This model is projecting at least a 0.5% chance of every outcome from Ds winning 268 seats to Ds winning only 208. This is unhelpful if you're not willing to make it a narrower confidence interval
@decisiondeskhq.bsky.socialDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: U.S. House
🟦 Democrats: 75%
🟥 Republicans: 25%
Democrats average 234 seats across 1 million simulations and are at least slight favorites in 21 Republican-held seats:
