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Yevgeniy Golovchenko

@golovchenko.bsky.social
737 followers 436 following 335 posts

Assistant Professor at the Dep. of Political Science/Copenhagen Center For Social Data Science, University of Copenhagen | Political Communication and International Security | RU and Ukraine | Disinfo, propaganda, censorship | 🇩🇰 🇺🇦

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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 02/10/2026
"European officials are warning of the risk of Moscow intensifying its hybrid campaign aimed at increasing pressure on Ukraine's allies." Europeans really need to get beyond the idea that Russia is planning for a hybrid war. This is what preparations for a real war look like.
pravda.com.ua
Russia increases military spending as Putin prepares for years of war, Bloomberg reports
Bloomberg reports Russia's draft 2027 budget shows record military spending, a 40% jump, signaling Putin is preparing for a prolonged war.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Det er godt at se en meget grundig redegørelse fra Forsvaret om droner i Borislejren. Men også vildt og ærgerligt at en fremmed magt potentielt ville kunne skabe overskrifter og dermed påvirke dansk medielandskab ved blot at flyve nogle droner over et skydeterræn.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
“I fem døgn var Læsø Kommune i forhøjet beredskab, mens russiske skibe cirkulerede rundt i et område med vigtige søkabler” Det interessante ved den slags hændelser er netop, at myndighederne bliver nødt til at reagere - de få ressourcer, vi har, bliver spredt endnu tyndere www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
dr.dk
Russiske skibe udløste kommunalt kriseberedskab
I fem døgn var Læsø Kommune i forhøjet beredskab, mens russiske skibe cirkulerede rundt i et område med vigtige søkabler.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
How many shadow fleet vessels cross Denmark? We have identified *at least* 192 unique tankers in the first 3 months of 2026 in our upcoming report by Sofia Steensma Tedder, @lilleberlin.bsky.social and myself with support from @sitestockholm.bsky.social. Stay tuned for more info in the final report
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
vesselspotter.eurosky.social @vesselspotter.eurosky.social · 17/09/2026
17.09.2026 #Skaw #Skagen #DK #Denmark anchorage #Oiltanker #Tanker Magic Wand #MagicWand 9379143 on its way from #Russia to #Liberia having swedish #bunkertanker Northern Skagerrak #NorthernSkagerrak 9817963 ( #SEBiz) and danish #supplyboat LN Commander #LNCommander 9905849 ( #DKBiz) alongside
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 15/09/2026
While it's definitely serious that a Russian frigate fired flares at a Danish helicopter, it's important to remember that a similar thing happened to a German helicopter in 2024. It would be wrong to interpret this incident as evidence of escalation on its own.
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
vesselspotter.eurosky.social @vesselspotter.eurosky.social · 15/09/2026
Billeder fra tidligere brug af Fennec ved russisk skib. bsky.app/profile/vess...
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Det er lige nu uklart hvorfor den russiske fregat affyrede flares mod Forsvarets helikopter. En ting er klart. Det er en del af et mønster: øget spænding i Østersøen under tærsklen til en egentlig krig. Kan det blive vildere? Ja, vi er i gang med at se en gradvis eskalation.
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Andrey Kazankov @andreykazankov.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Summa summarum efter Witkoff og Kushners besøg i Moskva og Kyiv: Der er absolut intet, der tyder på, at krigen slutter i 2026. Der er heller ikke ret meget, der tyder på, at den slutter i 2027. Den vil efter al sandsynlighed fortsætte i 2028 og muligvis også endnu længere. Desværre.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Weirdly enough, my favorite news of the day
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Kenneth Nørgaard @kennethnrgaard.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
PET's nyeste advarsel om Rusland er dybt usædvanlig. Europa er ved at vågne op. Gæst i #dagenshelikopter er @golovchenko.bsky.social
zetland.dk
PET's nyeste advarsel om Rusland er dybt usædvanlig. Europa er ved at vågne op
Rusland forbereder konkrete sabotageaktioner i Danmark og prøver at få almindelige danskere til at gøre deres beskidte arbejde, lyder advarslen i PET. I dag undersøger vi, hvordan vi skal forstå det n...
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Had the pleasure to return to my classic topic, pro-Russian disinformation, in this interview. Some things change, however, it is also remarkable how many of the patterns and dynamics I studied back in 2017 are the same now in 2026.
