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Guzman Ourens

@gourens.bsky.social
1.5K followers 540 following 54 posts

Assistant Professor at Tilburg University. Growth, Trade, Development, Basketball, Bikes and Music (in most but not all forms) 🇺🇾🇳🇱 guzmanourens.com

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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Son los salarios en Uruguay 🇺🇾 demasiado altos🥵? Cada firma tiene su experiencia pero a la pregunta es intrinsecamente macro. Y a nivel macro no veo señales en ese sentido en los datos.👇 www.razonesypersonas.com/2026/07/norm...
razonesypersonas.com
¿Son demasiado altos los salarios en Uruguay?
Razones y Personas surge como plataforma virtual independiente desde la cual discutir algunos temas cruciales para la coyuntura y el futuro de Uruguay
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Stanislav Avdeev @stnavdeev.com · 19/03/2026
Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics “University as a Melting Pot: Long-term Effects of Internationalization” Debates on international students often focus on capacity, funding, or competition. My paper shows the main effects on natives are not academic or economic, but social.
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Catia Batista @catiabatista.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
New paper out in @science.org! “Brain drain” or “brain gain”? Effects of high-skilled international emigration on origin countries doi.org/10.1126/scie...
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
A quantitative general equilibrium model is calibrated using US and Western European data. Results indicate that the quantitative importance of extensive margin growth in explaining expenditure share shifts and terms of trade movements is substantial.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
The expenditure shift pushes terms of trade against economies specialized in the lagging sector —a result opposite to the standard terms-of-trade effect that emerges with unbalanced intensive margin growth. Empirical evidence supports the model's predictions.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
A model shows how uneven product diversification generates macro trends qualitatively different from those arising when uneven growth occurs along the intensive margin. With love of variety, consumers endogenously reduce expenditure shares on sectors diversifying production least.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
This paper documents that product diversification occurs at systematically lower rates in agricultural sectors compared to manufacturing activities. Trade data shows this pattern holds robustly across countries and decades. Domestic production data for the US and EU confirm the finding.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Happy to announce a new paper published at the IER! Uneven product diversification: Explaining the Lag of Agricultural Economies.
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federicocarril.bsky.social @federicocarril.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Contento de compartir la siguiente guía en español para la estimación de modelos de gravedad elaborada por @yotoyotov.bsky.social y traducida por @jordipaniagua.bsky.social y yo. La guía se puede descargar aquí: ideas.repec.org/p/drx/wpaper... Los datos y código aquí: yotoyotov.com/Gravity_Unde...
ideas.repec.org
Gravity for Undergrads
La ecuación de gravedad es el modelo de referencia en el comercio internacional y la herramienta más utilizada para el análisis de políticas comerciales. No obstante, a pesar de sus sólidas bases teór
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
🚨🚨New PhD position open @tilburg-university.bsky.social ECON. Come join a vibrant academic environment that gives you everything you need to succeed!🫵 Call 👇: tiu.nu/22836
tiu.nu
Job opening: PhD Position in Economics at Tilburg School of Economics and Management (22836)
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
🇺🇸🤜🤛🇨🇳 (🇺🇾?) What can be the effects of the new trade war on economies such as Uruguay? I wrote this 👇 (in Spanish): www.razonesypersonas.com/2025/04/urug...
razonesypersonas.com
Uruguay ante un nuevo mundo comercial
Razones y Personas surge como plataforma virtual independiente desde la cual discutir algunos temas cruciales para la coyuntura y el futuro de Uruguay
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Congrats Alejandro! Well deserved!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
@dajana-xhani.bsky.social @kgantert.bsky.social
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Less than a week left to apply! Send us your best papers!
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Dajana Xhani @dajana-xhani.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Only two more weeks to apply to the 4th edition of the Tilburg Macro Conference! Please consider applying or sharing with colleagues. Call for papers available at us10.campaign-archive.com?u=bb253d28cb...
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Kimberly Clausing @kclausing.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
In light of latest of steel/aluminum tariff threats, it's a good time to review the evidence. This work finds job losses in metals-using sectors outweigh job gains in metal sectors ~75 to 1. Steel Tariffs and U.S. Jobs Revisited econofact.org/steel-tariff... via @econofact.bsky.social
econofact.org
Steel Tariffs and U.S. Jobs Revisited | Econofact
The 2018 tariffs raised domestic steel prices, putting downstream U.S. manufacturing firms at a disadvantage relative to foreign competition.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
Very happy to advertise a new edition of the Tilburg-GIFT Conference. This year's keynotes: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Simon Mongey. Send us your best papers in Growth, Trade, Firm Dynamics and macro in general!
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Manuel Santos Silva @m-santos-silva.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
