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J. Doyne Farmer

@doynefarmer.bsky.social
5.6K followers 57 following 119 posts

Director of Complexity Economics at INET Oxford; Baillie Gifford Professor of Complex Systems Science at the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford; external faculty at the Santa Fe Institute; Chief Scientist, Macrocosm

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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 19h
Congratulations to Valentina Antonaccio Guedes for having her evidence referenced in the All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Climate, Nature and Security Inquiry report. @inetoxford.bsky.social www.appgclimsec.uk/inquiry
appgclimsec.uk
inquiry — All-Party Parliamentary Group for Climate and Security
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
I'm looking for a new postdoc - details below.
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Another new term, another series of #ComplexityEconomics seminars! We start with Lucas Irwin from the @oxmartinschool.bsky.social AI Governance Initiative presenting Token taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentration on 21 October www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/token...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Token taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentration
Token taxes – surcharges on model inference applied at the point of sale – are a promising contender for such a mechanism as they are more likely to be…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
My conversation wtih Greg Lablanc at the unSILOed podcast is now online. Among other things we dicuss why complexity science has not displaced mainstream economics and how we can better understand complex economic systems #Complexity www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekEJ...
youtube.com
682. Exploring Complexity: From Physics to Economics with J. Doyne Farmer
YouTube video by unSILOed Podcast with Greg LaBlanc
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
@doynefarmer.bsky.social is leading new research focusing on two areas with major implications for the global economy: energy storage and the development of fuels for sectors that are difficult to electrify @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/news/oxford-...
smithschool.ox.ac.uk
Oxford Smith School and Bank of America renew partnership to advance research on energy storage and future fuels
The University of Oxford’s Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment and Bank of America today announced the renewal of their partnership. Now in its fourth year, the partnership supports new res...
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Coming up on Wednesday 17th - @doynefarmer.bsky.social will be presenting Quantitative complexity economics: A revolution in the making @rutgersuniversity.bsky.social #Complexity #EconSky cmsr.rutgers.edu/news-events-...
cmsr.rutgers.edu
Doyne Farmer – Quantitative complexity economics:  A revolution in the making
Center for Mathematical Sciences Research, The School of Arts and Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
In our final #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 12 June, @oxmartinschool.bsky.social Visiting Fellow Luis Bettencourt will discuss several recent empirical results on decisions and sorting mechanisms in complex urban environments @oxfordgeography.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/agent...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Agents and Decisions: Exposure, learning and conditional choices in…
In this talk, Luis Bettencourt will discuss several recent empirical results on decisions and sorting mechanisms in complex urban environments. In all…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Join me on May 29 for the concluding session of the Beyond Carbon UZH lecture series: Greening Growth, Carbon Pricing, Carbon Dioxide Removal. I'll be in discussion with Ottmar Edenhofer @pik-potsdam.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.sustainability.uzh.ch/en/research-...
sustainability.uzh.ch
Greening Growth, Carbon Pricing, Carbon Dioxide Removal
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
I'm looking forward to Luis Bettencourt (University of Chicago) visiting us @inetoxford.bsky.social next month - and especially to introducing when he gives a lecture on a new geographical framework for development @oxmartinschool.bsky.social www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/events/frame...
oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk
'Cities all the way down: a new geographical framework for…
REGISTRATION To register to attend in-person at the Oxford Martin School, please scroll down to the registration form at the bottom of the page To…
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Reminder: in our #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 13 May, Stefan Thurner from @csh.ac.at will explain how new supply chain data allows us to literally observe how the economy works #EconSky @oxfordgeography.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/rethi...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Rethinking economics by understanding supply chain networks and their…
New supply chain data allows us to literally observe how the economy works. Supply chain networks are highly dynamic and reconfigure at remarkable rates.…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
I'm very much looking forward to meeting Isaak again.
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Can we finally simulate the climate economy? I discuss this with Tim Mohin and Sophia Davies www.sustainabilitysimplified.eco/p/can-we-fin...
sustainabilitysimplified.eco
Can we finally simulate the climate economy?
