iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Isaias Ghezae

Tomer Ullman @tomerullman.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

new preprint: "Directing large language models to follow the letter or spirit of the law" arxiv.org/pdf/2609.23083 (by Qian , Li, Chen, Murthy @soniakmurthy.bsky.social , Belinkov, and me) this is particularly cool/important, and I'm allowed to say it because it was headed by @pqian.bsky.social

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This skeet will self destruct @pardoguerra.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

This post got me thinking: what is actually the "manifesto" or platform of the @democrats.org today? And to give partial answers to the question, I scraped and analyzed about ~100 pages of congressional representatives to get a sense of the issues that mater for them. Below, some findings:

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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

1/ What is the prevalence of personally identifiable information (PII) in author-collected data publicly shared in the social sciences? We audited 327 replication packages from 11 leading journals in economics, political science, and psychology Answer: surprisingly high 🧵

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11/08/2026

I've written a lot more about "America's new swing voter" today, showing how "anti-system orientation" is distinct from left-right ideology & driving much if not most of the gains for (1) the DSA in primaries and (2) the Democrats for the general election. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-08-11...

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Ashwini Ashokkumar @ashwinia.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

New paper in @nature.com with @lukebeehewitt.bsky.social, @isaiasghezae.bsky.social, & @robbwiller.bsky.social: Can LLMs predict results of social science experiments? Across 70 experiments, we find a strong correspondence (r=.85) between predicted and observed effects. doi.org/10.1038/s415... 🧵

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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 09/05/2026

National identity reconfigures brain responses from “them” to “us” Briefly priming national versus ethnic identity increases ventromedial prefrontal cortex activation for ethnic out-group faces, a pattern typically reserved for self and in-group processing. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

pnas.org

National identity reconfigures brain responses from “them” to “us” | PNAS

How the human brain flexibly adapts social perception by recategorizing out-group (them) to in-group (us) remains unclear. Using functional MRI in ...

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 19/04/2026

More evidence of the non-left/right, anti-system axis in US politics. (Author says this was inspired by my writing at Strength In Numbers!)

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Isaias Ghezae @isaiasghezae.bsky.social · 19/04/2026

🚨New Working Paper!🚨 How do Americans mentally map political coalitions? We often talk as if U.S. politics is just two sorted camps. But when people think about which groups go with which, the picture is more complicated. 🧵👇

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 07/04/2026

New deep dive piece on 2 new big studies on ideology and moderation, including a data exclusive from Blue Rose Research. Short version: Only 8% of "moderates" say they want a moderate party. And when candidates do move to the middle, fx are often negative www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-04-07...

gelliottmorris.com

Strength In Numbers

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a…

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Ashwini Ashokkumar @ashwinia.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

🚨🚨 My lab is hiring a Pre-doc Researcher/Lab Manager! 🚨🚨 Full-time pre-doc research opening in my lab at Harvard Psych (start: Summer/Fall 2026). Review begins April 10 Apply: jobs.smartrecruiters.com/HarvardUnive... Please repost + tag folks who might be a good fit! 👇

jobs.smartrecruiters.com

Research Assistant II

Company Description: By working at Harvard University, you join a vibrant community that advances Harvard's world-changing mission in meaningful ways, inspires innovation and collaboration, and builds...

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

From me and @adambonica.bsky.social: the fact that so many voters trusted Trump over the Democratic Party on prices really shows the limits of swing voters’ understanding of public policy www.bostonreview.net/forum/how-no...

Or take the case of economic policy. The modern Republican Party's economic agenda ranks among the least popular in the history of polling. By contrast, the Biden administration and Democratic Congress of 2021-2023 was more economically populist, expansionary, and focused on manufacturing jobs than any U.S. regime in half a century. That is, of course, a low bar: the economy certainly wasn't transformed. But it should give us pause that the relationship between the economy and public sentiment fundamentally changed in the 2020s, with wages becong less important and price levels much more central. It should also give us pause that many voters trusted Trump on inflation in 2024 despite a policy agenda that would very clearly raise prices. We see the labor movement and economic populism as necessary but far from sufficient in this new environment.

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 14/03/2026

This essay best captures my experience on how context-aware AI like Claude Code/Codex adds value to my research. AI as a Research Collaborator, Not a Paper Mill modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/ai-as-a-re...

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 17/03/2026

Donald Trump's job approval is 34 points lower than his 2024 vote margin among working-class Hispanics — and working-class whites now on net disapprove of how he's handling his job as president, per new Strength In Numbers/Verasight polling www.gelliottmorris.com/p/workers-tr...

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Today in the NYT, I discuss some fresh research on which moderations move the most voters. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/o...

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David Broockman @dbroockman.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

New short paper w @jkalla.bsky.social ! Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect. Many conclude voters must not care about issues. This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!

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Adi Wiezel, Ph.D. @awiezel.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

Another cool data blitz from #SPSP political psych precon. People asume there are two large coalitions in the U.S.: liberals & conservatives. But, work by @isaiasghezae.bsky.social suggests there are instead 3: (1) conservatives, (2) ideological liberals, and (3) a liberal demographic group.

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