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Eliana Johns

@elianajjohns.bsky.social
1K followers 158 following 26 posts

PhD Student @ University of Maryland & Research Advisor with Nuclear Information Project @ Federation of American Scientists | Talks about nukes and remote sensing (views are my own)

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Reposted by Eliana Johns
Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Our latest @scientistsorg.bsky.social Nuclear Notebook is out in @thebulletin.org! Read at the link below for our team's up-to-date estimates on India's nuclear forces 🇮🇳👇
thebulletin.org
Indian nuclear weapons, 2026
As India expands its nuclear stockpile to an estimated 190 warheads and ramps up plutonium production with its new fast breeder reactor, major technological strides in MIRV-equipped Agni-V missiles, r...
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Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Google Earth has recently begun blurring out military sites in South Korea. Read more in the debut blog by our team's newest @scovillepf.bsky.social fellow, Sachi Barnaby, on @scientistsorg.bsky.social:
fas.org
Now You Don't: Excessive Military Secrecy On Google Earth
This is not the first time Google has agreed to censor imagery at the behest of governments, but be warned: obfuscation at this broad level poses a direct threat to the public’s ability to monitor and...
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Council on Strategic Risks @councilonstrategicrisks.org · 10/08/2026
🚨 Ballistic missile submarines have long been the most survivable leg of the nuclear triad. Is AI changing that baseline? Read the latest from @elianajjohns.bsky.social & Barret Schlegelmilch on how rapid developments in AI and autonomous sensing affect stealth, SSBN survivability, and deterrence:
councilonstrategicrisks.org
AI and the Hunt for Ballistic Missile Submarines - The Council on Strategic Risks
With the emergence of low-cost, real-time machine learning and unprecedented investment in AI research, it is worth revisiting the extent to which AI may impact the detectability of what is commonly c...
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
EXCITING NEWS. WE’RE HIRING! The Nuclear Information Project at FAS is hiring for a full-time, early career position to support both research and operations. Please share widely and apply by June 28! @scientistsorg.bsky.social fas.org/career/resea...
fas.org
Research and Program Associate, Nuclear Information Project - Federation of American Scientists
The Federation of American Scientists is seeking a Research and Program Associate to join our Nuclear Information Project team.
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
📣ATTENTION NUKE NERDS: Our one-week, intensive OSINT bootcamp to teach a new generation of open-source nuke investigators IS BACK. And this time, we’re going to Montreal. If you’re an early- to mid-career nuclear weapons analyst, this bootcamp is calling for you.
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Hans Kristensen @nukestrat.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
1/ The Trump administration's speech at the Conference on Disarmament accuses China of having conducted experiments to hide very low yield nuclear explosions and also made plans for bigger ones (less than 1 kiloton) not yet detonated. geneva.usmission.gov/2026/02/06/u...
geneva.usmission.gov
U.S. Statement at the Conference on Disarmament - U.S. Mission to International Organizations in Geneva
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Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
‼️ Our latest @scientistsorg.bsky.social Nuclear Notebook is out: The changing nuclear landscape in Europe Nuclear postures in Europe are evolving, and the role of nukes is on the rise... 🔗 Read more here! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
A map of Europe with nonstrategic nuclear weapons sites labeled.
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François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
🚨 JUST IN: Latest issue of the Nuclear Notebook is out! The changing nuclear landscape in Europe By @nukestrat.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social @elianajjohns.bsky.social and @mknight.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social. #nuclearweapons #Europe #Russia #NATO #nukesky
thebulletin.org
Nuclear Notebook: The changing nuclear landscape in Europe
This issue's column reviews the status of nuclear weapons and nuclear operations in Europe.
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Nuclear Information Service @nuclearinfoservice.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
Register now to join the conversation today 17:00 GMT www.nuclearinfo.org
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Nuclear Information Project Senior Research Associates + Nuclear Notebook co-authors @mknight.bsky.social and @elianajjohns.bsky.social break down the President's interesting post about a return to nuclear testing line by line. 📍 www.instagram.com/reel/DQegwky...
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CSIS Project on Nuclear Issues @poni.csis.org · 30/10/2025
Applications for PONI's Nuclear Scholars Initiative close in three weeks! PONI accepts applications from a diverse range of backgrounds, and has limited spots open for non-U.S. citizens as well. Don't miss out! Apply here: nuclearnetwork.csis.org/programs/nuc...
nuclearnetwork.csis.org
Nuclear Scholars Initiative - Nuclear Network
The Nuclear Scholars Initiative aims to provide top graduate students and young professionals from around the country with a unique venue to interact and dialogue with senior experts on nuclear weapon...
