Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 02/09/2026If Orbital AI becomes dominant for most inference*, and is not prevented from scaling to 10's of % of AI compute, and AI becomes deeply embedded into orgs, then I would have thought we have a serious risk issue of Kessler events (collision trigger an unstoppable, chain reaction of more collisions). 110
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 16/05/2026UK appears about to have a distracting political context for ages, after which there will likely be more radical change of one sort or another. And Damoclesian high bond prices hover over it all. Why not just cut to a plan to rejoin and help reshape Europe / middle powers? 100
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 26/03/2026Do you think Trump knows we all know he lies much of the time? 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Once upon a time Amazon delivery was a step-change better than everyone else (Evri, Yodel, ...). But, my goodness it has degraded. Now, parcels are mostly just chucked behind our garden gate, and flagged as 'handed to resident'. And Amazon customer service don't care as long as it turns up. 100
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 30/01/2026Reform. This is not three days old fish that is starting to smell, it's fish stew - a whole new thing 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 27/01/2026@scaramucci.bsky.social I think you are wrong on not funding government. Not because it risks the dollar, but because the dollar risk is already taken and more will be taken if not impeded. It needs a sharp shock to drive sharp policy reversal, not a slow boil. 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 17/01/2026What about a syncronised trade switch to Euros and Yen? And a 'untrustworthy actor' stamp tax on dollar settlement until trump, Vance and Johnson are removed. (Latter two as they are enablers of the first one). Who knows, maybe most trade never swings back 000
Reposted by Greg PyeThe Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Reminder that in the UK an incoming radical, populist government would have immediate access to immense, unchecked executive power. And the current government is doing nothing to protect us from that. 261053546
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 27/11/2025@torstenbell.bsky.social said 'life is more complicated than think tank reports', but I am delighted to see him involved directly. That said, the interview on @newsagents.bsky.social felt super partisan (from both sides). Pre MP, I heard balanced thoughtfulness; he is not using his strengths. 120
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 25/11/2025The Ukraine corruption issue of circa $100m since the war started is concerning, but it feels worth remembering that the US president and family are reputed to have grifted $1-2 Bn just this year. With no war. Even scaling 160x to US economy size, that's 10% of the same scale. 030
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 31/10/2025If Labour needs to break a manifesto committment then why not the EU single market and customs union one. It has general support in country, would help market confidence. It's all upside 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 01/10/2025This made me cross check the stats. It looks about 10x worse due to Brexit (some noise as 'back of lorry' switched to 'small boat'. 'Yeah, go soverenty' 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 26/09/2025AI is not steel or coal or wool or rare earths. It's mass free and moves at the speed. So, why does it matter if we have big #AI data centres in the UK? Data ought not to leak from well designed systems, or at least is no more likely in the USA, Norway (lots of hydro energy), etc. (1/2) 110
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 25/09/2025UK government is considering support for #JLR suppliers whilst Jaguar is shut down due to cyber attack. Why is that not something Jaguar pays for? I'm sure there is more in it, but can't quite see what 122
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 18/09/2025I was with @rory-stewart.bsky.social on USA election. I couldn't believe Trump would win, it was too self-evidently mad for a popular vote win. Now I look at the UK with a similar view on Farage/Reform. They so objectively failed on Brexit, so surely it couldn't happen, SURELY. :-( 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 07/09/2025Has the two week #Trump warning for #Putin finished yet? I mean the latest one just in case it's not clear amongst the several that there have been 020
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 05/09/2025America under Trump and his monkeys. Madder and madder and madder. And badder. 020
Reposted by Greg PyeDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 30/07/2025Motherfucking wind farms… 11234703417595
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 25/07/2025If Attention was 'All You Need' for AIs, then popular conspiracy theories would be true .. and they are (mostly) not. But, it might sadly be enough to reach what is commonly displayed human intelligence. I so wish that there was a similar breakthrough in symbolic grounding and probability. #AI 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 25/07/2025I realise (maybe slow to it!) that #fakenews is a legally useful statement. It doesn't say the thing is false, though it clearly implies exactly that. It says that as NEWS is it fake - that could be argued to be true if the thing is true, but not judged, in the view of the speaker, as newsworthy 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 23/07/2025@therestpolitics.bsky.social @rory-stewart.bsky.social I am a huge fan, and typically love the explainers ... but the AI one today felt very mixed up. Conflated LLM with other AI and much more. Also not clear to me that the regulation suggestion can work as you hope vs. excess value capture 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 18/07/2025In the UK, defence looks like the straw that breaks the fiscal camel’s back. Lifting to 5% of GDP adds ~£70bn/year. Truss reminded that markets punish overreach fast. So I was wondering - Where would you find £70bn—taxes, pensions, EU growth, spending cuts… or risk a smaller rise?🧵 1/7 110
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 17/07/2025@restispolitics.bsky.social , @rory-stewart.bsky.social said this week that even at 5%, UK could not defend itself against Russia alone. I get that at absolute spend levels, but historically there was a defender premium (took more 2-3 x more resource to attack than to defend). Has that changed? 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 09/07/2025@jonsopel1.bsky.social the 'next version' of AI is not generative. This one is - the G in GPT is 'Generative' 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 09/04/2025So, 90 day delay seems enough time for a new reality TV plot twist. Do you think it will be a reheat of Greenland, Gaza or Ukraine, or something new? Or both? 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 05/04/2025Surely there is a massive arbitrage opportunity from #trump #tariff s? And fraud for that matter. Basically just redirect trade through a third country. Vanilla pods from UK, coffee from Canada, ... A new drop shipping boom? 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 28/03/2025via chatGPT (as could Elon Musk in 60 seconds), shows 2.6% for 2019, including people ringing ABOUT scams as well as to attempt fraud. So a lower bound, at least in 2019, shows Musks figure to be over 1500% of the real figure. Musk is a ridiculous, analytically illiterate, little man. 020
