Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 29/11/2024@arindube.bsky.social is your guyacademic.oup.comThe Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs*Abstract. We estimate the effect of minimum wages on low-wage jobs using 138 prominent state-level minimum wage changes between 1979 and 2016 in the United 130
Reposted by Dan ThompsonJohn Sides @johnsides.bsky.social · 18/04/2024Just-published research shows that partisan election officials don't appear to favor their own party. New from me @goodauth.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/partisa...goodauthority.orgPartisan election officials don’t advantage their own partyNew research finds electing partisan local election officials doesn’t lead to more votes for that party’s presidential candidate. 072
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 17/10/2023That's a fair point. I certainly understand the concern and it's something we'll keep in mind when updating the paper. Generally, I use questions in titles to indicate that the paper comes from a place of genuine uncertainty about the result, but I appreciate your point. 020
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 12/10/2023Worth noting that we always have the same number of clusters, the N is just a matter of whether the data is long or wide 100
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 12/10/2023I meant to “Apoorva and I” haha. Back to the good old days without an edit button. 000
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 12/10/2023There are so many potential estimators in this setting, and @apoorvalal.com found it super interesting to unpack them together. The table you're pointing has five pretty different estimators. Synth (col 2) doesn't regularize so it overfits and the ses blow up. We should dig into the big se from ebal 310
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 11/10/2023I feel like a grumpy old guy when I explain what it was like to run areg and wait for an evening back in the days before reghdfe 010
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023There's more in the paper validating the design and exploring why Democratic counties were more likely to apply. We welcome your comments! bit.ly/lal_thompson... 010
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023We benchmark the size of these effects against the margin in the 2020 presidential election in a number of ways. While every benchmarking exercise has flaws, these exercises suggest that the grants did not swing the election from Trump to Biden. 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023After selecting weights that put counties that did not apply for the grants on the same trajectory as recipients before 2020, we find that the grants did not substantially increase turnout or Democratic vote share in 2020. (We're using synthetic diff-in-diff weights.) 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023Even though Democrats applied for and received the funding at much higher rates, we find that the grants did not noticeably advantage Democrats in the 2020 election. 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023Using administrative data on which counties applied for and received the grants, we document that counties that supported Clinton in 2016 were substantially more likely to apply for and receive a grant. 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023The CTCL's grantmaking process was neutral---every eligible local election office that applied received a grant. But critics point out that Democratic counties were much more likely to apply, potentially advantaging Democratic candidates. 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023The largest private election administration grant program in 2020 (~$350M) was run by the Center for Tech and Civic Life and funded by Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan. This funding has been highly controversial with 24 states banning future grants. 110
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 10/10/2023Private donors gave more than $350M to support election administration in 2020. Many critics argued that these grants swung the election from Trump to Biden. In a new paper, @apoorvalal.com and I find that these grants did not provide Democrats a noticeable advantage. bit.ly/lal_thompson... 69252
Dan Thompson @dthompson.bsky.social · 26/09/2023thank you Jim Snyder for your hilarious but simple hack for making tex tables 010
Reposted by Dan ThompsonJen Gaudette @jengaudette.bsky.social · 26/09/2023Guess I should post something here, so I’m linking my job market paper! I examine the effects of ideological polarization on local politics through the lens of police union endorsements. tinyurl.com/2s7kdpem 24214
Reposted by Dan ThompsonMatt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 20/09/2023Partisan election administrators don’t tip the scales Electing a Democratic or Republican clerk doesn't change election results or turnout New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast / interview transcript with Daniel Thompson www.niskanencenter.org/partisan-ele...niskanencenter.orgPartisan election administrators don't tip the scales - Niskanen CenterElecting a Democrat vs. a Republican as a county clerk does not affect subsequent election results or turnout. 087
Reposted by Dan ThompsonWill Marble @wpmarble.bsky.social · 18/09/2023The white working class has steadily become part of the Republican base while whites w/ college degrees have become Democratic. In a new paper, I study the issue basis of this realignment, showing that both economic and cultural issues have contributed. williammarble.co/docs/EducPol... 153
Reposted by Dan ThompsonAlex Coppock @aecoppock.bsky.social · 22/08/2023It's publication day for "Research Design: Declaration, Diagnosis, and Redesign" from @PrincetonUPress! -- or more memorably, "the DeclareDesign book" illustrious coauthors: @graemeblair.bsky.social and Macartan Humphreys amazon: tinyurl.com/rdssddr free online: book.declaredesign.org Thread! 42712