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Council on Strategic Risks @councilonstrategicrisks.org · 21/10/2025
When states increase interest in tactical nuclear weapons, risks can multiply quickly. Join authors @andrewfacini.com + Lily Boland and moderator @elianajjohns.bsky.social for a timely conversation on a major new report on the consequences of TNW use. 📅 Thu, Oct 23 | 11:00 ET ⬇️ RSVP & learn more:
councilonstrategicrisks.org
Launch Event: The Consequences of Tactical Nuclear Weapons Use - The Council on Strategic Risks
Join authors Andrew Facini and Lily Boland, and moderator Eliana Johns from the Federation of American Scientists, for an open conversation on the latest CSR report, The Consequences of Tactical Nucle...
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
I published an update on developments we've been tracking at RAF Lakenheath. While progress (such as the construction of a new security perimeter) is evident, outstanding infrastructure upgrades raise questions about whether U.S. nuclear weapons have already been deployed. fas.org/publication/...
fas.org
Incomplete Upgrades at RAF Lakenheath Raise Questions About Suspected US Nuclear Deployment - Federation of American Scientists
Satellite imagery of RAF Lakenheath reveals new construction of a security perimeter around ten protective aircraft shelters in the designated nuclear area, the latest measure in a series of upgrades ...
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Check out @mknight.bsky.social's epic and rather timely report on presidential sole authority in the United States! It has everything you need to know about the history and ongoing debates about this policy -- a must-read!
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Hans Kristensen @nukestrat.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
1/n - China’s military parade as expected was an extreme display off military equipment. This included display of several new nuclear weapons systems, including some modified or entirely new. www.youtube.com/live/-aH6rGs... This thread includes preliminary descriptions; more later: 👇
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François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🚨 JUST IN: Latest issue of the Nuclear Notebook is out! 🇵🇰 Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2025. By @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social. thebulletin.org/premium/2025... #nuclearweapons #Pakistan #nukesky
thebulletin.org
Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2025
Pakistan currently has a stockpile of approximately 170 nuclear warheads—a number that could potentially grow to around 200 by the late 2020s.
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🚨 🇵🇰 Check out our latest Nuclear Notebook on Pakistan's nuclear weapons, published in @thebulletin.org! @nukestrat.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social @mknight.bsky.social @scientistsorg.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2025
This issue’s column reviews the status of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal and finds that the country currently has a stockpile of approximately 170 warheads, a number that could potentially grow to arou...
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
We nuke nerds at @scientistsorg.bsky.social published a piece this morning on the nuclear weapons displayed during China's 2025 Victory Day Parade. Read here for everything you need to know! 👇 fas.org/publication/...
fas.org
Nuclear Weapons At China's 2025 Victory Day Parade - Federation of American Scientists
This buildup appears to contradict China's obligations under the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty and could well stimulate nuclear buildups in the United States and India.
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Katie Mack @astrokatie.com · 01/09/2025
Americans Astronomers watching watching US politics Betelgeuse 🤝 “It could happen at any time”
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Hans Kristensen @nukestrat.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Impressive piece of work by my colleagues @mattkorda.bsky.social and @mknight.bsky.social on the extraordinary mess in the new Sentinel ICBM program: The Two-Hundred Billion Dollar Boondoggle. 👇
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 16/07/2025
The latest Nuclear Notebook entry, “French nuclear weapons, 2025,” by @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social. This Bulletin magazine article is available to all readers. (12/12)
thebulletin.org
French nuclear weapons, 2025
France’s nuclear weapons arsenal has remained stable in recent years, but significant modernizations are underway of the country’s ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, submarines, aircraft, and nuclear industrial complex. We estimate that France currently has a nuclear weapons stockpile of approximately 290 warheads, as well as approximately 80 retired warheads awaiting dismantlement.
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Summer camp counselor? ❌ FAS OSINT Bootcamp counselor ✅🗺️ I’m at a loss for words to express how thankful and inspired I am by the success of our inaugural FAS Open Source Nuclear Analysis Bootcamp. I'm already looking forward to next year!
