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Hannah Randolph

@hlrandolph.bsky.social
70 followers 30 following 8 posts

Applied microeconomist working on social policy, labour market, and immigration @fraserofallander.bsky.social (University of Strathclyde) (she/her) 🏳️‍🌈

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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 22/09/2026
🎙️ Introducing Fraser Focus - a new podcast series from the Fraser of Allander Institute exploring economic issues affecting Scotland and the UK. Our first series focuses on low-income households and poverty. 🎧 Intro episode launches next week, first of ten main episodes on 6 October.
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Very excited to have this out - our dashboard shows new estimates of labour market activity in Scottish local authorities based on administrative data. Explore the dashboard to see what's happening in your area!
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 02/06/2026
In our latest podcast episode, Jack Evans of @jrf-uk.bsky.social joins the FAI to discuss new research on local labour markets across Scotland and how employability challenges look different across areas. Listen here 🎧️ buff.ly/wEycWaC
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
New blog on SG reallocation of planned 2CL mitigation spend. The short answer to the blog title is, unfortunately, no. Some additional spending on child poverty measures, but not the full amount - and difficult to parse what was set out. Hoping for a lot more clarity in the delivery plan!
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 13/11/2025
If the two-child limit to Universal Credit is abolished, the Scottish Government will save £155 million next year. In our second budget preview, we discuss how these savings could be spent on further measures to tackle child poverty: fraserofallander.org/budget-previ...
fraserofallander.org
Implications for Scotland of abolishing the two-child limit | FAI
This article considers the implications for Scotland if the UK Government were to abolish the two-child limit to Universal Credit in its 2025 Autumn Budget.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 16/09/2025
🎯 Can Scotland hit its 2030 child poverty targets? Join FAI researchers + a panel with the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, The Robertson Trust & I-SPHERE (Heriot-Watt) to explore funding, policy priorities & solutions. 4pm on Thursday 18th September #FAI50 buff.ly/R37Qwm7
Decorative image that says 2 days to go until the FAI conference
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
Really interesting conversation, especially the long-run view of challenges to the Scottish economy - well worth a listen!
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 09/09/2025
The UK autumn budget statement is scheduled for November 26. Join @hlrandolph.bsky.social and @joaospsousa.bsky.social to learn more about the pressures facing the chancellor and what it might mean for the Scottish budget in our latest podcast:
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 22/08/2025
Employment statistics are designed to tell us what's going on in the labour market, but problems with the Labour Force Survey since the pandemic have muddied the waters. Listen to our latest podcast to hear more 🎧 buff.ly/VUwUrbi
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 15/08/2025
🚨 We're delighted to announce our (near) final programme for our Economic and Social Policy Conference on the 18th and 19th September, including a new live conference page on our site. Read more: buff.ly/OK8xjug
fraserofallander.org
The Fraser of Allander Institute Economic and Social Policy Conference 2025 | FAI
A few weeks ago, we announced our exciting plans to celebrate the Fraser of Allander’s 50th anniversary. As part of this, we were thrilled to announce that we are hosting our first economic and…
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Really fun episode to do, I learned a huge amount about what cities like London and New York have in place and what aspects of design might be important for Glasgow. Stay tuned for a peak fares episode later this autumn...
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
This video is, unsurprisingly, a mix of straightforward lies and deliberately misleading half-truths. My earlier analysis on the long-run fiscal impact of recent migrants is here: docs.google.com/document/d/e...
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Some key points from this: meeting the child poverty targets will require significant measures, and putting parents into work won't be enough - some social security action (and a lot of investment) needed as well.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Anyone claiming recent migrants are mostly "low-skilled"/low-paid should be forced to explain this chart. [more detailed data also shows relatively rapid earnings progression/catch-up among most recent arrivals]
chart showing median pay by nationality of origin - both EU and non-EU origin employees have slightly higher median pay than those of UK origin
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
This won't have much impact on net migration, but will hinder integration, promote "churn", and increase hardship. Mean-spirited, unnecessary, and unpopular. www.ft.com/content/f844...
ft.com
Migrants will have to spend decade in UK before applying to stay
Government to also end visas for care workers as part of immigration clampdown
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 08/04/2025
To learn more, join FAI economists @hlrandolph.bsky.social and @chirstyresearch.bsky.social at the @scothealtheq.bsky.social webinar tomorrow! Follow the link to register by the end of the day. buff.ly/eiwzgOg
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A Future at Risk: Child Poverty and Health Inequalities in Scotland
Join us for our second webinar, focusing on child poverty in Scotland and its relationship with health inequality.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 03/04/2025
New podcast out today reflecting on what comes next after Scotland missed its interim child poverty targets. Featuring Chris Birt from @jrf-uk.bsky.social with our own @chirstyresearch.bsky.social and @hlrandolph.bsky.social
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Child Poverty 2025 Podcast with Chris Birt | FAI
