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Small Arms Survey

@smallarmssurvey.bsky.social
208 followers 128 following 289 posts

The Small Arms Survey is a centre for applied knowledge dedicated to preventing and reducing illicit small arms proliferation and armed violence. smallarmssurvey.org

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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In September, the Small Arms Survey and our long-standing partner, the Center for Security Studies “CENSS”, presented our new joint project in Kyiv to our Local Advisory Committee. The committee is the expert network we built during the previous phase of our work in Ukraine.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Earlier this week at the 15th UN #CrimeCongress, we organised a side event with the support of @interpol.int , WCO, the League of Arab States and the EU that brought together experts and stakeholders to discuss the increasing challenges posed by privately made firearms.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Our new HSBA Briefing Paper traces 3 decades of #US engagement with Sudan and examines how the increasing influence of regional powers and competing external interests has empowered Sudan’s warring generals and made ending the current war more difficult: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/sud...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A gun with no serial number, printed at home or built from a kit. Privately made firearms are reshaping crime and conflict. Join us, @interpol.int and the WCO for a side event during the 15th #UN Crime Congress, 28 September, dedicated to discussion about these weapons.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
On 14 October during #GPF26, the Survey, CENSS, FPI, @swissfa.bsky.social, and @unidir.org will discuss how integrating small arms control within public health approaches, armed violence reduction strategies, and community engagement initiatives can offer more sustainable pathways to peace
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Last week in Bucharest, as part of EU ISF-funded Project VISTA, we engaged with the ENFSI community about privately made firearms and seizure databases. It was insightful to hear about the latest trends from the expert group and to be reminded that in a world of tech, simple equipment still matters.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
At the annual conference of the European Society of Criminology in Warsaw #Eurocrim2026, Survey expert Aline Shaban spoke during the panel Crime and Justice in Wartime Ukraine, presenting our chapter in the forthcoming Routledge volume Crime and Justice in Wartime Ukraine.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
How many #civilian #firearms are there? In remote, borderland, and peripheral areas, this remains difficult to answer directly. Our Briefing Paper on monitoring civilian firearms in borderlands proposes a framework that responds to this challenge: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/mon...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Our Briefing Paper on MANPADS in Sudan discuss 2 notable regional proliferation trends: continued circulation of illicit MANPADS, including advanced systems, and gradual supplanting of Soviet/Russian systems with Chinese-designed models. Read more here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/ars...
smallarmssurvey.org
Arsenal Upgrades: MANPADS, the RSF, and the War in Sudan
Despite a 20-year international campaign to combat the threat from illicit man-portable air defence systems (MANPADS), acquisition and use of these weapons by non-state armed groups continues,…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Our blog post on monitoring #illicit #civilian #firearms flows in #Kenya examines an analytical gap in how these dynamics are understood.
smallarmssurvey.org
Tracking Change: Monitoring Civilian Firearms Circulation in Northern Kenya
'Kenya’s northern borderlands are often seen through a prism of insecurity — cattle raids, intercommunal clashes, political unrest, and threats from external actors. Yet mobility, livelihoods, and…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
'Universalization is a two-way process: we need to continue promoting the ATT with non-states parties while also reflecting on how to ensure that the treaty remains relevant to the interests & needs of these states.' Our #CSP12 statement on universalization: www.smallarmssurvey.org/highlight/sm...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
'The Small Arms Survey remains committed to supporting the implementation of Article 7.4, and the gender-related provisions of the final reports from CSP5, 9, 10 and 11.' Watch, or read, more of our statement on #ATT gender-related commitments at #CSP12 here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/highlight/sm...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
How are we supporting gender mainstreaming at the #ATT? We're supporting the Gender Focal Points 🇲🇽 🇪🇸 🇹🇬 in promoting women's meaning participation at #CSP12. Our new blog shows how gender is relevant beyond Art. 7.4, in this case to maritime security: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/smu...
smallarmssurvey.org
Smuggled in Plain Sight: The Gendered Blind Spot in Maritime Small Arms Trafficking
'High-profile port seizures consistently disprove a long-held assumption regarding arms trafficking - demonstrating that the world's most destabilizing volumes of illicit weapons move not across land…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
'From our work in-country, it is clear that many states could benefit from further guidance [on scope and national control lists], as well as on the establishment and strengthening of inter-agency cooperation.' Our #CSP12 statement on #ATT implementation here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/highlight/sm...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
How is the Small Arms Survey supporting #ATT universalization? Last week in Bangkok with #MAG, we gathered 10 national IHL experts on illicit arms. This week in Geneva, we'll share their insights on how to ensure the ATT's relevance in the #IndoPacific in collaboration with 🇦🇺 #ControlArms & #UNRCPD
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The Small Arms Survey is attending and speaking at #CSP12 this week, discussing challenges to and supporting initiatives for #ATT universalization. Watch Survey expert Callum Watson give our opening statement during the first day of the conference here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/highlight/ne...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
How are we supporting #ATT implementation? 33% of customs-seized firearms come from marine vessels, yet maritime security remains a critical blind spot. Our working paper, focusing on Art. 9 & 11 + co-sponsored by 20 states, explores how to bridge this gap. www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/int...
