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Dan Ancona

@danancona.bsky.social
82K followers 1.6K following 8.7K posts

Daddo and married to @jenancona. Consultant of Destiny™️, standing athwart history yelling WTF. Research, persuasion, media, and processes for understanding the Dem-left coalition. A lot of my research etc lives here: chartingthewayforward.substack.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 52m
there’s like ten of you who appreciate this joke and another dozen or so who do not visit this website and I love all of you very deeply
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 52m
TOO GODDAMN SOON 🫠🫠🫠🫠😆
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 57m
world historic asshole. I would love to know who is getting a ten percent cut off these buys. (my guess: more assholes)
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 4h
This one has low taxes and cops. C'mon, man. And I really think saying "my opponent is lying about me" is wasting space. (voters assume everyone is lying) But even with that it's still a reasonably hard hit.
platform.adimpact.com
The Truth
Hinojosa for TX Governor · Election Advertisements
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 4h
Another nuke. Abbot might actually be fucked.
platform.adimpact.com
Everything Bigger
Hinojosa for TX Governor · Election Advertisements
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 4h
Here's Hinojasa's camp just bodying Abbot, too. I loooove this one. platform.adimpact.com/viewer/9375d...
platform.adimpact.com
Welcome To Texas
Hinojosa for TX Governor · Election Advertisements
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 5h
No idea who the hell BOLD America is, but this is an absolutely savage and very well deserved hit on R Monica de la Cruz in #TX15.
platform.adimpact.com
Claudia
BOLD America · Election Advertisements
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 7h
pretty far outside my usual genres and i am absolutely loving all of it
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 13h
Brilliant
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Count Draugula @artd.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
the abolitionist's dilemma
venn diagram
left
some people need their ass beat
right
punishment does not transform people
middle
me
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Andrew Lawrence @ndrew.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
every republican president destroys the economy and starts a war in the middle east
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Testing a livestream. We could be reading bluesky posts together... send to a loved one with the text "us."
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
rising sunlight just painting the cloud tops
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The print version headline framing of this story manages, with considerable struggle, to be even more infuriating.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I did NOT know that this line was stolen from him, but that makes it even better. TIL!!
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Elizabeth Anne, PhD @lacksauthority.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
never the wrong time for this classic
Screenshot of a tweet by @RobbtKraft reading “scientist: "does everyone here know what Watson and Crick discovered?" 
me from back of room: "Rosalind Franklin's notes"”
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
There's a saying in high level yacht racing that if a boat doesn't sink immediately after crossing the finish line as it wins the last race of the series, it was overbuilt. I apply the same principle to my psyche during campaigns. Strongly recommend this approach btw.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
MY GOD SERIOUSLY
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Election night 2008, when Obama won, Prop 8 was the largest of my 100+ data clients. The two months before that election were the hardest I've ever worked on anything. I was beyond fried. All I could do the week after was gibber and cook food for people.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I'm just grumpy, but also I am of the Old School, and the belief that even if you personally are not doing the kind of campaign work that leaves you completely exhausted as polls close, you should damn well be respectful of those who are.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Anyone planning an event to discuss the Future of the Democratic Party inside of two weeks post-election has conclusively demonstrated by the timing of their event that they are entirely unqualified to be participating in such discussions.
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Evan Sutton @evansutton.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
At exactly 0 times in my entire adult life have Democrats in Congress done what's actually necessary to hold Republicans accountable. I'm hoping this streak will be broken starting in January. But it's easy to see why Republicans think they can just keep getting away with it.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 05/10/2026
Now some Democratic presidential candidates want their party to jettison their Article I powers too! Come on people, it’s in the Constitution for a reason!
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JLRay @jlray.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Whoa, one of the pedophiles responsible for the GOP's political power just died. No, not that one, the other one. No, not that one, the other one. No, not that one, the other one. No, not that one, the other one. No, not that one, the other one. No, not that one, the other wgntv.com/news/chicago...
wgntv.com
Former House Speaker Dennis Hastert dies at 84
Former U.S. House Speaker John Hastert has died at the age of 84 from natural causes.
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Oliver Willis @owillis.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Think about the core tenets of American conservatism: a government serving 300 million people and leading the world should be “small” and that we should orient all policy around servicing the rich so that they throw us gruel. It’s fucking stupid and we should say so.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
This thread has some of the data, but see the post for the ads. If you want to see all the immigration ads Dems ran, lmk, I have a thing I can point you to. bsky.app/profile/wayt...
