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Kenneth Payne

@indescribable.bsky.social
162 followers 89 following 55 posts

Shall we play a game?

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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Agree - it’s a po-faced snooze fest…
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Klaas Meijer @klaasm67.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Creepy! Visited the abandoned Fort de la Chartreuse. The fort was built in 1817 by the Dutch to defend Liège. After the revolution of 1830, it came into Belgian hands. Decommissioned in 1891, it was converted into a barracks. In 1988, it was finally abandoned by the Belgian army.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
V interesting. And maybe multicausal, but I reckon Fraser Nelson gets at one of the reasons - apathetic, screen addicted young men aren’t getting drunk and violent… link below:
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 11/05/2025
True. And also habit
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kpdmusing.bsky.social @kpdmusing.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
New blog post: open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
open.substack.com
Doctor Weirdlove or: “How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love Skynet”
Why betting on a crewed RAF Tempest is a dangerous gamble—and how ignoring the AGI debate leaves us strategically exposed
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
‚Drones don’t replace troops; in fact, each flight of a first-person-view drone can require up to four soldiers. For flights last week in northeastern Ukraine, a drone squad consisted of a pilot, a navigator, an armorer and a pilot of a retransmitting drone.‘ www.nytimes.com/2025/04/28/w...
nytimes.com
Ukraine Pinning War Hopes on Expanded Drone Program
Ukraine has adapted strategies and weapons during its fight against Russia. It is now banking on expanding the use of domestically produced drones, even though American arms remain crucial.
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Prof David J Galbreath @djgalbreath.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Russian satellite at centre of nuclear weapons allegations is 'spinning out of control' www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
theguardian.com
Russian satellite at centre of nuclear weapons allegations is spinning out of control, analysts say
Data indicates the Cosmos 2553 – which US officials claim is aiding Moscow’s development of nuclear anti-satellite weapon – may no longer be functional
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Robustly demonstrated by now that you don’t need a mind to have theory of mind:
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Simulating the Russia Ukraine conflict with AI: open.substack.com/pub/kpayne/p...
open.substack.com
Simulating the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
A Project Schelling update
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Nature @nature.com · 10/04/2025
Human brain cells engineered to evade detection by the immune system have successfully restored muscle control in a rat model of Parkinson’s disease go.nature.com/4lqDT3w
go.nature.com
Brain cells given an ‘invisibility cloak’ fix Parkinson’s symptoms in rats
Neurons engineered to evade the immune system could work as cell-replacement therapy.
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Artificial intelligence complicates nuclear deterrence strategy in more ways than you might expect. warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
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Michael Bang Petersen @m-b-petersen.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Pundits are - in vain - looking to economics and politics when trying to explain Trump's behavior. But, in reality, the central place to look if we want to understand Trump and his policies is this: The psychology of dominance. 🧵(1/5)
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Nature @nature.com · 09/04/2025
Nature research paper: Complete sequencing of ape genomes go.nature.com/3EfWwqk
go.nature.com
Complete sequencing of ape genomes - Nature
Complete sequences of chromosomes telomere-to-telomere from chimpanzee, bonobo, gorilla, Bornean orangutan, Sumatran orangutan and siamang provide a comprehensive and valuable resource for future evolutionary comparisons.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Giving a talk in June, with more updates on our experiments so far - www.kcl.ac.uk/events/shall...
kcl.ac.uk
DSD Research Seminar Series: Shall we play a game? Using artificial intelligence to simulate strategic decision-making.
Professor Kenneth Payne discusses the role of Artificial Intelligence in making strategic choices. Do they look anything like human ones?
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
And yet, few signs of anything other than business as usual
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
The Universal Schelling Machine open.substack.com/pub/kpayne/p...
open.substack.com
Towards a Universal Schelling Machine
A Manifesto
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Martin D.B. Brown @martindbbrown.bsky.social · 30/03/2025
No.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
And I’m not stopping there
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
This is super - Mike and Shashank feel the AGI and discuss much else besides: www.chinatalk.media/p/agi-and-th...
chinatalk.media
AGI and the Future of Warfare
Shashank and Horowitz go beyond superweapons
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Matt Steinglass @mattsteinglass.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
This would be a huge cultural change. Dutch leader of the Party for the Animals announces there is a majority in parliament for banning private fireworks—a mainstay of New Year’s celebrations.
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Nature @nature.com · 26/03/2025
Scientists have created the first map of the crucial structures called mitochondria throughout the entire brain go.nature.com/4c2YMxw
go.nature.com
First map of human brain mitochondria is ‘groundbreaking’ achievement