smallarmssurvey.org
Integrating Maritime Dimensions to Ensure the Effective Implementation of Articles 9 and 11 of the Arms Trade Treaty
Working paper presented by Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania,…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Ahead of next week’s #CSP12, our new blog post on #maritime arms trafficking proposes that, by extending Article 7(4), the ATT could help close critical gaps in arms control legislation and better support anti-maritime trafficking efforts. Read more here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/smu...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
It took the Philippines 9 years between signature and ratification of the #ATT. With #CSP12 next week, what lessons can other countries in the region learn from this experience? Read more in our new blog post: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/six...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Our Briefing Paper on monitoring civilian firearms in #borderlands offers a practical approach to enable county-level actors to track changes in civilian firearm possession over time, allowing for earlier risk identification and targeted #security responses: www.smallarmssurvey.org/index%2Ephp/...
smallarmssurvey.org
Monitoring Civilian Firearms in Borderlands: A Framework For Trend Analysis And Estimation
Civilian firearms circulation in borderland and peripheral areas is difficult to monitor and quantify. Existing approaches often struggle to capture how firearms move through informal systems over…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Another EU-LAS training delivered! Last week Suvery experts led a workshop focused on #weapons, #ammunition, and #stockpile #security and management. Hosted at the Sultan Qaboos Academy for Police Sciences in Nizwa, #Oman, participants included members from the Royal Oman Police and the Armed Forces
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
A new Reuter's investigation into Sudan’s logistics networks. The Survey supported this work by providing documentary evidence, investigative leads, & analysis developed over months of research into the companies, aircraft, & supply networks sustaining the conflict. www.reuters.com/investigatio...
reuters.com
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
From 29 June to 3 July 2026, 25 officers and personnel from the Comorian National Police, National Gendarmerie, and Comorian Defence Forces participated in a Survey-led workshop aimed at building stronger capacities for safer weapons and ammunition management in the Comoros.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
This paper from our HSBA project examines the history of outsourced violence in the CAR, Chad, Libya, & Sudan. It argues that a durable peace could be possible if the cross-border financing & logistics networks that empower armed groups are constrained. www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/out...
smallarmssurvey.org
A History of Outsourced Violence: The Rise of the Rapid Support Forces, Libyan National Army, and Wagner Group
In the war against the Sudanese Armed Forces, the Rapid Support Forces have relied on external backing and regional partnerships that extend well beyond Sudan’s borders. While these relationships…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
What does investigation of RSF fighters in possession of MANPADS reveal? Our new Briefing Paper on #MANPADS, the #RSF, and the war in #Sudan, published today, examines the RSF’s possession of MANPADS and assesses its implication for threat mitigation efforts: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/ars...
smallarmssurvey.org
Arsenal Upgrades: MANPADS, the RSF, and the War in Sudan
Despite a 20-year international campaign to combat the threat from illicit man-portable air defence systems (MANPADS), acquisition and use of these weapons by non-state armed groups continues,…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
The use of IEDs constitutes a security issue but also disrupts humanitarian action, constrains development, and destabilizes peace efforts. How can the HDP Nexus help structure responses from a range of practitioners while preserving distinct mandates and principles? Read more:
bit.ly
From Fragmented Responses to Integrated Approaches: C-IED and the HDP Nexus
'Improvised explosive devices (IEDs) continue to cause deaths and injuries, endanger communities, and undermine both development and recovery across conflict and crime-affected contexts. Attacks on…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Our #new 2025 #AnnualReport presents our contribution to addressing global shifting dynamics through field-based research, global #analysis, & practical entry points for more effective responses to armed #violence & illicit arms #proliferation: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/ann...
smallarmssurvey.org
Annual Report 2025
2025 witnessed renewed geopolitical competition and ongoing conflicts fuel increased military expenditure and expansion of the global small arms market. Data collected proved that rising demand is…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
How can a country apply a whole-of-society approach to C-IED measures? Burkina Faso is an example. In 2024, the government launched a national strategy and action plan on C-IED that builds coordination mechanisms that include a wide array of stakeholders. smallarmssurvey.medium.com/more-than-mi...
