Where Are the Hard Hats in This Jobs Report?
This administration promised a manufacturing revival. What we got is an aging country hiring nurses and aides—and outside of health care, the economy has shed jobs.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 04/09/2026
“We could do tremendous good for ourselves by just not trading with countries” — Trump’s bonkers view of trade is that you become wealthy by not engaging in commerce
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Iran's strategy is to drastically weaken the US basing system in the Middle East while exhausting our weapons stockpiles--exactly the kind of approach the Trump administration can't fathom.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
I'd extend this a bit to the Republican party: it's not about governing, it's a machine for electing people who promise loyalty.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
The essence of Trumpism.
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Sam Ulmschneider @samulmschneider.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Normally I just appreciatively read @jamellebouie.net 's columns-sharable video content just isn't my bag. But this is a very, very, very trenchant piece of commentary that captures a lot of how I increasingly understand the disjunction between the commentary environment and on-the-ground politics.
youtube.com
The pundits have completely lost the plot
YouTube video by Takes™ by Jamelle Bouie
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Exactly.
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MeidasTouch @meidastouch.com · 20/07/2026
Spain edited Trump out of its celebratory photo.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Ossoff nails it. Geez....
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
The party of limited government....
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Scott Dworkin @dworkin.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
In a democracy, you don't need permission from a soldier to cast your vote. Trump disagrees. Stop him. 👇 actionnetwork.org/letters/tell...
actionnetwork.org
Tell Congress: Stop Trump from sending troops to our polling places
Contact Congress today!
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Exactly.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
James Comey, Obama, radical left libtards are to blame.
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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
his brain is leaking out of his ears on live national television
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
This is it, precisely. And from Gemini
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Interesting thread throughout. The Trump act is widely suspected, even in Albania.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Going backwards. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Iran Nuclear Risk Seen Higher Than Before Trump Attacks Began
The risk that Iran is covertly pursuing nuclear weapons is higher today than before the US and Israel launched their first military attacks on the Islamic Republic a year ago, according to western off...
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
"How did the war against that brutal regime go so badly off the rails? How did a campaign by the world’s most powerful military force, alongside the Middle East’s mightiest army, end up achieving none of its goals?" open.substack.com/pub/fridains...
open.substack.com
How the Iran War Went off the Rails
The world's most powerful military and the Middle East's mightiest army stumbled when it mattered most, mostly due to the ineptness of politicians.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
A variety of really unflattering things about the Trump administration here. Read it.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Completely agree. And then I think: what development within the voting populations makes this possible? And I'm not sure.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
They're figuring it out.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
The revenge tour by the 12-year-old in the White House isn't really producing any victories for Trump and may just severely wound the Republican Party, substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com
Everyone Thinks Trump Won Last Night. They're Wrong
Trump's revenge tour just made the GOP's midterm problem a whole lot worse."
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Interesting. Didn't work, obviously. NYT.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Amazing, depressing. Trump essentially sued the branch of government he runs to fund the payouts. www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...
nbcnews.com
DOJ official told GOP ally that big payouts were coming for Jan. 6 defendants
Months before the $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” fund was announced, Ed Martin predicted Capitol rioters would get millions, even if it took until 2028, two people told NBC News.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Not a surprise, but some great detail. (Not gated). www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/r...
nytimes.com
Trump’s Deportations Are Costing Americans Jobs, Study Finds
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
The top lawyer at the Treasury Department stepped down on Monday in the wake of the creation of a $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization fund” that could soon make payments to President Trump’s political allies, according to three people familiar with the move. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/18/b...
nytimes.com
Top Treasury Lawyer Resigns After Creation of ‘Anti-Weaponization Fund’
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
What the hell, really. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stoc...
finance.yahoo.com
Trump’s More Than 3,700 Trades Astonish Wall Street Insiders
(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump’s latest financial disclosures show that he or his investment advisers made more than 3,700 trades in the first quarter, a flurry totaling tens of millions of dol...
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
NYT today.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Trump's suit against the IRS. You won't be shocked. www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-corr...
thebulwark.com
Trump’s Corruption Is Going to Sink Him
Conditions are right for voters to stop turning a blind eye to his greed, grift, and gold leaf.
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
A revived Trump/MAGA Jan 6 style militia for the next (2028) election cycle? Greg Sargent makes a strong case.
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Ron Filipkowski @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
One heck of a summary.....
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Marvelous graph and insight.
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Craiger @beartownboy.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Ya, the left really needs to tone down the rhetoric....
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James Harris @james-harris.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Bout sums it up.
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