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François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
🚨 JUST IN: 🇫🇷 French nuclear weapons, 2025. By @nukestrat.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social @elianajjohns.bsky.social @mknight.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social In @thebulletin.org thebulletin.org/premium/2025... #France #ballisticmissiles #bombers #submarines #nuclearweapons #nukesky
thebulletin.org
French nuclear weapons, 2025
France’s nuclear weapons arsenal has remained stable in recent years at approximately 290 warheads, but the country is modernizing its ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, submarines, aircraft, and nu...
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
📌 ICYMI, @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @mknight.bsky.social, and I just released a pretty cool report on the targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states. Check it out!
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Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social - the 5th installment of our @scientistsorg.bsky.social series "The Next Nuclear Age" How a president might come to launch a nuclear strike Massive thanks to @sebphilippe.bsky.social for helping us model what a nuclear attack on DC might look like ⬇️⬇️
wapo.st
Opinion | How a nuclear attack on the U.S. might unfold, step by step
A scenario of America’s response to an incoming nuclear attack.
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
NEW REPORT from @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social, with generous support from @norskfolkehjelp.bsky.social 🔗 fas.org/publication/targeting-strategies-nuclear-armed-states/
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
🆕 Planning for the Unthinkable: the targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states Intense secrecy around nuclear targeting means that most individuals—including lawmakers—do not have much understanding of how fateful decisions about what to target during wartime are made.
Planning for the Unthinkable: The targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states The quantitative and qualitative enhancements to global nuclear arsenals in the past decade—particularly China’s nuclear buildup, Russia’s nuclear saber-rattling, and NATO’s response—have recently reinvigorated debates about how nuclear-armed states intend to use their nuclear weapons, and against which targets, in what some describe as a new Cold War. 

Details about who, what, where, when, why, and how countries target with their nuclear weapons are some of states’ most closely held secrets. Targeting information rarely reaches the public, and discussions almost exclusively take place behind closed doors—either in the depths of military headquarters and command posts, or in the halls of defense contractors and think tanks. The general public is, to a significant extent, excluded from those discussions. This is largely because nuclear weapons create unique expectations and requirements about secrecy and privileged access that, at times, can seem borderline undemocratic. Revealing targeting information could open up a country’s nuclear policies and intentions to intense scrutiny by its adversaries, its allies, and—crucially—its citizens. 

This presents a significant democratic challenge for nuclear-armed countries and the international community. Despite the profound implications for national and international security, the intense secrecy means that most individuals—not only including the citizens of nuclear-armed countries and others that would bear the consequences of nuclear use, but also lawmakers in nuclear-armed and nuclear umbrella states that vote on nuclear weapons programs and policies—do not have much understanding of how countries make fateful decisions about what to target during wartime, and how. When lawmakers in nuclear-armed countries approve military spending bills that enhance or increase nuclear and conventional forces, they often do so with little knowledge of how those bills could have implications for nuclear targeting plans.
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Want to learn more about who controls one of the most powerful nuclear arsenals in the world??? Check out this excellent piece in @postopinions.bsky.social by my good friend and colleague, @mknight.bsky.social!
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Stephen Young @atomicwonk.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Amazing article by the amazing @mknight.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social in today's WPost on the president's sole and unchecked authority to start a #nuclear war. Well worth your time. Well worth your action to oppose this dangerous policy. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Only one American can start a nuclear war: The president
The American president has the sole authority to order a nuclear strike, even if every adviser in the room is against it.
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
My latest: @projectsyndicate.bsky.social asked me (and four other analysts) to offer our thoughts on whether US allies should begin thinking about building their own nuclear weapons. My answer: as bad as things look now, proliferation can make things worse. www.project-syndicate.org/magazine/tru...
project-syndicate.org
A New Nuclear Calculus?
Thorsten Benner, et al consider whether America's friends and allies should pursue their own nuclear-weapons capabilities.
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Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
"To understand how it could all go wrong, it is useful to look at some examples of how it almost did." @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social and @alliemaloney.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social have the latest: wapo.st/4jK0VjO
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
"If a nuclear war happens, it could very well start by accident." From @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @alliemaloney.bsky.social in @postopinions.bsky.social "How Nuclear War Could Start" 🔗 below
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Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
"Humans are imperfect, so nuclear near-misses and accidents are a fact of life for as long as these weapons exist." @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social and @alliemaloney.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social have the latest: wapo.st/4jK0VjO
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Ploughshares @ploughshares.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
"Today’s global nuclear landscape is far more complicated and, in many ways, more precarious." ✍️ Released today: the first @washingtonpost.com op-ed from @scientistsorg.bsky.social! Kudos all around on this momentous partnership exploring the next nuclear age. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Why we should worry about nuclear weapons again
Deadlier weapons, more nations, autocrats in charge, disinformation and collapsing arms control — the risk of nuclear catastrophe is back.