smallarmssurvey.medium.com
More than Might: How inclusive and accountable strategies can transform C-IED responses
By Julien Joly and Paul Amoroso
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
A third training successfully delivered! In May, the Survey delivered a two-week training course on weapons and ammunition management #WAM in Rabat, #Morocco, under the EU-LAS III project, funded by the #EU.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Our new Briefing Paper proposes a structured way to analyze how firearms circulate within local systems, in order to monitor change over time and generate more plausible estimates of civilian holdings in data-constrained and complex environments. Read more here:
bit.ly
New methodology for tracking civilian firearm dynamics
Civilian firearms circulation in borderland and peripheral areas is difficult to monitor and quantify. Existing approaches often struggle to capture how firearms move through informal systems over…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
How can civilian firearms circulation be monitored over time in borderland areas? Our new publications propose a framework that identifies local circulation patterns and produces estimate ranges grounded in observable indicators—allowing for early detection of emerging risks: https:/bit.ly/4arFqT8
bit.ly
New methodology for tracking civilian firearm dynamics
Civilian firearms circulation in borderland and peripheral areas is difficult to monitor and quantify. Existing approaches often struggle to capture how firearms move through informal systems over…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
How can the HDP Nexus help structure responses from humanitarian, development, and peace practitioners to IED threats, while preserving distinct mandates and principles? Read our new blog post: bit.ly/3RpPlCl
bit.ly
From Fragmented Responses to Integrated Approaches: C-IED and the HDP Nexus
'Improvised explosive devices (IEDs) continue to cause deaths and injuries, endanger communities, and undermine both development and recovery across conflict and crime-affected contexts. Attacks on ci...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
The political ascent of South Sudan’s former Vice-President Benjamin Bol Mel was meteoric, and his downfall was just as rapid. Our Situation Update traces Bol Mel’s political career, from businessman, to Vice-President, to dismissal and house arrest. www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/wun...
smallarmssurvey.org
Wun Weng’s Victory: The Rise and Fall of Benjamin Bol Mel
Salva Kiir has ruled South Sudan for two decades. Now 74, in poor health, and having postponed national elections to 2026, the question of succession has been a steady feature of political debate in…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Preparation saves lives. In Ukraine, new training from CENSS, the Survey and NPA teaches frontline service providers how to identify threats, apply de-escalation techniques and develop safe behaviour protocols to prevent armed violence by civilians. More here: censs.org/the-center-f...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Have there been notable shifts in the mechanics of illicit firearms trafficking in the Caribbean, including with respect to maritime trafficking from the US? Find out in our 2025 Report on firearm-related violence and trafficking in the Caribbean: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/pat...
smallarmssurvey.org
Pathway to Policy: Firearms Trafficking and Public Health in the Caribbean
The Caribbean region continues to suffer from high levels of firearm-related violence, with worrying developments that include the recruitment of children and adolescents into armed gangs, shootings…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
We were delighted to welcome Raymond Johansen, Secretary General of Norwegian People’s Aid (Norsk Folkehjelp), and his team to the Survey this week—not only to celebrate the opening of their new offices in Geneva, but also to sign a Memorandum of Understanding between our organizations.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
How can states effectively address the gendered impacts of unplanned explosions at munitions sites? Our blog post discusses a recent case study of a #UEMS in Africa and highlights the need for greater research and data: smallarmssurvey.medium.com/explosions-a...
smallarmssurvey.medium.com
Explosions accidentelles dans les dépôts de munitions : impacts sexospécifiques
Par Callum Watson et Mines Advisory Group
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Latin America accounted for only 2.8% of reported global small arms imports and 6.3% of exports from 2019-2024. Yet, about 10% of the region’s imports concerned military firearms—well above the global average of 5.6%. Read more here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/aut...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
The Survey’s Manon Blancafort recently co-authored an article with Yulia Yarina that provides an overview of drug and firearm trafficking interlinks in the Caribbean, pointing to a possible nexus between the two: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The confluence of crime: mapping the nexus between arms and drug trafficking in the Caribbean
The Caribbean region has emerged as an epicentre of transnational organised crime, where firearms are not only tools of protection but also increasingly function as both currency and commodities wi...