A conversation with Prof. Doyne Farmer and Sophia Davies
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
We're happy to announce our final Complexity Economics seminars for this academic year (all online as well as in person). We start on 29 April with Neave O'Clery @casaucl.bsky.social on Deciphering the global production network from cross-border firm transactions. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/decip...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Deciphering the global production network from cross-border firm…
European industrial nations and China dominate critical intermediate products such as metals, common components and tools, while industrial complexity is…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Which technologies are likely to make advances? Which ones might develop so fast that they pose risks to humanity? How quickly will new technologies to be deployed? I'm looking for answers with @francoislafond.bsky.social @maxroser.bsky.social in our new program on forecasting technological change
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
"I like doing things that people think are impossible" - Doyne Farmer's interview in ARA now available to read (in Spanish and Catalan as well as English) en.ara.cat/science-tech...
en.ara.cat
J. Doyne Farmer, physicist: "I like doing things that people think are impossible"
The scientist argues that we cannot predict the future, but we can create better economic models through physics.
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
In our final #ComplexityEconomics seminar of the term on 11 March, we're delighted to welcome @cesifoti.bsky.social to talk about The Infinite Alphabet, exploring the many principles that govern how knowledge grows, moves and decays. @tidecentre.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/the-i...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Book Talk: The Infinite Alphabet
This event is co-organised by The TIDE Centre We all understand that knowledge shapes the fate of business and the growth of nations, but few of us are…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Now available online: Liquidity Spirals - new working paper co-authored with Garbrand Wiesema @ecb.europa.eu and Esti Kemp (IMF) investigates how the (pecking) order in which institutions liquidate assets in response to shocks affects financial stability. www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpw...
ecb.europa.eu
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
The economist trying to save the planet with his own crystal ball: read @doynefarmer.bsky.social's interview in The Standard #ComplexityEconomics #EnergyTransition @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/ec...
standard.co.uk
The economist trying to save the planet with his own crystal ball
No one can predict the future... yet. Will Rogers-Coltman speaks to Professor Doyne Farmer about his lofty aims to build the world’s first super-simulator
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 4 March @oecd-ocde.bsky.social's Peter Gal will be talking about the macroeconomic productivity gains from AI across the globe. Online and in person www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/mirac...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Miracle or Myth? The macroeconomic productivity gains from AI across…
The presentation will focus on the expected macroeconomic productivity gains from Artificial Intelligence (AI) over a 10-year horizon in OECD and G20…
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
Ricard Solé @ricardsole.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Podem predir el futur mitjançant les matemàtiques? Què ens diu la teoria del caos? Quins són els límits de la nostra capacitat de predir la complexitat? Parlarem amb Doyne Farmer, un dels pares de la teoria, i amb la matemàtica Eva Miranda @evamirandag.bsky.social museuciencies.cat/activitats/2...
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
This Thursday I'll be at @museuciencies.cat discussing chaos theory, time and its implications with @evamirandag.bsky.social and @ricardsole.bsky.social. Looking forward to it! museuciencies.cat/activitats/2...
museuciencies.cat
Teoria del caos: el món és predictible? | Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona
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Santa Fe Institute @sfiscience.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
New book by SFI Press: The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV, a two-volume collection of contributions from leading scholars examining the unprecedented complexity of the global economy. You can download PDF chapters for free, or purchase physical copies here: sfipress.org/books/eecs-iv
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Economics has failed the climate crisis: this complexity scientist has a mind-blowing plan - @doynefarmer.bsky.social says a super-simulator of the global economy would accelerate the transition to a green, clean world #climatecrisis Interview by me www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Economics has failed on the climate crisis. This complexity scientist has a plan to fix that
Doyne Farmer says a super-simulator of the global economy would accelerate the transition to a green, clean world
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Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford @inetoxford.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Sara AlMahri @ifmcambridge.bsky.social is the next speaker in our @inet-complexity.bsky.social seminar series! Join us on Wednesday 11th February @14:30 GMT in person or online, Register ➼ www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/from-...
