iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

The fourth amendment that people imagine exists isn't even really the fourth amendment that is written, too.

Reposted by Geoff Allen

Spooky Back From The Dead Lazarus @jlazarus.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I've been at a non-flagship public institution for 22 years and the one immutable truth I've learned is that every year the university will tell my department to do more and every year they will give us fewer resources to do it with.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I recently looked into buying and restoring a 1975 Vanguard CitiCar and I had several people frantically warning me that, given the size of trucks and SUVs on the market, I would basically be signing up to be squashed. It was something I had to at least consider.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Kevin Rothrock @kevinrothrock.me · 06/10/2026

kinda breathtaking to watch the U.S. media establishment lose its shit about one maybe-plague death in a Russian backwater town with 3,887 confirmed measles cases reported in the United States, SO FAR, in 2026

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

If you're in these states, *TODAY* is deadline to register to vote. Arizona, Arkansas Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas. Even if you think you've registered: doesn't hurt to check! And there's a lot happening across them. A thread with stakes on each. ⬇️

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Tim O’Brien @timobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

The AI build-out is on track to become the biggest economic bet in U.S. history, dwarfing the investments made to fund other huge U.S. infrastructure projects such as the railroads, the highway system and the plumbing for the internet. www.wsj.com/economy/the-...

wsj.com

The AI Build-Out Is Becoming the Biggest Economic Bet in U.S. History

Data-center spending is greater than that for canals, railroads and grid combined—creating jobs and stock-market wealth, while boosting inflation and crowding out housing.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

I'll take five if they can make an argument...

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Journal of Democracy @jodemocracy.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

A wealthy, high-quality democracy has seized up. No populist, no stolen election—just divided government colliding with a constitution built for single-party rule. With Beijing watching, the stakes for Taiwan could not be higher. 🆕 by @kharist.bsky.social muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Lily Mason @lilymasonphd.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

My new JOD piece arguing against the “cure polarization” approach to saving democracy.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Key point: "the last 3 presidential elections showed varying levels of pro-Democratic bias in polls, on average. But House and Senate pre-election polls showed very little bias in the two midterms of the Trump era: 2018 and 2022. "

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Josh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

There's a lot to say about this, and other folks are saying most of it. I just want to focus on one thing: the claim about the relationship between universities and "the real world."

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

This is my experience as well in the UT/AZ/NV area.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

This is my deal with treadmills. I'd rather just walk around neighborhoods.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

This is a fun one. Lots of fun memories. #My9Games

Star Wars: Nights of the Old Republic, Mass Effect 2, Command and Conquer: Tiberian Sun, Counter Strike: Global Offensive, Deux Ex: Human Revolution, Crusader Kings II, Medieval II: Total War, RollerCoaster Tycoon 2, Mount & Blade: Warband

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Jack Santucci @jacksantucci.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Here's the latest version of my working paper on the categorical difference between STV and (list) PR and how not appreciating it may have led, on the basis of U.S. data, to conventional wisdom that PR causes party-system fragmentation. jacksantucci.com/docs/papers/... Feedback welcome. More below.

Do party-list proportional representation (PR) and the single transferable vote (STV) produce different results? These reforms are hotly debated in American politics, but most answers to the question come from non-U.S. cases. This paper replicates and extends the best existing analysis of U.S. data. Gosnell (1939) simulated list PR elections from observed STV first choices in Cincinnati (1925-37) and New York City (1937), finding that majority control of government did not change across the systems. Later work took this to mean that both kinds of PR were equivalent with respect to preference aggregation. Reappraisal and extension of the study do not support that view. All else equal, voters’ lower rankings changed majority control in five of 21 elections, one of which was in the original sample. These results offer fresh perspective on ballot exhaustion and ticket-splitting, which can act as STV-specific causes of fragmentation. The paper explains simply how list PR and STV differ. It concludes with notes on research directions and extending the data to more cases.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Did she get any questions about her stance on AI?

