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Felix Lehmann

@felixlehmann.bsky.social
3.2K followers 824 following 92 posts

PhD candidate in political science @ University of Gothenburg | party competition | representation | intra-party politics | European integration | immigration

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Reposted by Felix Lehmann
Luis Sattelmayer @luissattelmayer.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Today, @malojan.bsky.social and I are launching the PartySOME website at partysome.org, an open, interactive platform for exploring how much political parties communicate online and what they talk about 🎤💻📊
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Bastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
#APSA2026 reading list · 7/10 "When Does Accommodation Fail? The Electoral Consequences of Intra-Party Divisions and Mainstream Party Strategies" 🗳️📉🇪🇺 ✍️ @felixlehmann.bsky.social 📖 @wepsocial.bsky.social 🔗 www.scilove.app/article/10.1080/01402382.2026.2625601
scilove.app
When does accommodation fail? The electoral consequences of intra-party divisions and mainstream party strategies (Lehmann, 2026)
Dominant spatial theories suggest that mainstream parties can contest the success of niche parties by accommodating their positions. However, research shows that this strategy often results in elector...
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
While I only find limited evidence for this claim, intra-party dynamics do still play an important role. Activist-dominated parties, which are presumably more focused on policy goals, tend to react more strongly to electoral decline than their leadership-dominated counterparts.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
I argue that intra-party dynamics are one important driving factor. Office-seeking members should be more likely to abandon the party upon losing access to key resources than policy-motivated activists. In turn, the power balance shifts towards policy seekers, who adopt a focus on core issues.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Across most indicators, I find that parties increase their emphasis on core manifesto issues (e.g., welfare for social democrats) after electoral decline. In contrast, parties only become significantly more extreme on these issues after losing government.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
In the paper, I analyze manifestos from parties in 18 Western European countries between 1970 and 2025. I consider eight indicators of electoral decline, which capture the severity and persistence of losses in different ways.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
What do parties do after severe and persistent electoral defeat? In a new paper recently published in Party Politics, I find that parties tend to focus more on their core issues but do not necessarily adopt more extreme positions: doi.org/10.1177/1354....
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
the best!
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Now, it is time for EPSS in Belfast and then, finally, some vacation. My dissertation can be found here: hdl.handle.net/2077/91093
hdl.handle.net
Making sure you're not a bot!
As complex organizations, political parties often internally disagree over key policy issues. These divisions have become increasingly relevant for European politics. Yet, dominant theoretical approac...
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I want to thank my supervisors @annkristinkolln.bsky.social and Carl Dahlström for 4 great years. I really learned a lot from both of you. I also want to thank my defence committee, Andrej Kokkonen, Annika Bergström, and @grahn.bsky.social, for taking the time to engage with my dissertation.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I am really happy to share that on 12 June, I successfully defended my PhD dissertation in political science. The defence was a lot of fun. This was in large part because of my great opponent, @henrikseeberg.bsky.social , who initiated a challenging and intellectually engaging discussion.
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements.
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Bastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated daily
scilove.app
SciLove — Discover new research on the go
A personalized feed of the latest peer-reviewed papers — swipe to save, skip, and make connections in minutes a day.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
EPSS Travel Grants for 2026 Belfast conference: PhD students & junior scholars @ institutions in European countries that are often underrepresented, can apply for full fee waiver & £500 stipend Apply: lnkd.in/ehXjhCgf Deadline: March 8, 11:59pm GMT. More details: lnkd.in/eZTP5sWR
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Who do parties really listen to? 🎧 @felixlehmann.bsky.social finds that EU-wide evidence shows parties mostly respond to their own supporters, not the public at large, holding across issues, regions, party types, and over time.
buff.ly
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Hauries de llegir el segon!
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
🎉 Online first: Can shifting to the Eurosceptic right backfire? @felixlehmann.bsky.social points to an overlooked reason for why accommodation may fail: intra-party division. When the party disagrees, policy shifts become less credible and can cost votes. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of "When does accommodation fail? The electoral consequences of intra-party divisions and mainstream party strategies" by Felix Lehmann, published in West European Politics.
