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Jack Peacock @jackpeacock1.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

The polling industry has collectively created a behemoth when it comes to 'cost of living' in issues tracking. This from Electoral Calculus demonstrates the need to unpack the issue.

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Reposted by Jack Peacock

Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 02/05/2025

An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils: Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats

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Reposted by Jack Peacock

Survation. @survation.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind. LAB 27% REF 24% PC 24% CON 15% LD 5% GRE 5% OTH 1% F/w 10th March - 3rd April. @jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...

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Reposted by Jack Peacock

Survation. @survation.bsky.social · 25/03/2025

Ahead of the spring statement, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social looks at how the public understands the economy and their views on economic growth as an indicator of performance. We find just 54% of people believe they personally gain when the UK economy is growing. www.survation.com/the-chancell...

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

The two 'soft ends' of Labour's coalition are Reform curious voters on right, Green curious voters on left. Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics. Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.

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Jack Peacock @jackpeacock1.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Latest from me with a focus on fragmentation and economic pessimism. Voters’ expectations for delivery are through the floor, yet they don't believe anyone else would necessarily fare better.

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Reposted by Jack Peacock

Paula Surridge @psurridge.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

Worth drawing attention to the table in this piece - it is absolutely the case Labour faces a 2nd placed Reform in 89 seats but in most of those they are a long way behind Labour, and still behind Labour if you give them all the Conservative vote in those seats as well.

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Jack Peacock @jackpeacock1.bsky.social · 06/01/2025

Labour’s vote share has fallen 4 points since the election, while the Conservatives have inched up 1 point. The biggest winner? Reform UK, whose vote share has surged by 6 points, capitalising on dissatisfaction on the right. 1/8

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