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Drífa the Snynx

@drifa.bsky.social
123 followers 89 following 1.5K posts

Just another cat on the internet. I chew wires, fix things, and spend way too much time thinking about computers, airplanes, old cars, and safety. No, I’m not from Iceland, I just love the name.

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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 5h
But we live in an age where ultrarick oligarchs are allowed to use your commons for their gain and put you at risk you have no say over and gain nothing for being exposed to. I hate this century.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 5h
Various Earth orbits are a constrained resource that should belong to humanity and be managed by humanity collectively. Private, for profit space operations should not significantly add to the risk of a travelling public who gained nothing and had no say in accepting this risk.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 5h
But hey, SpaceX wants to do thousands of launches per year so that Elon can own space-based internet and profit from selling launch services. Does this smell like corruption to anyone else?
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 5h
The old rule limited such transits to 6,412 per year to keep the risk of a fatal air travel accident from space debris to less than 5% per 80 years. Which itself was a kind of bargain between military and NASA launch interests and public safety.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 5h
Just before the SpaceX IPO, the FAA scrapped a rule that limited the number of aircraft flights under the parts of a rocket launch trajectory where debris from an exploding rocket were less probable, but still more probable than you’d like. (You still can’t fly under the highest risk areas.)
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Failing to do this creates the false impression that real outrages are mere BS talking points. There is no reliable way to get deep MAGAts back in the reality-based community, but getting 80% of their neighbors so horrified that they feel compelled to hide is the only way we avoid doing a Brazil.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The Magyar part of this is particularly worth listening to. Possibly the biggest thing Biden &co. €£¥%ed up was not dragging the corruption of Trump and his acolytes through a lot of very public trials that result in penury and imprisonment.
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Robert Evans (the Only Robert Evans) @iwriteok.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
this is not a problem you can fix with calm, reasoned debate. you can't even fix it by improving people's lives with policy. there is no clear, proven, non-violent solution to this issue. finding one is the most significant problem of our age.
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ceej @ceej.online · 04/10/2026
“how do we win back trump voters in 2026” we don’t. we create an environment where admitting to voting for trump is so socially embarrassing as to render them completely inert. you don’t “win back” trump voters. you demoralize them into staying home. you make it a dunce cap
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Even beyond the stupidity of citing a BS bot as a source, consider this: the training data it is pulling from to weave BS that mimics human writing necessarily includes a lot of rapist apologia.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I had to see this cursed headline, now you do, too.
Headline: “NJ’s lieutenant governor told PBS, AI said he didn’t commit sexual assault.”
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
All tax free, too
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
No involvement from human factors experts. Not a lot of experimental assessments of how people used to do the job to build on. No serious evaluation of the performance of human + LLM tool. Just … turn ‘em loose before the next guy does. This is a recipe for disaster.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
But that’s not what’s going on. What’s going on is that people who don’t really know what engineers do—because they’re not engineers or just because humans are rubbish at self-reflection—are throwing descriptions of human tasks at chatbots and turning them loose.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Even with the best advice from human factors folks, reality can surprise you. Proposed automation, whether based on language models or anything else, needs to be carefully studied to see what the costs and benefits really are before we use them in high-consequence development activity.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The same might be true for a requirements checker. Every extra automation is one more thing humans must learn and manage. If it’s not perfect, we have to check on it. Those checks can take time or distract people from other kinds of problems. We can be bad at checking. Skills can atrophy.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
But also, the effects of automation are not always as we might predict. We’ve spent decades proposing automation for things like air traffic control. And when we do experiments with real controllers, sometimes a feature to help highlight some conflicts backfires: adding it harms total performance.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Requirements engineers, like programmers, safety analysts, and, well, everyone else, do jobs that are far more complex than anyone realizes. We’re realizing this in software as bots can sometimes generate useful code, but have in no way obviated software engineers.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It’s entirely possible, for example, that a specialized model could help flag potential ambiguities in requirements statements so that engineers can fix them before they cause a problem. But (a) this is not the same as doing a requirements engineer’s job and (b) it’s possible it might backfire.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I should note that there are places automation will likely help. Bespoke models could be a good addition to current processes, *if* we are careful about designing the automation so that it helps rather than hinders humans doing a job.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Wait, you can buy medical patients?!?
