Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 23/02/2025One of the keys (perhaps *the* key) to today's election will be whether 5 or 6/7 parties enter the Bundestag. If 5 get in (CDU, SPD, Greens, Linke and AfD), a new Grand Coalition is likely. If 6/7 (FDP and/or BSW) get in, a 3-party deal will be necessary - and things will get messier. 020
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 23/02/2025Una de las claves (quizás *la* clave) en las elecciones de hoy será si entran 5 o 6/7 partidos en el Bundestag. Si entran 5 (CDU, SPD, Verdes, Izquierda y AfD), lo probable será una nueva Gran Coalición. Si entran 6/7 (FDP y/o BSW), hará falta un tripartito y todo se complicará. 041
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 23/02/2025I agree: this is probably the best (realistic) scenario we can hope for today. 021
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezPolítica & Prosa @politicaprosa.bsky.social · 23/02/2025Alemania frente al espejo. La clave estará en que el nuevo gobierno federal, previsiblemente encabezado por Friedrich Merz, logre salir de la crisis estructural que atraviesa el país. Por @guilleiniguez.bsky.social. politicaprosa.com/es/alemania-...politicaprosa.comAlemania frente al espejo | política&prosaEl pasado 6 de noviembre, pocas horas después de la victoria de Donald Trump, el Gobierno alemán colapsó. Hacía meses que sus propios integrantes advertían de su fragilidad. La coalición «semáforo»… 012
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 28/01/2025For those of you interested in rule of law backsliding, judicial reforms, and EU competition law, my recently published piece in the CYELS uses this as case study from which to explore the metastatic-like consequences of democratic backsliding. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...cambridge.orgCompetition in Times of Democratic Crisis: Domestic Judicial Reforms and the Effectiveness of EU Competition Law | Cambridge Yearbook of European Legal Studies | Cambridge CoreCompetition in Times of Democratic Crisis: Domestic Judicial Reforms and the Effectiveness of EU Competition Law 010
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezLilith Verstrynge @lilithverstrynge.bsky.social · 14/01/2025Del escándalo y el victimismo a convertirse en una fuerza política y electoral respetable para millones de franceses. Escribo en @elpais.com sobre lo que la extrema derecha internacional le debe a Jean-Marie Le Pen. Españoles, Le Pen ha muerto - elpais.com/opinion/2025...elpais.comEspañoles, Le Pen ha muertoSin el fundador del Frente Nacional francés no se entiende a la hidra reaccionaria internacional que hoy suma adeptos 1278
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 18/12/2024Escribo en @politicaprosa.bsky.social sobre las elecciones alemanas, el fin del "milagro alemán" y la profunda crisis estructural a la cual se enfrentará el próximo gobierno federal. 051
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezTimothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 16/12/2024We are asking Ukrainians to defeat the armies of Putin and Kim Jong Un. In their efforts to do so, Ukrainians helped bring down Assad. Ukrainian resistance is one of the most stunning military achievements in modern history. 850423189779
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezChristian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 12/12/2024In essence, the #euro crisis only got better once all 3 German dogmas went out the window. 1) That the ECB was no lender of last resort, 2) that austerity was the way to fiscal health, and 3) that banking supervision and clean-up should remain national responsibility.media.tenor.coma man in a suit and tie is smiling with a building in the backgroundAlt: Mario Draghi saying No 25216
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezCatherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 05/12/2024New paper published @ajpseditor.bsky.social Showing that reduced access to public services fuelled far right support in 🇮🇹 Existing work on far right highlights globalization & migration grievances, what about people’s experiences with the state? We use 🇮🇹 reform to find out shorturl.at/zQ8bJ 26820384
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 04/12/2024"Madrid no será una gran región metropolitana sin sus universidades públicas. Su presidenta nunca cumplirá ese programa si su forma de relacionarse con la enseñanza superior es ideológica." @ubeda1955.bsky.social en @elpais.com. elpais.com/opinion/2024...elpais.comDíaz Ayuso, fuera de la leyMadrid no será una gran región metropolitana sin sus universidades públicas. Su presidenta nunca cumplirá ese programa si su forma de relacionarse con la enseñanza superior es ideológica 020
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezJames @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Carl Schmitt you fucking hack. You didn’t even consider that Parliament could just vote no to the Sovereign 931254