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Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford @inetoxford.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Our first @inet-complexity.bsky.social seminar of the year is coming up, featuring a book talk from @maxkasy.bsky.social! Don't forget to register to watch in person or online ➸ www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/the-m... @oxfordecondept.bsky.social
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Here's the announcement you've been waiting for - our Complexity Economics seminar speakers for this term! We start on 4 Feb with @maxkasy.bsky.social @oxfordecondept.bsky.social discussing his new book The means of prediction: How AI really works (and who benefits) www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/the-m...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Book Talk: The means of prediction - how AI really works (and who…
As economist Maximilian Kasy shows in The Means of Prediction , artificial intelligence, far from being an unstoppable force, is irrevocably shaped by…
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Highly recommended by all our team members who have attended in the past!
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
You can read our briefing for the Environmental Audit Committee’s Seventh Carbon Budget inquiry showcasing 4 research programmes from @inetoxford.bsky.social that could help inform decisions @doynefarmer.bsky.social @emilienravigne.bsky.social @bapeterj.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/complex...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Complexity Economics Insights for the Seventh Carbon Budget
This briefing for the Environmental Audit Committee’s Seventh Carbon Budget inquiry showcases four research programmes from the University of Oxford’s…
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Reposted by J. Doyne Farmer
INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
In our #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 3 December: How does government conduct analysis to meet its twin missions of Clean Power 2030 and Accelerating to #NetZero? Director of Analysis and Chief Economist at DESNZ Donna Leong will give her perspectives. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/missi...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Mission analysis – how does the UK government model the transition to…
How does government conduct analysis to meet its twin missions of Clean Power 2030 and Accelerating to Net Zero?
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
You can also listen at Spotify:https://open.spotify.com/episode/49lm5GZDYlVny1DyVICaoC?si=ydM-skn1Sk6wvIExGVCd8A Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
podcasts.apple.com
Brad Carr Podcast
Self-Improvement Podcast · Updated Weekly · Brad Carr interviews the world's best leaders. Previous guests include Navy SEALs, #1 New York Times bestselling authors, CEOs, and more. Listen anywhere y...
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
I had a chat with Brad Carr about how to bear roulette and predict the economy - you watch us talking at www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbdU... #ComplexityEconomics #Complexity
youtube.com
Doyne Farmer: Roulette, Chaos Theory, Global Economics, Oxford University
YouTube video by Brad Carr
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Oxford Martin School @oxmartinschool.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
We’re recruiting a Postdoctoral Researcher to join a new Oxford Martin programme led by renowned innovation scholars: Prof @maxroser.bsky.social, Prof @doynefarmer.bsky.social & Dr @francoislafond.bsky.social. Help shape global insights into how technologies evolve. Link in thread ⬇️
Job vacancy for Post Doctoral Research Associate in Economics of Technological Change at Oxford. Deadline: 5 Jan 2026.
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
We too are very excited about Karolina Bassa's new paper with Rama Cont on Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 12 Nov, Rafael Prieto-Curiel @csh.ac.at will explore the challenges of making cities work for everyone while facing dual challenges of managing both expansion and contraction at a time of rapid future population expansion www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/citie...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Cities for everyone
In this talk, Rafael Prieto-Curiel will explore the challenges of making cities work for everyone. Previously, Rafael worked on urban dynamics as part of…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
We're looking for a postdoc for our new project on forecasting technological change - more details below
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Santa Fe Institute @sfiscience.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
What if one model could realistically predict the economy of an entire country? The entire world? A month-long working group, co-organized by SFI External Professor @doynefarmer.bsky.social, made the case that agent-based models may bring this vision to life:
santafe.edu
Agent-based models move into the economic mainstream
In the 1980s and ’90s, SFI played laboratory to a promising new method known as agent-based modeling. In ensuing decades, agent-based models (ABMs) proliferated across many fields, including economics...
