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Tobias Forsnacke

@forsno.bsky.social
108 followers 102 following 587 posts
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
OK, så det blev bara GMLRS och GMLRS ER (det var även ATACMS med i FMS-godkännandet).
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Hm, skyller det där h:et på Apple…
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
När vi nu får köpa. Johnsson nämnde den framtida möjligheten tillsammans med GLSDB, men inga beställningar på någon av dem i dagsläget såvitt jag vet.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Ingick inte ATACMS i HIMARS-beställningen?
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
European political elites need to understand that if they say European security isn't possible without the US, they are actually saying that European security isn't possible. For many reasons, they don't want to accept that, but they urgently need to.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I’m guessing that they don’t have any de Gaulle biographies on their bookshelves (I thoroughly enjoyed Jackson’s).
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I watched the first part of the film adaptation in a small two row salon at my neighbourhood cinema in Stockholm. I was moved at times by both the willpower and the selfless sacrifices for the glory of France, but I got the impression that most of the audience mainly thought that it was a bit long.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
That if he’d be careless enough to cross the threshold to actual war, and there’s nothing “hybrid” about capturing the territory of a NATO member, we’d no longer be constrained by a peacetime legal framework (his secret sauce); we’d be in war mode and if we’re in war mode he’d lose. Hard.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
If they mount serious attacks then the Church of Sweden has acquired land for mass burial around the major cities (burial of 500 simulated dead were a part of the last Aurora exercise). I don’t know what you’ve been doing these last couple of years, but we’ve been preparing for war.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Ten Shaheeds isn’t much of a threat against a mobilised air defence. If there are any leakers the shelters has been cleaned up, the emergency services has been given training and equipment for clearing rubble and dealing with unexploded munitions.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The Swedish navy and airforce will do what they’ve been built to do since the Cold War: take out the Russian surface fleet in the Baltic Sea.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
In your scenario that might be Russia’s motivation, but since their means to achieve it would be to attack and occupy the territory of a Baltic ally the motivation is irrelevant. If any ally takes the bait and folds then the eternal shame is theirs.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
First of all we’re not talking about Ukraine, but more importantly it doesn’t matter who joins or not; if a neighbour and treaty ally is attacked we’re at war and we fight. Have some agency.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Is this really representative of the danish vibe? It’s so defeatist.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Gotland? With what amphibious capability? With what landing force?
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Secondly: they’d have to not only capture territory and but also to hold it long enough to dig in and create something approaching the battlefield in Ukraine. They wouldn’t be allowed to do that.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
First off: the day that Russia attacks one of Swedens neighbours is the day that the Russian Baltic fleet ends. If Denmark wants to sit that one out that’s OK, we have plenty of Robot 15 and Torped 62 for the job.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The Swedish chief of joint operations, vice admiral Skoog Haslum, has explicitly stated in interviews that Sweden would not wait for article 5 if a Baltic neighbour is attacked; Sweden would in her words take immediate action to secure the Baltic Sea.
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Keir Giles @keirgiles.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I lost count of the media interviews over the weekend where I asked them to please stop calling Russia’s performance an “election”, and stop defaulting to the language they use when describing a democratic event in a country where people have the option of changing their government if they want to.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I see a Washington Underworld tour coming in the aftertime; once the radiation drops enough for surface travel that is. www.berliner-unterwelten.de/en/guided-to...
berliner-unterwelten.de
From Flak Towers to Mountains of Debris
Der Berliner Unterwelten e.V. erforscht und dokumentiert seit 1997 unterirdische Bauwerke der Bundeshauptstadt und macht sie, sofern möglich, der Öffentlichkeit im Rahmen von Führungen zugänglich. Im ...
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Morticia Addams: Witnessing Karma Like
ALT: Morticia Addams: Witnessing Karma Like
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Well, unless your definition of hard right is everything right of centre it is in fact clear. SD underperforms even more than S in this election leaving things very tight halfway through the count.
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 10/09/2026
Semaphore xkcd.com/3295/
Comic. [Two identical machines face each other with a gap between them. Each is mounted on a box with a cable connecting it off-panel, webcams pointed at each other, and two flags at different angles that can move.] [caption] Networking tip: Separate sensitive components with a semaphore gap.
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Keir Giles @keirgiles.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
I am the last person you will find overstating the influence of Aleksandr Dugin, or calling him "Putin's brain". But I couldn't ignore the exact match between the plan he laid out in 1997 for engineering US retreat from Europe, and what the US is doing today. www.youtube.com/shorts/DPNfT...
youtube.com
Russia's 1997 playbook for Trump
YouTube video by Chatham House
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
British bicycles!
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Smiling Friends Tourist
Alt: Smiling Friends Are You Tourist
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Alas, the AfD's slogan, Alles ist Möglich, Everything is possible, is entirely apposite: anything is now possible in Germany
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 06/09/2026
Maybe presidents just shouldn't have pardon powers at all.
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Any agreements coming out of the Witkoff-Kushner Moscow visit will stick to the same formula as all the other US-Russia agreements on Ukraine during Trump's 2nd term: Russia gets Ukraine's land, Trump and his circle get richer; Ukraine gets to do what they're told.
