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Bill Gale

@billgale.bsky.social
2.4K followers 23 following 18 posts

Co-director, Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center

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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
In our new paper, colleagues from @taxpolicycenter.bsky.social and I offer a preliminary assessment of OBBBA, covering what it changed and what its effects will be on the budget, the economy, distributional outcomes, and future fiscal policy. taxpolicycenter.org/research-rep...
taxpolicycenter.org
One Big Beautiful Bill? A Preliminary Assessment
The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025” (OBBBA), signed into law July 4, 2025, is a sweeping tax-and-spending package that could reshape federal fiscal policy for decades to come.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
The plan to extend and expand the 199A deduction for businesses makes for bad economics. My new blog with @samthorpe.bsky.social explains why.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
New post out in @contrariannews.org on Trump's misguided and potentially destructive tariffs.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
In the latest budget update, Alan Auerbach and I show that the fiscal outlook remains grim. Under current law, debt will reach 154% of GDP by 2055. Under current policy, which assumes that TCJA is made permanent, debt reaches 209% of GDP. www.brookings.edu/articles/the...
brookings.edu
The fiscal outlook at the beginning of the new administration
Alan Auerbach and William Gale provide an update on the fiscal outlook, showing that the federal budget trajectory remains unsustainable.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
New working paper: The U.S. income tax may be race-neutral on paper, but its effects aren’t. Our new paper shows how white, Black, and Hispanic families face different burdens, especially when considering untaxed income. Read more: www.brookings.edu/articles/the...
brookings.edu
The same but different
William Gale, Oliver Hall, and John Sabelhaus measure the differential taxation of Black, Hispanic and white households
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
1.2% of GDP. That's how much extending TCJA will cost each year. It's also how much would it take to close the Social Security funding gap for 75 years or longer. Congress could save Social Security, and avoiding a regressive tax cut would make it possible. www.brookings.edu/articles/cut...
brookings.edu
Cut taxes or save Social Security? The $5 trillion question
Revenues that would go to making the TCJA tax cuts permanent could be used to make Social Security solvent for at least the next 75 years.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
The gutting of the estate tax has been costly. If the 2001 rules were still in place (indexed for inflation), it would've raised $145B in 2021—seven times more than the actual $18B collected. www.brookings.edu/articles/tax...
brookings.edu
Taxing the Great Wealth Transfer with a stronger estate tax
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
As we face the largest intergenerational wealth transfer in US history, converting the federal estate tax (taxing what people leave) to an inheritance tax (taxing what people receive) could be a win-win. 1/2 www.brookings.edu/articles/fol...
brookings.edu
Follow the money: Tax inheritances, not estates
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
As DOGE continues its blitz across Washington, it's missing a major opportunity: tax expenditures. Reforming these hidden subsidies in the tax code, which cost roughly $1.5T annually, could reduce deficits, increase progressivity, and simplify the code. www.brookings.edu/articles/a-b...
brookings.edu
A bigger, easier target for DOGE: Tax expenditures
Cutting tax expenditures could be an effective and politically viable way to streamline the federal government and raise revenues.
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Reposted by Bill Gale
Michael Klein @mwkleinphd.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
Trump is in LV promoting no taxes on tips. Exempting tips from taxes does nothing to help most low-income workers, and it may do little for many tipped workers—or even harm them as @billgale.bsky.social & Ian Berlin of @brookings.edu discuss in @econofact.bsky.social econofact.org/tip-off-the-...
econofact.org
Tip Off: The Problem with Exempting Tips from Taxes | Econofact
Exempting tips from taxes does nothing to help most low-income workers, and it may do little for many tipped workers—or even actively harm them.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
One of the main justifications for the TCJA was boosting investment. But did it achieve this goal? Recent research shows that the impact on overall investment was small, meaning that lawmakers could raise rates and increase revenue with little economic downside. www.brookings.edu/articles/how...
brookings.edu
How much did TCJA raise investment?
Ahead of the Trump tax cuts expiring in 2025, William Gale examines the limited effect the cuts had on corporate investment.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
Here's one for the wonks: in a new paper with @johnsabelhaus.bsky.social, we introduce a new measure of income for distributional analyses, Expanded Income. www.brookings.edu/articles/exp...
brookings.edu
Expanded Income
William G. Gale and John Sabelhaus develop a new annual measure of income for distributional tax analysis.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
In a new paper and policy brief, we analyze the upcoming Great Wealth Transfer and explore several options for tax reform. We show that converting the estate tax to an inheritance tax, as well as taxing unrealized capital gains at death, can improve progressivity and raise significant revenue.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
In a new Tax Notes paper, Kyle and I look at how taxes on the affluent affect six key economic distortions and how various proposals for reform could improve these distortions. The full paper is now available, plus a related blog: www.brookings.edu/articles/are...
brookings.edu
Are there better ways to tax the rich?
New research shows that there are better ways to tax the affluent that can increase revenue while minimizing distortions.
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Bill Gale @billgale.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Finally made the jump over here, and I'm excited to share some recent work, starting with this summer's JEP paper with @kylepomerleau.bsky.social and Jeffrey Hoopes. We find that TCJA fell short of its pro-growth goals while mainly benefiting the wealthy—at significant cost to the federal budget.
Screenshot of title, "Sweeping Changes and an Uncertain Legacy: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017," and abstract.
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