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 13/03/2025#DOGE ... It should be pronounced #dodgy ; the poster child for nominative determinism. 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 12/03/2025If #canada was to join the USA, which wasn't attractive (healthcare etc.), and much less so in the current dumpster fire mode, it wouldn't be a single 51st state. More like 5-7 states based on population, and def. no less than 4. It would change USA politics dramatically away from MAGA. 041
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Tesla share price now very close then the level when Elon bought Twitter, for which I understand he took out a roughly $6bn loan secured on a big chunk of his Tesla shares. I wonder what price for Tesla shares would cause him challenges with that loan security #Tesla 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 10/03/2025AI prompt 'engineering' is closer to social engineering than systems engineering. The levers connect to the dials, but in mysterious, non-deterministic, ways. #AI 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 09/03/2025I've always liked @economist.com - reliable, consise, and insightful analysis, and weekly ought to be fast enough for routine news. It's feeling less current since Trump 2 , and also needs a bigger dose of WTF than is common for major state geopolitics. But that only indicates how mad that is. 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 09/03/2025I agree that Europe needs to step up funding for defense materially. It's very clear. Pity we can't collectively do the same for climate change; the collective threat is higher. 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 04/03/2025Fair to say tariffs are a one-off rise, not a year on year inflationary change. But 25% one-off is the same as 8%/year for each of three years, and all up front. So, pretty chunky. #tariffs 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 04/03/2025It's at times like this, with USA turning it's back on international agreements and chances of trust in the next decades, and internal chaos and corruption that I am reminded of the risks of predictions of a 'worst case' that needs only small tweaks. See gregpye.wordpress.com/2010/05/05/p...gregpye.wordpress.comPart deux – ‘worst case’ = self-delusionI was interested to see today that the possible leakage rate from the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico may need to be revised up again. Amongst other things, I noted in a post here that the leak wa… 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 27/02/2025If DOGE is for radical transparency, and GOP wants to allow for value in tax cuts, should they have professional accountants vouching for the gross savings? And some suitable group calculating best view of net impact given what is not done? 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 25/02/2025I'd love to see more from the UK. But, I know I am steered by what I interact with, and so am a bit doomed by car crash US news that I can't help but look at 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 21/02/2025I've heard that some GOP congress folks won't speak out against trump, noting that if they do they risk getting replaced by a maga person. That might well be true, but what does it matter if the critical damage is now? It needs sand in the madly, self-destructively spinning gears of the machine. 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 19/02/2025In a few years, I reckon less than 20% of Americans who voted will admit they voted for trump et al. And 19 of the remaining 20 will have some excuse that only that 19% think is plausible. 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 18/02/2025Astonishing and disheartening that not only are the next two in line for US presidency almost as uncredible (and that's saying something), it's for quite distinct reasons. None of the three look remotely presidential. Or even fit to lead a village council 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 16/02/2025It's often said you should watch what trump does, with what he says often just design to 'irritate the libs'. Is there any way to tie HIM in knots when he lies? Like democrats table all his statements as legislative proposals, but with a 'when it's shown to be true' clause.? 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 15/02/2025I am going to play Subnautica again. It's hard to suspend disbelief, but then again story is more credible than most of the real world right now 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Why not move all the MAGA folks to Alaska (there's loads of space), then leave the rest of the USA as prime real-estate for anyone not MAGA. Totally unreasonable I know. And illegal under Geneva convention. But, you know, the Trump model for Gaza is ok in his eyes 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 14/02/2025If I understand right, Trump might flout the courts, but his pet lawyers can get disbarred by the association that he does not control (Guiliani etc.). Might be another way to get to a just outcome 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 14/02/2025I'd say it's unbelievable, but sadly it's wholly believable. Just like Musks comment on 'most transparent ever'. They are right that lots of US government approaches are shocking and fraudulent ... but miss that they ARE the government. 010
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 07/02/2025This is a really interesting perspective. Like many of the really good ones, it feels obvious now, and I hadn't considered it at all before. 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 05/02/2025If UK & EU agreed to allow UK to rejoin EU on same basis it had before, if there was a UK supermajority for it in a referendum, with reason for reasoning being that a) there was endemic lying and misinformation now clear to all in economic data, and b) world is very different. Would 66% say yes? 000
Greg Pye @gregpye.bsky.social · 05/02/2025So Trump wants to build new 'nice' infrastructure for the Palestinians. Good idea. Do it in Gaza. And employ Palestinians to do it. Maybe via USAID as that's the kind of soft power benefit it is for 000
Reposted by Greg PyeZach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 29/01/2025Boy, what a timeline we are in. darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-... I feel like, as with space, regulation will await something terrifying happening. It's just a question of what and when.darioamodei.comDario Amodei — On DeepSeek and Export ControlsOn DeepSeek and Export Controls 9475