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Dr James Strong

@drjamesstrong.bsky.social
892 followers 115 following 46 posts

Reader in British Politics and Foreign Policy at Queen Mary University of London | Parliamentary Studies | Foreign Policy Analysis | UK Foreign Policy | Parliamentary War Powers | PFHEA | FRHistS

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Reposted by Dr James Strong
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 5h
Sorry to be a (Conservative) party pooper, but
centrewrite.brightblue.org.uk
The Keminaissance is a myth. The Tories are still like a weird uncle.
Badenoch’s increasing tendency towards being ‘extremely online’ has led the party to paint itself into an ‘anti-woke’ corner that, to the majority of Brits who do not spend much time online…
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
As niche academic arguments go, this one is very niche (but it is at least very short). A response article by me and young @timbl.bsky.social to a piece in Party Politics... journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
journals.sagepub.com
Different articles, similar arguments: A response to Rosenberg - Philip Cowley, Tim Bale, 2026
In this short response to Rosenberg (2026), we focus on three points. First, we note that there is now agreement that intra-party sortition is unlikely to deliv...
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Hansard Society @hansardsociety.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
🎙️ NEW: PMQs – Parliament Matters Questions. We took the podcast to Queen Mary University of London for a live Student Week special (@qmul.bsky.social) Students put their questions to @robertsaunders.bsky.social, @cathhaddon.bsky.social & @danielgover.bsky.social Listen now: buff.ly/afqoBHv
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Tom Chidwick @tomchidwick.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I've (finally) made it to Bluesky so I thought I'd start as I mean to go on with some shameless self-promotion ... On 12 November, my new book on the first Scottish devolution referendum will be published by @bloomsburybooksuk.bsky.social, thanks to @atifajiwa.bsky.social! t.co/Rkv3VRWp29
Front cover of "Now or Never! A History of the First Scottish Devolution Referendum" by Tom Chidwick, which will be published by Bloomsbury in November 2026. It shows the delightfully eccentric "Sheriff" Peter Thomson with his "Last Chance for Scotland" against a Saltire background.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
After MPs voted against assisted dying legislation today, a new piece from me on the outcome: 'Why did MPs vote to reject the assisted dying bill – and what happens now?' @uk.theconversation.com theconversation.com/why-did-mps-...
theconversation.com
Why did MPs vote to reject the assisted dying bill – and what happens now?
It’s the end of the road for this particular bill.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
In 2015, MPs voted to reject the assisted dying bill, a private member's bill. Tomorrow, exactly 11 years later to the day, MPs expect to vote on a similar bill. In May I wrote that supporters faced 4 key challenges. They've cleared the 1st. Tomorrow they face the 2nd challenge.
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Latest article for the House magazine, in which I wonder if I have wasted my life learning about leadership elections rules... www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
politicshome.com
The Professor Will See You Now: Defenestration
Lessons in political science. This week: defenestration
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Eoghan Kelly @eoghanly.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
More from our latest @mileendinstitute.bsky.social poll: Labour are stabilising under Burnham, but are still down from 2024 which will cost seats. This includes a sneak peak at an upcoming projection from @devolvedelections.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/news/london/...
standard.co.uk
Reform, Tories and Greens to hammer Labour with 'loss of up to 18 London MPs'
Tories could gain eight seats, the Greens four and Reform three from Labour
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Eoghan Kelly @eoghanly.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Our latest @mileendinstitute.bsky.social poll leads the Standard this morning, Labour have a solid lead in the next London mayoral race. The Tories and Reform scrapping for second. www.standard.co.uk/news/london/...
standard.co.uk
Sadiq Khan may face Laila Cunningham in London mayor race run-off, shock poll reveals
Nigel Farage’s party may beat the Conservatives in the battle for second place after first choice votes are counted in the next London mayoral contest
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Andy Burnham is setting out to convince the public that ending rough sleeping is possible. He needs to: despite wide acceptance in commentary at the time of its announcement as being a feasible goal, voters think he is less likely to fulfil this pledge than any other – as I found in my polling 👇🏻
Politico playbook newsletter saying that Andy Burnham is attempting to flesh out his ambitious plans to end rough sleeping
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
"Codifying the messy but broadly workable compromise that exists today would surely use up much of the precious political capital Burnham has managed to build up. So while he may be tempted in the long term to follow through, in the short-term he should probably leave well alone." Me, reluctantly.
unherd.com
Hands off the constitution, Andy
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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
I appeared on CNBC at the crack of dawn this morning to offer some snap analysis of the Clacton by election. I also reflected on Burnham's first month. You can watch some of my comments below. www.cnbc.com/video/2026/0...
cnbc.com
Clacton vote exposes Nigel Farage's polarizing nature: Professor
Nigel Farage is back in Parliament after regaining his Clacton seat, but could a standards probe mean his political comeback is short-lived? Colm Murphy, Senior Lecturer in British Politics at Queen M...
