iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Reto Bürgisser @retobuergisser.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

🚨 Job Alert 🚨 We're hiring a six-year Postdoc @stawi-univie.bsky.social, starting in Oct 2026 (or thereafter). Research: political representation, party competition, institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields 📅 Deadline: 20 Aug 2026 Apply here: tinyurl.com/dyf9bt7h

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 11/06/2026

#OpenAccess from @epsrjournal.bsky.social - Priming common European and democratic values does not reduce affective polarization - cup.org/4fpJPtl - @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social, Lorenzo Cicchi, @fredericofs.bsky.social, Diego Garzia, Andres Reiljan & Alexander Harald Trechsel #FirstView

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

POP @populismblog.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

What an amazing special issue about the Portuguese elections since 2002! Incredible line-up and terrific articles. Great stuff from @sespjournal.bsky.social, special thanks to the special issue's editors @marinacostalobo.bsky.social and Ana Espírito-Santo! www.tandfonline.com/toc/fses20/3...

tandfonline.com

South European Society and Politics

The new Portuguese electorate in the XXI century; Guest Editors: Marina Costa Lobo and Ana Espírito-Santo. Volume 31, Issue 2 of South European Society and Politics

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Maarten Vink @maartenpvink.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

I think @vdeminstitute.bsky.social is doing absolutely terrific work. But classifying Portugal 🇵🇹 as an 'Electoral Democracy' (ED), rather than liberal democracy, and putting it on the watchlist of countries 'very close to becoming autocratizers', frankly, makes no sense.

Portugal classified as ED (Electoral Democracy)

Democracy Report 2026 Watchlist
y 8 countries are on the Watchlist as potential
autocratizers.
y 3 countries are on the Watchlist as potential
democratizers.
The Democracy Report Watchlist initiative identifies countries that
the international community could decide to pay special attention.
These are countries exhibiting clear portents of becoming autocra-
tizers or democratizers – they have come at least three-quarters of
the way (0.075) towards the ERT threshold of 0.1 on the EDI to be
officially in an episode. Such countries are marked with dark red and
dark blue shaded areas in Figure A1.
The eight countries that are very close to becoming autocratizers
are: Bulgaria, Cyprus, Namibia, Portugal, Russia, Sierra Leone,
Sudan, and Vanuatu. Three of the eight countries are new on the
Watchlist this year: Bulgaria, Portugal, and Vanuatu. Of them, Vanuatu
experienced the second-largest one-year drop in 2025 (after the USA).
Sierra Leone and Sudan were listed as autocratizers last year and are
only marginally below the threshold now. Cyprus, Namibia, and Russia
were on the Watchlist already last year (see Democracy Report 2025).
Three countries that are bordering to becoming democratizers are:
Chad, Gabon, and South Korea. All three countries are poten-
tial U-turns. Of those, South Korea is the closest one to qualify as
a democratizer after featuring as an autocratizer only one year ago.
Chad and Gabon have re-installed elections and civilian-led govern-
ments after military coups in 2021 and 2023, respectively.
The Watchlist additionally identifies so-called “near misses” – coun-
tries that are at least halfway towards becoming autocratizers or democ-
ratizers (changes are between 0.05 and 0.1 on the EDI scale from 0 to 1).
“Near miss” autocratizers are marked with the red shaded area and “near
miss” democratizers with the blue shaded area (see Figure A1).
There are 24 “near misses” of autocratization and eight “near misses”
of democratization, in 2025. 

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

South European Society & Politics @sespjournal.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

💡NEW STUDY FINDS…💡 #Portugal #NowOpenAccess 'Even in contexts of moderate polarization, affective ties to parties can significantly shape the democratic process' 🔓 Read the article by @fredericofs.bsky.social here 👇 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Chiara Vargiu @cvargiu.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

🚨 New piece forthcoming @poqjournal.bsky.social w/ @alessandronai.bsky.social Does violence beget more violence? We answer this question using the #Mangione case (assassination + arrest) as a natural experiment. Results ⬇️ Accepted manuscript: tinyurl.com/4mwh6rt6 Data & code: osf.io/y5mn3

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 29/01/2026

💻 Who actually wants “digitalisation”? Alexander Kuo, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, @ainagallego.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social survey five EU countries and find a clear mainstream-populist divide in support for digitalisation policies 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

New article: "How Many People Use Voting Advice Applications? Survey Evidence From 15 Democracies Worldwide", in Politics and Governance (@CogitatioPaG) Download it for free here: www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg... #OpenAccess

cogitatiopress.com

How Many People Use Voting Advice Applications? Survey Evidence From 15 Democracies Worldwide | Short Note | Politics and Governance