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezSam Leith @questingvole.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Today, in fun things to do that just take a moment of your time: trying to get paid a modest speaker's fee from a university. As a bureaucratic project, it's up there with obtaining a visa for North Korea and getting the BBC to pay VAT. 3833328
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezRoy Cobby @roycobby.eurosky.social · 02/12/2024Con tal de afianzarse en el 4% de intención de voto, hay una izquierda que tira por tierra sus propios logros en el Gobierno. La concienciación en torno al sector de reparto en plataformas digitales, su traducción en procesos legales y codificación vía Ley Rider derivan de cuando UP tenía ministros. 0165
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezJorge Rubio @jorxrubio.bsky.social · 02/12/2024El 23F hay elecciones en Alemania y todas las miradas están puestas en un nombre: Friedrich Merz. Este perfil del más-que-probable próximo canciller alemán es perfecto para conocer a la persona detrás del político o al político detrás de la persona. legrandcontinent.eu/es/2024/11/3...legrandcontinent.euFriedrich Merz: el canciller que viene - El Grand ContinentDesde los tranquilos salones de BlackRock hasta el estudio de Anselm Kiefer, el líder de la CDU que podría convertirse en el décimo canciller alemán de la posguerra es un conservador químicamente puro... 073
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 02/12/2024"Hace falta que la política muestre lo que es capaz de hacer ejecutando presupuestariamente, más en un momento en que el Legislativo avanza con dificultades al depender de los votos de Junts." El análisis de @danielbernabe.bsky.social del Congreso Federal. www.infolibre.es/opinion/colu...infolibre.esCongreso del PSOE en la España de bloquesLa arquitectura efímera es la base de cualquier evento importante. Vale para distribuir de manera eficiente al público, para trasladar una imagen 043
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezThe Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 28/11/2024NEW An argument about Assisting Dying Matters of life and death need to be properly regulated by law, and not by official discretion By me emptycity.substack.com/p/an-argumen... (substack) davidallengreen.com/2024/11/an-a... (personal blog)emptycity.substack.comAn argument about Assisting DyingMatters of life and death need to be properly regulated by law, and not by official discretion 410161
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezSergio C. Fanjul @txepeligro.bsky.social · 28/11/2024Lo del desmantelamiento de la universidad pública por Isabel Díaz Ayuso parece la motosierra de Milei por lo bajini. Me parece ciencia ficción. Pero está pasando. 👇 elpais.com/educacion/20...elpais.comLa universidad pública: un pilar invisible que sostiene la democracia se tambalea en MadridSi no se habla abiertamente de diagnósticos, objetivos y estrategias es porque existe una directriz inconfesable: la asfixia económica y una campaña sin descanso para desprestigiar la Academia 24530
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Too much UK analysis of the whole Brexit saga ignores the negotiating dynamics and focuses instead on narrow domestic politics. I hope that won't be repeated for upcoming talks, and that we'll understand that outcomes are shaped very early by constraints on both sides. 2385
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 27/11/2024"As the world’s most powerful country, America may feel that appealing to international law and institutions is something that only wimpy Europeans need to do. But even the mighty US needs allies and global rules ... A world without law will be a frightening and dangerous place." on.ft.com/3B4igUvon.ft.comIsrael will split the western allianceDestroying the International Criminal Court is not in America’s interests 010
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezAli Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Mexico's hand is considerably stronger against the US than it was during Trump's first term (nearshoring, China-related issues, immigration cooperation) and I think Mexico feels it needs to fight back at least a bit otherwise its going to be the go-to country to flog whenever Trump needs a win. 19820
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Este instituto de Benetússer ha perdido todos sus libros. Cualquier ayuda es bienvenida. 0128
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 26/11/2024China has been a key strategic partner of Hungary's since its post-2010 "Eastern Opening" strategy. As this article explains, it has formed part of HU's attempt to counterbalance its growing dependency on the EU/the West. However, this strategy has also impacted upon the EU's foreign policy. 1/2 100
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Esto de @danielbernabe.bsky.social es muy bueno. 0122
