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Paul Mizen

@paulmizen.bsky.social
71 followers 22 following 1 posts

Economist. King's College London, Bank of England, ESCoE, Office for National Statistics. Decision Maker Panel. RT not endorsement.

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Reposted by Paul Mizen
VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 12/03/2026
Authors: @iyotzov.bsky.social‬, Jose Maria Barrero, @nickbloom.bsky.social, Philip Bunn‬, Steven Davis, Kevin Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent Meyer, @paulmizen.bsky.social, Michael Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites, Ben Zhe Wang
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
Programme on Innovation and Diffusion @poid-lse.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Firms predict an AI productivity boom is coming JoseMaria Barrero @nickbloom.bsky.social Philip Bunn Steven Davis Kevin Foster Aaron Jalca Brent Meyer @paulmizen.bsky.social Michael Navarrete Pawel Smietanka Gregory Thwaites Ben Zhe Wang @iyotzov.bsky.social @voxeu.org cepr.org/voxeu/column...
cepr.org
Firms predict an AI productivity boom is coming
Comparable international survey data on artificial intelligence adoption by firms is still lacking. This column surveys over 5,000 CFOs, CEOs, and executives from stratified firm samples across the US, UK, Germany and Australia. It shows that around 70% of firms actively use AI, particularly younger, more productive firms. Firms report little impact of AI over the last three years, with over 80% of firms reporting no impact on either employment or productivity. At the same time, firms forecast AI will boost productivity by 1.4%, increase output by 0.8%, and cut employment by 0.7% over the next three years.
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
Academy of Social Sciences @acadsocsciences.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Social science research is vital to understanding & driving economic growth. Watch our video to hear @anne-e-green.bsky.social & @paulmizen.bsky.social share how their social science research is strengthening the UK economy at regional & national scales. ➡️ acss.org.uk/strengthenin...
acss.org.uk
Strengthening the UK economy with social science – Academy of Social Sciences
Professor Anne Green FAcSS, University of Birmingham and Professor Paul Mizen FAcSS, King’s College London
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Ivan Yotzov @iyotzov.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
🚨NEW POST In April 2025, the increases in employer NICs announced in the Autumn Budget came into effect. We use Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey data to study how UK firms plan to adjust and the effects on expectations up to March 2025. 🧵
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
ESCoE is pleased to publish a new impact summary, highlighting impact across our research projects and the broader benefits we have brought to economic measurement since 2017. Find out more: tinyurl.com/yh2s985v
ESCoE: Impact summary

Spring 2025
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 07/04/2025
UK firms' inflation expectations are most responsive when inflation coverage in the media is elevated. This shows a distinction between expectations of financial markets vs. firms - important for economic modelling. @iyotzov.bsky.social @paulmizen.bsky.social et al. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
Graphs of firms' inflation perceptions and expectations showing that they respond to changes in CPI inflation, not CPI surprises.

Since 2021, developed countries have experienced a significant inflation episode. This column uses Decision Maker Panel data from UK CEOs and CFOs to study firms’ inflation perceptions and expectations around monthly official inflation releases. Firms’ expectations are most responsive when inflation coverage in the media is elevated, suggesting salience is a key issue, as the media focuses attention on data releases. Furthermore, firms respond to changes in headline inflation rates and not to surprises relative to professional forecasts. The results highlight a distinction between financial markets (‘Wall Street’) and firms (‘Main Street’), which should inform modelling of economic behaviour.
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Fantastic to see @grantfitzner.bsky.social (ONS) reference ESCoE work on management practices in evidence given to @hlhomeworking.parliament.uk in March. Read the paper: tinyurl.com/4c3zhut4 Read the meeting minutes: tinyurl.com/5yjpjx24 @jschneebacher.bsky.social @paulmizen.bsky.social
Graphic says:

"We recently sponsored research that was published by the Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence late last year.

It found that businesses with good management practices that tend to be more productive and more profitable, as you would expect, maintained higher rates of home working and hybrid working between 2020 and 2023."

Grant Fitzner, Office for National Statistics
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
Raffaella Sadun @raffasadun.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Thanks to all the participants, we will post the talks soon.
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Reposted by Paul Mizen
Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Once again, a great programme at the Empirical Management Conference. Tomorrow, @paulmizen.bsky.social will present our paper on the many innovations well-managed firms made to overcome the challenges of the Covid-19 pandemic, and how this has shaped their post-pandemic working practices.
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