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Dennis Prangle

@dennisprangle.bsky.social
600 followers 529 following 34 posts

Approximate Bayesian at Bristol University

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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Has google scholar degraded recently for anyone else? I'm getting less relevant results and lots of server error messages. Maybe servers are being repurposed for LLMs instead.
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Sending my draft maths to Claude and getting lots of corrections back - it's like being a phd student again!
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
The next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi is Oksana Chkrebtii (Ohio State University) who will talk about "Likelihood-free Posterior Density Learning for Uncertainty Quantification in Inference Problems" on Thursday the 30th April at 1pm UK time (note the different time!).
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
I missed a few of these seminars due to teaching clashes, and this looks like an exciting one to return to
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Making great progress with dissertation marking
Photo of a web form saying "Depth of understanding attained: The project blah blah blah. However..."
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
ICML reviewing done ✅ I'm free! ...to work on the dissertation marking deadline 😐
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
The next OWABI seminar will be given by Shreya Sinha Roy (Warwick), who will talk about "Prequential posteriors" on Thursday the 26th February at 11am UK time. arxiv.org/abs/2511.1... www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi MS Teams link: teams.microsoft.com/...
arxiv.org
Prequential posteriors
Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
New preprint 📢 arxiv.org/abs/2602.09161 Lead by Sherman Khoo (PhD student at Compass CDT), with Song Liu and Mark Beaumont. We adjust SBI summaries at test time to improve robustness.
arxiv.org
Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimation
Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistic...
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Tomorrow's OWABI seminar by Louis Sharrock (UCL), who will talk about "Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-free inference with conditional score base diffusion models" (29th Jan, 11am UK time). Join: teams.microsoft.com/... Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49 Passcode: f3Dh22XL
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Updating my lecture notes to use jagsUI (kenkellner.com/jagsUI/) in place of rjags, and it's a great fix for lots of minor teaching pain points #rstats
kenkellner.com
A Wrapper Around rjags to Streamline JAGS Analyses
A set of wrappers around rjags functions to run Bayesian analyses in JAGS (specifically, via libjags). A single function call can control adaptive, burn-in, and sampling MCMC phases, with MCMC chains ...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
The Zen of Reviewer 2
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
New paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.06351. We compare different MCMC kernels for ABC-SMC, and recommend a one- hit kernel with mixture proposal. (Repost with corrected link!)
arxiv.org
A Comparison of Kernels for ABC-SMC
A popular method for likelihood-free inference is approximate Bayesian computation sequential Monte Carlo (ABC-SMC) algorithms. These approximate the posterior using a population of particles, which a...
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
The 1st OWABI talk of the Season will be given by François-Xavier Briol (University College London). who will talk about "Multilevel neural simulation-based inference".
arxiv.org
Multilevel neural simulation-based inference
Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) is a popular set of methods for Bayesian inference when models are only available in the form of a simulator. These methods are widely used in the sciences...
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Some fun news: We're hiring! Lectureship (analogous to Assistant Prof.) in Statistical Science and AI, in the School of Mathematics, University of Bristol. Closing date 13 October 2025; link below! www.bristol.ac.uk/jobs/find/de...
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Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Join us online for a discussion on “Statistical exploration of the Manifold Hypothesis” and an opportunity to explore the intersection of geometry, statistics and machine learning. 📅 Wed 08 Oct | 🕓 4–6pm UK 🔗 Register + download the paper: rss.org.uk/training-eve...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Feels like conference attendees are getting younger
Young girl watching academic conference presentation attentively
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 24/08/2025
Conference travel, morning to evening
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Arno Solin @arnosolin.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
📣 Please share: We invite submissions to the 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (#AISTATS 2026) and welcome paper submissions at the intersection of AI, machine learning, statistics, and related areas. [1/3]
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Machine Learning in Science @mackelab.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
New preprint: SBI with foundation models! Tired of training or tuning your inference network, or waiting for your simulations to finish? Our method NPE-PF can help: It provides training-free simulation-based inference, achieving competitive performance with orders of magnitude fewer simulations! ⚡️
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Paper on normalizing flow transformations for heavy tails 🦕 arxiv.org/abs/2406.16971 My co-author Tennessee Hickling will be presenting the poster at ICML icml.cc/virtual/2025...