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
vesselspotter.eurosky.social @vesselspotter.eurosky.social · 19/08/2026
Navigational near-miss between #DK #Denmark and #SE #Sweden ? Outbound #Bulkcarrier King Lan #KingLan 9216406 (draught 14m) having 2nd thoughts about passing #TheSound (max waterdepth 8m). 90 degree turn south Dep #Russia Dest #China Aircraft checking vessel afterwards
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Regardless of whether the missile strike on Poland is intentional hybrid warfare or an accident, the effect is likely the same. Russia gets to sow fear and “salami slice” NATO further by observing where our boundaries go below the threshold of a formal war
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
My mind is equally boggled (and sad) when some folks equate Mearsheimer with International Relations or even Realism. Luckily, both the field and the theoretical tradition are much greater (and diverse) than his takes on the war
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Nyheden om udsigt til nye amerikanske sanktioner mod Rusland er vigtig, da USA har mere vægt i bl.a. finansverden end Europa. De har ikke indført mange nye sanktioner siden Trump blev præsident for anden gang, mens Europa bårede fanen videre. www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
dr.dk
Senatet i USA 'hylder Lindsey Graham' med stort flertal for at gå videre med nye sanktioner mod Rusland
Ukraines præsident, Volodymyr Zelenskyj, overværede afstemningen om at gå videre med en omfattende lovpakke om sanktioner mod russisk energi.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Interessant og nuanceret artikel. Men overskriften skaber undren. Rusland har beskyldt de baltiske lande for at diskriminere russere i mindst 2 årtier nu. Det er ikke pludseligt blevet deres tur, men snarere en vedvarende virkelighed www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
dr.dk
Engang var det Ukraine, Putin beskyldte for at diskriminere russere. Nu er det de baltiske landes tur
Rusland varmer op til at sagsøge Estland, Letland og Litauen for det, som de påstår er diskrimination af de russisktalende mindretal.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
EUs 21. sanktionspakke kan også få betydning for Danmark. Tiltagene kan øge presset på den russiske skyggeflåde, der regelmæssigt sejler forbi Danmark. Men samtidigt undlader den at øge nok pres på det russiske fiskeri, der bl.a. kan bruges til overvågning af vores område.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The EU has finally reached an agreement on the 21st sanction package against Russia. There are good and bad news. The good news: There will be measures against vessels that service the shadow fleet. The price on Russian crude oil will be frozen. bsky.app/profile/vond...
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
It would be a major self-own if the Kremlin actually restricted Apple Store in the country. You could say that this would be an equivalent of Russia imposing sanctions on Russia. Interesting to see if this is actually the case. united24media.com/world/app-st...
united24media.com
App Store Starts Going Dark in Russia After Kremlin-Linked Apps Disappear
Apple's App Store and website face widespread disruptions in Russia, with failed connections spiking to 39% amid app removals.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
The EU’s 21st sanction package should hopefully be there within days. I would especially keep an eye on measures against Russian fisheries and non-Russian bunkering services. The former poses a hybrid threat to NATO countries. The latter helps Russia with sanction busting
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Christian Panton @pa.nton.cx · 12/07/2026
Russian 531 Soobrazitelny near Danish waters - sending a small quadcopter to inspect an AIS transmitting naval drone (X-WAVE01) June 25th, 2026 from 09:10-11:00Z
nyheder.tv2.dk
Russisk krigsskib nær Bornholm vidner om anspændt situation, siger orlogskaptajn
Russisk korvet sendte drone ud for at undersøge dansk fartøj med militært udstyr. Vidner om spændt situation i Østersøen, siger militæranalytiker.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Det er rigtigt at Ukraine er gået over til at angribe skyggeflåden i løbet af det seneste år. De fleste angreb er dog i Sortehavet og Det Azovske have. Lige nu er det kun os, bl.a. Danmark og EU, der for alvor kan bremse for trafikken gennem Østersøen www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
dr.dk
Ukrainske angreb på Ruslands skyggeflåde er 'en ny fase' i krigen
Ukrainske droner har de seneste seks dage ramt 76 skibe fra Ruslands skyggeflåde, siger chefen for Ukraines dronehær.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Reading complaints on Russian Telegram channels about lack of gas can easily give the impression that some folks have been expecting a comfortable war. I have a hypothesis: Maybe it’s partly a byproduct of the nearly religious worship of a sanitized version of WW2 victory
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
The absurdity of the US war against Iran: Trump openly built the campaign on the assumption that it needs to be quick to succeed. All Iran needs to ruin US plans is to prolong the war. It so happens that Trump tolerates endless negotiations - experience with Iran’s ally, Russia, shows exactly that
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Denmark acquiring two new P-8A aircraft for maritime patrol is a pretty big news for our small kingdom with a rather large sea area 👏 I confess that this is a secret fan boy dream come true www.reuters.com/business/aer...