Sign advertising “42% off medical patients.”
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The question is, will we insist on real remediation? Will we reward the people who pointed this out? Or will the people whose deliberate irresponsibility caused the disasters just skate on with their careers as has happened so many times in the past?
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
There will be hand-washing of the “well, we couldn’t have known” variety. It will be bullshit: of course people could have known. I know several colleagues ringing alarm bells. They are being ignored, and that is a choice.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
But by that point so much technical debt will have accumulated in the form of untrustworthy development artefacts that the choice is either redo several years of engineering work by hand or just accept the risk of disaster. There will be enormous pressure to simply accept this risk.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The result of this is going to be disasters. Some will be big, kinetic losses. Lots more will happen after those losses, when it becomes clear that a lot of the engineering effort of the last couple of years is simply indefensible.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I see virtually nobody seriously thinking through how what they are doing might go wrong and produce disaster, and equally little consideration for just how likely novel technology is to produce unanticipated failures.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I see vanishingly little understanding of how the standards have produced outcomes as safe as they have. People don’t know what independence really means, nor why standards require it.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I see people doing things like feeding the text of standards for safety critical development into the bots, writing a statement that they should follow the standards, and expecting that the result will be good enough.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
There has been a mad rush to automate every part of the development process for critical things like vehicles using the synthetic text extruders. Lots of this seems fueled by fear that the competition will do it first, creating a sort of intellectual race to the bottom.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I’m listening to a bunch of nonsense about using BS text generators in safety-critical applications. It’s intellectual ipecac.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Nothing cool will happen as a result of this. Tech grifters meeting with the grifter government is only going to result in yet more treasure flushed away for no public benefit.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
There is no intelligence left in the federal government. Adding BS problems to the BS administration does not anything super make. All this particular order is going to do is make actual scientists in the federal government look stupid when they present their work.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
… If we can’t commit to something like that, we will continue to have the vast coercive power of the state under corrupt control, and that is unacceptable. Clean it up, get rid of it, or suffer. Those are the only choices.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
… The effectiveness of investigation and prosecution here is key. It has to be near certain that one would be caught and punished before any magnitude of punishment is a deterrent. …
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
… It means that most of the USA’s lawmakers, policy makers, executives, and their supporters should be surrendering all their possessions over past conduct. No gifting everything to a spouse, it’s all gone. Poverty. …
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
… It means eliminating PACs. It means financial disclosures. It means mandatory divestment from investments. It means investigations with teeth nasty enough that few in USA government survive. It means restitution—past corruption needs to be rectified. …
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I don’t hold out a lot of hope for states with representative democracies, but to make any such a viable path to a just future absolutely requires drastic measures to address corruption. That means things like rules about disclosing and recording every meeting. …
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Robin LeBlanc, from work @robinfromwork.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The film is written, directed, and co-stars Hitoshi Ozawa, a legendary Yakuza actor who is a villain in Yakuza 0, who got his fellow legends involved. This was his passion project inspired by one of his best friends, a trans woman, and he worked with the community for representative casting.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Das kefer
VW Beetle
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Duncan Hothersall @dhothersall.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
If attendance at a major women's conference was down 80% due to a boycott fighting against trans *inclusion*, it would be all over the Times, Telegraph, Mail etc. This last weekend, attendance at a major women's conference was down 80% due to a boycott fighting against trans *exclusion*. Crickets.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
An alien researcher doing field studies in Ocean City, MD might conclude that human society is organized around a religious ritual called “mini golf.”
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Elizabeth Bear @matociquala.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Happy Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrov Saves The World day to all who celebrate.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Just wait till your shows get all the ads for prepaid funeral services so you don’t bother your loved ones.
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hyperlexuality @baphomet.male.manipulat.org · 25/09/2026
[extremely atproto dev voice] why do people pretend to hate AI? is it for attention?