arxiv.org
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
The next OWABI Seminar will take place during BayesComp 2025 in Singapore, on Thursday 19 June at 8pm Singapore time (1pm in Tórshavn). Speakers are: Filippo Pagani and Maurizio Filippone. Link to join: monash.zoom.us/j/810... Meeting ID: 810 5099 4376 Passcode: 137607
monash.zoom.us
Join our Cloud HD Video Meeting
Zoom is the leader in modern enterprise cloud communications.
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
The next OWABI seminar is quickly approaching, with two talks live from BioInference 2025 (bioinference.github....) on 29th May,10am UK time. Speakers: Andrew Golightly, Henrik Häggström. Links to the mailing list, to receive the Teams link to the talks, can be found on warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
bioinference.github.io
2025 Conference - BioInference
The 2025 BioInference Conference
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
When your analysis uses a very strong prior
Election leaflet "West of England Mayor Election: It's Green or the Reform Party" with a bar chart showing Green 24%, Reform 20%, Labour 20%
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
The Scientific Committee welcomes proposals for Invited Sessions for the 2026 #ISBA World Meeting. Please submit proposals using this form: forms.gle/5G3xJWJaaE6Q... Proposals will be accepted until 11:59pm (anywhere on Earth) on 6 July 2025. Also see the conf. site: isba2026.github.io
forms.gle
ISBA 2026: Call for Invited Sessions & Panel Discussions
The Scientific Committee invites the submission of proposals for Invited Sessions & Panel Discussions for the 2026 ISBA World Meeting, to be held in Nagoya, Japan from 28 June to 3 July, 2026. Invited...
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 12/04/2025
Scientists on Bluesky, here's one of the best feeds I've found here: Paper Skygest - a feed of posts containing research papers shared by people you follow.
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
The next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi is quickly approaching, being scheduled on Thursday the 27th March at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Meïli Baragatti (Université de Montpellier), who will talk about "Approximate Bayesian Computation with Deep Learning and Conformal Prediction".
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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
I will be one of the supervisors on this. Please pass on to any UK students who may be interested.
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Sam Power @spmontecarlo.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
JOB OPENING at University of Bristol: -- Lecturer in Statistics or Machine Learning -- (x 2 positions available) -- application deadline: 31 March, 2025 Details at www.bristol.ac.uk/jobs/find/de... Come join us!
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Our next OWABI talk will be given by Meïli Baragatti (Assistant Professor Institut Agro Montpellier) on Approximate Bayesian Computation with Deep Learning and Conformal prediction on Thursday the 27th March 2025. More info will follow.
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Our next talk will be on Thursday the 27th February at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Ayush Bharti (Aalto University), who will talk about "Cost-aware simulation-based inference". To receive the link, sign up here: listserv.csv.warwick...
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David T Frazier @dtfrazier.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
The deadline for abstract submission of contributed papers and posters for BayesComp2025 has been extended to 28 February. Decisions by 14 March. Submit here! bayescomp2025.sg/abstract-sub... The deadline for early bird registration has been extended to March 22. Hope to see you in Singapore!
bayescomp2025.sg
Bayes Comp 2025
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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 07/02/2025
Come and work with us! "Senior Lecturer or Reader in Computational Statistics ... biomedical data analysis, computational statistics and machine learning, foundations of data science and AI, high-dimensional data analysis, and uncertainty quantification." www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
jobs.manchester.ac.uk
Senior Lecturer or Reader in Computational Statistics (Teaching & Research) :Oxford Road
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International Society for Bayesian Analysis @isba-bayesian.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
The Isaac Newton Institute at Cambridge is hosting a workshop on Accelerating Statistical Inference and Experimental Design with Machine Learning June 23 - 27. It includes tutorials on #Bayesian inference, DoE, and diffusion models. More details at the website: www.newton.ac.uk/event/rclw03/
newton.ac.uk
Accelerating statistical inference and experimental design with machine learning - Isaac Newton Institute
This workshop focuses on leveraging modern machine learning to accelerate statistical inference, experimental design, and scientific discovery. It features...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Hello bluesky 🦋 - overdue intro post. I'm a statistician at Bristol University doing approx Bayes methods like SBI and variational influence for things like population genetics 🧬 and stochastic kinetic models. Happy to chat about scaling these methods to harder models/bigger data/real applications.