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
I asked the public what they made of targets mentioned by/associated with Andy Burnham. Among these targets, their priorities were in the areas he emphasised in his first couple of weeks – but they are sceptical about the time it will take to achieve them. Write-up by @rmcunliffe.bsky.social
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Good news/bad news for Andy Burnham in @mbarnfield.bsky.social's new @qmulsse.bsky.social polling, nicely summarized by the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social's @rmcunliffe.bsky.social. He's picked the right things to prioritize but there's a lot of pessimism about whether he can make a real difference.
newstatesman.com
Is Andy Burnham already doomed?
New polling suggests the Prime Minister understands what voters want – but has limited time to deliver it
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Lasse Thomassen @lassethomassen.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
➡️ New! MA in Political Theory @qmulsse.bsky.social @qmul.bsky.social Come and study with us 🙂 The MA focuses on justice, global & local; ethics; critical thinking; & much more @drjoehoover.bsky.social @elkeschwarz.bsky.social @georgeboss.bsky.social @bntrnr.bsky.social
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Why do fewer people want the government to do more about climate change than five years ago? Maybe because the government is doing something about it. I wrote about how public opinion on net zero is (ironically?) like a thermostat: open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...
open.substack.com
The Global Warming Thermostat
Why the public has stopped turning up the heat on climate policy action
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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
I had a go at exploring what Burnham could actually do, realistically, in the short term. (Always a dangerous choice for a historian...). Despite the structural challenges, on which I'm liable to focus, my answer is not 'nothing'. blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp... @lsepoliticsblog.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk
What can Andy Burnham actually do? | LSE British Politics
Andy Burnham might be more charismatic than Keir Starmer but the problems he is inheriting go beyond personality. Can he really make a difference?
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LSE British Politics and Policy @lsepoliticsblog.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
What can Andy Burnham actually do? More charisma and better communication skills will be helpful, but what about the structural problems facing the Government? Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social reflects on what's in Burnham's power to do as the new Prime Minister. blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
What can Andy Burnham actually do? | LSE British Politics
Andy Burnham might be more charismatic than Keir Starmer but the problems he is inheriting go beyond personality. Can he really make a difference?
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Me, on MP-constituent post. www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
politicshome.com
The Professor Will See You Now: Post
Lessons in political science. This week: post
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Me, in the FT on the St Augustine transition in premiers. Also ft Harold Macmillan reading Pride and Prejudice and a reluctant Lord Melbourne. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Why is the Starmer to Burnham transition so long?
Like St Augustine, the assumed new Labour leader appears to want to be prime minister — but not yet
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Morning! Don't let this be the first face you see, mind. Me for @the-independent.com
independent.co.uk
There’s one thing that could revive Nigel Farage’s flagging fortunes
For years, I’ve watched the Reform leader’s remarkable political rise – and yet, says Professor Tim Bale, even after a string of poor by-election showings and the simmering scandal over a £5 million ‘...
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
My good colleague @philipjcowley.bsky.social speaking lots of sense (as usual) on Radio 4’s Today in Parliament, on the potential parliamentary management challenges facing an incoming Burnham premiership. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
bbc.co.uk
Today in Parliament - 26/06/2026 - BBC Sounds
Alicia McCarthy reports on what lies ahead for Parliament under a new prime minister.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
"All of this leaves Britain in a profoundly unstable, even dysfunctional state – unable to come to terms with the fact that it has ambitions and pretensions way beyond both its means and the capacity of its politicians to match them in the real world." Me, cheerful & chipper as ever this morning!
aa.com.tr
Migration, Brexit, and Starmer's exit: Inside Britain's political meltdown
Political instability leaves Britain in a profoundly dysfunctional state – unable to come to terms with the fact that it has ambitions and pretensions way beyond both its means and the capacity of its...
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Interested in rebellions during the first session of the parliament - which, helpfully, almost perfectly coincides with the Starmer premiership? Here's a piece I wrote for @robfordmancs.bsky.social's substack, giving rebellion rates, lists of rebels, etc. swingometer.substack.com/p/rebel-rebel
swingometer.substack.com
Rebel Rebel
In a guest post, Philip Cowley takes a look at backbench rebellions during Keir Starmer's time as Prime Minister
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
How could the assisted dying bill be amended even if MPs seek to use the Parliament Acts (which requires them to pass an identical bill)? From my comments on Radio 4’s Today in Parliament. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
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Hansard Society @hansardsociety.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
NEW: Andy Burnham’s path to Westminster: How could he become Prime Minister? We talk to @philipjcowley.bsky.social about the parliamentary choreography that could take him to No.10 Plus: Which Private Members’ Bills will be the focus of this parliamentary session? Link in next post.⬇️
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
I was on Radio 4’s Today in Parliament yesterday, discussing the assisted dying bill. We talked about how the Parliament Acts might be used to pass the bill, and how changes can still be made to it. Around 7:35 in: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
If the Lords does not pass it in the second session, this counts as rejecting the bill for Parliament Acts purposes. Essentially, we would know for sure at the end of the session.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
With the news that @laurenedwardsmp.bsky.social will bring back the assisted dying bill, what are the chances of it now becoming law? Supporters face four key challenges - and they have now overcome the first. ⬇️
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Absolutely crucial piece of research on misinformation in local news on Facebook, X and Nextdoor by @smfthinktank.bsky.social Full report is here (www.smf.co.uk/publications...) but these are some key findings:
2 in 5 local Facebook groups and over four-fifths of X searches featured at least one piece of misinformation in their last 1,000 posts. Of 19 Nextdoor locations studied, 3 were found to contain misinformation.
