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Ali Ahmadi

@aliahmadi.bsky.social
1.8K followers 834 following 664 posts

Geoeconomics and Sanctions Policy. Consultant. Executive Fellow Geneva Centre for Security Policy

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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
OK, awaiting Araghchi's response.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Trump cant TACO when Israel is calling the shots. Israel is attacking Iran's electricity grid right now before Trump's "deadline" has even arrived.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
US bond rates are spiking on inflation fears while the US decifit spending is exploding.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
I still think oil markets are being delusional. These prices basically mean that the market still thinks this war will conclude shortly, with oil infrastructure largely intact, leaving markets to factor in only elevated medium-term risk.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Within the next 48 hours, we are going to reach near the top of the escalation ladder. All oil/gas export terminals and water desalination facilities in the region could be destroyed, with the timeline for their reconstitution measured in years rather than weeks.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
MAGA influencers getting those $7000 checks.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Britain, which is supporting the war, seems most fucked of all by it. - BP advises the gov to prepare for energy rationing. - ING predicts 5% inflation over the year - IMF bailout request being considered.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Actual photo of the White House put out of the Japanese PM at the state dinner. This lady is so weird.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
The former head of naval operations planning for Centcom.
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Zeteo @zeteo.com · 16/03/2026
Leqaa Kordia has been released from ICE detention after a year under lockdown. The 33-year-old Palestinian woman and Columbia University student was arrested during Pro-Palestine protests on campus. Read her account of her time under lockdown: zeteo.com/p/leqaa-kord...
zeteo.com
EXCLUSIVE: I’m the Palestinian Who Has Been in ICE Detention for Almost a Year
Don't forget us on International Women's Day, writes Leqaa Kordia.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Oh dear lord.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
To be clear, this is based on a satirical article that Newt thought was real and endorsed unironically.
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Ivan the K ™ @ivanthek.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Here. He was on the street in broad daylight a couple hours ago. DM me for my account info. I want to be paid in Chinese Yuen. The dollar is unstable.
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Isabella M. Weber @isabellamweber.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
I do not see how European democracies can survive being complicit in the war on Iran plus the escalation of the cost of living crisis this war causes. This is the perfect storm to bring the far right into power.
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Can this be a solution?
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
US: Oil ships should be "brave" and go through the Strait of Hormuz Ships: Does the US Navy want sail alongside us? US: Are you insane???
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
I love the idea that *this* US government, which has been nabbing landscapers and five year olds knows where Iranian sleeper cells are but just hasn’t gotten around to doing anything about it yet.
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James @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Hey CENTCOM you’ve been planning for this for decades, you wanna dust off that OPLAN for Hormuz now buddy? CENTCOM:
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
We've been through this with the Red Sea crisis. There arent enough military ships, It requires putting them way too close to Iran's shores, and insurance likely still wont cover.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
When WSJ editorial has to write a headline like this ...
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Ukraine Ministry of Defence is pissed. Its only gotten 600 Patriot missiles over 4 yrs and the US used 800 in the first 3 days of the Iran war.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Iranian Missile "In memory of the victims of Epstein Island"
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Hes not even PM yet and hes mastered the art of the TACO. Quick study, this one.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Long-time buddies Timothy McVeigh and Terry Nichols were out for a pleasant van drive in Oklahoma when, all of a sudden, their lives would change.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Oh no, is "comedy" about to become "legal" on here too?
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
I'm starting to think commodities investors might be gigantic morons. Just a hunch.
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Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 09/03/2026
War-barnacle Lindsey Graham narrates to @wsj.com's Josh Dawsey how he affixed himself to Trump, manipulated him into attacking Iran: www.wsj.com/politics/pol... Apparently wants to bomb Lebanon next:
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Kung Hei FYat Choy!-Gigan @gigansprogress.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
I like to look back on feted FP experts takes and smile as they still get fawned on for their insights at Aspen
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
This is a prominent UAE businessman at the forefront of normalizing with Israel
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Iran believes the GCC country that helped the US strike the desalination plant was Bahrain. The Israelis, despite being allied with UAE, are claiming that the UAE did it. Dubai gets 90% of its water from desalination plants that would be very easy for Iran to hit. #FakeFriends
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
All the regime change stuff failed. No pro-Israel riots, no Kurdish militias. So all they can do now is just war crime after war crime.
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Matthew Downhour @matthewdownhour.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
I think Iran’s attacks on the UAE and KSA are defensible - unless you’re someone who complained about Nordstream getting blown up but are now defending Iran, in which case lol decide on some standards man
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
My Weekend Essay for the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social: why the 'left-realist' critique of int’l law is a form of disenchantment that obscures more about political reality than it illuminates. A short critique of Perry Anderson via EP Thompson, Carr, Weber. www.newstatesman.com/world/middle...
newstatesman.com
International law is not dead
The Iran war cannot lead the left to submit to an anarchic world order
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
Shutting an oil well isn’t like turning off a faucet. It’s a huge engineering risk, difficult to reverse — and an indicator the Kuwaitis don’t see choke points improving anytime soon.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
O the answer to this question, from the limited responses that I've got here and elsewhere, is basically "we havent been paying attention and we just assume the Europeans are doing the right thing rather than just endorsing whatever Trump does".
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Marie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 03/03/2026
friend sent this over from the other place and unfortunately I did laugh
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Firing short range missiles is easier than medium range missiles. Though I imagine the UAE is exaggerating how many missiles Iran fired at it so to make its interception rate look better.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Colbert already got cancelled and hes just manufacturing consent for the love of the game.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
This potentially gives folks like Polanski a potent talking point: "Farage will drag us into reckless wars in the Middle East. He'll say he wont during the campaign like Trump did but then he will".
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Menab, a small city of 70,000 people in southern Iran, comes together for the funeral of the 168 schoolgirls - age 7 to 14 - who were killed by a US-Israeli missile strike on the opening day of the war.
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Nick Brumfield @nickjbrumfield.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Britta "I Can Excuse" Meme

"I can excuse unrepentant absolute monarchy ruling over a racially stratified hypercapitalist hierarchy, but I draw the line at geopolitics."
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Honest question to all the American liberals on here: When you watch Europe grovel to Trump and enable everything hes donig, do you still see them as "people who share your values" or are they basically RFK-type collaborators at this point?
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Israelis announce plans to strike Evin Prison in Iran again. They struck it during the 12 Day War in June killing over 200. One strike hit a wing of the prison killing prisoners. Another struck an admin building, killing administrators, guards, visiting families of prisoners and social workers.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
These fucking people. The BBC is claiming my neighborhood was bombed because the Ministry of Intelligence was two blocks from my house. NO, IT FUCKING WASNT. There is nothing around my house like that. Its just apartments and businesses and one courthouse. Intelligence Ministry is way further north.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
My neighborhood and my parents' neighborhood in Tehran Both were hit with massive bombs meant to take out apartment blocks. Neither has any military installation of any kind.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
At this point, the US is just trying to kill as many people in Iran as possible by hitting urban areas with massive bombs. There is no military target here. They've clearly given up on getting regime change by having Iranians riot for them.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
This is silly political theater. He would be imposing a 10,000% tariff if Starmer had tried to stand up to him for the first time.
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Ali Ahmadi @aliahmadi.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
This is what the other superpower was up to today.
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