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Amanda Wollstad @awollstad.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Mängder av prydliga kids i kö för att få en selfie med försvarsministern. The kids are alright.
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Naval News @handle.invalid · 03/09/2026
[VIDEO] Sweden Orders 4 FDI Frigates: Exclusive Naval Group Interview on Luleå-class Configuration 🇸🇪 In this exclusive interview recorded in June 2026, we get some details on the configuration of Sweden's FDI frigates—including new launchers designed to deploy CAMM-ER www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5ki...
youtube.com
Sweden Orders 4 FDI Frigates: Exclusive Naval Group Interview on Luleå-class Configuration
YouTube video by Naval News
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Here's another example. Putin understands the world - other states; Russia's relation to them; Russia's identity and interests - through the lens of the Soviet period. It's a failure to imagine, and so create, anything new. It's necrophiliac geopolitics.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Nu la FMV upp detaljer om den svenska konfigurationen. www.fmv.se/aktuellt--pr...
fmv.se
FMV tecknar kontrakt om fyra nya fregatter
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Här är en Narwhal på Amiral Ronarc'hs hangartak (bakom kranen som lastar PA).
Amiral Ronarc'h i Stocholm.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Två Trackfire ARES med dubbelmatad M230LF 30x113 mm istället för franska Narwhal 20x139 mm, men i samma hörn. Sägs det (besviken på bristen på rendering eller modell på den svenska konfigurationen nu när avtalet är tecknat).
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
A life of service.
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Not for the first time, the Trump administration appears to mistake a collective security alliance for an empire. This, and the Greenland drilling shenanigans, should encourage NATO members to speed up further disengagement from the US. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
US Presses Allies on Ideological Loyalty Ahead of Troop Cuts
The US wants to know how loyal each NATO ally is to Donald Trump’s policies before cutting military assets defending the alliance.
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Militär Debatt @militardebatt.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Hur ska armén se ut på 2030-talet – och hur undviker man att framtidsplanerna stannar på papperet? Överste Rikard Daleke, Arméstabens planeringschef och tillträdande chef för Livgardet, berättar om visionen bakom NEXT och vägen dit. militardebatt.com/2026/08/08/i...
militardebatt.com
Intervju: Om framtidens armé
Hur ska armén se ut på 2030-talet – och hur undviker man att framtidsplanerna stannar på papperet? Överste Rikard Daleke, Arméstabens planeringschef och tillträdande chef för Livgardet, berättar om…
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 07/08/2026
Antiques Roadshow xkcd.com/3281/
Comic. [Two people with tiny star floating above display on table.] PERSON 1 with ponytail: Now, your grandmother said this was a relic low-mass population III star, from the first generation of stars. Unfortunately, the high iron content shows that it formed much later, after several rounds of supernovas. I’m afraid it’s a population I star. PERSON 2: Aw, darn. Well, it still has sentimental value. [banner for Antiques Roadshow]
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
What failure of solidarity? What has been denied to Spain? In fact its government has been asked, quite emphatically, to make use of the EU instruments at its disposal such as Frontex to secure its, and therefore the EU’s, border with Morocco.
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
A good way of thinking about Ceuta and Melilla is that they're Spain's dangling nuts which Morocco likes to squeeze every so often
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Patrick Boyle 💎 @pboyle.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
I really need to stop saying "Lycos it"
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 24/07/2026
🔴 Sweden’s Minister of Defence Pål Jonson discusses Sweden joining NATO, support for Ukraine, and the new Gripen fighter jet deal. Watch the full interview now on YouTube. 🔗 youtu.be/qvp_qhqTiB4
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
static.klipy.com
Principal Skinner: It's the Children Who Are Wrong
Alt: Principal Skinner: It's the Children Who Are Wrong
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
One of these is real life, and the other is Idiocracy. I'll leave it to the reader to guess which is which...
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 08/07/2026
Offside xkcd.com/3268/
Comic. [chessboard with red dotted line and flag at second line. Highlighted rook is positioned next to King behind the red line.]  [caption] I thought I had checkmate, but I didn’t realize my rook was offside.
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
As he's done over and over again since Jan 2025, Trump makes it clear that he doesn't see the US as an ally of Europe; doesn't feel bound by NATO commitments; doesn't view Russia as the US's problem in any way; and is fixated on imagined grievances. It's not going to change.
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
static.klipy.com
Amleth (Alexander Skarsgård) Rowing
Alt: Amleth (Alexander Skarsgård) Rowing
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Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
British bicycles!
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Anna Wieslander @annwieanna.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
In the wake of the Summit in Ankara, I draw up to 4 scenarios regarding the #future of #NATO: ➡️ Future #1: More Europe in NATO—the moderate version ➡️ Future #2: More Europe in NATO—the brutal version ➡️ Future #3: NATO narrows to Europe and Canada ➡️ Future #4: NATO becomes part of the EU
isdp.eu
Four Futures for NATO - Institute for Security and Development Policy
Anna Wieslander presents four futures for NATO, which reflect how poised for transformation the transatlantic relationship is.
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