In this episode, we discuss the latest child poverty statistics, Scotland’s child poverty targets, and where we go from here.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Scottish Health Equity Research Unit @scothealtheq.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
Join us for our webinar, "A Future at Risk: Child Poverty and Health Inequalities in Scotland" ft. @chirstyresearch.bsky.social @hlrandolph.bsky.social and Ruth Dundas on child poverty in Scotland and its relationship with health inequality. Sign up here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/a-future-a...
eventbrite.co.uk
A Future at Risk: Child Poverty and Health Inequalities in Scotland
Join us for our second webinar, focusing on child poverty in Scotland and its relationship with health inequality.
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
New blog out discussing the latest child poverty stats, including how close Scotland came to meeting the interim targets and what we're looking out for next.
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
The stats this morning show 22% relative child poverty, down from 26% last year - but not by enough to meet the 18% interim target. More from us later - in the meantime, read our blog for more on how Scottish Child Payment is captured in survey data 👇
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 24/03/2025
How can Scotland meet its child poverty targets? Our latest report models the size of the challenge and shows the impact of policy packages to reach the targets by 2030/31. Read more: buff.ly/pPKCwNw
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 20/03/2025
Next week, we'll find out if Scotland has hit its interim child poverty targets. We've been working away behind the scenes and will have some reports and reflections out next week. For now, what are we looking our for in the stats? Read more here:
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Will Scotland hit its interim child poverty targets? | FAI
In 2017, the Child Poverty (Scotland) Act set statutory targets for child poverty rates – one set of interim targets due in 2023/24, and a final set due in 2030/31. The latest Scottish child poverty…
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
University of Glasgow @glasgow.ac.uk · 06/03/2025
Research by @uofgartshums.bsky.social with @fraserofallander.org reveals innovative tax and benefits policies that could dramatically improve financial security for UK screen industry freelancers – and potentially reverse a worrying exodus of talent from the sector. Read more ➡️ gla.ac/43orK91
A woman stands over a laptop with a group of people in the background around her on set.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 04/03/2025
🎧 New podcast episode 🎧 Ever heard us talk about Barnett consequentials and wanted to know more? @joaosousa.bsky.social and @hlrandolph.bsky.social discuss how the Barnett formula works and what it means for devolved fiscal policy in our latest episode. fraserofallander.org/podcast-what...
fraserofallander.org
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Prof Ruth Patrick @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
In research, too often we get only a snapshot of how lives are shaped by policy. This w/paper shares findings from walking alongside those at sharp end of austerity for more than a decade. Spoiler: more cuts to welfare & conditionality are not the answer. sticerd.lse.ac.uk/case/_new/pu...
sticerd.lse.ac.uk
A decade on: Walking the sharp edge of the UK’s social security system
The UK’s social security landscape and public services infrastructure have been transformed since the Conservatives took office in 2010, initially as part of a coalition with the Liberal Democrats. The collision of austerity and a punitive approach to welfare reform have seen a drastic and far-reaching hollowing out of provision, which left the welfare state in poor health to respond to Covid-19 and then the cost-of-living crisis. There is growing evidence documenting the impact of these changes on society, and a greater appreciation of the harm caused by inadequate social security provision and under-resourced, failing public services. However, not enough is known about how these changes map onto the experiences of individuals over time. This working paper corrects this, reporting on in-depth research with those at the sharp edge of the social security system. The researchers have conducted repeat interviews with ten individuals for more than ten years, with the most recent interviews taking place during the winter of 2023-24. This research uncovers the extent to which social security and the wider infrastructure routinely fails individuals and their families. It highlights the harms caused by conditionality, and reveals the extent to which repeated fights for entitlement to support can grind people down over time.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 04/02/2025
Follow the link to read our discussion of the decision to mitigate the two-child limit, other devolved social security decisions, and how they relate to fiscal sustainability in Scotland.
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 26/11/2024
🎧New podcast episode 🎧 Luke Michaelides and Phil Gooding of ONS join @HL_Randolph to talk about how inflation statistics are produced and what they mean for households and businesses: buff.ly/4fqxbHv
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Hannah Randolph @hlrandolph.bsky.social · 28/10/2024
For all the hard-core fiscal policy fans (of which there are legion, presumably), please click through to the full publication! @joaosousa.bsky.social discusses the significance of all post-war chancellors' first budgets, well worth a full read. (The book deal is pending no doubt 🤞)
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Reposted by Hannah Randolph
Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 28/10/2024
@joaosousa.bsky.social joins @hlrandolph.bsky.social to discuss our expectations for Rachel Reeves' first budget on Wednesday and what we can learn from past chancellors' first budgets:
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Podcast: Rachel Reeves’ first budget | FAI
Deputy Director João Sousa joins FAI economist Hannah Randolph to discuss our expectations for the budget statement on Wednesday as well as what we can learn from past chancellors’ first budgets and…
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