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 17/05/2025
How many nuclear weapons does Russia have today? What's the current status of their multi-decade-long modernization program? Read the latest Nuclear Notebook from @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social. ⬇️
thebulletin.org
Russian nuclear weapons, 2025
Russia's nuclear modernization program has faced significant challenges and delays. We estimate that Russia now possesses about 4,309 nuclear warheads.
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Join us Wednesday 5/21 10AM ET to hear from our nuclear weapons experts on the latest data, analysis, and findings from the Russia Nuclear Notebook Learn more and register ➡️ lu.ma/izqaqo3m
lu.ma
Federation of American Scientists:Russia Nuclear Notebook · Luma
📍 FAS Office or LIVE on Zoom | 🗓 May 21 at 10 - 11:15 AM ET Join the Federation of American Scientists to learn about our latest Russia Nuclear Notebook.…
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 13/05/2025
"Russian nuclear weapons, 2025," the latest Nuclear Notebook entry, by @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, @mknight.bsky.social. Available to all readers. (10/11)
thebulletin.org
Russian nuclear weapons, 2025
Russia's nuclear modernization program has faced significant challenges and delays. We estimate that Russia now possesses about 4,309 nuclear warheads.
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Don’t forget to register in person or on Zoom for a conversation on the upcoming 2025 Russia Nuclear Notebook!
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Join us 5/21 to hear from our nuclear weapons experts on the latest data, analysis, and findings from the Russia Nuclear Notebook (published with our friends @thebulletin.org). Learn more and register lu.ma/izqaqo3m
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Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Great new piece on the Trump admin's antilabor practices and recent slashing of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service by my fiancé @kjboyle.bsky.social
prospect.org
Trump Quietly Decimates a Pivotal Labor Relations Agency
The Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service has been destroyed. It provided free collective-bargaining mediation and saved hundreds of millions of dollars in labor costs.
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Mackenzie Knight-Boyle @mknight.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Wanna learn about our team at @scientistsorg.bsky.social's 2025 China nuclear forces estimates but you're more of a visual learner?? The team at @thebulletin.org put together an amazing video on YouTube that distills the topline info from our Notebook into 6 minutes 🤩
youtube.com
How many nuclear weapons does China have in 2025?
YouTube video by Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
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Eliana Johns @elianajjohns.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
New find today: Assemblée Nationale parliamentary document regarding the 2025 finance bill states that France will deploy a new variant of its tête nucléaire océanique (TNO) nuclear warhead with the new M51.3 submarine-launched ballistic missile.
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
You can catch our nuclear triad (@mknight.bsky.social , @alliemaloney.bsky.social, and @elianajjohns.bsky.social) repping Team FAS at #NukeCon 🚀 Say hi!
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Hans Kristensen @nukestrat.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
I’m bummed illness prevents me from attending @carnegieendowment.org #NUKECON next two days. But if you’re going, make sure to check in with my colleagues @mknight.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social @elianajjohns.bsky.social @jonatomic.bsky.social from the @scientistsorg.bsky.social nuke team! 👋
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Public health policy should be public knowledge – elimination of the FOIA office at the CDC is an attack on the transparency owed to Americans about how their government functions. A disaster for researchers who work to keep our public health apparatuses honest.
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Federation of American Scientists @scientistsorg.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Between 2006–2015, the United Kingdom repeatedly announced its intentions to decrease its nuclear weapons stockpile to <180 weapons. Fast forward to 2021, the UK flipped: it would extend its stockpile to 260 weapons. How did we get here? @elianajjohns.bsky.social explains fas.org/publication/...
fas.org
Delays, Deferment, and Continuous At-Sea Deterrence: The United Kingdom’s Increasing Nuclear Stockpile and the Infrastructure That Makes it Happen  - Federation of American Scientists
Moreover, the recent decrease in UK government transparency regarding the status of its nuclear arsenal and modernization program reflects a worrisome global trend.
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