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Firearms cannot maim and kill without ammunition, yet their seizures are frequently overlooked when not accompanied by firearms. Our 2025 blog post on ammunition seizures in the Caribbean highlights notable trends as well as the impact on public health: smallarmssurvey.medium.com/the-bullet-t...
smallarmssurvey.medium.com
The Bullet Trail: A Year of Ammunition Seizures in the Caribbean and What They Mean for Public…
By Yulia Yarina
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Last week, the Survey participated in a panel discussion, hosted by @new-york-un.diplo.de and #CostaRica about firearms roadmaps and their impact on regional initiatives to counter proliferation and armed violence. Drawing on experiences from our #Caribbean project, we highlighted 3 main takeaways:
smallarmssurvey.org
Pathway to policy: integrating security and public health responses to firearms trafficking and violence in the Caribbean
The project aims to enhance the regional integration of the security and public health responses to firearms trafficking and violence, and to create and support an effective pathway from…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
What are some critical issues in regulating explosive precursor chemicals (EPCs), which can be used to make IEDs, that policymakers should avoid? Our podcast on EPCs discusses the dos and don’ts to achieve effective EPC regulation: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/sma...
smallarmssurvey.org
Small Arms Survey Podcast #56: Regulating Explosive Precursor Chemicals
The dual-use nature of explosive precursor chemicals (EPCs) makes implementing counter-improvised explosive device (C-IED) measures complicated. These chemicals are misused to manufacture improvised…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Between 2015 and 2021, in the context of conflict, 7.62 x 51 mm was the top calibre of ammunition seized in Central Sahel while in the Middle East it was 7.62 x 39 mm. See more of our joint analysis with CAR in our 2025 infographic: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/reg...
smallarmssurvey.org
The regional profiles of illicit small-calibre ammunition (2015-2021)
Under the Global Framework for Through-life Conventional Ammunition Management, States committed to enhance the marking and tracing of conventional ammunition under national ownership and control…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
As violence escalates in #SouthSudan, earlier analysis remains highly relevant. Our #BriefingPaper shows how political dynamics have long driven fragmentation and instability, and how these same dynamics continue to shape the current escalation: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/bri...
smallarmssurvey.org
On The Brink: The Politics of Violence in South Sudan
South Sudan is once again on the brink of war. The regime of South Sudanese President Salva Kiir is bombing civilians and detaining the opposition, while foreign embassies close and evacuate staff.…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
The Survey recently led 2 workshops in Kenya, bringing together diverse stakeholders to test and refine an evidence-based methodology that reflects how firearms circulate, allowing estimates to be based on the dynamics that shape distribution and possession.
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
As of early 2025, NATO-pattern weapons continued to be available in informal markets in #Afghanistan and #Pakistan according to our #BriefingPaper based on almost three years of field investigations. Read more here: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/ope...
smallarmssurvey.org
Open Markets: Documenting Arms Availability in Afghanistan under the Taliban
More than three years after the Taliban’s takeover and its seizure of the previous regime’s weapons stockpiles, the de facto authorities have taken steps to exert control over arms and ammunition in…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Our last HSBA Situation Update of 2025 looked at how the links between the RSF in Sudan, the Libyan National Army, the Wagner Group, and the United Arab Emirates represent a convergence of local, regional, and global trends in the outsourcing of warfare: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/out...
smallarmssurvey.org
A History of Outsourced Violence: The Rise of the Rapid Support Forces, Libyan National Army, and Wagner Group
In the war against the Sudanese Armed Forces, the Rapid Support Forces have relied on external backing and regional partnerships that extend well beyond Sudan’s borders. While these relationships…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
A whole-of-society approach to countering the threat of IEDs situates military or law enforcement roles within a wider framework of accountability & cooperation. More in our blog post on how inclusive & accountable strategies can transform C-IED responses: smallarmssurvey.medium.com/more-than-mi...
smallarmssurvey.medium.com
More than Might: How inclusive and accountable strategies can transform C-IED responses
By Julien Joly and Paul Amoroso
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Two conflicts are being fought in South Sudan: a political one in Juba and a bloody one across the rest of the country. This 2025 Briefing Paper examines the Nuer white armies, their role in opposing the government, and what their empowerment reveals: www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/cou...
smallarmssurvey.org
A Country for Old Men: The State of the Nuer White Armies of South Sudan
In Thuok Riekni, the camp of the SPLM/A-IO-loyal Gawaar Nuer prophet Makuach Tut, one can grasp the predicament of South Sudan’s present. The government has completely withdrawn from service…
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Small Arms Survey @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
The Cour des Comptes just released its in-depth evaluation of the French policy on civilian firearms. The Survey was honoured to take part in the advisory committee that the Cour set up to solicit advice during the process, alongside a range of stakeholders www.ccomptes.fr/fr/publicati...
ccomptes.fr
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