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Charlie Rahal

@crahal.com
707 followers 1K following 102 posts

Agentic, but everything I was, was taught to me.

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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 24/09/2026
We started a data science consultancy company to run alongside our academic work. We have a limited amount of time that we can devote to this, but please do get in contact if you think there's anything we can help with! patterns-and-proofs.com
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/09/2026
Thanks @ivy-companion.bsky.social: great to see you presented at this year's conference!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/09/2026
Closing slides from this year’s fabulous 7th International Conference on Social Computing 🎉 Huge thanks to @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social for hosting: this was incredible fun, with fascinating frontier research presented. tinyurl.com/3nask76e See you all next year in Chengdu 🍜🐼📈 !
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Neil Renic @ncrenic.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
GPT-6 will have the intelligence to open a bakery instead of doing a PhD
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 31/08/2026
we extract with LLMs, not infer with them; could I DM you with an API-key request? would be interested to see how your tech works!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 28/08/2026
New work \w @sanderwagner.bsky.social and @melindacmills.bsky.social🔬🔭. LLM-based extraction × classification × unstructured REF narratives × large-scale scientometrics 📚. Headline: Women more represented in research underpinning impact than in research output itself 👩‍🔬: arxiv.org/abs/2608.26409
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
Truly wonderful collaboration — as always — with @dvaldenegro.bsky.social, @jiani-y.bsky.social and @claireduiyidai.bsky.social!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
Funded by @centreforcare.bsky.social, @oxforddemsci.bsky.social, and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
Paper: www.cell.com/patterns/ful... Website: robustipy.github.io GitHub: github.com/RobustiPy/ro...
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
We demonstrate RobustiPy's abilities across five simulations and ten high profile examples, including a re-analysis of discrepancies in prior academic work brought to light by @datacolada.bsky.social.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
How reliable is research 🤔? We publish RobustiPy in @cp-patterns.bsky.social: a highly accessible, #GNU-GPL 3.0 #python lib for #robustness analysis and #datascience. It may represent the “next generation” of #modeluncertainty, bringing a range of frontier #statistics methods into one toolkit 📊📈!
Graphical Abstract for RobustiPy!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
Paper: www.cell.com/patterns/ful... Website: robustipy.github.io GitHub: github.com/RobustiPy/ro...
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
We demonstrate RobustiPy's abilities across five simulations and ten high profile examples, including a re-analysis of discrepancies in prior academic work brought to light by @datacolada.bsky.social.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
Paper: www.cell.com/patterns/ful... Homepage: robustipy.github.io Github: github.com/RobustiPy/ro...
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 20/08/2026
We demonstrate RobustiPy's abilities across five simulations and ten high profile examples, including a re-analysis of discrepancies in prior academic work brought to light by @datacolada.bsky.social.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 10/08/2026
The GWAS Diversity Monitor is now firing on all cylinders—and running faster than ever🚀⚡! All the relevant GitHub issues have been officially crushed💥✅. A huge thank you to Mingyue and Daniel for the fantastic teamwork that made it happen👏🫶🎉! Take a look: gwasdiversitymonitor.com 🔎🧬
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 06/08/2026
Today at Metrics and Models, Jacob Walker talks about "Computer Vision Research at Google DeepMind"💻👀. Should be good, all welcome! Register via deets on our homepage ⬇️: metrics-and-models.github.io or send a DM for a link. Next up is @pengzell.bsky.social talking about "The Paper Factory" 🏭📝!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/08/2026
We'll shortly be advertising *four* of our doctoral projects for 2027 entry 🎉📢 (stay tuned 👀)! If you have other projects in applied health and social data science that you'd like me to point people towards, let me know! Happy to help amplify, or even form a small colloquium of resharing 🤝❤️💬.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 25/07/2026
Incredible talk, thanks so much Pat!
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Pat Hastings @ophastings.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Feeling deprived of academic talks over the summer? This Thursday I'm presenting new work with @zparolin.bsky.social for the Oxford Metrics & Models seminar. Online talk and all are welcome! 2pm Oxford time, 7am Colorado time. Happy to share the MS Teams link with you. metrics-and-models.github.io
Talk Title: Rags or Riches? Predicting Life Outcomes from the Birth Lottery Across Five High-Income Countries