📢 1st Junior Workshop Economics of Latin America - Call for Papers! Aimed at PhD students & recent post-docs looking to connect with folks working on Latin American topics. 10-11 July 2025 in Berlin. Submission deadline: Feb 28. (details below) #EconConf #EconSky
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Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel) @tradediversion.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Trade economists: After you publish your first trade paper, add yourself to Alan Deadorff's Family Tree of Trade Economists. public.websites.umich.edu/~alandear/tr... The cohort sizes suggest the field is in decline, but I think participation has fallen. Sign up!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Hi! I’d love to be added!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
In LATAM, this is unfortunately not true.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Moreover, we expect center-right incumbent to hand in power peacefully in March. Orsi has even expressed willingness to include opposition in new government!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
🇺🇾 Elections held yesterday in Uruguay. 🇺🇾 Center-left party won presidency. While we expect a lot from the new gov, we don't expect drastic changes in macro policy as all parties agree on basic macro principles. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Uruguay election: Former history teacher Yamandú Orsi wins
Yamandú Orsi's victory ushers in the return to power of the left-wing Broad Front coalition.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Tinghan Zhang, tinghan-zhang.github.io
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Shobhit Kulshreshtha, sites.google.com/view/shobhit...
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Quang-Phuc Phung, quangphucphung.com
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Leena Bhattacharya, sites.google.com/view/leenabh...
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Dongchen He, dongchen-he.github.io
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Selin Arslanoglu, www.selinarslanoglu.com
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Antonio Laplana, www.antoniolaplana.com
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Lishu Zhang, lishuz.github.io
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Jierui Yang, sites.google.com/view/jieruiy...
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
🚨 Happy to promote this year's candidates from Tilburg Economics and Econometrics! 🧵
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Thomas Sampson @thomsampson.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
I updated the starter pack of academic economists who work on international trade But I'm sure I've missed many people, so suggestions welcome #econsky go.bsky.app/G3dqAYg
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
I’d love to be included!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Hi! I’d love to join!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Hi Thomas, I’d love to be a part of this!
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eayeconomists.bsky.social @eayeconomists.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
🚨 Call for Papers! The 2025 EAYE Annual Meeting is at King’s College London @KingsCollegeLon from May 27-29, 2025! Submit your extended abstracts or full papers and join top junior economists from around the world! 🗓️Deadline: December 1, 2024
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Isabela Manelici @imanelici.bsky.social · 27/09/2024
The Yale EGC/IGC Program for the October 24-25 "Firms, Trade and Development" Conference is up & 🥳! Join us in person or online. For in-person, see: lse.tfaforms.net/f/IGC-EGC-FT.... Funds are limited but worth trying For online, see: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regi... egc.yale.edu/events/firms...
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
The result? Can't claim causality, but noticed a few more bikes around. I definitely saw many more electric scooters (makes sense given that the city is very hilly). As a pedestrian it felt way more comfortable. I'm happy about these changes and would like to see even more!
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
8-Wilder vegetation where grass used to dominate. Here an clear example in the Flagey ponds. (this one seems to be mainly for the birds)
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
7-A bit of an unorthodox measure: they turned a big chunk of a very busy commercial street (Ch. d'Ixelles) into a space for pedestrians AND buses. Here a picture with the 71 bus passing by. Not sure this is the optimal solution, but it looks/feels better than the car infested situation of the past.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
6-Clear efforts to increase priority of bikes in detriment of cars. Here an example in Les Marolles.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
5-A whole lot of new green spaces were concrete used to dominate.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
4-A lot of parking space turned into small gardens with trees or parking for bicycles.
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
3-Width of roads reduced to make room for bikes and pedestrians. Here an example from the Stephanie area:
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
2-Car-free bits that increase extension of parks, like this one in Flagey. (I used to run in this area and crossing this street used to be a challenge).
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
1-Many streets have been made car-free. This includes the main road in the city center (Bvar. Anspach), but also other roads like this one around St. Gilles:
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
Returning to Brussels after a few years I was amazed by how much the city changed. Many measures taken to improve mobility and overall livability of the city and I had no idea, so here a small thread about that (pictures are not amazing, sorry about that):
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Guzman Ourens @gourens.bsky.social · 09/04/2024
I imagine there is/will be a great Brazilian community joining these days. Welcome!!
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