reuters.com
Denmark to buy two maritime patrol aircraft from Boeing, defence ministry says
Denmark will buy two P-8A Poseidon ​maritime patrol aircraft from Boeing , ‌the country's defence ministry said on Tuesday.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Fascinerende, hvor meget fokus der er lige nu på mulige droner i Københavns Lufthavn, frem for på det store billede: den faktiske hybride krigsførelse mod Europa.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Nothing says “Russian military might” like Crimeans being prohibited from fueling at the gas station starting from yesterday. Only authorities are exempt. This is the kind of thing that has the potential to add political and psychological pressure
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Pro-Russian Telegram channels in Crimea are not in a good mood today. Fuel shortages. Calls to save electricity. Fear of attacks and even amphibious operations. Street events being cancelled. Ferries are halted due to “technical issues”. News of 700+ cars trying to leave Crimea across the bridge
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
1/4 Last week I was at NATO’s Maritime Security Conference in Istanbul, where Sofia Steensma Tedder and I presented our paper. What a way to celebrate Sofia joining the Department of Political Science (University of Copenhagen) as a Research Assistant!
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Friedolin Merhout @fmerhout.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Some daunting outlooks, some inspiring insights, but overall hesitant optimism among all speakers @golovchenko.bsky.social @claravandeweerdt.bsky.social @keltonminor.bsky.social @robert-habeck.de at this exciting event.
The dean, three researchers from UCPH Faculty of Social Science, and DIIS analyst Robert Habeck at the SODAS Meets Geopolitics event Q&A
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
@seagor.bsky.social (et al?) has just published two glorious methods to locate GPS/GNSS jammers using already active satellite constellations where data is open. NASA CYGNSS, a micro-satellite constellation devised to detect hurricanes and NISAR, a global radar to track changes in nature.
gpsworld.com
Converging on the jammer: Dual-satellite GPS interference localization from space - GPS World
Read the first direct comparison of CYGNSS and NISAR for GPS jammer localization.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
I had a break from Russian news media for a while. Coming back feels like someone is trying to corrode my brain. The “Special Military Operation” continues.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
"The Prime Minister has agreed that the UK Armed Forces and law enforcement officers will now be able to interdict vessels that have been sanctioned by the UK and are transiting through UK waters." This could be an impactful move if followed by allies, especially 🇫🇷 & 🇧🇪 www.gov.uk/government/n...
gov.uk
Shadow fleet set to be interdicted in UK waters in latest blow to Russia
British military will be able to board shadow fleet vessels transiting UK waters as the UK steps up its pressure on Putin.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
I was interviewed for an article in France 24 about a sanctioned, Russian-flagged tanker that may or may not be on its way to Cuba. In short, this could be Russia’s way of testing/poking at the U.S. in the “Western Hemisphere” (i.e. the U.S administrations self-percieved sphere of influence)
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Interesting dive into China’s use of civilian research vessels for gathering data of military value. Another reminder for those of us focused on hybrid activity in Baltic Sea region that a lot of similar activity has been taking place around Asia for a very long time www.reuters.com/investigatio...
reuters.com
China is mapping the ocean floor as it prepares for submarine warfare with the U.S.
Chinese vessels are mapping the sea floor at strategically vital regions of the world's oceans, building detailed knowledge of marine conditions that naval experts say would be crucial for waging subm...
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
1/ Denne artikel kan måske give indtryk af, at Ukraines angreb på gas- og olieinfrastruktur generelt ikke er særlig effektive. Men Ruslands budgetindtægter fra olie og gas faldt med 24% i 2025 under intensiveringen af angrebene - det laveste niveau siden 2020. Det er enormt www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
dr.dk
Ukraine har på ny angrebet 'vigtig' russisk havn
Ukraine fortsætter med at målrette droneangreb på Ruslands olie- og gasproduktion, men effekten er tvivlsom, vurderer ekspert.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Krigen mellem Rusland og Ukraine udspiller sig også i Østersøen. Det bliver endnu tydeligere med Ukraines droneangreb på Primorsk Havn. Mange af de skyggeflådeskibe, der passerer Danmark, bliver lastet med olie netop her. www.dr.dk/nyheder/sene...
dr.dk
Droneangreb mod russisk havn nær den finske grænse | Nyheder | DR
Den russiske havn Primorsk, som ligger nær den finske grænse, er blevet ramt i et ukrainsk droneangreb. Det oplyser Aleksandr Drozdenko, som er guvernør i Leningrad-regionen i det vestlige Rusland, på...
