Wrote this more than 12 years ago - in 2014. I’ve been wrong about many things, but this stands up pretty well.
blogs.ucl.ac.uk/ssees/2014/0...
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Will the West become the East? | UCL SSEES Research Blog
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Assoc Professor in Comparative Central and East European Politics, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies. Personal take on politics, Eastern Europe and suburbia.