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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group

@instglobalaffairs.bsky.social
96 followers 30 following 693 posts

The world is complicated. Learning about it shouldn’t be. IGA is a NYC-based nonprofit founded by Ian Bremmer & housed at ‪@eurasiagroup.net‬. Check out our podcast, None Of The Above.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
A message from host Jonathan Guyer: None Of The Above is up for a Signal Award, and we’re asking for your vote 🗳️ Polls close Oct 15. vote.signalaward.com
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Tech companies, defense startups, and their CEOs hold more and more sway over how and when countries go to war. What happens when private interests outweigh national security interests? Sharon Weinberger joins Jonathan Guyer on None Of The Above 🎧 www.noneoftheabovepodcast.org/episodes/s7e...
A soldier walks beside a four-legged robot dog on an airfield. Text: "None Of The Above. Silicon Valley Goes to War. Sharon Weinberger on big tech's relationship with the Pentagon."
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
There's still time to vote! None Of The Above is a Signal Awards finalist in News & Politics. Ballots are open until Thursday, October 15: vote.signalaward.com/PublicVoting... Signal asks you to confirm your vote by email, so check spam #SignalAwards
None of the Above is a 2026 Signal Awards finalist in News & Politics. Vote for us: ballots are open until Thursday, October 15 at vote.signalaward.com.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
AI is on the front lines in Iran. Claude has helped select targets, and Grok has coordinated missile strikes. Yet 42% of Americans have heard nothing about it. IGA's Jonathan Guyer writes in The National Interest.
nationalinterest.org
Claude and Grok Are at War in Iran, and Americans Have No Idea
The US government has empowered America’s AI giants to set their own rules for their models’ use in warfare, without asking or informing the public.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The US-UAE nuclear deal is considered the "gold standard" because the UAE agreed to forgo uranium enrichment and spent-fuel reprocessing, paths to bomb-grade material. The proposed Saudi deal doesn't require the same, explains IGA nonresident fellow Sahar Khan. bit.ly/3VhTdap
responsiblestatecraft.org
Clock ticking on Democrat effort to kill flawed US-Saudi nuke deal
Members will have a limited time after the midterms to bring a resolution to a vote. Then again, Trump's own conditions might spoil the pact anyway.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
IGA's Jonathan Guyer joined former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich on Newt's World to talk drones, AI, and the latest IGA polling on the Iran war. Read: instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2026/09/war-... Listen:
podcasts.apple.com
Episode 1048: Drones, AI, and the Future of War — How Artificial Intelligence Is Remaking the Battlefield
Podcast Episode · Newt's World · October 1 · 36m
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Jonathan Guyer: "Congress has a really big role to play ... a role that the founders set out in the Constitution." Newt Gingrich: "The longer the war goes and the more it fails, the more they're going to want some kind of countervailing balance."
Bar chart. Should the president be able to launch military operations overseas without approval from Congress? Should not 61%, Should 26%, Not sure 12%. IGA/YouGov survey of 1,000 US adults, April 24–27, 2026.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The first AI war? IGA Program Director Jonathan Guyer joined C-SPAN earlier this week to discuss how the US is using AI in the conflict with Iran and the extent to which Americans are aware of it. www.c-span.org/program/wash...
c-span.org
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Two authors, two decades apart, on the same subject. Stephen Walt and Eli Clifton join Jonathan Guyer on the pod to discuss how pro-Israel advocacy in US politics has changed, and how the Gaza war has shaped the debate over it.
noneoftheabovepodcast.org
The Israel Lobby, Explained — None Of The Above
Eli Clifton & Stephen Walt on the role of foreign influence in US foreign policy
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Read the full report for more findings on the war with Iran and the information war at home: instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2026/09/war-...