Abstract: Stratification in life outcomes is a central concern of sociology, but to what extent can adult outcomes be predicted from childhood circumstances? Although decades of research have identified important family and socioeconomic factors associated with mobility and attainment, these models explain only a modest share of individual variation in outcomes. Using harmonized longitudinal data from the Cross-National Equivalent Files (CNEF) and an ensemble of machine-learning models applied to a common set of childhood characteristics, we estimate the predictability of adult outcomes in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Australia, and South Korea. Predictability varies substantially across outcomes and national contexts: educational attainment is the most predictable in general, poverty is far more predictable in the U.S. than other countries, and income mobility is substantially less predictable than overall attainment outcomes. In additional analyses with the U.S., adding more variables including race, wealth, and parental incarceration improves predictions only slightly. We further show that predictability captures a distinct dimension of stratification that is not fully captured in other traditional measures of mobility, inequality, and opportunity. Together, these findings provide new insights into where and how the birth lottery most strongly shapes life chances.

Bio: Pat Hastings is an Associate Professor of Sociology at Colorado State University. He studies parenting, childhood, inequality, and social mobility with quantitative and computational methods.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
@mozilla.org @eff.org @demandprogress.bsky.social @timbl.bsky.social @lessig.bsky.social @creativecommons.bsky.social @okfn.bsky.social @pkp.sfu.ca @opensciencenl.bsky.social @cos.io @rorinstitute.bsky.social @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @uva.nl @bodleian.ox.ac.uk
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
Please consider submitting papers which you have which might be relevant, or encourage others in your network to do so. We are particularly interested in papers on Open Science, Knowledge Commons, Civic Technology, Information Equity, but are not in any way limited to this.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
Aaron helped forge the open web—RSS, Creative Commons infrastructure, Reddit, tools for liberating public knowledge, and more. The state made an example of one of the world's brightest architects, and the result was an indictment of how power punishes those who try to make knowledge free.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
CW: suicide. Honoured to be Guest Editing—with @saurabhkhanna.bsky.social—a Special Issue at ACM-TSC in tribute of my intellectual hero, Aaron Swartz, who died by suicide in 2013 at 26 after extreme prosecutorial overreach. While attempting to expand access to knowledge. CfP: tinyurl.com/4znbk4y2.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
@mozilla.org @eff.org @demandprogress.bsky.social @timbl.bsky.social @lessig.bsky.social @creativecommons.bsky.social @okfn.bsky.social @pkp.sfu.ca @opensciencenl.bsky.social @cos.io @rorinstitute.bsky.social @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @uva.nl @bodleian.ox.ac.uk
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
Please consider submitting papers which you have which might be relevant, or encourage others in your network to do so. We are particularly interested in papers on Open Science, Knowledge Commons, Civic Technology, Information Equity, but are not in any way limited to this.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
The state made an example of one of the world's brightest architects, and the result was a catastrophic indictment of how power punishes those who try to make knowledge free.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 19/05/2026
Aaron helped forge the open web—RSS, Creative Commons infrastructure, Reddit, tools for liberating public knowledge, more, and all while a child prodigy, teenager and young adult—only to be crushed by a grotesquely disproportionate prosecution that turned an act of positive activism into apocalypse.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 11/05/2026
Two weeks left until our Call for Papers closes for the 7th International Conference on Social Computing (ICSC'26). Please do submit your papers! Optional conference proceedings, great keynote speakers, nice conference dinner @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, and more. Details: icsc-conf.github.io!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/05/2026
I do always check this 😅.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/05/2026
Today's pushes bring in some speed efficiencies to our new model uncertainty library which make it approximately **14** times faster! Check it out now at robustipy.github.io; accompanying paper getting published very soon, super jazzed 🎷
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
Next key date: Call for Papers closes at 23:59 on May 25th, 2026!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
Some of us are at @oxforddemsci.bsky.social within @oxpop.bsky.social. It also involves organisers from @sociologyoxford.bsky.social and @oii.ox.ac.uk @socsci.ox.ac.uk. Others are based at HKU, SUFE, XJTLU, Linköping, Chicago, Tsinghua, Göttingen, Hangzhou and Leibniz. A wonderful team effort!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
