CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Not saying this is ok, but wonder if 1. Dramatic decline in gas generation (go batteries!) in the NEM means now excess gas gen capacity Qld, NSW 2. Dalby is close to gas fields/gas-generators/gas pipeline and solar under construction 3. Gas turbines are one global constraint, chips another 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Happy to find lots of these in full bloom up the back of my garden. Australian tongue #orchid (Dendrobium linguiforme, syn. Dockrillia linguiformis). #nature 021
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Good In 2025 more diesel/petrol cars added to the national fleet than BEV/EV. 2026 might finally flip that. Half of vehicles are over 10 years old. None are EV's. Serious about still rising transport emissions? Tackle the long tail of older cars in the national fleet. Cash4Clunkers MkII anyone 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 03/10/2026I'd start with head of model training/testing. They set the prompts/defined the hurdles to models had to meet, analyzed the results, looked at the logs. The logs are large (see the hugging face incident investigation) but not impossible. For Open AI to inform the government they know the source. 041
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 02/10/2026So agree. The only way I could get agents to behave and not optimize to the immediate prompt versus a longer term target, was to encode module structure and architecture as rules (layers, coupling/cohesion, deep v.shallow modules..), and have builds only pass if the architecture rules also passed. 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Energy transition in NSW. What industry is going to soak up all that unused gas generating capacity. #auspol #AI 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Good But in 2025 more diesel/petrol cars added to the national fleet than BEV/EV - 2206 might finally flip that. Half the cars on the registered are over 10 years old. None of them are EV's. Serious about transport emissions - need tackle the long tail and the older cars in the national fleet. 001
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 29/09/2026This cannot be good... Strong, Fast and Early #elnino #climate 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 27/09/2026From the FT article ... "Morgan Stanley measured the gap earlier this week by estimating the shortfall in available power, concluding that more than half of the GPU servers sold between 2026 and 2028 might not have anywhere to be plugged in." 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I so agree. This is a also **now** problem. Not a future problem in when GPU's are finally available, when 1GW gas generators are delivered (~2030?), when you upgrade transmission networks to get actual power to the DC. Did I mention approvals or IPO's... 100
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Feels LNG boomish. Jobs in the capital construction phase. Little employment in the operations phase. Tax deductions going overseas to AI majors to pay licenses/royalties on the models? Little tax paid here? Can we even get the GPU's given the delays in construction overseas. 010
Reposted by CitSciDash Nehring @punningstunts.bsky.social · 21/09/2026There's a part in the report about job creation: "Industry estimates suggest that data centre construction has directly and indirectly supported more than 9,000 jobs to date and this could grow by an additional 18,930 jobs through to 2030". except 2/3 of those jobs are in the buildout phase. 5289
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Recent debate about immigration and super has little discussion about the dependency ratio - workers to old-age/youth. Also called the demographic window - countries within it have higher birth rates, and potential for economic growth. Australia exited 10 years ago. #IntergenerationalReport 001
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Still awaiting first sound just north of you. Days like today, swimming way out in the ocean, hearing the 1st Koels on the Norfolk Pines summer is on the way. Next up the channel-billed cuckoo's .. such melodius delights at 2am. 010
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Mmmm ... must find a use for all that unused gas generation capacity now that batteries taking over 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 15/09/2026And the global publishers appear not that interested in defending their own author's rights either. Worse if you self-publish, or went with a small publishing house. 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I agree I'm a party to Anthropic Copyright case which used stolen online books to train models * prompting shows it knows my book * the $ from settlement are small cf. to lost royalties, why buy the book anymore * your rights and revenue will be gone * not cost effective to mount legal challenge 151
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Nature is always inspiration .... stitching on this tree 051
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 06/09/2026Yesterday in Sydney Not the hottest September day which was 34.6 in 2023 but close. Still early in September too. #climate #elnino 010
Reposted by CitSciAuInData @auindata.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Fast and early, some El Niño take a while to get going - this one isn't. 001
Reposted by CitSciAuInData @auindata.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Sea surface temp. is one factor in declaring an El Niño. Compared to prior El Niño's, this one is coming on fast and early. 001