instituteforglobalaffairs.org
WAR PRESIDENT: THE IRAN TRAP
Three months before the midterms, eight in ten Americans — majorities across every political party — say the war has raised the cost of living.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
52% now say the Iran war was a mistake — six months in. 7/
Stacked bar chart showing whether US adults think the United States made a mistake in taking military action against Iran, August 2026. Overall, 52% say it was a mistake, 30% say it was not, and 18% are not sure. Among Democrats, 81% say it was a mistake; among Republicans, 65% say it was not; among Independents, 59% say it was a mistake.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
46% say the war is making the United States less safe. 23% say more safe. 6/
Diverging stacked bar chart showing whether US adults think US military operations against Iran are making the United States more or less safe, August 2026. Overall, 46% say less safe, 23% say more safe, 22% say neither, and 10% are not sure. Democrats are 70% less safe; Republicans 49% more safe; Independents 51% less safe.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
40% say stopping Iran's nuclear program justifies continuing the war. But is it working? 43% think Iran is more likely to get the bomb today than a year ago. 5/
Diverging stacked bar chart showing whether US adults think Iran is more or less likely to develop a nuclear weapon today than a year ago, April vs. August 2026, by party. Overall, 42% said more likely in April and 43% in August; 35% said less likely both times; 22% were not sure both times. Within that, "much more likely" fell from 22% to 17% while "somewhat more likely" rose from 20% to 26%. Democrats saying more likely went from 55% to 57%; Republicans saying less likely from 55% to 58%; Independents saying more likely from 42% to 48%.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
81% say the war has driven up the cost of living, including 91% of Democrats, 79% of Independents and 73% of Republicans. 4/
Stacked bar chart showing how much US adults think the war in Iran has increased the cost of living in general, August 2026. Overall, 46% say a great deal, 35% some, 10% not much, 2% not at all, and 7% are not sure. Democrats are the most likely to say a great deal (66%), Republicans the least (27%), with Independents at 45%.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Republicans still back Trump: 74% approve. But their support has cooled since the spring — strong approval fell 15 points, from 49% to 34%. 3/
Diverging stacked bar chart showing approval and disapproval of President Trump's handling of the US military campaign against Iran among US adults in April and August 2026. Overall disapproval was 58% in April and 60% in August, while approval was 33% and 34%, respectively. Disapproval among Independents increased from 62% to 75%; Republican approval remained high, at 73% and 74%; and Democratic disapproval remained about 90%.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
60% of Americans disapprove of President Trump's handling of the war. 34% approve. 2/
Diverging stacked bar chart showing approval and disapproval of President Trump's handling of the US military campaign against Iran among US adults in April and August 2026. Overall disapproval was 58% in April and 60% in August, while approval was 33% and 34%, respectively. Disapproval among Independents increased from 62% to 75%; Republican approval remained high, at 73% and 74%; and Democratic disapproval remained about 90%.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
NEW: The Iran Trap. Six months into war with Iran, our latest poll finds a public wary of a conflict many believe the US is not winning, unlikely to achieve its stated objectives, and not worth the costs. Survey of 1,000 US adults, fielded Aug 11–14. 🧵1/
Report cover: a painting of the US flag in a gold frame, leaning against a wall among empty frames. Title: War President — The Iran Trap. Institute for Global Affairs, September 2026.
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Reposted by Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group
ian bremmer @ianbremmer.com · 17/09/2026
do americans think the iran war is a mistake? 52%: yes 30%: no 18%: undecided - @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
www.thirdcountrydeportationwatch.org
thirdcountrydeportationwatch.org
Third Country Deportation Watch
Monitoring the human cost of the U.S. government’s forced third country transfer agreements.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
This map shows where the Trump administration has deported immigrants and refugees to countries that aren't their own. Third-country deportations send people to countries they may have never been. Today, Liberia agreed to accept 1,200 third-country deportees from the United States.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
www.wsj.com/world/tehran...
wsj.com
Tehran Ships Drones to Russia Over Caspian Sea for Deployment on Ukraine Front, U.S. Says
The U.S. described the shipments that support Russia on the battlefield in Ukraine, declassifying intelligence to show the two countries’ deepening security relationship.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
This 2023 map shows the route Iranian drones take to Ukraine's frontlines, according to the US. Last weekend, Ukraine for the first time struck an Iranian cargo ship on the Caspian Sea, which it claims was carrying lethal drones bound for Russia.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
congress.gov
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
This map shows where liquid natural gas is produced, stored, and transported across the Middle East. 8% passes through Bab el-Mandeb, near the coast of Yemen. Yemen's Houthis recently began to attack container ships, as the Iran war continues.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
alhurra.com/en/17624
alhurra.com
Bab al-Mandeb: The Houthis’ Strategic Lever | Alhurra
Although the Houthis have not announced full engagement in the current war against Iran, their attacks on shipping have become a calibrated tool of pressure—reflecting an ability to influence event…
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
This map shows trade chokepoints in the Middle East. As the Iran war continues, Yemen's Houthis have recently begun to attack coammercial shipping in and around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. 30% of global container traffic passes through the strait, which leads to the Suez Canal.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com/the-ugly-pol...
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com
None Of The Above: The Ugly Politics of the Beautiful Game w/ Alex Shephard
The World Cup is heating up here in the United States as teams head into the quarter finals. It has had its fair share of controversies: immigration crackdowns, exorbitant tic...
