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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 14h

Michelle Wu has single-handedly demoralized me by like 50% about municipal politics

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 15h

He should get booed and met with Ukraine flags at every place

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 15h

just in case she deletes. Seems like she's just left the chat

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 17h

To a substantial portion of the news media the effects of their articles are not important, it's more the aesthetics and telling a compelling Story whether or not it's accurate. The accolades they give themselves reinforce this while their customers leave

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 17h

But look these are Big Journalism Names who won Prizes, bow down everyone

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 17h

Editor jerking himself off here when no one involved bothered to look up public posts its subject made is perfect

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 19h

It's not really a lecture it's like one sentence: "he doesn't get removed", so it's up to you to explain why this does anything different than the last time we did it I would say overall we don't really know what things will be like in six months so not committing to certain procedure is fine

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Isaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

"Why are people voting in right wing govts globally?" - American who lived through inflation-based Trump second win

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George Pearkes @peark.es · 04/10/2026

I don't have any predictions here but if Bolsonaro were to win a lot of takes confidently declaring that Brazil learned more from its first dabbling in fascism (Flavio's father's term, which ended in a Jan 6-style attack on Brazilian democracy) are going to end up aging VERY poorly.

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

The idea was clearly to get those kinds of people, conservatives who care about rule of law to come to Democrats' side by not rushing a prosecution and laying the facts out in the Jan 6 committee. Unfortunately too many ppl in media thought Trump was good for business and ignored it

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

It seems like if you are a conservative that cares about democracy more than high prices or racism or whatever then you wouldn't need a prosecution to move you to the democracy side. Successfully prosecuting Trump would help because he's unique but wouldn't solve the problem, see Brazil

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

probably a good idea to not bench drake maye after 3 bad games imho

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Going for platner voters who can influence low propensity Texans. 4d chess

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Serious people will insist that had Merrick Garland just brought a case against trump more quickly, it would have ended the threat of fascism in the US, and they point to Brazil as an example

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I was told that all Merrick Garland had to do to end the far right anti democratic threat was bring a case against Trump slightly quicker, like Brazil had done to the elder Bolsonaro

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USER WAS BLOCKED FOR THIS POST @blockedforthispost.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

You seem to have chosen the fuckwit option!😂

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

So...why are you guys not together on stage or in any ads ...

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Most likely early but I also like to bring my son with me and he has eday off so we'll see

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Wonder how many undecided voters are able to take the additional step of reasoning that this as implies they should

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

The thing about these people is if you actually believed this you would be in your prepper compound already. I'd respect that. This is just telling other people what to do

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USER WAS BLOCKED FOR THIS POST @blockedforthispost.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

I can draw a Halloween icon of your fursona if you still need one. Send the vibe you want and I’ll show a few of my works.

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Whoa a podcaster has an opinion on what Democrats should be doing, that's crazy

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Plus when Trump approval is down in the 20s, he has no real heir and he's visibly dying the incentive for Congress or SCOTUS to go completely beyond the pale to support him starts to evaporate, finally

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Yeah like as much as they haven't been following rules, they have still been following most of the rules and these are some pretty big ones

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

If Phil Scott is in trouble then Jackson and Pappas will win by 20

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

I'm with Aaron here. Insane that you don't have plays ready immediately

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

This model is projecting at least a 0.5% chance of every outcome from Ds winning 268 seats to Ds winning only 208. This is unhelpful if you're not willing to make it a narrower confidence interval

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

This is giving everything from d +101 to r +37 at least a 0.5% chance of happening. Not helpful!

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Even in projections that have a big D win as the median projection they always have a super wide confidence interval. Like this curve should be way more narrow even if your model says 225-230 D is the most likely

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

If the second thing happened you wouldn't need to do the first thing? But as others have said Gaza won't matter, they will find a different thing to complain about. They should be ignored or preferably actually called out as wreckers, candidates are way too scared to do that

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USER WAS BLOCKED FOR THIS POST @blockedforthispost.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

yeah you're a fucking liar, i was never friends with you dumbass

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Strong disapproval not just disapprove. Going from Gallup

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River_Tam @rivertam.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

It's crazy that so many people who are living paycheck to paycheck would turn down a life-changing amount of money like that

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gaelium.bsky.social @gaelium.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

"Donald Trump is the most unpopular president since Watergate and also started the most unpopular war since Vietnam, driving up cost of living and gas, on top of tariffs, causing people to vote against his party in record numbers" vs "nuh uh"

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Yes, GWB did not reach strong disapproval levels like Trump until the economy was completely crashing in 08, and Rs still got crushed in 06 It might not be that bad but it will be bad

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Oh I like this part where the interviewer tries like they always do to bail him out and change the subject and he keeps ranting.

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USER WAS BLOCKED FOR THIS POST @blockedforthispost.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Alright man, you sure showed me.

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Or Biden I suppose. "March for Israel bussed in a bunch of people from outside the area" Yeah that is an option open to anyone?

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

after 10/7, here in DC, there were some decently sized but not super large pro-palestine protests, and they ended with a number of people vandalizing statues selfishly Then the March for Israel happened mid-Nov which was peaceful and had over 100K attendees Which do you think Congress noticed...

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

"pro Palestine protestors are less committed and more scared of violence than will stancil and wine moms at No Kings protests" isn't really the line I'd be going with but there isn't much other explanation I suppose

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

They weren't too scared to show up for no kings nor did Minneapolis stop tracking ICE after people were murdered for it. Try again

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Secession anticipator @intolerablesit.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Everyone should watch Mr death by Errol Morris, which addressed this almost thirty years ago

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