The marginal effect of Δ EU position on mainstream party vote over increasing levels of EU intra-party divisions (N = 393). The histogram plots the distri- bution of EU intra-party divisions.The Marginal effect of Δ immigration position on dyadic mainstream party voter gains over increasing levels of immigration intra-party divisions (N=134). The histogram plots the distribution of immigration intra-party divisions.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Thanks, Joe! Would love to hear more about what is happening to L actually.
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Extra: Recent experimental evidence from Dominik Duell, @dielea.bsky.social, @sopro.bsky.social, Jonathan B. Slapin & @chriswratil.bsky.social similarly shows the negative effects that intra-party divisions can have for parties responding to new challengers. A great read: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
doi.org
Voices of the party base: How supporters want established parties to respond to new parties | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Voices of the party base: How supporters want established parties to respond to new parties
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I want to thank the editorial team @wepsocial.bsky.social for the great guidance throughout the process. I also want to highlight the unseen work of the peer reviewers who took the time to provide extremely thoughtful and detailed feedback on the two revisions that this paper went through. 13/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
It is worth emphasizing that intra-party divisions are very likely not the only reason why voters do not reward mainstream accommodation. Instead, many different factors may make it difficult for parties to credibly shift on issues, such as immigration and the EU. 12/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I find some tentative evidence that valence considerations, such as credibility and competence, are driving the results. Divided mainstream parties suffer from a depreciated valence image when they accommodate. Highly united parties instead improve their likability using the same strategy. 11/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
The findings highlight the inefficacy of accommodative shifts in achieving their intended outcome of halting the rise of politically extreme parties. Rather than convincing voters lost to Eurosceptic rivals, Eurosceptic shifts are mainly associated with voter flows between mainstream parties. 10/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Preliminary analyses suggest that similar dynamics may be at play on the issue of immigration, but data limitations prevent the paper from presenting conclusive tests. 9/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Accommodating on the EU overall does not seem to induce strong voter flows between mainstream and Eurosceptic parties, irrespective of the division level. Instead, united accommodators gain voters from other non-Eurosceptic rivals. Divided accommodators mostly lose voters to these rivals. 8/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Second, I analyze voter flows between mainstream parties and Eurosceptic/non-Eurosceptic rivals in 70 national elections. I find very similar patterns as on the election level. Highly united parties experience minor gains when accommodating, while divided parties lose voters. 7/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
The results suggest that Eurosceptic shifts tend to yield little benefit for mainstream parties. United accommodators experience no significant changes in their vote share, whereas accommodation for parties with medium to high levels of divisions on the EU is associated with vote losses. 6/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I test this expectation on the key niche issue of European integration on two different levels. First, I examine how the interplay of divisions and party strategies shapes mainstream party vote shares in 136 national elections in 13 Western European countries between 1988 and 2025. 5/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I argue that divided parties lack the needed credibility, competency, and persuasiveness to successfully accommodate niche rivals. I thus expect that internally divided parties perform electorally worse when accommodating than their united counterparts. 4/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Despite this mainstream eagerness to accommodate, most studies show that the strategy frequently backfires electorally. I argue that one important reason for this is that many mainstream parties are deeply internally divided on the issues they are accommodating on. 3/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Mainstream parties often respond to the emergence of far-right and far-left challengers by shifting closer to the positions of these parties on their core issues. A recent example is Labor’s harsh-on-immigration shift under the Starmer government, aimed at combating the rise of Reform UK. 2/13
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Why does mainstream accommodation of far-right and Eurosceptic parties often electorally backfire? In my 3rd dissertation paper, just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social, I argue that voters specifically punish internally divided parties for accommodation: doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/13 🧵
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Gefjon Off @gefjonoff.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
New publication in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social! Who perceives feminism as a threat, and why do a lot of women perceive feminism as threatening? With @evaanduiza.bsky.social, we explore these questions in the context of Spain. We find: ⬇️ doi.org/10.1017/S174...
doi.org
Perceptions of Feminism as a Threat | Politics & Gender | Cambridge Core
Perceptions of Feminism as a Threat
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Teresa Völker @tevoelker.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
NEW PUBLICATION “How the Media Cordon Sanitaire Crumbles: Lessons from Germany” now out in @prxjournal.bsky.social 🔓 doi.org/10.1080/2474736X.2026.2621808 I’m very happy that this paper is out – this project is particularly important to me.