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Richard M. Bailey @rmbailey.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
How to improve LLM responses in domains we can’t score? Implicit signals from structured dialogue help LLM agents edit their own contexts, improving responses dramatically. “Self-evolving expertise in complex non-verifiable subject domains: dialogue as implicit meta-RL”. arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15772
arxiv.org
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Paul Behrens @profpaulbehrens.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Come work with us! We’re hiring a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Food System Transformations at the University of Oxford. This role is part of an ambitious, interdisciplinary project exploring rapid food system transformations. More details here: my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
my.corehr.com
Job Details
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Our #Complexity Economics Seminar series is back! We start next Wednesday 22 October with a talk from Cambridge University's @martagrzeskiewicz.bsky.social presenting an algorithm for uncovering a utility function based on observational consumption data. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/uncov...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Uncovering utility functions from observational data
The algorithm, Preference Extraction and Reward Learning (PEARL) is able to uncover a representation of the utility function that best rationalises…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
I have a new paper out in @oxrepjournal.bsky.social explaining Agent-based models #ABMs and their advantages and disadvantages in comparison to standard models. doi.org/10.1093/oxre...
doi.org
Quantitative agent-based models: a promising alternative for macroeconomics
Abstract. Agent-based models (ABMs) are dynamic computer simulations that abandon utility maximization and instead assume that agents are boundedly rationa
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
This was great fun!
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Blas Kolic @blas-ko.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
🚨 Fresh from ArXiv: “Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models” with @marcopangallo.bsky.social, @c0rrad0.bsky.social, & @gdfm.bsky.social 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2509.17625
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Coming up on 1 October @wifo.bsky.social: Karolina Bassa will present on the impact of fiscal and public investment policies on the sovereign's borrowing cost and credit risk in the presence of stochastic output shocks and credit-sensitive funding from investors👇 www.wifo.ac.at/en/event/433...
wifo.ac.at
A Quantitative Model of Sovereign Credit Risk and Debt Sustainability
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
@doynefarmer.bsky.social spoke to Gregory McNiff at the New Books Network about his research and Making Sense of Chaos. You can listen at newbooksnetwork.com/making-sense... #Complexity #ComplexityEconomics
newbooksnetwork.com
J. Doyne Farmer, "Making Sense of Chaos" (Yale UP, 2024) - New Books Network
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
I am at New York climate week, and at a reception put on by @ember-energy.org, who does great work in promoting the green transition. I had the pleasure of riding in an all electric boat built by Flux Marine - it moved silently through the water to the Statue of Liberty and back at an amazing speed!
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Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford @inetoxford.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Additional role for for @ericbeinhocker.bsky.social  announced Eric has been appointed to the Science Board of @sfiscience.bsky.social as its Chair The role advises on scientific strategy for the Institute. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/eric-beinhoc…
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J. Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
My summer at @sfiscience.bsky.social is coming to an end. Along with the people, I will miss the views and hiking in the hills. Watching the moonrise from Castle Rock is something to be recommended. See you again next year!
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OxfordSmithSchool @smithschool.ox.ac.uk · 29/08/2025
New guide for #climate & #finance ministries on the most effective ways to model Net-Zero Transition was just published in the Oxford Review of Economic Policy @oxfordunipress.bsky.social @cameronhepburn.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social @inetoxford.bsky.social academic.oup.com/oxrep/advanc...
academic.oup.com
Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy
Abstract. Reaching net-zero emissions will involve a structural transformation of the global economy. The transition is complicated by deep uncertainty abo
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INET Complexity Economics @inet-complexity.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Interested in climate change and the UK #CarbonBudget? Watch this space! @doynefarmer.bsky.social is heading up our latest project to fill evidence gaps ahead of the UK Government setting its Seventh Carbon Budget next year www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/sprint-...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Sprint to Seventh Carbon Budget Commences
A project to fill macroeconomic and distributional analysis evidence gaps has started at INET Oxford this summer.
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Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford @inetoxford.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
▶New guide to modelling the net zero transition is published; ▶Gives clarity to a plethora of available modelling options becoming increasingly relevant Led by @cameronhepburn.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/most-ef...
inet.ox.ac.uk
Most Effective Models To Guide The Net-Zero Transition
A new guide for climate and finance ministries on the most effective ways to model the Net-Zero Transition has been published in the Oxford Review of…
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