Diego Garzia, Frederico Ferreira da Silva

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

South European Society & Politics @sespjournal.bsky.social · 14/11/2025

💡NEW STUDY FINDS…💡 Affective #polarisation in #Portugal has not been increasing but it has become more closely associated with turnout and voting behaviour Read the article by @fredericofs.bsky.social here 👇 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Assim, embora a polarização afetiva em Portugal não tenha vindo a aumentar, tem-se tornado mais relevante para a explicação do comportamento eleitoral dos portugueses.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Contudo, ao longo deste período, a correlação entre polarização afetiva e participação eleitoral aumentou significativamente ao longo das últimas duas décadas. Há ainda uma relação assimétrica com o sentido do voto, que beneficia sobretudo os partidos de esquerda.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

O crescimento do Chega na eleição de 2024, paradoxalmente, não contribuiu para um aumento da polarização afetiva. Mais votos significam avaliações mais positivas e por um maior número de eleitores. A normalização retira-lhe potencial de antagonismo entre o eleitorado.

Sympathy for Chega: 2022 (dark grey) and 2024 (light grey).

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

A análise confirma o carácter moderado e estável da polarização afetiva em Portugal. Acontecimentos recentes como a Grande Recessão e as mudanças importantes no sistema partidário português não parecem ter tido um impacto significativo nos níveis de polarização afetiva.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Este antagonismo não reflete apenas diferenças ideológicas, mas uma divisão emocional entre grupos políticos, em que opositores são vistos como membros de um grupo externo, com desconfiança, antipatia e hostilidade.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Polarização afetiva é a tendência para os eleitores desenvolverem sentimentos positivos em relação aos partidos e negativos em relação aos rivais.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

A polarização afetiva em Portugal tem vindo a aumentar ao longo das últimas décadas? E qual é a sua relação com o comportamento eleitoral dos portugueses? Tento responder a estas questões usando dados do estudo pós-eleitoral português entre 2002-2024. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

tandfonline.com

Affective polarisation and voting behavior in Portugal (2002–2024): consistent levels, growing electoral relevance

While affective polarisation is seen as a defining feature of contemporary democracies, its implications for individual-level electoral behaviour remain underexplored. This article analyzes affecti...

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 29/08/2025

🌅📙 64.3 Do narcissistic leaders fuel political division? 🧠📊 These authors (🧵⬇️) find that when voters feel close to a leader with dark traits they become more polarized, disliking opposing parties even more. #AffectivePolarization #PoliticalPsychology 🔗https://buff.ly/ptbrrU6

buff.ly

Ripping the public apart? Politicians’ dark personality and affective polarization

ALESSANDRO NAI, FREDERICO FERREIRA DA SILVA, LOES AALDERING, KATJANA GATTERMANN, DIEGO GARZIA

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Alessandro Nai @alessandronai.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

Our new book THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ATTACK POLITICS is out next month! 🔥📚 We offer a new look at negativity effects, via perceptions & evaluations🤔😱👿🤣 You can pre-order it with a nice 20% discount on the cover price (for paperbacks this makes it £32 or so) Check out discount code & link in the flyer 👇

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

I'm recruiting 2 PhD researchers to work with me on a project studying how social groups influence vote choices! Info on the position and how to apply 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo... Please share with interested students who would like to move to beautiful Leuven!

kuleuven.be

2 PhD positions in Electoral behavior

2 PhD positions to research how social group memberships become connected to vote choices

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

This paper has been a longtime favourite of Diego and I. We are really thrilled that it found such a great home in @poqjournal.bsky.social!

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Whether polarization is high/low only tells part of the story; the extent to which such polarization is characterized by a disproportionate degree of affect/disaffect may entail distinct socio-political implications. The two aspects are complementary.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

While citizens may not be more polarized than before in most Western democracies, contemporary AP is more heavily characterized by a disproportionate weight of out-group dislike. Even if polarization didn't increase everywhere, it became more negatively driven in many countries.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

The difference between these two components yields a measure of polarity of affect. Our results show a pattern of increasing negativity of AP across 10 of the 12 countries. In recent elections in Canada, Greece, Italy, Spain, the UK, and the US, the weight of out-party hate trumps in-party love.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

The results confirm a stronger relative importance of out-party hate vis-à-vis in-party love over time. Recently, values of out-party hate tend to approach values of in-party love. In Greece, Italy, Spain, and the United States, out-party hate has actually become a stronger force than in-party love