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Nicolai Berk @nicolaiberk.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Now in print (and open access): What happens when voters learn their party disagrees with them? I ran a pre-registered experiment with a representative sample of ~3,000 German voters to find out. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵
link.springer.com
Attitude Manipulation and Voting Intentions - Political Behavior
A large body of research documents the substantial effects of persuasive communication on political attitudes. However, opinion manipulation often represents merely an intermediate goal in a greater e...
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Reposted by Felix Lehmann
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 11/02/2026
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social with @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social & @grahn.bsky.social Your neighbours shape your politics — but can living near people like *cause* higher turnout? We studied 20,000+ queer individuals across the entire Swedish population to find out doi.org/10.1086/740816
doi.org
Rallied by thy neighbor: how minority spatial concentration increases voter turnout | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
In the increasingly multidimensional European political space, I encourage future studies to shift attention to issue-based representation. We still lack an understanding of the issue-level drivers of responsiveness doi.org/10.1017/S147... 12/12
doi.org
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Some important caveats: I only look at party positions; what policies parties actually supply in government is a different question (see, for example: doi.org/10.1093/ser/...). The note also offers no insights into whether voters actually perceive and reward party responsiveness. 11/12
doi.org
The economic and cultural dimensions of unequal policy representation
Abstract. Many scholars have argued that policymaking in Western democracies is biased toward high-income citizens, thereby violating fundamental ideals of
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
While parties appear to prioritize supporters, their shifts are largely compatible with the preferences of the broader electorate. The reason for this is that the issue preferences of party supporters often overlap with those of the average voter. 10/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I interpret these findings as mostly good news for proponents of delegate-style representation. The evidence indicates a robust connection between changing public preferences and the issue positions supplied by parties. 9/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
These patterns of responsiveness even persist across mainstream/niche parties, Western/Central and Eastern Europe, and time. They are further supported across a wide range of robustness checks and additional analyses. 8/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I find evidence of party responsiveness to both the average voter and partisan supporter. However, when choosing, parties have a strong tendency to prioritize their supporters. This finding is supported within both responsiveness frameworks and across all six issues + left-right dimension. 7/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I utilize CHES expert data to measure party positions and data from the EES to capture citizens’ preferences on six different issues and the left-right dimension. The analysis covers a maximum of all 27 EU members + the UK between 1999 and 2024. 6/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
In my framework, parties can respond to voter preferences either by shifting their positions in the same direction (”standard framework”) or by shifting to reduce the previous gap between their position and voter preferences (”congruent responsiveness framework”). 5/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Three questions guide the empirical analysis. 1) Are parties responsive to public opinion? 2) To whom do parties respond most—the average voter or partisan supporters? 3) Does party responsiveness differ across party types (mainstream/niche), Europe (West/Central and East), and time? 4/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I build on recent empirical and conceptual advances to offer a comprehensive empirical examination of party responsiveness across the EU. A particularly important starting point was the contribution by @jonathanpolk.bsky.social and @ibenskasr.bsky.social ky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350... 3/12
doi.org
Party responsiveness to public opinion in a multi-dimensional policy space
Party responsiveness to public opinion is a key question in the study of democratic representation. While numerous studies have examined party responsiveness on broad ideological dimensions, there ...
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
As voter preferences are constantly evolving, responsive parties need to adapt alongside to maintain delegate-style democratic representation. Whether parties are responsive to voter preferences and, if so, to whom exactly, has been fiercely debated for well over 2 decades. 2/12
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Are parties responsive to public opinion? In my first research note, just published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, I find consistent evidence that parties across the EU shift their positions to align with the preferences of their partisan supporters: doi.org/10.1017/S147... 1/12 🧵
doi.org
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Everything for the fans: Party responsiveness across the EU over time
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Léonie de Jonge @leoniedejonge.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
Für Medienschaffende ist der Umgang mit der extremen Rechten zugegebenermaßen nicht immer einfach. Aber ein Lifestyle-Interview mit Chrupalla sprengt jeden journalistischen Rahmen. Hier wird nicht nur eine Plattform geboten, sondern extrem rechte Politik aktiv normalisiert. 🤯
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Jesper Lindqvist @jesperlindqvist.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Are the Politically Active Better Represented? - Political Behavior
Political participation is considered an important path for people to influence politics. However, whether those who participate actually see more of their preferred policies implemented remains an op...
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