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

100,000 banal agents doing minor evils, not 1 super intelligent agent killing us all.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

In all honesty, this is why I used raw vote totals in the paper I published about small party support. Harder to interpret, but mathematically more sound. We've also used compositional data models.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

You'll have to pry it from my cold, dead hands.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

It's brutal. I don't understand how she's still there.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Dan Smith @profdansmith.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Great resource for those interested in studying Korean elections! Song, Hwang & Lee introduce the Korean National Assembly Elections Dataset (KNAED): candidate-level data for all South Korean legislative elections, 1948-2024. 👏 @electoralstudies.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

sciencedirect.com

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

It's about workforce preparation and employability! How could they be angry!?! /s

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Cross divide minors - every science student needs a humanities/social science minor, and vice versa.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

This is no longer true - they changed the voter privacy law this year, and now the share of folks who can opt out is much smaller. SB 153 this year. You'd still have a case, perhaps - I haven't seen the updated numbers - but it's supposed to really reduce private voter file numbers.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Van Jackson @vanjackson.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

"One way of understanding the decline of non-fiction is as the shrinking market for specifically airport bookstore slop. I think back to how much crap I read from about 2000 to 2018...Millions of words that amounted to justifying the status quo." www.un-diplomatic.com/p/the-dire-s...

un-diplomatic.com

The Dire State of Non-Fiction Publishing...

...is a self-inflicted wound.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Jeff Stein @jeffstein.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

🌞🌞🌞🌞🌞 Big news: The Washington Sun launches w/: — Huge investment in DC & local reporters — Legend Tom Sietsema — Capital Weather — Newsroom of +100, w/ great reporters (& me) Comes after Bezos's enormous cuts to WaPo To support, sign up for (free!) newsletter: washingtonsun.com/newsletters

washingtonsun.com

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

I think frankly all of this speaks to the really unserious way that Americans generally but the current GOP in particular think about armed conflict, as if it is against the rules for the other side to fight back. It is not. Which is one reason (of many) why maybe we should do less war.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

I fell out of a dorm bed in college and did something similar. No break, minor sprain, they put me in a sling for 10 days. Hurt like hell though.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 10/06/2026

Do you feel like you don’t fit in as a ‘Democrat’ or a ‘Republican?’ Our new political typology shows this complexity, sorting the public into nine distinct groups based on their political and cultural values. The result is a picture of American politics with far more than just red and blue.

Chart of The 2026 Pew Research Center Political Typology.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

People underestimate the receptiveness of other people to different political opinions This is strong for people who support a party they dislike, they expect such political conversation to be negative, and are therefore unwilling to engage www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Joe Stieb @joestieb.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/04/w... For those who may be interested, I've got a retrospective piece seeking historical precision for the War on Terror. My main claim is that the War on Terror, as a period of US foreign policy history, is over. It had 3 essential traits: 1. Terrorism was treated/

google.com

What Was the War on Terror?

A defining period in U.S. foreign policy has ended, but it remains misunderstood.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Zander Furnas @alexanderfurnas.com · 03/09/2026

New preprint w/ Jian Gao, @yianyin.bsky.social & @dashunwang.bsky.social. We link campaign finance, faculty rosters, voter files, a ~7,000-scientist survey & bibliometrics to ask if scientists' politics show up in the science that gets made & used. 🧵 osf.io/preprints/so...

party composition of donors from 1980-2022

voter registration (E) and partisan self identification from a survey (F)

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

I get a sneaking suspicion it may only take a little sauce. Breadsticks aren't a great building material.

static.klipy.com

Fat Tony Stabby

Alt: Fat Tony, architect in chief of the Trump Administration.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

That would require honest thought about root sources of the 'problem'. Nearly all of these articles are identification-oriented.

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Reposted by Geoff Allen

Mike Konczal @mtkonczal.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

BLS this morning, with revised 2Q data: "The labor share, which is the percentage of output that accrues to workers in the form of compensation, was 52.8 percent in the second quarter of 2026, the lowest level in the series, which begins in the first quarter of 1947."

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Space utilization surveys at universities should be considered a crime.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

At least in Paul's case that probably isn't true. Unless someone recently organized an Arabian Football Conference from amongst the many peninsular US college campuses. If they haven't, Paul, you should propose it and be the commissioner. You can make a bunch of money before it folds.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

It's kind of amazing that it took not even a full generation for campuses to lose the capacity to produce coursepacks.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

I haven't even been able to get a coursepack made for a student who has an accommodation to get physical copies of digital materials.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

I shouldn't let stories like this rile me up. But the folks doing this are just wasting millions of dollars that could otherwise fund actual education, not particularly inefficient jobs training.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Bryan, great resource! There are a couple of errors: Rebecca Winsor is the new candidate for HD 75, and Tracie Yellowman Tso is running as a Democrat in HD 69.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

DeJoy was forced out a while back. The new guy is worse.

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Geoff Allen @gallen89.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Also, I fear that growth projection is optimistic.

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