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 25/11/2024"[W]hile signing a petition hardly compares to the storming the Capitol, it would be dangerously naïve to ignore the fact that each of those phenomena occupy positions on the same populist continuum." 010
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 25/11/2024Que Javier Cercas, uno de los grandes novelistas españoles de las últimas décadas, suceda a Javier Marías, uno de los grandes novelistas europeos del último siglo, es de una profunda justicia literaria. elpais.com/cultura/2024...elpais.comJavier Cercas ingresa en la RAE: “La lectura es una forma de conocimiento de uno mismo y de los demás, igual que el sexo”El escritor, que ocupará la silla R, vacante desde el fallecimiento de Javier Marías, reprueba en su discurso los prejuicios instalados en la literatura por una parte de la crítica y de los editores 000
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 25/11/2024One of the last reforms which the outgoing German government will drive through - with the CDU's support - is one protecting the Constitutional Court against the rise of the AfD. www.dw.com/en/germany-m...dw.comGermany moves to protect top court against far right – DW – 10/11/2024Several authoritarian governments are trying to curb the clout of their countries' supreme courts. As far-right populists gain ground in Germany, the government is also working to protect this bastion... 010
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 24/11/2024This captures the key shift in EU politics since 2019: the emergence of an alternative right-wing majority in the Parliament. In 2019-24, the EP was the most pro-EU of the two co-legislators: think RoL conditionality. Given the new majorities, it is unlikely that this will be the case in 2024-29. 021
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezDan Slater @dnsltr.bsky.social · 23/11/2024Weak autocracies are far more common than strong autocracies. They are also often far more dangerous and damaging than strong autocracies. Never take hope from an autocrat’s weakness. Instead, prepare for the worst. A 🧵 based on 2 of my books: (1/N) 12367141
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 24/11/2024"If Trump dominates or obstructs NATO summits, EPC summits could provide a backup venue for Europe’s NATO allies ... This EPC “NATO within NATO” could take the form of a Defence Working Group comprising European NATO allies ... It could invite Canada, EU Presidents, and NATO’s Secretary General." 021
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 24/11/2024Hace semanas que la desinformación, las redes sociales y el futuro de la democracia dominan el debate público español, europeo e internacional. El pasado mes de agosto traté de abordar algunos de estos asuntos en El Correo. www.elcorreo.com/opinion/trib...elcorreo.comDisturbios en Reino Unido, redes sociales y Elon Musk | El CorreoSi lo peor de la violencia ultra parece superado, atajar sus causas, la crisis y la retórica política y mediática contra la inmigración, será más complejo 030
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezOona Hathaway @oonahathaway.bsky.social · 23/11/2024The Sixth Committee of the UN General Assembly has taken a critical step toward creating a new Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Crimes Against Humanity, adopting a resolution that creates a timeline and process for treaty negotiations. Read it here: undocs.org/Home/Mobile?...undocs.orgA/C.6/79/L.2/Rev.1 13215
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezRoss Lydall @rosslydall.bsky.social · 22/11/2024Latest on the rival bids to set up new international train services between St Pancras and the Continent - and the row that threatens to derail them www.standard.co.uk/news/transpo...standard.co.ukWhat's stopping new train services between London and the Continent?New destinations could include Cologne, Frankfurt, Geneva, Zurich, Marseille and Bordeaux 093
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezStephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 22/11/2024“If you choose to leave the world’s biggest trading bloc and drift gently around in the Atlantic — and are not sure whether you want to join an American regulatory regime for trade or the EU one — it’s going to leave you looking very isolated.”ft.comThe UK’s high-wire act between the US and EuropePost-Brexit Britain faces stark strategic choices with Trump taking office. Walking a line between both powers will be tricky 641463328
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezChristian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 22/11/2024“What did you think when seeing the 🚦 coalition drama?” Merkel: “Men!” 16919
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 22/11/2024"Europe is under attack from Russia. Why isn't it fighting back?" 030