Nearly 1 in 26 (4%) of news related posts on Facebook were misinformation; on X the ratio is over 1 in 4 (28%)
Places in local authorities with no or limited local news outlets (e.g. ‘news deserts’) had nearly 3 times as much fake news as a share of all posts as average on Facebook groups, albeit based upon 12 groups worth of data.
Conversely, places with a relatively high number of local news outlets (‘news oases’) have half as much misinformation as average, again based upon a limited sample (13 groups).
Places with local elections, on average, saw more misinformation in the run up to polling day than they did earlier in the year. Misinformation as a share of all posts increased from 0.12% to 0.15% (26% increase) and as a share of news grew from 8.2% to 12.9% (56%).
The rate of misinformation seen across four Gorton and Denton local Facebook groups was 26 times higher than in the wider Facebook analysis – 3% of 1,000 posts were identified as fake news, compared to 0.1% nationally. This is driven by far more news related posts on these groups, and a near doubling of the share of them being classified as misinformation.
Three in five misinformation posts (61%) in places with local elections in the week of the vote related to national politics or council issues, compared to 28% in the wider national analysis earlier in the year.
1 in 5 ‘fake news’ (19%) posts analysed on Facebook groups related to local issues, including planning, transport, local services and council politics. Our case studies revealed how planning applications could be misinterpreted into the “council selling off the beach”, or how local authority communications can be faked.
A third (32%) of misinformation found on X was anti-immigration or Islamophobic, far ahead of the next most common, h…
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
"Bale said that there can be a tendency for political parties to be drawn to talking policies promoted by parties further to the fringes. Farage must resist the temptation to move closer to Restore Britain & Advance UK positions, as doing so would risk damaging his party's overall electoral appeal."
politicshome.com
Are New Right-Wing Parties A Problem For Nigel Farage?
Last month, former Reform UK MP Rupert Lowe launched a new party: Restore Britain. Some former Reform councillors have signed up. Another former co...
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Pleased to see this one, with @mbarnfield.bsky.social & @karlpike.bsky.social now out in print... onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
<em>Policy Studies Journal</em> | PSO Public Policy Journal | Wiley Online Library
Generating public support for long-term public investment may require understanding what citizens perceive as the “long term” in politics and how these perceptions shape their preferences. Across two...
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
In case this week's record-breaking heatwave and/or criticism of net zero from Tony Blair have you thinking about the status of climate change in British politics, I did some polling: open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe... 1/4
open.substack.com
Reform UK: the political home of climate scepticism in Britain
As Tony Blair challenges net zero amid a record-breaking May heatwave, new data on what British voters think about environmental policy
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
🚨Could the Parliament Acts be used to pass assisted dying? As I say in this clip: 🔵 Never previously used on a PMB 🔵 But explicitly intended to apply to PMBs, not just govt bills 🔵 In practice, not straightforward to do, but possible
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Grateful to be back on Radio 4’s Today in Parliament, discussing the assisted dying bill’s prospects following this week’s PMB ballot. Listen here: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
This is valuable work, partly because it counters the idea that you can easily nudge the public into supporting climate policy. A three-hour active workshop increased support from either a minority to... a slightly larger minority, or from a slight majority to... a slightly larger majority.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
In my latest piece I wrote that supporters of the assisted dying bill face four key challenges. If Lauren Edwards (2nd in the PMB ballot) is willing to reintroduce the bill, they *may* have cleared the first. But three remain. theconversation.com/can-the-assi...
theconversation.com
Can the assisted dying bill be brought back? It’s possible – but supporters face four challenges
There are said to be around 200 MPs who are willing to reintroduce it as a private member’s bill.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
On Thursday, MPs will hold this year's private members' bills ballot. Supporters of the assisted dying bill will hope to bring the bill back - allowing them to override the Lords using the Parliament Acts. But they face 4 challenges. My article ⬇️ theconversation.com/can-the-assi...
theconversation.com
Can the assisted dying bill be brought back? It’s possible – but supporters face four challenges
There are said to be around 200 MPs who are willing to reintroduce it as a private member’s bill.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
"The focus on MRPs throughout the 2026 Holyrood campaign led to fewer polls, cost more money, and produced erratic claims due to some poor, or at least not transparent, methodological practices. The campaign highlights that whilst MRPs can add value, they remain a...fallible source of information."
electionanalysis.uk
MRPs: A false dawn - UK Election Analysis
Dr Eoghan Kelly Postdoctoral Researcher leading the Mile End Institute’s, Queen Mary University of London’s Polling London Project. He has lectured on quantitative methods at Queen’s University, Belfa...