This in addition to all other topics you'd expect at a leading social computing conference; LLMs, large scale network analysis, digital inclusion in the Global South (@pkp.sfu.ca?), science of science, applications to topics such as health, finance, urban systems and education, and more!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
We have special tracks dedicated to Digital and Computational Demography (may be of interest to: @eapsphd.bsky.social/@eaps.bsky.social, @iussp.bsky.social, @mpidr.bsky.social, @bspsuk.bsky.social, @popassocamerica.bsky.social, @cpc-cg.bsky.social...?)!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
Delighted to be helping chair ICSC '26 🤖. Hosted: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social 🏰 When: Sept ’26 🕰️ Details: CfP live 🎉 Optional proceedings, all welcome. More: icsc-conf.github.io. Please consider sharing your work📜! Kindly help us spread the word, and follow @i-c-s-c.bsky.social for updates📣!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
Some of us are at @oxforddemsci.bsky.social within @oxpop.bsky.social. It also involves organisers from @sociologyoxford.bsky.social and @oii.ox.ac.uk in @socsci.ox.ac.uk. Others are based at HKU, SUFE, XJTLU, Linköping, Chicago, Tsinghua, Göttingen, Hangzhou and Leibniz. A wonderful team effort!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
This in addition to all other topics you'd expect at a leading social computing conference; LLMs, large scale network analysis, digital inclusion in the Global South (@pkp.sfu.ca?), science of science, applications to topics such as health, finance, urban systems and education, and more!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/04/2026
We have special tracks dedicated to Digital and Computational Demography (may be of interest to: @eaps.bsky.social @eapsphd.bsky.social @iussp.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social @bspsuk.bsky.social @popassocamerica.bsky.social @cpc-cg.bsky.social...?)!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 04/01/2026
Californian housing dataset over the problematic Boston housing dataset.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 24/12/2025
The quote of the year came late, but it’s good: “This is LLM generated nonsense. You make a mockery of real research. Do not submit this again.” If the originator of the quote sees this, you will remain entirely anonymous I assure you, but I want you to know that I appreciate you. Happy holidays!
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Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
📖👨‍💻🎓 New Courses Alert 🎓👨‍💻📖 The Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science is launching three upcoming short courses designed for researchers across health, economics, and the social sciences. Led by experts in the field — including @crahal.com — these courses are now open for registration.👇
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Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
A pleasure to host @philipncohen.com this week for a fantastic talk on pronatalism & many more engaging discussions about open science, public engagment, and more! #demography @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @drjenndowd.bsky.social @melindacmills.bsky.social @crahal.com @ridhikashyap.bsky.social
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 06/11/2025
I've convened CSS sessions with lecturers wanting to give tutorials in R as the primary language, but they've inevitably had to involve Python at some stage. I've observed but much less frequently seen the reverse. This isn't a bait, but why not just start with Python?
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 11/10/2025
We're holding brief/extremely informal 15 minute meetings with anyone who is interested in either of these positions, scheduled for 19.11.2025 and 17.11.2025, respectively. Email or DM for more information! Please do share details within your network; I think these projects are pretty cool!
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 01/10/2025
Thrilled to serve as TPC co-chair (/w @chenyang03.bsky.social) for the brilliant International Conference on Social Computing! 🚀 See @i-c-s-c.bsky.social for updates! 📅 Papers: October 20th! 🔗 Full details: icsc-conf.github.io/2025/ Let’s push the frontiers of #CSS, #DataScience, #LLM, and #AI💡✨
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 29/09/2025
🎉Our metrics-and-models.github.io lab announces first hybrid seminar in conjunction with @oxforddemsci.bsky.social🚨 "Nonparametric Causal Decomposition of Group Differences: New Mechanisms & New Methods" Speaker: Felix Elwert When: October 8th, 2025 Where: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 18/09/2025
A paper of ours just got rejected from a leading computer science journal for being ‘too technical’ and for some disturbing reason the inner economist in me is really proud.
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Charlie Rahal @crahal.com · 05/09/2025
The utility of this data resource cannot be understated. Infinite respect to all of the incredibly talented people who worked on it! 😍
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