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Invitation to review a revised paper I assumed wasn't coming back just days after I recycled my printout and written notes on the previous version. Maybe I should never tidy my office.
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Robin Ryder @robinryder.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Bayesians! Are you a member of ISBA? Are you into applications in the Social Sciences? We are starting a new ISBA section on Bayesian Social Sciences. This requires a petition, signed by at least 30 ISBA members. You can add your name here: docs.google.com/document/d/1...
docs.google.com
Petition to form a Bayesian Social Sciences section at ISBA
Petition to form a Bayesian Social Sciences section at ISBA The following members of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) wish to petition the ISBA board to be recognized as the IS...
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Ryan Kelly @ryanpkelly.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Thrilled to contribute to this work led by David Frazier providing theory for NPE/NLE in simulation-based inference. These methods are known to match the accuracy of ABC and BSL with fewer simulations, this paper rigorously shows why this can be achieved. arxiv.org/abs/2411.12068
arxiv.org
The Statistical Accuracy of Neural Posterior and Likelihood Estimation
Neural posterior estimation (NPE) and neural likelihood estimation (NLE) are machine learning approaches that provide accurate posterior, and likelihood, approximations in complex modeling scenarios, ...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Reposting now there's more people here!
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Marvin Schmitt @marvin-schmitt.com · 17/11/2024
I created a starter pack for simulation-based inference (aka. likelihood-free inference). Let me know if you’d like me to add you. go.bsky.app/GVnJRoK
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 29/10/2024
Exciting upcoming special issue of Extremes on heavy tails 🦕and AI 🤖 link.springer.com/collections/...
link.springer.com
Bridging Heavy Tails and Artificial Intelligence
The increasing frequency and severity of extreme events—such as catastrophic flooding, record-breaking temperatures, and unprecedented heatwaves—has ...
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Paul Bürkner @paulbuerkner.com · 26/10/2024
Our Python library BayesFlow implements methods for amortized Bayesian inference. You first train a neural network on simulated data. Then you obtain posterior inference on any real data almost instantly. Check out the dev branch for our new backend and user interface: github.com/bayesflow-or...
github.com
GitHub - bayesflow-org/bayesflow at dev
A Python library for amortized Bayesian workflows using generative neural networks. - GitHub - bayesflow-org/bayesflow at dev
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 23/10/2024
The first talk of Season 6 is next week! On 31st October, 11am GMT, Ullrich Köthe (University of Heidelberg) will talk about "Free-form flows for physics-informed generative modelling". The talk will be on MS teams. Sign up to the list to get the link: listserv.csv.warwick...
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Approximate Bayes Seminar @approxbayesseminar.bsky.social · 23/10/2024
This is the new account for the One World Approximate Bayesian Inference (ABI) Seminar. Please follow if you are interested in any flavour of approximate Bayesian inference, including simulation-based inference. Website: warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 23/10/2024
Can you set up a muted words feed on bluesky? It'd be nice to have one feed not dominated by a certain upcoming election.
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Richard Everitt @bayesianstats.bsky.social · 21/10/2024
I made a Starter Pack for Statistics departments, groups, organisations and associations. There are only a few on there at the moment - please let me know of others I can add. go.bsky.app/q6MfWL
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Umberto Picchini @upicchini.bsky.social · 30/09/2024
yesterday I refereed a paper, read it from start to finish as usual, and sent the review to a journal. This morning I read on LinkedIn of the NotebookLM project by Google, an AI "research assistant". You can upload a paper and "interrogate" it. (1/4) notebooklm.google.com
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Dennis Prangle @dennisprangle.bsky.social · 22/09/2024
This article made bluesky sound interesting so i signed up!
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