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Also because of pathetic, cowardly Dems that didn’t speak up about this being nonsense. It took Kamala two weeks. Sherrod Brown never condemned it, even after the R governor did.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Fine, be mad at the ordinary people who thought like this, but also please: the people who deserve the most rage are 1, the Dems who were running ads that were just as awful as the R ones, and 2, the journalists and substackers who STILL are saying this is what Dems need to do to win.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
this is vastly stronger but lets see it on TV - and from other Dems in other states!
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
omg it's so good, it's just absolutely glorious. killer message for an electorate that's like 90%-ish wanting change, too. platform.adimpact.com/viewer/f0ddc...
platform.adimpact.com
My Thoughts
Texas PAC · Election Advertisements
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Let's face it: paid media is icky and gross. I get it. Lefties don't want to think about it. I don't blame them. the only way I can do what I do and live with myself is that my shame circuitry was completely fried and rebuilt by three decades of living in the bay area 😂
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Amanda Katz @katzish.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
A lot of very unhappy parents of trans and nonbinary kids, too, not enjoying seeing a mob whipped up toward children
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I don't know if this is even it. I think if you asked them, they'd say this was persuasive, and would have some shoddy testing as evidence. There's just no competition, no one to raise questions with thinking like "oh the brand is bad, let's run against it." It's all group chats and incest.
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Dante Atkins @danteatkins.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
It's important to not just call out the problem but to understand why it happens: DC messaging consultants do not believe in persuasion. They believe in carefully calibrating their messaging like a safecracker to what their target voter already believes. In this case, "both parties are corrupt."
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Almost or maybe exactly zero Dem ads (except ours) say Trump corruption or MAGA corruption or Republican corruption. They are all running against “DC corruption”and saying they’ll stand up to both parties. Absolutely idiotic strategy.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Many such people are saying! bsky.app/profile/dana...
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
go valks!!!
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Wow
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
the time honored advertising technique of telling everyone your category sucks and no one should want to be associated with you
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Bad news: looks so far at least like this shift is not happening on TV, in most races at least.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Not sure what was going on when I made the gesture in this thumbnail but we were definitely having fun. @leahgreenberg.bsky.social is always inspiring, she has the Go Fight Win🧃. Listen now!!
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Way to Win @waytowinus.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Indivisible's @leahgreenberg.bsky.social gives us her Closing Argument for the midterms and it is sheer 🔥🔥🔥 📺 www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRiu... 🍎 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
youtube.com
Tear Their Heart Out (Nonviolently) ft. Leah Greenberg
YouTube video by Way to Win Action Fund
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Almost forgot: this story another huge datapoint the Big Shift Towards Strength is happening, at least in fits and starts. I'm so immersed in the ads that I forgot (more on this soon, it's not good), but Talarico's words are getting stronger. Please read and subscribe to @newrepublic.com!!
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Jenifer Fernandez Ancona @jenancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
OMG YES. We always say Dems should run on their own ideas -- they are actually popular with the American electorate we need to move to win in swing states and districts. But very few Dems running for Senate ever do. Grateful to see @abdulelsayed.bsky.social demonstrating how it's done.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
REALLY interesting. Which side are you on Claude, which side are you on.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Another very important aspect of this in this thread. It's so, so difficult to tell people the newspaper is lying to them. They just don't want to believe it. But the good news here is that fixing this is *relatively* easy, and even fun: you get to read really smart people who are fantastic writers!
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Bunch of datapoints suggesting PBJ's thesis is 🎯🎯🎯 here. This shift isn't showing up in Dem ad strategy yet. (except for ours ofc) But even Third Way is suggesting a stronger approach to defending basic rights. Very important that this shift is under way already going into the '28 cycle.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
This was the other @perrybaconjr.bsky.social story from this week that - if the people who believe in history win, at least - should be included in the syllabus of how things started to turn around.
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Dan Ancona @danancona.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I tell them to avoid right wing shit because the right has focused on media power VASTLY more than Dems over the past few decades. They've had to. Their core project - using racism to make changing the system impossible, so all the money keeps going to the rich - sucks, and people hate it. So: lies.
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