Hundreds of cubes of human brain tissue help scientists to chart the energy-making capabilities of various brain regions.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Bluesky is the home of cakeist thinking - especially when it comes to HE spending
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Utterly wrong
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Agree with all this. But a way needs finding to make extended deterrence as credible as the US version. New thinking on nuclear sharing needed; and you can’t easily share the UK weapon…
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 05/03/2025
U.S. military commanders will use artificial intelligence tools to plan and help execute movements of ships, planes and other assets under a contract called “Thunderforge” led by start-up Scale AI, the company said Wednesday.
wapo.st
Pentagon signs AI deal to help commanders plan military maneuvers
Start-up Scale AI will develop AI tools for the Pentagon to help commanders plan military movements, using technology from Microsoft and Anduril.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Extraordinary stuff
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RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
'The current focus on percentage figures as a test of political virility risks obscuring the fact that what NATO and Europe in particular require are credible armed forces capable of fighting and winning' writes @mtsavill.bsky.social in the latest RUSI Commentary.
rusi.org
Starmer Shows his Hand on Defence Spending
The increase in UK defence spending announced on 25 February has been welcomed by many, but the focus on fractions of a percent must not be a distraction from the real issue of output and generating a...
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Frank Sauer @drfranksauer.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
😭
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 24/02/2025
Clint Hill, the Secret Service agent who dove onto President John F. Kennedy’s uncovered limousine in Dallas in a heroic attempt to shield him from the fatal gunshots Lee Harvey Oswald fired, died Feb. 21. He was 93.
washingtonpost.com
Clint Hill, Secret Service agent who tried to shield Kennedy, dies at 93
Mr. Hill dove onto the presidential limo in a vain attempt to save President John F. Kennedy when he was assassinated in Dallas in 1963.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
The number of uk academics is now shrinking quickly. Devastating to many individuals. But important context - it increased by 30000+ in the last decade.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Revisiting my thoughts on the UK’s minimal deterrent in light of recent events. I argued for a new air launched nuclear-tipped cruise missile, perhaps Anglo-French. Part of my rationale was the impact of a second Trump term. open.substack.com/pub/kpayne/p...
open.substack.com
The case for new nukes
In which I argue for British air-launched cruise missiles.
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Huw Bennett @bennetthuw.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Macron sets a high standard of leadership and integrity in standing up to Trump's gibberish - let's hope Starmer maintains this standard. Slava Ukraini!
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Gideon Rachman @gideonrachman.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Just to underline - the US voted with Russia and North Korea on a UN resolution on Ukraine. China abstained
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Yes. Fwiw I hope the SDR: Pivots from RN to RAF and Army Pivots from surface fleet to submarine Pivots from Asia-PAC to Europe Restores second leg of triad - indep of US Joins more with Europeans on C4ISR/space Sets AI to max, obvs 🤖
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Correct assessment.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Essential question is whether you think Trump would defend Estonia et al. Seems fairly clear to me he mightn’t. Therefore new thinking needed asap…
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Ciaran Martin @ciaranm.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Expect to see a lot more of this 👇 in the coming months & years. If Europe is at least pretending to have a serious conversation about life without a US security guarantee, then the same conversation has to be had about tech dependence on the US. Whether anything will happen is another matter.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
Air launched warhead asap
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
It me! Forgot Bluesky for a mo
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Anita Gohdes @argohdes.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
We're hiring a Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiesecurity.bsky.social! More details here: apply.interfolio.com/163523
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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warrior cop @wyattprivilege.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Only a thin ribbon of human history ever got to juggle a guy in mortal kombat at an arcade with 12 kids behind you yelling OOOH
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 23/01/2025
This is a very interesting read. Personally, I am particularly interested in the political implications of this (second third of the article) but all of it is quite fascinating. #Biedermeier www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
theatlantic.com
The Anti-Social Century
Americans are now spending more time alone than ever. It’s changing our personalities, our politics, and even our relationship to reality.
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
The reverse in humans…
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Kenneth Payne @indescribable.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Do come and hear us discuss our Universal Schelling Machine: www.ccw.ox.ac.uk/events/2025/...
ccw.ox.ac.uk
AI in strategic decision-making by Kenneth Payne — The Changing Character of War Centre
Tuesday 18 February, 13.30 Old Library, All Souls
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