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezJim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 21/11/2024John Prescott was one of the towering figures of New Labour, despite being mired in various controversies - not least punching a voter on the campaign trail - here's my FT obituary www.ft.com/content/3054...ft.comJohn Prescott, UK politician, 1938-2024Former deputy prime minister central to the New Labour project was one of the party’s most popular figures 1127836
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezFinancial Times @financialtimes.com · 21/11/2024ICC issues arrest warrant for Israeli premier Benjamin Netanyahu www.ft.com/content/0b62f17a-97db-48…ft.comICC issues arrest warrant for Israeli premier Benjamin NetanyahuWarrant also issued for former defence minister Yoav Gallant over allegations of war crimes and crimes against humanity 35828251
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezDiego Areso @quintatinta.bsky.social · 20/11/2024Hace 49 años murió Franco, y la fotógrafa Lea Levi se plantó delante de la tele para retratar en 442 fotos los cuatro días que le dieron la vuelta a España. Este especial de 2018 de @elpaissemanal es de las cosas más alucinantes que hemos publicado. elpais.com/especiales/2... 0177
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 21/11/2024La "crisis Ribera" se ha resuelto, pero las tres tendencias que ha ilustrado -un Parl más derechizado, una mayoría de derechas que reste poder negociador al Partido Socialista, y un Weber con un afán de protagonismo aún mayor- marcarán la legislatura 2024-2029. www.politico.eu/article/euro...politico.euSecond von der Leyen era on track to start Dec. 1Lawmakers clinch political deal to approve her commissioners. 022
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 21/11/2024"In the end, all the structural forces point towards some UK-EU rapprochement, perhaps in the 2030s, perhaps in the form of the customs union. The opportunity cost, which is the power to strike trade deals elsewhere, isn’t what it was. History is seeing to that." on.ft.com/4fCifGvon.ft.comHow Britain squandered the best hand in the worldHaving had three friends in high places — the US, the EU and China — the UK contemplates life with none 120
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 18/11/2024How Trump could reshape the judiciary (again). www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...washingtonpost.comAnalysis | How Trump could reshape the judiciary (again)In today’s edition … Activist group plans for Trump resistance 2.0 … Disaster response programs are running short on funds, White House warns. 010
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 18/11/2024“About 61% of core tutorial teaching is done by academics on fixed-term contracts or in hourly-paid roles. … Once preparation, marking and supporting students are taken into account, [pay] often falls below the minimum wage in real terms.” www.theguardian.com/education/20...theguardian.comOxford relying on ‘Deliveroo-style’ contracts with most tutorials not taught by full-time staffLeading university accused of relying on young academics employed on gig-economy terms 030
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 18/11/2024"En mi país somos tres millones e importamos 27 millones de pares de zapatos. Ni que fuéramos ciempiés, es de locos. ¿Nacimos para trabajar nomás? Vos sos libre cuando haces con tu vida lo que a vos se te antoja, que de repente es boludear." elpais.com/america/2024...elpais.comJosé ‘Pepe’ Mujica: “Le pido a la vida que me permita seguir ladrando un poco”A los 89 años, el expresidente de Uruguay ha vencido al cáncer. En esta entrevista con EL PAÍS, realizada en su casa rural de Montevideo, donde aún se recupera de las secuelas del tratamiento, habla d... 000
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezPablo Batalla @pablobatalla.bsky.social · 18/11/2024«Vos sos libre cuando haces con tu vida lo que a vos se te antoja, que de repente es boludear» Pepe Mujica 13713
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezLewis Goodall @lewisgoodall.com · 17/11/2024This tendency to want to just close the eyes to opposing viewpoints has proven a huge problem for progressive politics. It's rooted in the the idea that even to engage is somehow morally compromising. It means that the argument is not joined and real people aren't won over. bsky.app/profile/lewi... 13147237
Reposted by Guillermo ÍñiguezAlberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 17/11/2024Thinking of deleting your X account? Think again. After 30 days, it’s gone for good—but your username could be hijacked by scammers or trolls. It might be better to delete all tweets, lock it and leave it inactive. Impersonation and account theft are booming. Stay safe. 710356
Guillermo Íñiguez @guilleiniguez.bsky.social · 17/11/20241. The EPP's veto of Commissioner-designate Teresa Ribera reveals a phenomenon which has been underlying EU politics for several years: namely, that the EU's cordon sanitaire, which had hitherto survived as a top-down norm, is undergoing a bottom-up fragmentation. What do I mean by this? 1/5 163