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 29/08/2026Cynical me wonders if this is about finding ways to keep gas-generators going as peaking gen-mix changes significantly. There are powers (not energy) at play here. And, I still can't fathom new DCs will do with all capacity proposed. Model training, longer context & ever larger models, slop? 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Energy Market in transition. 12 months ago, NSW cumulative batter discharge was less than both types of gas generation. Today is greater than both combined. Battery is pushing out high priced "gas-peakers" to help lower the cost we pay - especially at evening peaks. #auspol 021
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 26/08/2026As a claimant on this class action - this is a good article. Claude does summarise my book back to me - not exactly - but quotes, outlines and links to related books. Claude clearly "knows" the book. ------- Gift article from The New York Times. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/24/o...nytimes.comOpinion | Even Millions of Stolen Books Cannot Satisfy Ravenous A.I. Chatbots (Gift Article)The model collapse scenario threatens to wipe out whatever gains chatbots like Claude enjoyed from being trained on books in the first place. 044
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 12/08/20264 years of NAPLAN results for reading, writing and numeracy for years 3,5,7,9. Each small line in a stack is a state. NT generally worse, but South Australian relatively better in remote/very remote regions One national #NAPLAN number really hides the de-averaged results. 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 11/08/2026And got there faster from La Nina than almost all other El Nino events 032
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 09/08/2026Not so sure it will take so long in some arenas. Especially the new vectors to attack modern physical and information infrastructure that underpins society. bsky.app/profile/emol... 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 27/07/20262026 El Nino is coming on fast and early. One of fastest changes from La Nina to El Nino conditions. #ElNino #climate 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 14/07/2026Dramatic change in battery generation in NSW as it is already ahead of last years total and outpace peaking gas as source of generation. 010
Reposted by CitSciCitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 21/06/2026I swim in the ocean every day and of course worry about sharks. I see the drum-lines just offshore and inspection boat each morning Data shows in Sydney its a likely a Dusky or Bronzie. Whites are around - but were just 18 of over 500 catches from Bondi to Barrenjoey 001
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 21/06/2026I swim in the ocean every day and of course worry about sharks. I see the drum-lines just offshore and inspection boat each morning Data shows in Sydney its a likely a Dusky or Bronzie. Whites are around - but were just 18 of over 500 catches from Bondi to Barrenjoey 001
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Good article... Reminded me of Ben Collins speech on receipt of 2023 Walter Cronkite Award (on youtube) "splitting the difference halfway between the lies pushed by powerful people leaves you telling half of the truth" 010
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 13/06/2026Had canned black cherries from living in USA that survived three country moves and 15 years later .. yeah… nah 020
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 11/06/2026Call me cynical, but protesting terrestrial DC’s is great way to increase valuations for a company seeking capital to locate them off planet 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 03/04/2026The nuance may be that much of our petrol, diesel, jet fuel comes from countries (South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia...) that have high % of crude refinery feedstock coming though Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Also may be timing of certain societal event. When we tracked such things in NSW, back to school after holidays, often led to increases to cases amongst young people first for reasons you note. Would precede increase in other age groups. 010
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Maybe, but the question is how significantly exposed to gulf disruptions are the countries that refine most of Au's Petrol, Diesel, Jet Fuel. Their exposure is higher++ than "20% of global supply". They may take political decision where to supply refined products (if any) beyond domestic needs. 000
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 25/03/2026Never do it per hour - value price it. Think hard of the value ($, risk, time) at stake, and price accordingly. If you have to go time-based, use days, and budget for equal amounts for gathering data, writing report, reading it back and making changes. 030
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Had exactly the same thought. Grown up words and reasoned logic. The full speech and Q&A worth a listen www.youtube.com/watch?v=uStu...youtube.comPM Mark Carney speaks at World Economic Forum in Davos – January 20, 2026YouTube video by cpac 021
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Can you imagine our leadership addressing the the broader issues like the Canadian PM does at Davos (Warning grown up words in this talk) www.youtube.com/watch?v=uStu...youtube.comPM Mark Carney speaks at World Economic Forum in Davos – January 20, 2026YouTube video by cpac 271
CitSci @deadinlongrun.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Yep His version of God Only Knows by beach boys with all the harmony parts did me in 010