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Jakob Kjøgx Bohr @jakobbohr.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
It's been a while. I'm finally back at work and happy to share our newest piece on the detained Iranian tanker Nora, which is currently moored in Kalundborg for mysterious reasons. Leaked data shows it's crewed by Iranians and a single Russian and that all its papers are seemingly falsified.
danwatch.dk
Leaked data: Detained ship has forged papers and Iranian-Russian crew
The mysterious container ship with Iranian ties carries forged certificates and a Russian-Iranian crew. According to experienced mariners, it is highly unusual
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
“It is time for the gloves to come off on the Russia’s shadow fleet”
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
The US war against Iran is undermining some of the strategic gains achieved by Ukraine's strike against Russian oil facilities as well Western sanctions. Oil prices are now up, sanctions on Russian oil are being temporarily lifted. Stable genius vibes.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
“Trump warns Nato faces 'very bad' future if allies do not help secure Strait of Hormuz”. The US was once the core of NATO. It is increasingly becoming the core burden of the alliance. This is just another wake-up call for Europe to become self-reliant in the long term. www.bbc.com/news/live/cx...
bbc.com
Trump warns Nato faces 'very bad' future if allies do not help secure Strait of Hormuz
The US president says he is speaking to several countries about
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
1/ The Swedish Coast Guard is on 🔥. Yesterday, they seized another shadow fleet vessel suspected of sailing under a false flag and sanctioned by the EU. As I wrote in one of my previous posts, now is the golden opportunity to ramp up this kind of action. www.kustbevakningen.se/nyheter/ytte...
kustbevakningen.se
Ytterligare ett ingripande mot falskflaggat fartyg - Kustbevakningen
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Pro Russian propaganda channel. That is how @golovchenko.bsky.social characterizes the role of these efforts in the upcoming 🇩🇰 elections. Modest foreign accounts getting domestic traction. Important story by @kevinshakir.bsky.social www.dr.dk/nyheder/poli...
dr.dk
Pro-russiske 'propaganda'-kanaler spreder misinformation om folketingsvalget
Anonym konto spreder pro-russisk indhold om valgkampen og danske politikere - deles i medienetværk med hundredtusinder af følgere.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
1/ Jeg blev interviewet om PETs vurdering af risikoen for påvirkningskampagner rettet mod Danmark under valgkampen. Det mest dybdegående indslag kom i Mandag Morgen i selskab med gode kollegaer. Sandsynligheden for påvirkningsaktivitet rettet mod netop Danmark er stor. www.mm.dk/groen-omstil...
mm.dk
De russiske trolde har øje for Danmark - Mandag Morgen
Danmark er sandsynligvis et selvstændigt mål for russiske påvirkningsaktiviteter i forbindelse med folketingsvalget, vurderer PET. Russiske aktører har dog historisk haft vanskeligt ved at finde forml...
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Copenhagen Center for Social Data Science (SODAS) @cphsodas.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
This exciting lecture is on Friday! 📣
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
1/ Svenske myndigheder har tilbageholdt et fragtskib, som de blandt andet mistænker for at sejle under falsk flag. Det har Danmark også gjort tidligere i år - og kan gøre mere af.
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
1/ Hvad har krigen i Iran at gøre med skyggeflåden, Venezuela og Kina? Herhjemme taler vi meget om den russiske skyggeflåde. Men faktisk har både Iran og Venezuela længe haft deres egne skyggeflåder til at omgå sanktioner rettet mod deres olieeksport. Hvem er en af de største købere? Kina.
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Reposted by Yevgeniy Golovchenko
Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Today's episode in the series of beautiful maps
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Yevgeniy Golovchenko @golovchenko.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
1/ This is interesting news: The UK has sanctioned a New Zealand–based company that insured shadow fleet vessels, including some that were already sanctioned, according to journalist reports. www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
reuters.com
UK sanctions New Zealand insurer Maritime Mutual after Reuters report
Britain on Tuesday sanctioned Maritime Mutual, the New Zealand-based marine insurer that was the subject of a Reuters special report into how it had helped in the trade of tens of billions of dollars ...
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