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

This becomes more evident through the measures of in-party love and out-party hate (Finkel et al. 2020), that we adapted to multi-party systems. These measures center the degree of in-/out-party affect around the mid-point of the thermometer, to capture their relative strength.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

In this article, we try to address this puzzle by disaggregating AP indexes into its two constitutive terms: in-party and out-party (dis)affect. While both tend to decrease over time, the decline in out-party affect is significantly more pronounced.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

In a previous article (academic.oup.com/poq/article/...), we have shown that the increase in affective polarization over time is mostly limited to the US. If that is so, why is there so much concern about AP in contemporary democracies?

academic.oup.com

Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective

Abstract. Existent research shows that affective polarization has been intensifying in some publics, diminishing in others, and remaining stable in most. W

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Oliver Strijbis @ostrijbis.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

🎓 Would you like to be a Postdoc at an American university on a research grant that won't be canceled? 📍 Join me at Franklin University Switzerland! 🧠 4-year fully-funded position in my SNF project DIVIDE 🔬 ≥80% working time on research 💰 ≈90k CHF annually 👉 Check: www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/42...

linkedin.com

Franklin University Switzerland hiring Post-doctoral Researcher in Sorengo, Ticino, Switzerland | LinkedIn

Posted 7:05:23 AM. Franklin University Switzerland…See this and similar jobs on LinkedIn.

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

#jobs 🚨🚨🚨 4 postdocs in Münster: stellen.uni-muenster.de/jobposting/5... I‘m involved in one appointment. More details will follow soon!

stellen.uni-muenster.de

Postdoctoral Research Associate - EU Forscher*in - (salary level E 13 TV-L, 100 %)

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Alessandro Nai @alessandronai.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

Nice piece on our article on affective polarisation and the dark personality of leaders, w @kgattermann.bsky.social @fredericofs.bsky.social Diego Garzia, Loes Aaldering TLDR: dark traits of in-party leaders associated with higher affective polarisation in their (closest) followers

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Thomas Kurer @thmskrr.bsky.social · 30/04/2025

🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social ❓Political implications of labor market transformation Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city. Deadline: May 18, 2025. tinyurl.com/postdoczurich #polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo

tinyurl.com

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

FORS Swiss Centre of Expertise in the Social Sciences @forsresearch.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

To strengthen our team *Data Tools & Services*, we are hiring a Project Manager (80–100%) 📍 Lausanne | 🗓️ Start: Aug/Sept | 📝 Permanent contract 🕘 Apply by May 9 🔗 forscenter.ch/about-fors/s... #ResearchJobs #ProjectManager #SocialSciences #FORS

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

Raphael Cunha @raphaelcunha.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

King's College London is hiring 20 scholars doing AI-related research across *all disciplines*, including social sciences (5-year research fellowship leading to permanent faculty position). Applications due May 19, 2025. @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social @kcl-spe.bsky.social

kcl.ac.uk

King's AI+ Academic Fellowships (leading to an open-ended academic post)

King’s is making a major strategic investment into driving AI activity across our nine academic Faculties. Our ambition is to accelerate growth in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data-driven research...

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Reposted by Frederico Ferreira da Silva

MEDem @medem.bsky.social · 03/03/2025

In about a month, we submit our application for the ESFRI Roadmap 🇪🇺 Help us reach 1,000 researchers by showing your support here: forms.gle/dm8K4xFgXD9b... ⚙️ Regardless, we’re sure you’ll find MEDem’s tools & services useful once they’re live. We’re already working on first prototypes this year! 🏗️📊

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

These results hold even if we use validated measures of electoral participation, available for selected countries, and highlight the relevance of candidates/leaders as objects of affective polarization in contemporary democracies.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Findings: ✅ positive relationship between AP and turnout in multi-party systems ✅ polarized feelings towards leaders also increase electoral participation, and more so over time, to the extent that its effects are, in the latest elections, virtually indistinguishable from parties

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Building on the personalization literature demonstrating that evaluations of political leaders have become more important in the voting decision-making process, we hypothesize that polarized feelings towards leaders became more determinant in driving electoral participation.

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Inspired by the work of Ahn & Mutz (academic.oup.com/poq/article-ab…), our examines the longitudinal relationship between AP and turnout in multi-party systems, as well as the first systematic comparison of the effects of party and leader affective polarization on turnout beyond the US

academic.oup.com

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

We know from previous studies that high affective polarization increases turnout. But what is the relevance of polarized feelings towards parties vs. leaders in this relationship? Who mobilizes more? And how have these dynamics changed over time and across multi-party systems?

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Frederico Ferreira da Silva @fredericofs.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

🚨New article in @poqjournal with D.Garzia🚨 Available Open Access here: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

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