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It’s part of the USA’s epidemic of @$$holes in the Aaron James sense of a person who “allows himself to enjoy special advantages in social relations out of an entrenched sense of entitlement that immunizes him against the complaints of other people.” They don’t feel the need to hide anymore.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Clutching a flat white like some kind of prayer for tranquility
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Paris Marx @parismarx.com · 24/09/2026
Just when I think I can’t hate OpenAI and Sam Altman any more, new details come out about how ChatGPT helped a shooter plan one of the worst mass shootings in Canadian history in Tumbler Ridge, BC. OpenAI made an explicit decision not to report the user to authorities.
motherjones.com
ChatGPT helped the Tumbler Ridge school shooter focus on guns, tactics, and terror, our investigation reveals
OpenAI’s chatbot fed the shooter’s violent fantasies and planning up to the massacre.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Don’t you just love it when yet another fascist sack of €¥£# uses furry as a euphemism for queer? These guys want rigid control and conformance. I say, don’t obey. Don’t conform. Be soft. Be yourself. Be weird. Have fun playing musical chairs if you want to. Be the happy alternative to them.
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Drífa the Snynx @drifa.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
LLMs are built on theft. Not just in the data used to train them, but also in their use to re-package information for a user. You can’t steal the work of producing meaning encoded in text at this scale without eventually killing those producers.
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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 23/09/2026
Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro saying that the AI trade has been “dead money” for three months, and that it’s inflationary, meaning (as I’ve discussed multiple times) that the more debt they raise the more expensive debt becomes and the more they build data centers the more expensive it gets
Post
...
Jurrien Timmer @TimmerFidelity
X.com
On the Al front, the trade has been dead money for more than 3 months now. The metrics I am following (token expenditures and GPU lease rates) are all flat to down. The price of memory (DRAM) seems to be the only thing that is still going up.
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Al Metrics
Daily Data. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg
• GS Al basket
387
359
56%
283
249
200
175
150
•Silicon Data LLM token expenditure index (50d chg)
•Silicon Data H100 GPU rental index (50d chg)
•Silicon Data A100 GPU rental index (50d chg)
Aug-25 Oct-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26
Nov-24
Jan-25
Feb-25
Apr-25
Jun-25
Data as of 9/20/2026. Past performance is no guarantee of future results
Jul-26
70%|
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
Sep-26
A Fidelity
8:45 PM • 9/22/26 • 32K ViewsJurrien Timmer &
@TimmerFide... 2h S •
Yes, Al will change our lives (for the better l trust) and down the road it may well unleash a productivity miracle that raises the economy's non-inflationary speed limit enough to keep the world's mounting debt burden sustainable. But until then the buildout is inflationary with an unknown return for the companies who are investing trillions into compute. The demand fo capital (equity and debt) from corporates is rising at a $3.3 trillion clip.
(2/2)
$9,000
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
-$1,000
-$2,000
$3,000
-$4,000
-$5,000
Crowding Out?
Monthly Data. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg, Fed FoF Report.
non-financial corporate debt issuance (Sbi) equity share redemptions (buybacks + M&A)
Shading: US deb/GDP
inflation-adjusted
- total corporate net issuance (debt + equity)
housing bubble
+$7,924
bubble
Jun-20, +$6,597
+$3,462
dot.com bubble
Jun-00, +$3,233
+$3,999
Al capex
Jun-26, +$3,251
+$3,129
debt issuance + M&A
debt-equity arbitrage
+$123
-$197
debt-equity arbitrage
-$2.054
$2,175
-US Treasuries held by China
-$3.485
-US Treasuries held by Japan
—US Treasuries held by Fed's SOMA
—US Treasuries & agencies held by US banks
-$2,911
-$3,449
• $4,597
$3,602
$4,800
$2,400
$1,104
$1,200
$618
$600
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007 2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
$300
2025
2027
Data as of 9/20/2026. Past performance is no guarantee of future resuts
2029
•Fidelity
L71
50
221044207