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
The World Cup is heating up in the quarter finals. It has been controversial: immigration crackdowns, pricey tickets, and a cozy relationship between FIFA and Trump. @alexshephard.bsky.social, senior editor at @newrepublic.com and co-founder of @goldengoalmag.bsky.social joins to discuss.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
www.congress.gov/crs-product/... ieefa.org/eu-gas-flows...
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
This map shows the pipelines and facilities used to import Europe's natural gas. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, European countries decreased their import of Russia's gas in favor Norway's. In 2025, imports of Russian gas further declined to 12%.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/t...
atlanticcouncil.org
NATO defense spending tracker
The Transatlantic Security Initiative's NATO defense spending tracker delves into data to analyze current defense spending trends.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
This chart shows defense spending of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) alliance countries. The United States is the largest spender by far, dwarfing the spending of every other NATO country combined. In 2025, it accounted for ~60% of alliance military spending.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
www.cnn.com/2026/06/25/a...
cnn.com
Visualizing the Venezuela earthquakes in maps and charts | CNN
Two major earthquakes struck Venezuela on Wednesday evening. CNN is tracking developments, in maps and charts.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
This map shows the intensity of the twin earthquakes which struck Venezuela last week. At least 1,700 people have died and thousands left homeless. As many as 50,000 buildings may have been damaged, according to reporting by the Associated Press.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com/america-in-t...
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com
None Of The Above: America in the Eyes of the World w/ Madeleine Schwartz
There is feeling that the era of American dominance in the world is coming to an end. But what is the view from other countries? That’s what a new collection of essa...
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
It feels like American dominance is coming to an end. But how is this moment viewed around the world? Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by @mmschwartz.bsky.social, editor-in-chief of @thedialmag.bsky.social, to reflect on perspectives from Canada, India, Palestine, and more.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2026/05/poll...
instituteforglobalaffairs.org
War President
The first in a series of IGA polls tracking public opinion ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
70% of Americans support Congress's war powers, according to IGA survey data. That includes almost all Democrats, the vast majority of independents, and many Republicans.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com/the-gulf-pla...
noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com
None Of The Above: The Gulf Plays Defense w/ Omar Rahman
The wealthy countries of the Persian Gulf have steadily become some of the United States’ closest partners, through investment, technology, and military relationship...
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Wealthy Gulf countries are some of the United States’ closest partners. But the US-Israeli war with Iran has pushed them into a conflict they did not choose. Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by @omarrahman.bsky.social to discuss how the Gulf has navigated Trump, Iran, Israel, and Palestine.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
www.aa.com.tr/en/info/info...
aa.com.tr
Developments in the past 24 hours
SiteDescription
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
This map shows the most recent escalations in the Iran war. The Israeli and Iranian strikes were the first since the April ceasefire went into effect. Both countries have since ceased fire.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Trump Tries to Stop Israel’s Lebanon Push Derailing an Iran Deal
President Donald Trump is still optimistic the US can reach an interim peace deal with Iran soon, after the Islamic Republic threatened to suspend talks because of Israel’s escalating attacks in Leban...
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
This map shows Hezbollah and Israel's attacks since the April 7 ceasefire. Since the start of the war in early March, Hezbollah has killed 29 Israeli people. Israel has killed 3,500+ Lebanese people.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Read the full findings from our latest poll: instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2026/05/poll...
instituteforglobalaffairs.org
War President
The first in a series of IGA polls tracking public opinion ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Congress is doing as most Americans believe it should. 70% believe the president should NOT be able to launch military operations without congressional approval, according to IGA's latest report. That includes a third of Republicans and nearly all Democrats.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
www.reuters.com/world/middle...
reuters.com
How Israel has emptied southern Lebanon far beyond the front lines
Evacuations and air strikes drive Lebanese civilians from scores of towns and villages spanning a growing chunk of the country.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
This map shows Israeli strikes across Lebanon during the first month of the ceasefire with Hezbollah. A new, partial ceasefire was announced yesterday. But although the ceasefire has held so far, clashes have continued in southern Lebanon today. in southern Lebanon today.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
instituteforglobalaffairs.org/2026/05/war-...
instituteforglobalaffairs.org
Shifting Views of Israel
This post is part of IGA’s new report on American public attitudes, War President. Read the executive summary here and the methodology here. Click here to read the next chapter. American …
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Nearly half of Americans say the relationship with Israel does more to hurt than help the US. That's according to recent IGA polling, available via the link below.
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