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
"But," as I noted, "one thing we know about members [from our research] is that party members also want to win elections. So if Streeting can show them he’s the guy to do that, he still has a chance, even if he’s not their ideological ideal.”
theguardian.com
Wes Streeting faces narrow road to Labour members’ favour
Health secretary’s soft-right credentials put him at a disadvantage even with reduced membership under Starmer
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Great to join Oliver Hides on BBC Radio Wales just now, to discuss why being prime minister is such a fantastically difficult job. (c.12:25) www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
bbc.co.uk
Radio Wales - Listen Live - BBC Sounds
Listen live to Radio Wales on BBC Sounds
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Mile End Institute @mileendinstitute.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Our very own Tom Chidwick is mentioned in today’s @thetimes.com Diary! While Heath denied the ‘monstrous allegations made about a lack of courtesy shown in my own home’, his friends conceded that he hadn’t accompanied Thatcher to the door so they wouldn’t be photographed together …
The big meeting between Sir Keir Starmer and Wes Streeting turned into more of a brush-past when the health secretary left after 16 minutes. It reminded the historian Tom Chidwick of a similar occasion when the vanquished Conservative leader Ted Heath was visited at his home by his successor, Margaret Thatcher. Thatcher emerged after 15 minutes but the meeting had lasted only five. Heath refused to impart any wisdom or join the shadow cabinet and Thatcher spent ten minutes chatting with the housekeeper to make it look less like a disaster. Heath’s campaign aide Tim Kitson later revealed that Heath had actually piled books on the chairs in his study so as to prevent his visitor from sitting down.
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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Is impatience killing the government? Some data and some thoughts. @karlpike.bsky.social @philipjcowley.bsky.social and I found a year ago that people expected noticeable improvements in the NHS, schools, housing well within Labour's first parliament. www.politicshome.com/news/article... 1/7
Graph showing public expectations of length of time for change.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Me, blathering on a bit earlier today, if you like that sort of thing. www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWcv...
youtube.com
Starmer under pressure: 'Many Labour MPs can’t see UK PM leading them into next general election'
YouTube video by FRANCE 24 English
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Reading London Playbook ("The PM seems confident, which is why he got his PPS to text all Labour MPs last night begging them not to sack him / giving important context on the Mandelson case") has reminded me: this just came out (doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...). Possibly of interest to Thatcher 'fans', too?
Title and abstract of a journal article: "Eyes and ears, and potentially so much more: the role of parliamentary private secretary to the
prime minister—a case study".
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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
QMUL is advertising an exciting opportunity: a fully funded PhD studentship, working on European politics, ideology, and political 'myths' with @karlpike.bsky.social and @timbale.bsky.social. Details below. www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRB421/p...
jobs.ac.uk
PhD Studentship: Politics and Mythmaking: Disentangling Myth from Ideology at Queen Mary University of London
Explore a PhD Studentship: Politics and Mythmaking: Disentangling Myth from Ideology. Apply today and discover more PhD opportunities at jobs.ac.uk.
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Dr James Strong @drjamesstrong.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Properly funding part-time study would be transformational for UK HE, enabling students to work full time while spreading their higher education over 5-6 years instead of the traditional 3. It's mad that the whole student finance system focuses on full-time study. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
22,000 students told to pay back 'mis-sold' maintenance loans
Those affected have been told their courses were never eligible for maintenance or childcare loans
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Other than the assisted dying bill, what happened to all the other private members’ bills this session? I was asked about this for Today in Parliament on BBC Radio 4. Full episode here: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
New article for @thehousemag.bsky.social, this time on Early Day Motions. They are often dismissed as parliamentary graffiti, but even graffiti can sometimes be revealing. www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
politicshome.com
The Professor Will See You Now: Signatures
Lessons in political science. This week: signatures
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Dr James Strong @drjamesstrong.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
I was pleased to speak to Susan Hulme for yesterday's episode of BBC Radio 4's Today in Parliament about parliamentary war powers and the prospect of a House of Commons vote before any military deployment to the Middle East (segment starts at 8:05). www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
bbc.co.uk
Today in Parliament - 13/03/2026 - BBC Sounds
Susan Hulme examines the issues of voting for war, women in parliament and stablecoins.
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